View
3
Download
0
Category
Preview:
Citation preview
2006 2006 Preliminary BaselinePreliminary Baseline
December 15-16, 2005
Center for Agricultural and Rural DevelopmentCenter for Agricultural and Rural DevelopmentIowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011--10701070
(515) 294(515) 294--6357 http://www.fapri.iastate.edu6357 http://www.fapri.iastate.edu
FAPRIFood and Agricultural
Policy Research Institute
INTERNATIONALINTERNATIONALCROPSCROPS
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357
stokgoz@iastate.edu
Center for Agricultural and Rural DevelopmentCenter for Agricultural and Rural DevelopmentIowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011--10701070
(515) 294(515) 294--6357 http://www.fapri.iastate.edu6357 http://www.fapri.iastate.edu
FAPRIFood and Agricultural
Policy Research Institute
FAPRI 2006 Preliminary Baseline December 15-16, 2005
Growth Rate of Real GDP Growth Rate of Real GDP
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
China Russia Ukraine
Growth Rate of Real GDP Growth Rate of Real GDP
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
Argentina Brazil Mexico
Exchange RateExchange Rate
-0.50
-0.25
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Australia Argentina Canada Brazil China EU
Issues & QuestionsIssues & Questions
China’s import demand Russia and Ukraine’s export potential CanadaAustraliaEU-15 and EU NMS
World Grain PricesWorld Grain Prices
40
80
120
160
200
240
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
US$/mt
Wheat Barley Corn Sorghum
World Grain AreaWorld Grain Area
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum
World Grain UsesWorld Grain Uses
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
kg/p
Food and Other Feed Use Per Capita Food Use
WWHEATHEAT
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357stokgoz@iastate.edu 20062006
OverviewOverview
WorldMajor ExportersMajor Importers
Wheat Price and World AreaWheat Price and World AreaAverage Growth Rate of Price: 1 %Average Growth Rate of Price: 1 %
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
240
245
250
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
230US$/mt
World Area Price (FOB Gulf)
World Wheat Consumption and TradeWorld Wheat Consumption and Trade
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
20
40
60
80
100
120mmt
Wheat Consumption Wheat Net Trade
World Wheat UsesWorld Wheat Uses
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
60
65
70
75
80
85kg/p
Food and Other Feed Use Per Capita Food Consumption
EUEU--25 Wheat Production, Consumption and 25 Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
CAP ReformCAP ReformDecoupling Rate
67% for 2006, 93% for 2007 and onwards
Modulation Rate4% for 2006, 5% for 2007 and onwards
Reduction in Durum Wheat AidElimination of Rye Intervention
EUEU--15 Wheat Production, Consumption and 15 Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
EU Enlargement AssumptionsEU Enlargement AssumptionsTop-up payments
30% through out the projection period
Set-aside rateStarts in 2009
EU NMS Wheat Production, Consumption and EU NMS Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Australia Wheat Production, Consumption and Australia Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
5
10
15
20
25
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Canada Wheat Production, Consumption and Canada Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
5
10
15
20
25
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Argentina Wheat Production, Consumption and Argentina Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Ukraine Wheat Production, Consumption and Ukraine Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Russia Wheat Production, Consumption and Russia Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
China Wheat Production, Consumption and China Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
China Wheat Ending StocksChina Wheat Ending Stocks
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Brazil Wheat Production, Consumption and Brazil Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
CCORNORN
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357stokgoz@iastate.edu 20062006
OverviewOverview
WorldMajor ExportersMajor Importers
Corn Price and World AreaCorn Price and World AreaAverage Growth Rate of Price: 2.4 %Average Growth Rate of Price: 2.4 %
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
US$/mt
World Area Price (FOB Gulf)
World Corn Consumption and TradeWorld Corn Consumption and Trade
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100mmt
Corn Consumption Corn Net Trade
World Corn UsesWorld Corn Uses
0
100
200
300
400
500
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
kg/p
Food and Other Feed Use Per Capita Food Consumption
Argentina Corn Production, Consumption and Argentina Corn Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Brazil Corn Production, Consumption and Brazil Corn Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
South Africa Corn Production, Consumption and South Africa Corn Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
