7th Annual Conference Programmeepsanet.org/pdfs/EPSA_2017_Programme_Final.pdf7th Annual Conference...

7thAnnualConferenceProgrammeUpdated2017-06-18

PalazzodelleStellineMilan,June22-242017

TableofContents

EPSAOfficersandProgrammeCommittee..........................................................................................4Scheduleincl.meetingsandreception................................................................................................6MapandWifiInformation....................................................................................................................8VenueFloorPlans...............................................................................................................................10Fridayeveningreceptioninformation................................................................................................11ProgrammeGrid.................................................................................................................................12ConferenceProgram..........................................................................................................................13ParticipantIndex................................................................................................................................57

Savethedatefor

The8thAnnualConferenceoftheEuropeanPoliticalScienceAssociation

21th–23thJune2018Vienna

Venue:SchlossSchönbrunn,ViennaAustria

Viennaisknownforitshighqualityoflife.Ina2005studyof127worldcities,theEconomistIntelligenceUnitrankedthecityfirstfortheworld'smostliveablecities.Foreightconsecutiveyears(2009–2016),thehuman-resource-consultingfirmMercerrankedViennafirstinitsannualQualityofLivingsurveyofhundredsofcitiesaroundtheworld.Vienneregularlyranksfirstastheworld'snumber-onedestinationforinternationalcongressesandconventions.ViennaisthefirstconferencelocationtowhichEPSAreturns.

SchlossSchönbrunnwasthesummerresidenceoftheroyalfamilyofHabsburg.Thebuilding,togetherwithitsgardens,iscataloguedontheUNESCO’sworldheritagelist.

EPSAOfficersandProgrammeCommittee

MembersoftheEPSACouncil2017

ElectedMembersOritKedar(HebrewUniversityofJerusalem)HeikeKlüwer(UniversityofHamberg)MaryStegmaier(UniversityofMissouri)IndridiIndridason(UniversityofCaliforniaRiverside)MicaelCastanheira(SolvayBrusselsSchoolofEconomicsandManagement)GailMcElroy(TrinityCollegeDublin)Ex-officioMembers ExecutiveDirector:KenBenoit(LondonSchoolofEconomics)Treasurer/Vice-President:ThomasPlümper(ViennaUniversityofEconomics)ChairofProgrammeCommittee2016:KennethBenoit(LSE)andFabioFranchino(Milan)PSRMEditor:VeraTroeger(UniversityofWarwick)ProgrammeCommittee2017

KennethBenoitandFabioFranchinoOrganizationalassistance:CamillaMariotto

LifetimeMembers

KenBenoit RayDuchThomasPlümper MarkKayserAndrewMartin KasparHansenMichaelLewis-Beck DianaO’BrienJonasBunte CarlHenrikKnutsenDanielButler UlrichSieberer MacartanHumphreys

EPSA2017Schedule

Wednesday

InformalSocialProgramme,Welcomingdrinks,Calicantus,CorteDucale,SforzaCastle(followedbyMusicFestival)............................................................................................................................................18:00–21:00Thursday

RegistrationopensinPalazzoLeStelline......................................................................................................9:00

PanelSession1................................................................................................................................10:00–11:30PanelSession2................................................................................................................................11:45–13:30PanelSession3................................................................................................................................14:00–15:45PanelSession4................................................................................................................................16:00–17:45EPSACouncilMeetingandLunch......................................................................................................12.00–14:00RoundtableonBrexit(VoltaHall)withSaraBinzerHobolt,SimonHix,ThomasKönig,AlbertoMartinelli....................................................................................................18:00–19:00EPSABusinessMeetingandPrize-Giving........................................................................................19:00–19:30(VoltaHall)EPSAPresidentialReception(atthevenue).....................................................................................19:30–21:00WineTasting(advanceticketsrequired)..........................................................................................19:30–21:00Friday

EUPEditorialBoardMeeting(TrainingRoomMarinetti).....................................................................7:30–9:00

Research&PoliticsEditorialBoardMeeting(TrainingRoomMarinetti).............................................9:15-9:45

PSRMEditorialBoardMeetingandLunch(ChagallHall).................................................................12:15–14:00

GESISKlingemannPrizefortheBestCSESScholarship(SolariHall).................................................12:30–13:30

PanelSession5...................................................................................................................................8:15–10:00PanelSession6.................................................................................................................................10:15–12:00PanelSession7.................................................................................................................................12:15–14:00PanelSession8.................................................................................................................................14:15–16:15PanelSession9.................................................................................................................................16:30–18:00KeynoteSpeech:MarioMonti(incollaborationwiththeEmeritusProfessorsAssociation,UniversitàdegliStudidiMilano).....................................................................................................18:45–19:45(AulaMagna,UniversitàdegliStudidiMilano,ViaFestadelPerdono,7,20122Milano)EPSA/PSRMGeneralReception(Ca'Granda,UniversitàdegliStudidiMilano,ViaFestadelPerdono,7,20122Milano).................19:45–21:30

Saturday

ItalianPoliticalScienceReviewEditorialBoardMeeting(TrainingRoomMarinetti).........................9:00–10:30

