Citizens Bank Business Insiders: Granite State Future

Business Insiders BreakfastGranite State Future Project

December 19, 2013

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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Today’s PanelistsMike

Tabacsko

Alderman,Board of Directors of

Nashua Regional Planning

Commission

Jennifer Czysz

Senior Regional

Planner with Nashua Regional Planning

Commission,Program Manager of

Granite State Future Project

Kerrie Diers

Executive Director of the Nashua

Regional Planning

Commission

Christopher Clement

 Commissioner of the New Hampshire

Department of

Transportation

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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REGIONAL PLANNING FROM A LOCAL PERSPECTIVE

Mike Tabacsko

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Planning for Quality of Life

Nashua’s Ongoing Projects: • Branding Initiative• Commuter Rail• Broad Street Parkway

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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Linking Planning Efforts

Regional Coordination:• Local Perspective• Quality of Life• A Mutual Relationship

State Development

PlanRSA 9-A

Regional Planning

RSA 36:47

Local Master Plan

RSA 674:2

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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Our Regional Advantage

Relative proximity to:• Jobs • Mountains • Ocean• Amenities

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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GRANITE STATE FUTURE PROJECT

Jennifer Czysz & Kerrie Diers

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Building a Comprehensive Regional Plan

Who We Are

What We Do• Regional Plan

• Metropolitan Planning Organizationo Capitol Corridor Commuter Rail Project

o Highway, transit, bicycle/pedestrian projects

• Regional Housing Needs Assessment

• Assist Municipalities with transportation, land use, mapping and environmental planning projects

Who We Are: Population

Who We Are: Population

The Nashua Region closely tracks the State’s median age

Who We Are: PopulationFor the first time in nearly 100 years, the 2010 Census

showed a lower percent growth in the Nashua

Region than in Hillsborough County or the State.

 Regional population over the last decade has become flat at less than 0.5% growth between 2000 and 2010.

Who We Are: HouseholdsTraditional Households (HH’s) are on the decline

Persons Living Alone(23% of total HH’s)

Non-Family Households(30% of total HH’s)

Family Households

Married Couple Families(56% of total HH’s)

Families with ChildrenUnder Age 18(33% of total HH’s)

Married Couples with Own Children under 18(25% of total HH’s)

Who We Are: Human CapitalOur kids are wicked smaht.

Second highest average SAT scores after Washington State(Source: The College Board, 2010, 2011)

Who We Are: Purchase Power

We have high incomes.

Top 8 percentile (Source: Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2012)

Who We Are: TransportationWe like our cars.

83.3% of Nashua Region residents commute alone by car.(Source: American Community Survey – 5 year estimates).

Who We Are: TransportationOr do we....

Need for more transportation options consistently noted by residents(Source: Granite State Future Public Outreach results)

Who We Are: Commuting

1 in 4Residents of the Nashua region commute into Massachusetts

Who We Are: Marketers ViewMost Common Profiles in the Nashua Region

(Source: The Neilsen Co.)

Country Squires

Wealthy, exurban Baby Boomers with children who live on sprawling properties and enjoy club sports.

• Order from Amazon.com

• Watch ‘The Biggest Loser’

• Vacation at ski resorts.

Big Fish, Small Pond

Older, upscale professionals, live in small towns, belong to country clubs, shop at Talbots, and enjoy water sports.

• Kiplinger’s Personal Finance

• No kids• Watch the

Kentucky Derby• Toyota drivers

Greenbelt Sports

Upscale, exurban older couples without children who enjoy outdoor lifestyle, shop at eBay.com and vacation in the Tropics. Likely to be college educated and own new homes.

• Watch ‘That 70s Show’

• Heavy readers• Nissan drivers

Gearing Up

Mostly twenty-something singles signing their first telecommunications agreements.

• Low incomes• Smartphones

are a necessity• Heavy social

networkers• Streaming

content over cable service  

Home Sweet Home

Scattered across the nation’s suburbs, the adults in the segment, mostly under 55, have gone to college and hold professional and white-collar jobs. 

• Watch the ‘Amazing Race’

• Download music

• Online shoppers

What We’ve Heard: Transportation

“more bicycle lanes”

“better east-west travel options”

“better connected sidewalks”

“walkable developments”

“better regional cooperation”

“commuter rail to Boston”

“balance investments”

What We’ve Heard: Housing

“more bicycle lanes”

“better east-west travel options”

“better regional cooperation”

“commuter rail to Boston”

“more compacthousing units”

“more housing for thosein creative fields”

“more housing near downtowns”

“greener housingoptions:”

“ensure zoning and land use codes support affordable housing”

“factor transportation into housing costs”

What We’ve Heard: Vitality

“more bicycle lanes”

“redevelop parking lots into ‘vertical’ development”

“embrace development along waterways”

“walkable developments”

“more pocket parksdowntown”

“a regional start-up incubator”

“more mixed-use development”

“commuter rail to Boston”

What We’ve Heard: Environment

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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What Do You Think?

