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Aag 2011 seattle

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  • 1. Climate Mobility Lars Bcker Mar4n Dijst Jan Prillwitz &
  • 2. Contents Background Methodology Climate change and mode choices Climate change and des4na4on choices Conclusions
  • 3. Loca4on of studies Overemphasis on weather extremes Contradic4ng results Lack of aFen4on to personal backgrounds Lack of aFen4on to geographical contexts Bcker, Dijst & Prillwitz (forthcoming) Changing recurring clima4c condi4ons and travel behaviour: the role of personal backgrounds and geographical contexts Background
  • 4. Methodology Selec4on of seasons within the last decade represen4ng current climate Selec4on of seasons within the last decade represen4ng the 2050 projected climate Analyzing mobility paFerns for dierent popula4on categories and geographical contexts Dutch Na4onal Travel Survey Randstad area
  • 5. Methodology Spring -Warmer -Slightly weFer Summer -HoFer -Longer dry periods -Heavier rain showers Autumn -Warmer Winter -Milder -Overall weFer -Heavier precipita4on
  • 6. Climate change and mode choices winter spring summer autumn winter spring summer autumn Current climate Future climate Mode Shares (stacked) 100% 0%
  • 7. Climate change and mode choices -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 Winter Spring Summer Autumn -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 Winter Spring Summer Autumn >3000 addresses/km2 3000 addresses/km2

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