PanelSession10.................................................................................................................................9:00–10:30PanelSession11...............................................................................................................................10:45–12:30PanelSession12...............................................................................................................................13:15–15:00

BritishJournalofPoliticalScienceEditorialBoardMeeting(ChagallHall)......................................13:15–15:00

PanelSession13...............................................................................................................................15:15–16:45

MilanVenueLocationandDirections

PALAZZODELLESTELLINEcorsoMagenta,61-20123Milano(Italy)

Howtogetthere

Metro:MM1/MM2Cadorna,MM1Conciliazione,MM2S.AmbrogioTreno:FNMStazioneCadornaTram:16-19Bus:50-58-67-94

INFO/T.(+39)0245462.1centroservizi@stelline.it;stelline@stelline.it

FreeInternet/Wi-FiInformation

SSID(NetworkName):EPSA2017Password:MilanEPSA2017NetworkName&Passwordarecasesensitive.Exhibitorsandmeetingrooms

ExhibitorsarelocatedinthecorridorinfrontofAgnesiHall,SanCarloBorromeoHallandSolariHall.

FoodandDrinkatEPSA

Coffeeandsnacks:

• Twocoffeeandsnackstationswillbesetupatthevenueforthedurationoftheconference.

ForlunchanddinnerEPSAdelegatesmayfinddifferentpromotions:

• SelfService“OrtidiLeonardo”.HeretheEPSAdelegateswillenjoyaspecialdiscountof10%onalldishes.

• Restaurant“OrtidiLeonardo”.HeretheEPSAdelegateswillenjoyaspecialdiscountof15%ontheMenualaCarte.

• The"EPSAMENU"intheRestaurant“OrtidiLeonardo”isaprixfixemenucomposedoffirstcourse,secondcourse,dessertanddrinks.TheEPSAMENUcosts€48.

• ThesingledishintheRestaurant“OrtidiLeonardo”isadishservedwithfirstcourse,secondcourse(meat,fishorvegetarian),sidedishanddrinks.Thesingledishcosts€26.

GroundFloor

FirstFloor

Trainingroom1:CacciaDominioniTrainingroom2:CavaliereTrainingroom3:Marinetti

PSRMGeneralReceptionandKeynoteSpeech

UNIVERSITÀDEGLISTUDIDIMILANOViaFestadelPerdono,7-20122Milano

Howtogettherefromtheconferencevenue

Metro:MM1DuomoBus:94Tram:16-19

ProgramScheduleGrid

Thursday Friday Saturday

Room RoomNo. 10:00 11:45 14:00 16:00 08:15 10:15 12:15 14:15 16:30 09:00 10:45 13:15 15:15

VoltaHall(1F) 1 1711 2002 2113 1113 2110 2210 2108 1508 2001 2215 2104 2105 2106

ManzoniHall(1F) 2 1701 1606 1212 2123 1802 2004 2006 1118 2102 2008 1205 1714 1719

LeonardoHall(GF) 3 2120 2103 1109 1502 1607 1511 1911 2009 2007 1505 2003 1114 1713

BramanteHall(GF) 4 1004 1717 1702 1107 1904 1903 1905 1503 2124 1302 1003 1718 1512

SolariHall(GF) 5 1808 1809 1504 1110 1806 1804 GESIS 1112 2119 2121 1507 1108 1102

VerdiHall(1F) 6 2111 1707 1715 1706 1705 1708 1716 1101 1712 1907 1709 1913 1710

PortaHall(1F) 7 1608 1506 1605 1704 1408 1103 1216 1008 1908 1401 1106 1604 1912

ToscaniniHall(1F) 8 1304 1303 1402 1217 1305 1116 1215 1007 1202 1403 1501 2211 1803

SanCarloBorromeoHall(GF) 9 1104 1210 2107 1213 1005 1006 1805 1602 2204 1603 2101 2207 2209

ChagallHall(GF) 10 1902 1201 1703 1801 1105 1204 PSRM 2206 1610 1208 2203 BJPS 1601

AgnesiHall(GF) 11 1002 2116 1909 1906 1203 1206 1301 1910 2115 1406 1214 1001 1207

TrainingRoomCacciaDominioni(1F) 12 2205 2201 2114 1405 1209 1211 1609 1901 2109 1111 1404 1115 2122

TrainingRoomCavaliere(1F) 13 2214 2301 2213 2212 2118 2117 2005 2112 1407 1509 1510 1611

TrainingRoomMarinetti(1F) 14 Council EUP*/R&P* 2208 2216 IPSR

TablecellsdisplaythepanelIDGF=GroundFloor1F=FirstFloor*seescheduleaboveforprecisestartingtimes