EUEU--25 Corn Production, Consumption and 25 Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
EUEU--15 Corn Production, Consumption and 15 Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
EU NMS Corn Production, Consumption and EU NMS Corn Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Mexico Corn Production, Consumption and Mexico Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Mexico Sorghum Production, Consumption Mexico Sorghum Production, Consumption and Net Importsand Net Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
China Corn Production, Consumption and China Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
China Corn Ending StocksChina Corn Ending Stocks
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
World Corn StockWorld Corn Stock--toto--Use RatioUse Ratio
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
Stock-to-Use Ratio (Adjusted) Stock-to-Use Ratio (World)
Egypt Corn Production, Consumption and Egypt Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Canada Corn Production, Consumption and Canada Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
BBARLEYARLEY
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357stokgoz@iastate.edu 20062006
OverviewOverview
WorldMajor ExportersMajor Importers
Barley Price and World AreaBarley Price and World AreaAverage Growth Rate of Price: 2.5 %Average Growth Rate of Price: 2.5 %
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
US$/mt
World Area Price (Canada Feed)
World Barley Consumption and TradeWorld Barley Consumption and Trade
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-3
2
7
12
17
22mmt
Barley Consumption Barley Net Trade
World Barley UsesWorld Barley Uses
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
kg/p
Food and Other Feed Use Per Capita Food Consumption
Australia Barley Production, Consumption and Australia Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Canada Barley Production, Consumption and Canada Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
EUEU--25 Barley Production, Consumption and 25 Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
EUEU--15 Barley Production, Consumption and 15 Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
EU NMS Production, Consumption and EU NMS Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Russia Barley Production, Consumption and Russia Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Ukraine Barley Production, Consumption and Ukraine Barley Production, Consumption and Net ExportsNet Exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Saudi Arabia Barley Production, Consumption and Saudi Arabia Barley Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
China Barley Production, Consumption and China Barley Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
China Barley Ending StocksChina Barley Ending Stocks
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
SSORGHUMORGHUM
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357stokgoz@iastate.edu 20062006
OverviewOverview
WorldMajor ExportersMajor Importers
Sorghum Price and World AreaSorghum Price and World AreaAverage Growth Rate of Price: 2.5 %Average Growth Rate of Price: 2.5 %
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
US$/mt
World Area Price (FOB Gulf)
World Sorghum Consumption and TradeWorld Sorghum Consumption and Trade
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9mmt
Sorghum Consumption Sorghum Net Trade
Australia Sorghum Production, Consumption Australia Sorghum Production, Consumption and Net Exportsand Net Exports
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Argentina Sorghum Production, Consumption Argentina Sorghum Production, Consumption and Net Exportsand Net Exports
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Exports
Japan Sorghum Production, Consumption Japan Sorghum Production, Consumption and Net Importsand Net Imports
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
World Sorghum Trade World Sorghum Trade -- Market SharesMarket Shares
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
Australia Argentina U.S.
Thank You!Thank You!
WheatWheat Additional GraphsAdditional Graphs
World Wheat Trade World Wheat Trade –– Market SharesMarket Shares
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
EU-15 Argentina Canada Australia U.S.
World Wheat Imports by RegionsWorld Wheat Imports by Regions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Asia Latin America Middle East and Africa
Asian Wheat ImportsAsian Wheat Imports
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
China India Japan South Korea Taiwan Other Asia
Latin American Wheat ImportsLatin American Wheat Imports
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Brazil Mexico Other Latin America
African and Middle Eastern Wheat ImportsAfrican and Middle Eastern Wheat Imports
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Algeria Tunisia Iran Morocco Egypt Other Middle East and Africa
Wheat Yields Wheat Yields –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mt/ha
EU-15 Argentina Canada Australia U.S.
