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Trend 4: Predictable Disruption

Predictable Disruption - Tech Vision 2016 Trend 4

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Trend  4:  Predictable  Disruption

People  First:    The  Primacy  of  People  in  the  Digital  Age

The  Accenture  Technology  Vision  2016  identifies  five  technology  trends  fueled  by  the  people  first principle  and  that  are  essential  to  business  success  in  the  digital  economy.  

Intelligent  Automation

Liquid  Workforce  

Platform  Economy

Predictable  Disruption

Digital  Trust

People  First:  The  Primacy  of  People  in  the  Digital  Age

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 3

Digital  ecosystems  come  from:

3rd  party  contributors  to  an  industry.

Adjacent  industries  directly  associated  with  the  area  of  interest.

Digital  ecosystems  will  be  the  next  big  wave  of  enterprise  disruption

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 4

Connected  Car  ecosystem  crosses  

boundaries:  infotainment,  insurance,  car  share

The  Connected  Car  ecosystem  overlaps  into  

Smart  Home  Ecosystem  that  overlaps  into  Energy,  

Appliances,  Online  Retailing

Why?  Building  digital  ecosystems  has  gotten  much  easier

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 5

Digital  Technologies:SMAC  &  IoT technology  

is  driving  the  transformation.      

Interoperability:More  M2M  standards  then  before,  but  – more  companies  leveraging  the  upper  echelon  of  these  standards  (Wifi,  Bluetooth  +  Zigbee,  Zwave,  NFC).

Platform  Strategies:Companies  are  exploring  more  robust  digital  platform  strategies,  including  opening  up  data  and  API  

to  partners.  

Digital  ecosystems  are  already  blurring  industry  boundaries

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 6

To  what  extent  is  your  industry  experiencing   the  following:

Implication:  more  than  ever,  expect  the  unexpected

Industry  boundaries  are  being  erased  and  new  paradigms  are  emerging,  every  industry  is  being  significantly  impacted.

Significantly Moderately Slightly Not  at  all Don’t  know

39%

43%

15%

2%

1%

And  as  industry  boundaries  blur,  the  power  of  the  ecosystem  disruption  scales  exponentially

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 7

Across  industries,  environments  or  products  that  used  to  be  seen  as  isolated  and  singular  in  purpose  –a  factory  floor,  a  car  – are  becoming  focal  points  for  complex  networks  of  machines,  software,  and  people,  working  in  concert  and  radically  changing  how  businesses  deliver  value.

Digital  disruption   is  hitting  everywhere:

Automotive

Logistics

Energy

Consumer

Healthcare

Media

Traditional  boundaries  between  industry  verticals  are  fading

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 8

Disruptions  which  may  have  began  isolated   in  a  disparate   industry  are  now  quickly  rippling  out  to  affect  how  every  business  operates.

Beyond  tech  industries:  large  incumbents  are  also  using  digital  ecosystems  to  cross  industry  boundaries  

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 9

In  the  new  digital  landscape,  ecosystems  are  forming  across  industries  as  the  unlikeliest  partners  come  together  to  deliver  innovative  services  and  products  to  their  customers.  

Accenture  research  reveals  that  44  percent  of  insurers  intend  to  pursue  digital  initiatives  with  partners  outside  of  insurance  over  the  next  two  years.

One  is  example  is  Microsoft  and  American  Family  Insurance.    They  have  launched  a  home  automation  business  accelerator  for  startups  to  nurture  advances  that  can  help  lead  to  safer  and  smarter  homes.  

of  insurers  intend  to  pursue  digital  initiatives  with  partners  outside  of  insurance  over  the  next  two  years.

The  result?  Unexpected  newcomers  are  creating  market  power  shifts  

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 10

UberHealth:With  its  existing  network  of  cars  and  customers  and  a  new  set  of  skilled  workers  – registered  nurses  – Uber  has  been  able  to  provide  on-­demand  delivery  of  flu  shots  and  similar  vaccinations.  

Neither  hospitals  nor  major  pharmacy  chains  in  the  United  States  would  have  ever  previously  seen  Uber as  a  competitor.

No  industry  change  will  remain  truly  isolated

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 11

The  result?Reshaping  of  industry  boundaries.

Disruption  felt  on  a  large  scale,  where  the  impact  is  widespread  and  pervasive.

The  opportunity?  Predicting  digital  disruption

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved. 12

Using  the  power  of  their  industry  knowledge,  companies  can  map  out  ecosystem  scenarios  and  unveil  the  disruptive  opportunities  and  threats.

Smart  appliances  emerge

Cars  support  wireless  connectivity

Robotics  on  the  factory  floor

Predictable  Disruption:  100-­Day  Plan

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1. Appoint  a  C-­suite  sponsor  to  oversee  a  team  that  is  responsible  for  championing  your  new  ecosystem  and  digital  partnership  strategies.

2. Take  an  inventory  of  the  ecosystems  related  to  your  business  and  prioritize  the  list  according  to  those  with  the  greatest  potential  for  impact  on  your  organization.  Talk  to  external  industry  experts.

3. Ask  your  team  for  innovative  ideas  for  how  touse  emerging  digital  ecosystems.  Envision  your  competitive  position,  new  value  chains,  and  new  use  cases  for  the  ecosystems  where  you  plan  to  compete.      

4. Craft  the  strategy  that  will  bring  these  ideas  to  fruition.  Start  to  line  up  the  resources,  stakeholders,  and  investments  necessary  to  forge  this  new  path.

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved.

Predictable  Disruption:  365-­Day  Plan

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1. Build  the  partnerships  that  will  support  your  ecosystem  strategy.  Identify  the  key  players  in  digital  ecosystems,  choose  your  preferred  alliances,  and  have  initial  discussions.

2. Pilot  an  initial   foray  into  a  digital  ecosystem.  Pick  the  one  business  process,  product,  or  service  that  can  benefit  from  existing  and  new  partnerships.

3. Create  new  metrics  to  determine  success  in  digital  ecosystems.  Develop  these  by  tracking  the  progress  of  your  pilot.

4. Identify  new  skills  demanded  to  support  the  expansion  of  your  digital  ecosystem  strategy.  

Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved.

Predictions

15Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved.

Industries  Go  HorizontalTraditional  industry  boundaries  disappear,  leading  to  the  birth  of  entirely  new  industry  segments.

Leaders  Game  the  Ecosystem

Strategy  teams  use  gamification  to  play  out  and  predict  disruptions.

3  high-­level  takeaways

16Copyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved.

Industry  boundaries  are  already  blurring,  shifting  market  power  to  newcomers.

Digital  ecosystems  are  becoming  the  foundation  for  the  next  wave  of  enterprise  disruption.

Enterprises  can  gain  visibility  into  the  disruptive  forces  of  

ecosystems  and  take  action  now  by  developing  strategies  to  forge  

new  roles  and  new  paths.

Thank  you#techvision2016www.accenture.com/technologyvisionCopyright  ©  2016  Accenture.  All  rights  reserved.