PanelsThursday22June10:00–11:30VoltaHall1711UsingExperimentstoUnderstandVotingBehaviorChair:RoyceCarrollDiscussant:TheresaKuhnKristenKaoEllenLustLiseRaknerVote-Buying,Clientelism,andSocialInstitutions:EvidenceFromaConjointExperimentinMalawiDonghyunDannyChoiInstrumentsofControl:PartyLeaderEndorsementsandCandidateSelectioninAfricaAdamHarris,KristenKao,EllenLustTheDeterminantsofLocalandNationalVoteChoiceinMalawiChristopherCarterTheRevenueAdvantageofLocalParties:NaturalExperimentalEvidencefromPeruManzoniHall1701CampaignPoliticsChair:ClaesdeVreeseDiscussant:ZacharyGreeneSebastianJäckle,ThomasMetzandPascalD.KönigOnlyabeautycontest?Appearance-basedeffectsintheelectionstotheUSHouseofRepresentatives2016JuliaSchulte-CloosFoolMeOnce:ViolationsofElectoralIntegrityinDemocraciesanditsEffectsonVotingBehaviorShaunBowlerandToddDonovanEffectsofInformationonAttitudesaboutCampaignFinanceRegulationsJakob-MoritzEberl,KonstantinGlinitzer,VeronikaHeider,SylviaKritzingerandMarkusWagnerFlawedelectionsandyoungvoters’trustindemocracy:Thecaseofthe2016Austrianpresidentialelection

LeonardoHall2120InequalityandRedistributionChair:ManueleCitiDiscussant:LukasLinsiYeonjuLeeOligarchicnetwork,VisibilityofInequalityandToleranceforinequalityJamesE.Alt,SebastianBarfortandDavidDreyerLassenExpectations,Experiences,Updating:TheEffectofWealthandUnemploymentShocksonBeliefs,Preferences,andVotingMichaelM.Bechtel,RomanLiesch,KennethF.ScheveInequalityandRedistributionBehaviorDiogoFerrariTheMediationEffectofPreferencesforRedistributiononPreferencesforCentralizationofPoliticalAuthoritybyPolicyAreaBramanteHall1004StrategicCandidatesChair:RyanJablonskiDiscussant:JuliaPartheymüllerBenoitSYCrutzen,NicolasSahuguetUncontestedprimaries:causesandconsequencesBenoitSYCrutzen,SabineFlamandWeakversusStrongLeadersandIncentivesinPoliticalPartiesThomasBraeuninger,DominicPonattuTheElectoralReturnstoPoliticalExperienceSolariHall1808ParliamentaryCareers1Chair:StefanieBailerDiscussant:WilliamB.HellerMattKerby,FeodorSnagovskyASequenceApproachtoCanadianLegislativeandCabinetCareerPathsTurner-Zwinkels,TomasBailer,StefanieBailerParliamentaryProfessionalizationandtheCompletePoliticalCareersofSwiss,GermanandDutchMPs

MarkusBaumann,HannaBäckandJohanBoDavidssonInlinewiththeparty?Theroleofintra-partypolitics,personalcharacteristics,andgenderinSwedishcabinetappointmentsTobiasBachandJosteinAskimThedriversofministerialselectioninNorwayVerdiHall2111SurveyMethodsChair:DeanLacyDiscussant:NikitasKonstantinidisDeanLacyNonseparablePreferencesExplainOver-TimeInstabilityinSurveyResponsesDanielGingerichandVirginiaOliverosLyingAboutCorruptioninSurveys:EvidencefromaJointResponseModelMikeMedeiros,PatrikÖhberg,BenjaminForestandSpencerPistonGenderedIdeology:TheImpactofBinaryversusNon-BinaryGenderQuestionsonSurveySatisfactioninSweden,CanadaandtheUnitedStates.PatrickMKuhnandNickVivyanContextualization,Self-AffirmationandTurnoutMisreportingPortaHall1608GoodGovernanceandtheEconomyChair:DennisQuinnDiscussant:MarkKayserJasonDavisAffect,AvailabilityHeuristics,andTradeBeliefsDavidMarshallandPatrickBernhagenVenueshiftsandthequalityofgovernment-businessrelations:acomparativestudyofUS,GermanandBritishcorporatepoliticalengagementSamvanNoortTheImportanceofEffectiveStates:StateCapacityandEconomicDevelopmentRuthCarlitz,KristenKao,EllenLust,LiseRakner,andPierreLandryUnpacking“GoodGovernance”:ExploringSubnationalandIntra-CommunityVariationintheQualityofGovernanceinMalawi

EnzeHanandCameronThiesExternalThreats,InternalChallenges,andStateBuildinginEastAsiaToscaniniHall1304MediaPoliticsChair:ChitralekhaBasuDiscussant:JoostvanSpanjeChristianGläßelandKatrinPaulaSometimeslessismore:Mediacensorship,newsfalsification,andprotestin1989EastGermanyLuigiCurini,ThomasHanitzsch,JessicaKunert,SergioSplendore,TimP.VosAnideologicalgap?CitizensandjournalistsinfourcountriesAlanRenwickandJackVowlesTalesofTwoReferendums:ComparingDebateQualityBetweentheNewZealandVotingSystemReferendumandtheBritishAlternativeVoteReferendumChitralekhaBasuTheNewsMediaandVoterResponsestotheFinancialCrisisinBritainSanCarloBorromeoHall1104CoalitionFormationChair:MarikenvanderVeldenDiscussant:DanielaGiannettiOrTuttnauerSupersizeme:howoversizedcoalitionsbenefitjuniorcoalitionpartnersMarikenvanderVeldenTalkisCheap?TheImportanceofInter-PartyCommunicationforCoalitionFormationShaunBowler,JustinFreebourn,JanaGrittersovaandIndridiIndridasonStocks,Bonds,andBargainingDurationChagallHall1902ExplainingConflictChair:SunheeParkDiscussant:SirianneDahlumAltafH.AliIdentifyingConflictEscalationPatternsusingNonparametricBayesianModels