• What do you feel are the most important areas to focus on?

• Where should resources such as funding and time be invested?

Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce

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NEW HAMPSHIRE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Christopher Clement

The Roads toNew Hampshire’s Future

Presentation Overview• New Hampshire DOT

– Mission– Department Overview– Modes of

Transportation– Turnpike System– Funding Sources

• MAP-21 Federal Program– Performance

Management– Asset Management

• Funding Concerns

Transportation excellence enhancing the

quality of life in New Hampshire

Mission

1,605 permanent employees (FY14) – 22% steady decrease since 1992

Responsible for:• 2,143 State Bridges

• State Red List – 145 (8%)• State Near Red List – 261

• 1,685 Municipal Bridges• Municipal Red List – 353 (21%)• All bridges are inspected at least once every two years• State red list bridges are inspected twice every year• Municipal red list bridges are inspected once every year

• 4,559 centerline miles of roadway maintained (additional 290 town maintained)• 8,868 lane-miles of roadway maintained

• Annual paving totals 200-300 miles per year (40,000 tons asphalt)

• Maintain 100,000 highway signs

Key Facts About DOT

Other Transportation ModesAeronautics Rail Public Transit

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AeronauticsNH Aviation Facts:• 1,280 Registered Aircraft•117 Registered Airports - 24 Public Use Airports (11 receive federal funding)• Airport Improvement Program • $ 9 m (FFY 13) - Block Grant (10 of 12) airports• $ 5m for Manchester and Lebanon (direct to airports)• $1m (CY 2012) - Total revenue (state funds)

- Aircraft registrations- 75% to General Fund, 25% to

airports

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Public TransitScheduled Services

11 public transit systems

Intercity/Commuter bus service• Boston Express

• Concord Coach

• C & J

• Greyhound

Approx. $13.5m – Total Federal Funds for NH (FY 2013)

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Rail450 miles of active railroad in NH• 253 miles state-owned

9 Freight Railroads

Passenger Rail Service in New Hampshire• Amtrak Downeaster

• The Vermonter

• Proposed Capitol Corridor

Special Railroad Fund (Average $600,000 a year)

• Used for purchasing, operating & maintaining railroad properties

NH Capitol Corridor Study

NH Capitol Corridor Study

Scope Outline• Evaluate Existing Conditions:

i. Public and stakeholder involvementii. Purpose & Need Statement

• Develop Alternatives Including Routes, Stations and Schedules:i. Commuter Rail Options from Lowell to Nashua, Manchester, and

Concordii. Bus Options including bus on shoulder and connections to railiii. Intercity rail options from Boston to Concordiv. No Build

• Define and Evaluate Alternatives:i. Preliminary screeningii. Evaluation of Alternatives Based On:

• Ridership• Costs: capital, operating• Environmental impacts (EA)• Transit-supportive land use, economic development• Demographics

• Project Completion

Study ScheduleSpring/Summer

2013•Evaluate Existing Conditions

Fall 2013

•Develop Alternatives

Spring/Summer2014

•Define and Evaluate Alternatives

Late Fall2014

•Project Completion

2015 - 2024 Ten Year Transportation Plan

Governors Advisory Commission on Intermodal

Transportation(GACIT)

GACIT Processi. DRAFT Plan, Financially Constrained

• Work in progress

ii. Public Hearing Input • Regional priorities and needs

iii. GACIT Recommendation to Governor – December 2013

iv. Governor Recommendation to Legislature – January 2014

v. Legislative approval – June 2014

I-93 Funding NH’s #1 Priority

No Current Financing Plan

• $250 M Unfunded Remaining Needs Not in Ten Year Plan – Capacity Improvements Exit 3 NB to I-293 split (excl. Exit 5)

• Financial plan delivered to FHWA – remaining I-93 project in jeopardy without statement of legislative intent to fully fund project

• Environmental Permits lapse in 2020

• Exit 4A – not funded

• Continuing Negative Impact on Ten Year Plan – 2030

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Turnpike System Overview

• 3 Turnpike Segments• 89 Miles Long• 170 Bridges• 10 Toll Facilities• Enterprise Fund – All Turnpike

revenue must be used on the System• Turnpike Revenue pays for:

