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Presentation made at the Vigo University during the XI Technological Forum organized by the Teleco Engineering School
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XI Technological Forum
21-24 March 2011
Antonio Ciccarelli - CFCA
Internet trends and ICTknowledge necessary
in the next years
Agenda1. The end of the PC age
2. Everything in the cloud
3. The Internet of things
4. Semantic web
5. Bandwidth wars
6. A new way of working
7. A new way to watch content
8. Conclusion
1.1 - The end of the PC age
• @Home: PC – TV integration
• @Office: Surface Desktops
• @Elsewhere: Next Generation Smartphones 1,5 GHz Quadcore
HD/Bluray output
1.2 - The end of the PC age
• Ecosystem based on OS platform + Market applications
• Revenue sharing between OS platform providers and small developers
• AppStore: 300.000+ -> 82,7% Revenues• Android : 150.000+ -> 5,0 % Revenues
• Everybody trying to copy this model now; anyway the space will be only for two or three players
• Hardware (server, storage, printers)
• Operating System (virtualization)
• Application (SaaS)
• Desktop Virtualization
• and … content
2.1 – Everything in the cloud
• ICT Job market implications
• Definite fall of DRM, copyright?
• Final model: mix of private/public cloud
2.2 – Everything in the cloud
System&NetworkAdmin
Cloud ManagerSecurity Manager
3.1 – The Internet of Things
• Ubiquitous wireless connection with all the objects
• M2M – Smart Grids (50 billion connected devices by 2020)
• Augmented reality (info view, 3D, advertising)
3.2 – The Internet of ThingsWhile it may result easy receiving and mapping objects with an onboard GPS transponder ...
…it is less easy catching and transmitting analogical data from objects without power supply …
3.3 – The Internet of Things
3.4 - The Internet of Things
4.1 - Semantic Web• Most announced and …
slowest technology
• Driven by academic research rather than real business applications
• Top down vs. Bottom Up approach
• Definition of too complex models
4.2 - Semantic Web
So, what’s happening?
• Several search engines claiming to be semantic
• Mix of “good enough” simple standards + proprietary solutions
• Google now announcing to slightly modify its algorithms adding “semantics” -> natural language search, multiple formats results
Fights between:
• Telco vs. Over The Top
• Incumbents vs. OLO
• Mobile vs. Fixed access
5.1 – The Bandwidth War
vs.
vs.
FTTH
5.2 – The Bandwidth WarInternet data consumption increased of 215% in the past 3 years, mainly due to video streaming exponential growth.Possible scenarios: •Pay (fast) vs. Public (slow) Internet•Possible differentiated content access depending on Fixed or Mobile connection availability – Speed trends:–VDSL2:100 Mb dwnl (500 m FO, 30 Mhz)–GPON: 2,5 Gbit (shared among 64 users)–Point-Point: 1 Gb (x each user)–LTE 4G: 21 - 42 Mb -> 100 Mb peak
5.3 – The Bandwidth War
Telco ISP
Huge investments necessary for the networks will decrease the EBIT and increase the debt of the incumbent ISP
Some OTT (with high EBIT) could buy some incumbent(with high debt)
• Mobile Phone = Wireless Digital Wallet
• Near Field Communication - Identity certified by SIM
• Location based added services (recommendation/discounts)
5.4 – Next possible fight: Telco vs. Bank
6.1 – A new way of coding & working
• Coworking - Crowdsourcing - Open Source coding - BarCamp
• Large use of Mashups and Web Services
• SDK: Cocoa, Android (Google)• Distributed virtual community
based on reputation and trust• Handicraft model
iOSCocoa
6.2 – A new way of coding & working
7.1 – A new way to watch the content
• Broadcast -> On-Demand• Personalized TV program based
on your preferences• Recommendation advertising• Facebook Watch, Social
content sharing
http://www.youtube/leanback
7.2 – A new way to watch the content
8.1 – Nevertheless …
ARE WE FACINGSERIOUS TIMES
WITH
A SERIOUS INDUSTRY ?
my
my
Change Smartphone or Tabletevery 6 months …
Game Apps, 1 App for everything …
Rest of Europe
Rest of Europe
8.2 – Nevertheless …• Or should we invest more on social and
environmental sustainable technology ?
SUNDAY, MARCH 06, 2011TRANSFORMING THE
GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION AND CONSUMPTION OF
ENERGY
9 - Conclusion
• Period of epochal changes in all the ICT sectors
• End of PC age, end of “Company for the Life” job
• Be part of the new “eco-systems”
• Social coding – Co-working
• More social and environmental responsibility in the business models
Definitions and Acronyms
• 4G 4th Generation Mobile Telecommunic.• DRM Digital Rights Management• OLO Other Local Operator• OTT Over The Top• GPON Gigabit Passive Optical Network• M2M Machine to Machine• ICT Information & Communication Technology
Related Videos
• Mozilla Smartphone http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oG3tLxEQEdg• Android 3.0 Honeycomb http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-80QD5Zjyc• Metaweb http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJfrNo3Z-DU• Internet of things http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kzNKONUGQ8• Augmented reality http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Szy4UU5dMg• Internet of things + AR http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpcL8B5Ch2A• Youtube TV Channel http://youtube.com/leanback
Personal background• Antonio Ciccarelli has a Master Degree in Electrical
Engineering• He was involved in one of the first European Web
projects, funded by the European Space Agency (1991)
• 10 years experience in the Defence & Space industry + 10 years experience in the Telco & Internet industry
• He is currently Head of the ICT Sector at the EU Community Fisheries Control Agency based in Vigo, Galicia, [email protected]
www.linkedin.com/in/antoniociccarelli
• The current presentation was used as visual material for an University speech
• The images and the logos used in this presentation are shown with the only purpose to provide examples of possible real world aspects related to the topics treated
• The presentation is aimed only to give examples of the current technological trends and does not want to give more visibility to any specific company brand. An exhaustive analysis of the possible products or solutions available on the market is out of the scope.
Disclaimer