SunheeParkRebelCharacteristicsandBargainingBehaviorAlexChang,Yen-chenTangGunandVotes:TheRoleofanAuthoritarianRegimeinaDemocraticElectionDavidLindseyDiplomacy,AmbassadorialRepresentation,andConflictAgnesiHall1002EnforcingPublicGoodsProvisionChair:Roman-GabrielOlarDiscussantChair:Per-OlofBuschBrentonKenkelPunishLiars,NotFree-RidersAlexiaKatsanidouGesis-LeibnizinstitutefortheSocialScienceRoulaNeziGesis-LeibnizInstitutefortheSocialSciencesGerhardRienerUniversityofDusseldorfPoliticalAttitudesandtheBreakdownofCooperation:EvidencefromaPublic-GoodgameNicholasLyonThejointeffectofgroupsizeandgroupdiversityonpublicgoodsprovision:Evidencefromalab-in-the-fieldexperimentinKenyaMarioChacon,NataliaGarbirasCantheSizeoftheLegislatureImproveBureaucraticEfficiency?EvidencefromColombia'sLocalGovernmentsPer-OlofBusch,HaukeFeil,JanaHeroldundAndreaLieseAssessingtheexpertauthorityofinternationalbureaucraciesTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni2205ThePoliticsofEthnicityChair:TBCDiscussant:AnneroseNisserDanielBochsler,BernardGrofmanTheEffectsofEthnicFragmentationonPartyProliferationRevisited:TheIntermediatingRoleofEthnicPartiesInkenvonBorzyskowski,PatrickMKuhnElectionViolenceandEthnicIdentificationinAfrica

MasaakiHigashijima,ChristianHouleEthnicInequalityandEthnicIdentification:EvidencefromSub-SaharanAfricaMarianaGiusti-RodriguezThePolicyReachofEthnicCleavages:TheImpactofEthnicityonPolicyPreferencesintheAndesTrainingRoomCavaliere2214GlobalizationandAttitudesChair:MiguelCarrerasDiscussant:OliverWesterwinterIgnacioJuradoGlobalizationandSatisfactionwithDemocracyShaunBowlerandMiguelCarrerasEconomicAnxietyandAnti-EstablishmentAttitudesinEuropeAndreaCerrato,FedericoMariaFerrara,FrancescoRuggieriTrumped-UpTrade?ImportCompetitionandtheRiseofProtectionismintheU.S.KaterinaVrablikovaEconomichardship,politicizationandprotestinWesternDemocraciesAndreasDuerandBerndSchlipphakPartycuesandpublicattitudestowardstradeagreements:ThecaseofTTIP

Thursday11:45–13:45VoltaHall2002EuropeanUnionAttitudesChair:ThomasKönigDiscussant:FlorianFoosErikGahnerLarsen,RobertKlemmensenShapingtheEuropeanpublic?TheeffectsofEuropeanunificationonpublicopinionMaurizioFerrera,AlessandroPellegataThelureofnational(re)closure.EUcitizens’attitudestowardaccesstowelfareFabioFranchino,AlessandroPellegataAssessingthemicro-foundationsof“Brexit”andpost-BrexitscenariosTheresaKuhn,AaronKammPublicsupportforaEuropeanUnemploymentBenefitsScheme:CombiningEvidenceofLaboratoryandSurveyExperimentsRobertoPannicoTheeffectoftransformation.Changesinparties'structureandeffectivenessofcuesontheEUManzoniHall1606ImmigrationPoliciesChair:MarcHelblingDiscussant:MichaelMeffertMarcHelblingandDavidLeblangControllingImmigration?VittorioMerolaThePriceofInequality:HowEconomicDifferencesShapeAuthoritarianismandHostilitytowardImmigrantsSophiaWallace,GeoffreyWallacePublicAttitudesTowardstheDREAMAct:ExploringSupportforImmigrationReformSebastianBarfort,SaraB.HoboltVoterPolarizationandConstrainedPoliticalChoice:TheImmigrationIssueKonstantinosMatakos,DominikHangartner,EliasDinas,DimitriosXefterisWakingUptoaGoldenDawn:TheEffectsofExposuretotheRefugeeCrisisonPoliticalAttitudesandSupportforFar-rightParties