–Operating & Maintenance Costs–Debt Service–R&R Work–Capital Improvements

• FY12 $108.7M transactions and $116.6M toll revenue

Unfunded Projects in Current Capital Program form HB 391 – Session 2009 Authorization:• Bedford ORT - $18M (FY15 Adv)• Dover End of N-D Project - $80M (FY14 Adv)

Proposed Expanded Capital Program• Bow-Concord: I-93 Widening (I-89 to I-393) - $195M (FY18 Adv)• Nashua-Bedford: FEET Widening (Exit 8 to I-293) - $70M (FY17 Adv)• Manchester: Reconstruction of Exit 6 & FEET Widening - $88M (FY17 Adv)• Manchester: New Interchange at Exit 7 - $54M (FY 18 Adv)• Spaulding Turnpike Toll Facilities (ORT or AET) - $15M (FY16 Adv)• Spaulding Turnpike Maintenance Facilities - $8M (FY14 Adv)• Turnpike Administration Building - $7M (FY15 Adv)• Nashua-Bedford ITS Infrastructure - $4M (FY15 Adv)• Merrimack Exit 12 Toll Plaza Removal - $2M (FY15 Adv)• Sarah Mildred Long Bridge ($2M Annual Capital Contribution)

- $18M (FY14 Start)• TYP 2013-2022 includes PE & ROW for Bow-

Concord ($13.0M) and for Manchester Exit 6 & 7 ($14.0M)

*Reference: Transportation Infrastructure Report 2011 – Building America’s Future: Falling Apart & Falling Behind

Proposed Turnpike Expanded Capital Program

Potential to create 14,000 jobs* over a ten year period

Hooksett Rest Areas Re-Development 35-Yr Ground Lease Contract

16,000 sf Welcome Centers 20,000 sf Liquor Stores Mill Building Architectural Style

1950’s Style Diner Old-Time Deli Italian Farmhouse Restaurant Coffee & Breakfast Shop Country-style Convenience Store Interactive Visitor Information Center

16 Fuel Stations for Passenger Vehicles Ample Rest Rooms Ample Parking

355 NB Total Parking (240 cars, 11 buses/trucks, 35 local, 69 overflow)

291 SB Total Parking (255 cars, 15 buses/trucks, 21 local)

FUNDING OUTLOOK

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Challenges Ahead• Federal Reauthorization MAP-21 expires September 2014

• Shrinking revenue from fuel efficient vehicles and less miles traveled due to recession

• One-time solutions–Not Sustainable Funding

• Rising Costs - Petroleum based business

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Increased Fuel Efficiency = Less HWY Revenue

DOT FUNDING SOURCES• Highway Fund (road toll tax a.k.a. gas tax, motor vehicle fees, court fees, misc.) $260 m/ year)

• -$48 m deficit FY16, -$105 m FY17 Operating Budget

• Federal Aid ($143 m/year) – Capital Budget

• General Funds: Aeronautics, Rail, Transit ($900,000/year)

• Turnpike Fund: Turnpikes only (subject to covenants to bondholders): $117m/year tolls

MAP 21: A New Era

MAP 21: A New Era

• MAP-21 initiates a new era for U.S. transportation agencies focusing on:i. Performance management – Balanced Score Cardii. Asset management – 100% FHWA funded gap

analysis iii. Risk management

• States must develop risk-based, performance-based asset management plans for at least the NHS – focus on maintenance & preservation

MAP-21 Performance Declaration

• Performance management will transform the Federal-aid highway program

• Provide a means to the most efficient investment of Federal transportation funds

• Focus on national transportation goals• Increase accountability and transparency

of the Federal-aid highway program• Improve decision making through

performance based planning and programming

Asset Management Definition

• Asset management is a strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, and improving physical assets

• To identify a structured sequence of maintenance, preservation, repair, rehabilitation, and replacement actions

• That will achieve and sustain a desired state of good repair over the lifecycle of the assets at minimum practicable cost

Economic Impact of Maintenance• 40% expenditures Highway Maintenance are

expended solely for Snow & Ice control yearly $32-$42 million/year

• Studies have shown that if a state was to “shut down” due to a Snow and & Ice event, economic impacts could be between $64 million (UT) and $700 million (NY) DAILY. Massachusetts had an estimated daily loss of $265 million

(2011 American Highway Users Alliance study)

The Need to Measure Carefully• The old saying

is, ‘you cant fix what you cant measure’