Wheat Yields Wheat Yields –– Selected CountriesSelected Countries
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mt/ha
Brazil China Ukraine Russia
Wheat Area Wheat Area –– MajorMajor CompetitorsCompetitors
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
EU-15 Argentina Canada Australia
Wheat Production Wheat Production –– Major CompetitorsMajor Competitors
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
EU-15 Argentina Canada Australia
Wheat Exports Wheat Exports –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
U.S. Canada Australia Argentina EU-15
Japan Wheat Production, Consumption and Japan Wheat Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Corn Additional GraphsCorn Additional Graphs
World Corn Trade World Corn Trade –– Market SharesMarket Shares
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
U.S. EU New Member States South Africa Argentina
Corn Yields Corn Yields –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mt/ha
EU New Member States Argentina South Africa U.S.
Corn Yields Corn Yields –– Selected CountriesSelected Countries
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mt/ha
China Russia Ukraine Canada
Corn Area Corn Area –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
EU New Member States Argentina South Africa U.S.
Corn Production Corn Production –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
EU New Member States Argentina South Africa U.S.
Corn Exports Corn Exports –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
U.S. EU New Member States South Africa Argentina
Latin American Corn ImportsLatin American Corn Imports
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Brazil Mexico Other Latin America
Middle Eastern and African Corn ImportsMiddle Eastern and African Corn Imports
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Israel Other Middle East Algeria Egypt Other Africa
Asian Corn ImportsAsian Corn Imports
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
China Japan South Korea Taiwan Indonesia Malaysia
Major OECD Corn ImportersMajor OECD Corn Importers
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Japan EU-15 Canada
Japan Corn Production, Consumption and Japan Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Taiwan Corn Production, Consumption and Taiwan Corn Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Barley Additional GraphsBarley Additional Graphs
World Barley Trade World Barley Trade –– Market SharesMarket Shares
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Percent
Australia Canada EU-15 Ukraine
Barley Production Barley Production –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Australia Canada EU-15 Russia Ukraine
Barley Exports Barley Exports –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
-2
2
6
10
14
18
22
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Australia Canada EU-15 Russia Ukraine
Barley Imports by Major ImportersBarley Imports by Major Importers
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Japan China Saudi Arabia
Japan Barley Production, Consumption and Japan Barley Production, Consumption and Net ImportsNet Imports
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
mmt
Consumption Production Net Imports
Sorghum Additional GraphsSorghum Additional Graphs
Sorghum Area Sorghum Area –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Australia Argentina U.S.
Sorghum Yields Sorghum Yields –– Major ExportersMajor Exporters
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Australia Argentina U.S.
Sorghum Imports by Major ImportersSorghum Imports by Major Importers
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Mexico Japan
GRAINSGRAINS
Simla Tokgöz(515) 294-6357stokgoz@iastate.edu 20062006
Argentina Grain ExportsArgentina Grain Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Wheat Corn Sorghum
Argentina Grain AreaArgentina Grain Area
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Wheat Corn Sorghum
Australia Grain ExportsAustralia Grain Exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Wheat Barley Sorghum Corn
Australia Grain AreaAustralia Grain Area
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Wheat Barley Sorghum Corn
Canada Grain ExportsCanada Grain Exports
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Corn Wheat Barley
Canada Grain AreaCanada Grain Area
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Corn Wheat Barley
EUEU--15 Grain Exports15 Grain Exports
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Corn Wheat Barley
EUEU--15 Grain Area15 Grain Area
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Corn Wheat Barley
Brazil Grain ImportsBrazil Grain Imports
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Corn Wheat Barley
Brazil Grain AreaBrazil Grain Area
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Corn Wheat Barley
Mexico Grain ImportsMexico Grain Imports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Wheat Barley Sorghum Corn
Mexico Grain AreaMexico Grain Area
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Wheat Barley Sorghum Corn
China Grain ImportsChina Grain Imports
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Wheat Corn Barley
China Grain AreaChina Grain Area
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mha
Wheat Corn Barley
Japanese Grain ImportsJapanese Grain Imports
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
mmt
Corn Wheat Barley Sorghum
Recommended