LeonardoHall2103MeasurementinInternationalRelationsChair:PhilipSchrodtDiscussant:Svend-ErikSkaaningAndrewKerner,CharlesCrabtreeStatisticalRevisionsandUncertaintyovertheAfricanPoliticalEconomyLukasLinsi,DanielK.MueggeHarmonizedInaccuracy?Inter-NationalEconomicStatisticsintheAgeofGlobalizationPhilipSchrodtPLOVER:AnewframeworkforpoliticaleventdataMichaelColaresi,BaekkwanPark,KevinGreeneAnAutomatedMethodforCodingConsistentHumanRightsScoreswithFewerAssumptionsSebastianZiajaThedemocraticcivilpeacerevisited:assessingthepredictivepowerofpoliticalregimeindicatorsBramanteHall1717EuropeanElectionIssueSpaceChair:EmanuelEmilComanDiscussant:ArthurDyevreLouiseHoonCatch-22:theEuroscepticvoterinatwo-dimensionalideologicalspaceSvenHillen,NilsSteinerLeft-AuthoritariansandVoterTurnoutinWestEuropeanCountriesLauraCabezaWhydo(some)voterstakeintoaccountnationalissueswhencastingvotesinnon-nationalelections?Acomparisonoflocal,regionalandEuropeanelectioninSpainIdaB.HjermitslevPuttingEUontheMap:ChangesinthePoliticalSpaceofPartyCompetitionEmanuelEmilComanRegionalGovernmentsandtheDistributionofFundsfromtheCentralGovernment

SolariHall1809ParliamentaryCareers2Chair:PhilipManowDiscussant:SebastianJäckleWangLeungTingTheeffectofpre-parliamentarycareeronrepresentatives’behaviour:AstudyofBritishMP’stendencytospeakduringparliamentarydebatesSebastianJäckleWhichpathtochoose?TrajectoriesofGermanLänderMinistersTurner-Zwinkels,TomasMills,MelindaPathwaystoPower:TheRoleofHumanCapitalinObtainingMinisterialOfficesDonaldD.Searing,NicholasAllen,GabrieleMagniCareerPoliticians:Motivations,BeliefsandBehaviorVerdiHall1707VoteforChallengerPartiesChair:DenisCohenDiscussant:J.AlexanderBranhamNiklasHarderContextandMotivationinPartyPolitics:Howimportantiselectoralsuccessforpartysurvival?CarlBerning,KaiArzheimerSubnationalContextandSupportfortheRadicalRight:France,Germany,theNetherlands,andtheUKJoostvanSpanje,EliasDinas,BjornBurscherNewPartiesintheNews:TheEffectofNewPartiesEnteringParliamentontheirVisibilityinNewsMediaCoverageJoseFernandez-Albertos,AlexanderKuoEconomicBoomsandBustsandtheriseofanti-establishmentparties:thecaseofPodemosPortaHall1506TheFormationofPartisanshipChair:JanneTukiainenDiscussant:TillWeberLeticiaRuiz-Rodríguez,PatriciaOtero-FelipePatternsofpartycoherenceinLatinAmerica

JaeminShim,KennethMoriMcElwainMulti-levelCleavagesandPartyPoliticsinEastAsiaMathiasPoertnerCreatingPartisans:NewPoliticalPartiesandSocietalLinkagesinYoungDemocraciesAnneroseNisser,MiriamHänniMakeThemCooperate:ExperimentalEvidenceonPoliticians’WillingnesstoEngageinCross-EthnicCooperationTorunDewan,JaakkoMeriläinen,JanneTukiainenMid-VictorianVoting:PartyOrientationandClassAlignmentRevisitedToscaniniHall1303CandidateMessages2Chair:MartinHaselmayerDiscussant:BenoitSYCrutzenCatherineHafer,DimitriLanda,PatrickLeBihanWhoGetstheCredit?News-gatheringcompetitionandpoliticalaccountabilityLauraBronnerStickingtothescript:ExaminingthequalityofpoliticalrepresentationinBritain,1892-1914ScottMatthewsNegationframing:RedefiningissuesbychallengingexistingassociationsLoesAalderingMediatizedleadershipeffectsandthreesourcesofmoderation:theinfluenceoftime,mediaoutletandvotercharacteristicsMartinHaselmayer,LisaHirsch,MarceloJennyLoveisblind:PartisanbiasesintheperceptionofpositiveandnegativepartycommunicationSanCarloBorromeoHall1210PoliticalEconomyofResourcesandDevelopmentChair:CyrusSamiiDiscussant:SamvanNoortLeonardWantchekon,PieroStanigTheCurseofGoodSoil?LandFertility,RoadsandRuralPovertyinAfricaDarinChristensen,AlexandraHartman,CyrusSamiiLandRegimes,CustomaryAuthority,andInvestment:EvidencefromLiberia

DarinChristensen,MaiNguyen,RenardSextonReluctantReformers:HowMyanmar’sMilitaryAttemptstoRetainResourceRentsamidDemocratizationPaulHofman,EstherMokuwa,PaulRichards,MaartenVoorsArepeasantlivelihoodsdamagedbylarge-scaleagrarianlandacquisitions?AcasefromSierraLeoneAlexandraHartman,ChristopherBlattman,RobertBlairHowtopromoteorderandpropertyrightsunderweakruleoflaw:Long-termimpactsofcommunityeducationondisputesandinvestmentChagallHall1201AuthoritarianPoliticsChair:F.DanielHidalgoDiscussant:FranziskaBarbaraKellerBarbaraPiotrowskaReachingtheConverted:theImportanceofPoliticalConvictionintheOperationofAuthoritarianRegimesStephanieDornschneider,AlexanderDukalskisAutocraticlegitimationinAsiaandtheMiddleEast:Howcollectiveactionfailsbeforeitstarts.F.DanielHidalgoPurges:HowDictatorshipsAffectElectoralPoliticsAfterDemocratizationFlorianMHollenbachAutocraticElitesandInvestmentsinPublicGoodsin19thCenturyPrussiaCitiesAgnesiHall2116ThePermanentEurocrisisChair:ThomasSattlerDiscussant:StefanieWalterFrancescoNicoli,SebastiaanWijsmanEurope'sCircularIllnessKonstantinosMyrodiasTheStructuralAdjustmentProgrammesintheEurozone:isitadéjàvu?AidanRegan,SamBrazysThePoliticsofCapitalistDiversityinEurope:ExplainingIreland’sDivergentRecoveryfromtheEuroCrisis

