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Address to the Swedish Incubator and Sciences Parks Network, 10 Nov 2008
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Science In PlaceDesigning Spaces for Open, Networked Innovation
Dr. Anthony M. TownsendResearch Director
Institute for the Future
Address to Swedish Incubators and Science Parks (SiSP) Annual MeetingIdeon Science Park, Lund, Sweden
November 10, 2008
Science Parks: A Successful Model
Stanford Industrial Park under construction in 1960
Sophia Antipolis today
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
Responding to Structural Change: Incubators
Source: World Bank infoDev program
The Next Decade and Beyond: Disruptive Forces
Open science
Ubiquitous computingThe rise of biology
Changing intellectual property regimes
Emerging economies moving up value chain
Transdisciplinarity
New financial instruments
Offshore R&D
FORECASTING AT THE INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE
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Institute for the Future
• Independent research organization, based in Silicon Valley • Founded in 1968 by:–Olaf Helmer, inventor of
Delphi method– Paul Baran, packet switching– Jacques Vallee, first
conferencing system on ARPANET
• Celebrating 40 years!
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Institute for the Future:Core Research Programs
10 Year Forecast Technology Horizons
Health Horizons
Methodology• Expert workshops• Ethnography/immersion• Artifacts from the future• Doing it
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Forecast Horizon: From 5-50 Years
Look Back Twice as FarAs You Look Forward
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PARKS:THE NEXT DECADE AND BEYOND
External Forces Shaping the Futurefor Science Parks and Incubators
1) The century of biology2) Lightweight innovation3) R&D goes global4) Science returns to the City
The Century of BiologyFrom the science of energy and matter to the science of life
LIGHTWEIGHT INNOVATIONFROM CLOSED LABS TO OPEN NETWORKS
Lightweight Innovation:New science communities
The Innovation Crisis
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LIGHTWEIGHT INNOVATION:From Closed to Networked R&D
From…
InternalCentralizedCorporate Labs
To…• Venture funds & start-ups• Knowledge spot markets• Contract labs• IP shops• Consumer co-creation• & more…
Open Innovation Leaders: P&G
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Lightweight Innovation:democratized and distributed
Democratized forms• Amateur
renaissance• DIY movement -
open source for hardware
Distributed tools• Cloud
supercomputing• Desktop
fabrication• Backyard biology
R&D GOES GLOBALFROM SCIENCE POWERS TO SCIENCE STARS
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R&D Goes Global
Rise of China and India
“A 2006 survey of 186 of the world's biggest corporations found that 77% of new R&D centers over the next three years will go up in one of these two emerging economic superpowers.”
BusinessWeek10 May 2006
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R&D Goes GlobalWhat Attracts Global Companies to China?
1. Localizing R&D (47%)– Close to emerging markets– Close to manufacturing
2. Lower costs (36%)3. Positioning for Future Innovation– From “brain drain” to “brain circulation”
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growth of new scientific powers
Valencia Science Center, Spain
Hong Kong Science Center
R&D Goes Global:Specialization at Snowpolis
SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY
SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY:Driving Forces
• Better access to “creative class” talent
• New real estate development models
• Mixing and adjacencies to for partnerships and innovation
• Biomedical is clinical
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SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY:New places for R&D
Biopolis | JTC
University Park @ MIT | Forest City
Genentech Hall | UCSF
East River Science Park | Alexandria
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Science Returns to the City:Smart Environments for Social Collaboration
FROM INCUBATORS TO INCUBATION
Future Spaces: Betaworks
Future Signals: Kitchen Budapest
Future Spaces: La Cantine
Future Signals: Phase Z.Ro
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Future Spaces: MIT’s Stata Center
Lessons From Future Spaces
• Need for rapid prototyping• Places for experimentation• Blurring boundaries between business and
non-business functions– Mix uses not just on site, but in labs
• Temporary isn’t bad• Rethink universities and university
partnerships
SCIENCE IN PLACENew Research program of the institute for the future
NEW IFTF RESEARCH PROGRAM in 2009Science In Place: Designing Spaces for Networked Innovation
http://www.iftf.org/innovation
Future of Science Parks Maphttp://zuiprezi.com/prezi/740/view/
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What Does This Mean for Science Parks and Incubators in Sweden?
Some questions to consider:• How are you positioned relative to
long-term growth opportunities?• How do you provide a space for
online, virtual and temporary communities?
• What is unique about your local business environment or talent cluster that can’t be re-created elsewhere?
• How can you extend your model to the broader incubation process?
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