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Back to the future. A retrospective look through the crystal ball at 6 Cyber security predictions from the rise Intrusion prevention to the loss of privacy
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2002 + 10 years from now
Visions of the Future?
1. The rise of Intrusion Prevention Systems (IPS)2. Widespread corporate use of instant messaging3. Convergence of information warfare and information security4. Cyber terrorism and directed energy weapons5. Emergence of holographic storage, quantum cryptography or AI6. The loss of privacy
Holistic Intrusion Prevention Systems
The emergence of holistic Intrusion Prevention and the demise of Intruder Detection
Definition of holistic:
“Concerned with wholes rather than analysis or separation into parts”
Signature (or pattern) matching. This method is sometimes called “content-based” and it incorporates what is often referred to as “deep packet inspection” capabilities.
Behavioural assessment. This method is sometimes referred to as anomaly-based, statistical-based, or rate-based
Predicted - 2004/2005
Holistic Intrusion Prevention Systems
Predicted - 2004/2005
Corporate use of Instant Messaging system, associated data loss & threatsPredicted - 2006/2007
Instant messaging threats have taken malware delivery to a new level. Yahoo!® Messenger, Skype™ and Windows Live® Messenger are used as attack vectors for complex malware payloads.
Clickjacking:
Corporate use of Instant Messaging system, associated data loss & threatsPredicted - 2006/2007
The convergence of Information Warfare and Information SecurityPredicted - 2007/2008
Strike back capabilities in Defensive Information Security systems and adaptive security eco-systems
•Firewalls
•IPS/IDS
•Honeypots
Sidewinder provides an administrator with great flexibility to define an extensive set of security "alarms", each with its corresponding "strikeback" responses.
The convergence of Information Warfare and Information SecurityHistorical - 1998
The hacktavists group Electronic Disturbance Theatre (EDT) On September 9, 1998, launched a denial of service program called FloodNet against the Pentagon.
Pentagon strikes back by launching a denial of service attack of its own.
A Java Applet named "Hostile Applet" was placed in the Pentagon' web site that was designed to activate whenever FloodNet was directed towards it.
The convergence of Information Warfare and Information SecurityPredicted - 2007/2008,
Actual - 2013/2014 – adaptive security ecosystems and maturity
Executive Order 13636 - Improving Critical Infrastructure Cybersecurity
Cyber-terrorism, attacks on critical national infrastructure using EMP/HERF weapons.Predicted - 2009/2010
Possible use of direct energy weapons to disrupt national critical infrastructure
Cyber-terrorism, attacks on critical national infrastructure using EMP/HERF weapons.Predicted - 2009/2010
H.E.R.F. – High Energy Radio Frequency [HERF guns are able to shoot a high power radio signal at an electronic target and put it out of function.]
Cyber-terrorism, attacks on critical national infrastructure using EMP/HERF weapons.Predicted - 2009/2010
E.M.P. – Electromagnetic Pulse [destroys the electronics of all computer and communication systems in quite a large area]
Cyber-terrorism, attacks on critical national infrastructure using EMP/HERF weapons.Predicted - 2009/2010
E.M.P. – Electromagnetic Pulse [destroys the electronics of all computer and communication systems in quite a large area]
Cyber-terrorism, attacks on critical national infrastructure using EMP/HERF weapons.Predicted - 2009/2010
No public disclosures of attacks using advanced weaponry
The emergence of holographic storage, quantum communications/cryptography or artificial intelligence.Predicted - 2011/2012
1. Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD)
2. Quantum computing, cryptography
3. Artificial Intelligence (AI) - Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
Security concerns/interests:
• Threat analysis and response
• Data mining and pattern analysis (Big data)
• Adaptive heuristic penetration testing
• AI blended attacks and network defences
“I’ll be back”
The emergence of holographic storage, quantum communications/cryptography or artificial intelligence.Predicted - 2011/2012
1. Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD)
2. Quantum computing, cryptography
3. Artificial Intelligence (AI) - Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
The loss of Privacy.
Predicted - 2012/2013
Surveillance Society
“Taken away….”
Social Networks
“Given away…”
The loss of Privacy.
Predicted - 2012/2013
Eroding of civil liberties due to anti terrorism and national security legislation
The loss of Privacy.
Predicted - 2012/2013
Rise of social media, citizens are giving away there personal data, and privacy