AndrewPeterson,ThomasSattlerPoliticalCommunicationandMacroeconomicStabilizationintheEurozoneLucyBarnes,TimothyHicksPopularAusterityTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni2201NationalIdentityChair:HectorSolazDiscussant:DominikDuellElishevaRosmanAnArmyofPeopleoraPeople'sArmy?MilitaryServiceasanAttempttoBridgeSocialGaps:TheCaseoftheIDFDanielBochsler,MiriamHänniConsociationalOligarchies,andtheTrade-offBetweenPeaceandDemocracyJoan-JosepVallbé,LluísMedirCorrectnessorcoherence?AttributionofresponsibiltyinmultilevelpoliticalsettingsHectorSolazDoesMilitaryServiceIncreaseNationalIdentity?EvidenceFromSpainTrainingRoomCavaliere2301TheNewWorldofPoliticalTheoryChair:ToniRodonDiscussant:TBCToniRodon,MarcSanjaumeTheoriesofJusticeintheLab:howprinciplesshaperedistributionGuyAitchisonRealistdisobedience?Protest,coercionandthelimitsofanappealtojusticeDimitriosPanagosIndigenousPeoplesinNorthAmericaandtheProblemofPoliticalObligationTugceUralerPoliticalTheoryinProgress,ScienceversusPhilosophyThursday22June14:00–15:45VoltaHall

2113MeasuringPolicyPositionsChair:PatrickLeBihanDiscussant:KennethBenoitKyleMarquardt,DanielPemstein,BrigitteSeim,ConstanzaSanhuezaPetrarca,MichaelBernhard,AdamGlynn,StaffanLindbergExpertsversuscrowds:Underwhatcircumstancescancrowd-sourceddatasubstituteforexpert-codeddata?AlexanderHornCrowd-sourcedtextanalysisincomparisonwithexpertjudgementsatdifferentlevelsoftaskcomplexityMartinElffPartyFamiliesBeyondLeftandRight:ContrastingConceptionsofPartyIdeologyLeonceRöthTowardsequivalentpartypositionsonthemarketdimensionChristianAdam,SteffenHurka,XavierFernández-i-Marín,ChristophKnillRestrictivenessofmoralitypolicy:acomparativeassessmentof26countriesthrough50yearsManzoniHall1212IncomeInequalityandtheWelfareStateChair:SantiagoLópezCariboniDiscussant:DavidDreyerLassenLucyM.GoodhartEconomicFundamentsandtheirPoliticalOffspring:TheHollowingoutofAmericanWagesandPreferencesforGovernmentSpendingandServicesNestorCastaneda,DavidDoyle,CassildeSchwartzLabormarkets,taxpreferences,andredistributionindevelopingcountries:experimentalevidenceDavidHopeExplainingcross-countryvariationintheresponseofconsumerstochangesinincomeinequality:Bringinginpolitical-economicinstitutionsTomO'GradyTheroleofpoliticalelitesinloweringsupportforthewelfarestate:evidencefromBritishparliamentaryspeechesfrom1987-2015YaseminIrepogluCarreras

FiscalDecentralization,InteractiveGovernanceandIncomeInequality:AComparativeStudyLeonardoHall1109InformationandBiasChair:EliasDinasDiscussant:JamesE.AltLeonardoBacciniandLucasLeemannInformationandUpdating-HowVotersUpdateBeliefsAfterNaturalDisastersCarloPrato,StephaneWoltonWisdomofCrowds?InformationAggregationandElectoralIncentivesJamesWilhelmIssueVotingintheElectorateDavidAskerandEliasDinasOutsidetheEchoChamber:OnlineOpinionPolarizationthroughMotivatedReasoningOmerYairandRaananSulitzeanu-KenanThePoliticsbehindPerceptionsofPoliticalBiasBramanteHall1702ElectoralInstitutionsandPoliticalOutcomesChair:AlexanderKuoDiscussant:AnthonyMcGannThomasDäublerandLukasRudolphPrimacyeffectsonthecandidatevoteunderopen-listPR:separatingcandidatequalityfromplacementElenaLlaudetVotingforPartiesorforCandidates:DoElectoralInstitutionsMakeaDifference?MichalPierzgalskiSimulatingtheImpactoftheElectoralDistrictMagnitudeontheDisproportionalityinProportionalRepresentationElectionsMihailChiru,MarinaPopescu,IstvanSzekelyRevisitingnewpartysuccess:theroleofelectoralsystemfeaturesandexecutivepoliticsGailMcElroy,StefanMueller,ShaunBowlerCumulativeVoting:HowMonogamousarevoters,whengivenfreerein?SolariHall1504

