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Israeli Objectives
Political Military
Demonstrate Israel will
Restore quiet
Demilitarize Gaza
Minimize civilian casualities
• Reduce Hamas miliary capabilities:esp. Rockets, tunnels
• Limit casualities/damage inside Israel
Hamas Objectives
Political Military
• Break Isolation/siege
• Free prisoners
• Demonstrate strength/resolve
• Re-establish resistence credentials
Inflict damage on Israel
Miantain rocket firing
Present robust defense agaisnt Israel ground incursion
v Preserve forces
Strategy: Israel
Use air and ground power to compel Hamas to accept quiet
Damage Palestinian military forces and infrastructure with intense air and limites ground operations
Conduct casualty sensitive operations
Conduct media campaign to justify opeartions and limit damge from civilian casualities.
Strategy: Hamas
Conduct sustained rocket firing into the depth of Israel
Disrupt Israel civilian life/economy, inflict damage
Achieve « image of victory »: attack on Israel twon, kill large number of soldiers, hostage taking
Prevent any deep Israeli penetration of Gaza on the ground
Attrite Israeli ground forces
Conduct media campaign to paint Israel as agressor, limit Israeli military activity, end war with favorable terms.
The Rocket/Air War (1)
Rocket forces and operations
Forces Launch Operations Qassam Brigades
PIJ
PRC
Joint operations(Qassam/PIJ)
Sustained fire: 1500 plus rkts, avg about 120 rockets per day
Population center
Deep target
Some military targets, esp close to Gaza border
The Rocket/Air War (2)
Rockets vs Iron DomeIron Dome capabilities: engage threat rockets only
Iron Dome batteries: 10 deployes(3 during conflict)
Intercepts: 300(in first ten days
Accuracy/eefectiveness: claimed 86% of threat rockets
The Rocket/Air War (3)
Israeli air CampaignAir vs the rocket system: production, movement, storage, launchers, launch units.
Air vs the Hamas infrastructure: leadership, C2, weapons storage, combat forces, tunnels
Itotal strikes: 2037 (first 10 days)
Avg per day: 200 plus
The Ground War
Engineering warfareTunnels: 60 plus, infiltration, storage, smuggling, communicationsIEDs: one of Hamas most important defensive measures
Tank vs anti-tank
Close combat: direct fire engagements between troop
Infiltration: into Israel(5 attemps(), inside Gaza, sig Israeli KI
Fire Support: used by both side
Suicide actions: a few
The Media War(1): Israel
Themes Operations
It’s a « terrorist » attack on Israeli civilians
Criticism of operations not justifie
Israel military operations are effective
Israel has many supporters
Info on Hamas attacks on Israeli civilians: rockets, infiltration
Info on « precision » ops, media on Hamas use of civilians as human shields
Release of info on Isreali Strike results: targets hit, damage, casualities
Media releases on demonstrations, statements of support for Israel
The Media War(2): Hamas
Themes Operations
Israel aggression against civilians
Hamas military operations are succeeding
Israeli military operations are failing
The whole world support Hams
Use of Hamas and other media to show civilian casualties/manipulation of social media
Claims of successful opeartions on Hamas and other Palestinian media
Media coverage of CONTINUING Hams military ops, attention to Israeli military casualties
Media coverage of anti-Israeli/pro-Hamas demonstrations
Lessons Learned: Israel
Air power not enough against hardened enemy: Physical and mental
Iron Dome does not completly solve the rocket problem
Significant civilian casualities will occur regardless of the measures taken
Incrementalism in ground ops gives the enemy an advantage
Continuing challenge of urban combat
Tunnels wil be a venue of combat
Don’t neglect the ground forces
Lessons Learned: Hamas
In a crisis, initiate the fighting
Israel is heavily constrained by the civilian population in Gaza
Srocket firing/mil ops can continue even under intense air attack
Media war is crucial
Validation of Hamas theory of combat
Game Changers
Iron Dome: Negating hamas capabilities to cause casualities/damage inside Israel
Hamas close combat capabilities: a significant shock with effects
Tunnels System: creating strategic effectsProtection of military infrastructure/forces against IDFCross border penetration for strategic purposes
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