• It all depends on how you chose and use

Utah DOT Investment Backlog• This “NH” type

BSC measure provides the “future” direction of DOT

• Tells the public the rural highway (blue) are headed for worse condition

• Shows consequence of “current budget conditions” that DOT does NOT have the power to change

Declining Asset Values

• Decreased asset value due to lack of investment• Will the public allow “their” transportation system to

decline $ and change current policy makers decisions• “The data will set you free”

Prioritizing Resources

NH Road System (4,559 mi)

1. National Highway System (NHS)(790 mi-18%)

• Turnpikes• Interstates• Select US Routes• Select State Numbered Routes

2. US Routes and State Numbered Routes (2,799 mi – 61%)

3. Unnumbered State Roads (970 mi-21%)

New Hampshire Pavement Conditions: 1996-2016ADDITIONAL $12M PER YEAR NEEDED

1. Influenced by additional ARRA funding

2. 2004 data is not included due to known problems with the data collection vehicle.

Average Price of Asphalt Cement 1992 to 2012

The cost of asphalt cement increased 460% over this period

Diesel, gasoline, road salt increases…..

Statewide Pavement Condition

19 %  good condition - 828 miles 44 %  fair condition - 1,867 miles 37 % poor condition - 1,565 miles $615 million would be needed to bring

all poor condition pavements to good condition (not including drainage, guard rail & bridges)

$3.7 billion is the estimated total value of the state-owned pavements

Pavements are the State’s most valuable asset other than land and bridges

(4,559 total centerline miles 299 unrated)

4,559 MilesThe DOT Maintained road network would stretch

from Concord, NH to Anchorage, AK

Anchorage, AK Concord, NH

A VERY LONG DRIVE!

Anchorage, AK Concord,

NH

Fargo, ND

Lake Watson, Yukon

Would your car survive?

GOOD

FAIR

POOR

Poor Road Conditions

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Pavement Conditions 2000 2010

Red = Poor Condition

Pavement Preservation

Routine surface treatment and wearing surface renewal (perpetual pavement)

Most cost effective way to maintain pavements

Need to apply treatment before distress starts to show

Will free up resources to invest in lower volume roads

“Keep Good Roads Good”

NH Bridge Condition

Red List – Bridges where one or more major structural element is rated as poor condition or worse, or require weight limit posting.

Near Red List – Bridges where one or more major structural element is rated as fair condition.

Good – Bridges where no major structural element is rated as fair or poor.

New Hampshire Red List Bridges

Total Number of State owned bridges in 2011 = 2,143

Additional Investment of $15m per year would repair as many as 10 bridges depending on size and conditions

State Owned Bridges Added and Removed from the Red List

2013 Red List Bridges 145 State Owned Bridges

353 Municipal & Other Owned Bridges

2012: 11 Municipal Bridges Closed

Status and Estimated Costs – State Red List

• Ten Year Plan rehab/replace 98 of the 140 State Red List bridges.

• $680 M (2012 dollars) to rehabilitate or replace the current State Red List bridges.

• 100 State bridges were replaced last 10 yrs. • Current 10-Year Plan, 98 State bridges to be replaced =10/yr.• +200 years to replace all 2,143 State bridges. • $7.82 Billion is the estimated total value of the state-owned

bridges

NHDOT Positions VS DVMT & Lane Miles

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800

1850

1900

1950

2000

Years

# of

Pos

ition

s

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

Dai

ly V

ehic

le M

iles

Trav

el (

DVM

T) &

La

ne M

iles

# of PositionsLane MilesDVMTLinear (DVMT)

VMT 29% increase11% increase lane miles20% less # positions

57% of Staff eligible for retirement in next 5 years

One-time Non-Sustainable Operating Funding

• FY 06-07 Surplus from Highway Fund

• FY 08-09 Bonding $60m

• FY 10-11 Registration Surcharge $90m

I-95 Transfer $50m

• FY 12-13 I-95 Transfer $52m

• FY 14 -15 I-95 Transfer $ 30m

• FY 16 -17 Deficit -$48m & - $105m

In light of the recent Global Competitiveness Report rankings from the World Economic Forum on infrastructure quality which has listed the United States at 25th place—down from 9th place in 2009—such a major disruption to federal transportation investment will produce serious losses that threaten the gradual macroeconomic recovery seen in the last few years.

The Roads toNew Hampshire’s Future

Thank you for coming

December 19, 2013

TONIGHT: iUGO’s Festivus

January 6: Legislative Symposium & Reception

January 8: Business After Hours at Massage Envy ~ Nashua

HAPPY HOLIDAYS!

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