LegislatorAccountabilityChair:ChristopherKamDiscussant:CraigVoldenDominicNyhuis,MatthiasHennekeandThomasZittelGeographicrepresentationbeyondthedistrictCristinaBucurThePoliticsofLeadershipSelectionandPartyDisciplineinParliamentaryDemocraciesChristopherKam,AnthonyBertelliandAlexanderHeldRethinkingElectoralAccountability:ThePartySystemandtheElectoralFormulaVolpi,ElisaParty-LevelCharacteristicsandPartySwitching:EvidencefromNineWesternEuropeanCountries,1990-2014.DanielM.Butler,AdamG.Hughes,CraigVolden,andAlanE.WisemanDoConstituentsKnowabouttheLawmakingEffectivenessofTheirRepresentatives,andDoTheyCare?VerdiHall1715VotingandTurnoutChair:CarolinaPlesciaDiscussant:NilsSteinerGuidoTiemannAmbiguity,Uncertainty,Risk,andVoteChoice CarolinaPlesciaandFrancescoZucchiniVotingforpolicywhenitmatters:HowgovernmentalternationshapesvoterincentivestoengageincompensationalvotingBrianFlanaganQuasi-exogenousVotingRulesKonstantinKäppnerandSusumuShikanoHabituationorAdaptationinVoting?ModelingmultilevelTurnoutDynamicsbyapplyingLongitudinalItem-ResponseModelstoVoterFileDataRiaIvandicABehavioralVoter:TurnoutandLossAversionPortaHall1605HumanRights

Chair:KerimCanKavakliDiscussant:DanielaBarba-SánchezPetraGuastiandDavidSirokyFailedjustice:ExplainingrejectionfromtheECtHToverspaceandtimeKerimCanKavakliUSPresidentialElectionsandHumanRightsAroundtheWorldKristinM.Bakke,NeilMitchellandHannahSmidtWhenStatesCrackDownonHumanRightsDefendersTanushreeGoyalandSamvanNoortStateCapacityandChildMarriage:evidencefromIndiaMoritzMarbachRefugeesandtheUNSecurityCouncilToscaniniHall1402DomesticActorsandInternationalOrganizationsChair:PatrickBayerDiscussant:JuliaGrayDainaChiba,SongyingFang,XiaojunLiandAtsushiTagoTerritorialIndivisibilityandPublicPreferenceforDisputeResolution:EvidencefromJapanPatrickBayerHowCountryDifferencesMatterforMultilateralAgreementsJonathanA.ChuInternationalOrganizationsandAmericanPublicOpiniononHumanitarianWarNicolaChelotti,NiheerDasandi&SlavaJ.MikhaylovTheSocializationEffectofEUMembershiponForeignPolicyPreferences:EvidencefromDebatesintheUnitedNationsAndreaLiese,Per-OlofBusch,JanaHeroldandHaukeFeilAnyoneconsideringouradvice?StudyingtheinfluenceofinternationalorganizationsaspolicyexpertsSanCarloBorromeoHall2107

PartyPositionsChair:SlavaMikhaylovDiscussant:RobertKlemmensenAndreaDeAngelisLatentIdeologies:anApplicationofBayesianIdealPointEstimationtothestudyofElectoralAvailabilityinEuropeanPartySystems(2009-2014)AmyCatalinacandHikaruYamagishiPartyStrategiesinPost-ElectoralReformJapanMartinGrossandMichaelJankowskiScalingLocalPartyManifestos:ExploringTheoreticalandMethodologicalChallengesAiroHinoandLuigiCuriniSketchingpoliciesfromscratch:Comparingpolicyestimatesbetween‘real’partymanifestosand‘quasi’manifestosbysemi-structuredinterviewsLiamWeeks,SlavaMikhaylov,AlexHerzogandMícheálÓFathartaighMorethanwords?ExplainingtheoriginsoftheIrishpartysystemChagallHall1703GermanElectionsChair:ThomasGschwendDiscussant:ThomasSaalfeldMarkAndreasKayserandArndtLeiningerALänder-basedForecastofthe2017GermanBundestagElectionJuliaPartheymüllerDynamicsofstrategicvotinginGermanelections,2005-2013RolandKappeForecastingthe2017GermanElectionThomasGschwend,SimonMunzert,MarcelNeunhoeffer,SebastianSternberg,LukasStoetzerandSteffenZittlauADynamicForecastingModelforthe2017GermanFederalElectionKaiJägerWhataretheLong-TermEffectsofCampaigning?EvidencefromaNaturalExperimentinGermanyAgnesiHall1909ConflictEscalation

Chair:InkenvonBorzyskowskiDiscussant:DainaChibaLivioDiLonardoDeterrenceandInformationFlowsinCounterterrorismLars-ErikCederman,SimonHug,LiviaSchubiger,FranciscoVillamilFernandezCivilianVictimization,ethnictargetingandconflictescalationKyleMarquardtIdentity,ethnicityandconflict:SocialandpoliticalexclusionandcivilwaronsetAdamScharpfHowofficerbeliefsshapedrepressionduringArgentina's‘DirtyWar’NadiyaKostyuk,GeorgeYinRetaliateorNot?TheoryofcyberdeterrenceTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni2114ApplicationsinQuantitativeMethodsChair:RichardTraunmüllerDiscussant:MariusRadeanJavierRuiz-SolerTwitterasthenewCoffeeHouse?ThemappingoftheEuropeanPoliticalTwittersphereanditssignificancefortheEuropeanPublicSphereViolaAsriandSarmisthaPalHowdoessocialpensionreformaffectelderlycoresidence?PanelevidencefromIndiaEleanorKnottDirectvs.Indirect:MethodsofEverydayNationalisminPoliticalScienceTrainingRoomCavaliere2213CorruptionChair:NoamLupuDiscussant:MatthewS.WintersRabiaMalikTransparency,Elections,andTaxEvasioninPakistanIsabelaMaresandGiancarloViscontiVotingfortheLesserEvil:EvidencefromaConjointExperimentinRomaniaElisabethdeVegaAlavedra

Arecoalitiongovernmentsmore(orless)corruptthansingle-partyones?Awithincountryanalysisofdevelopeddemocracies.MichalPaulusandEvaMichalikovaGravityModelasaPolicyPreferenceMappingTool:EUAnti-BriberyPolicyApplicationLucasNovaesandCarlosVelascoRiveraPublicRewardstoPoliticalBrokers:EvidencefromLocalElectionsinBrazil

Thursday22June16:00–18:00VoltaHall1113SocialMediaandPoliticalCampaignsChair:SebastianPopaDiscussant:PabloBarberáCigdemKentmen-Cin,FundaZ.Savas,andFundaSariciTweetingtheCampaign:Candidates’useofTwitterinthe2015TurkishGeneralElectionsXiaodongZhangSocialMediaPopularityandElectionResults:AStudyofthe2016TaiwaneseGeneralElectionPabloBarberá,JavierLorenzoRodríguezCanexposuretopoliticalnewsonsocialmediachangecitizens'viewsonpoliticalissues,voteintention,andpreferencesovergovernmentcoalitions?AnaS.Cardenal,CarolGalaisandSilviaMajó-VázquezSocialMediaandAgendaSetting:WideningorErodingConsensusonthePublicAgenda?SebastianPopa,DanielaBraunInformingthePublic:PartyandCandidateCommunicationComparedacrossPlatformsManzoniHall2123TextAnalysis:déjàvualloveragainChair:LauraBronnerDiscussant:GijsSchumacherNicolasMerzDopartiescopy-paste?TestingthePartyPolicyDiffusionHypothesiswithaTextreuseApproachVincentArel-BundockandLisaLechnerWritingandRe-WritingInternationalLawArthurSpirlingandMatthewDennyAssessingtheConsequencesofPreprocessingDecisionsMichaelCourtney,MichaelBreen,IainMcMenaminandGemmaMcNultyMulti-LingualTextClassificationandInter-CoderReliability

ZoltánFazekasandJurajMedzihorskyUsingTextFeaturestoEnhanceInter-CoderReliabilityLeonardoHall1502CoalitionPoliciesChair:DianaBurlacuDiscussant:Jae-JaeSpoonHeikeKlüverandHannaBäckPolicypayoffallocationinmultipartycabinets:EvidencefromaquantitativecontentanalysisofcoalitionagreementsinWesternandEasternEuropePatrickDumont,AlbertFalcó-Gimeno,IndridiH.IndridasonandDanielBischofPiecesofthePuzzle:CoalitionFormationandPreferenceCompatibilityChristineS.LipsmeyerandMalloryE.ComptonOccasionalWatchdogsorCoalitionPork?Oversight,Policymaking,andCoalitionBargainingMariaThürkMinorityGovernanceandLegislativeSupportCoalitions-WhoinfluencesPolicyChange?DespinaAlexiadouandJudeHaysAppointingMinisterstoMultipartyCabinetsBramanteHall1107EconomicandStrategicVotingDiscussant:GuidoTiemannChair:RobJohnsTarikAbou-ChadiandMarkKayserLuxuryGoodsVotingandMultipartyCompetitionFrançoisGélineau,MathieuTurgeon,YannickDufresneTheIndividualandInstitutionalDeterminantsofElectoralAccountabilityinFourLatinAmericanFederalRegimesTomokoMatsumotoandKennethMcElwainDeflationandGovernmentApprovalAndrewC.EggersandNickVivyanWhovotesstrategically?

SolariHall1110ProtestBehaviourChair:NathalieGigerDiscussant:FriederikeLuiseKelleJordiMuñoz,EvaAnduizaProtestandriots:ANaturalExperimentontheEffectofViolentTacticsonPopularSupportforProtestMovements.MiquelPellicer,EvaWegnerandAlexanderDeJuanEfficacy,BlameAttribution,andProtestScope:FindingsfromasurveyexperimentinSouthAfricaTheofanisExadaktylos,RoulaNeziandIoannisKonstantinidisAcceptanceofausteritypolicies:evidencefromasurveyexperimentinGreeceNathalieGigerandJulianBernauerPopulistRepresentation:ConceptualizingtheSubstanceofPopulisminEuropefromtheVoters’PerspectiveEvaAnduizaandCamiloCristanchoTurnoutandexpectedturnoutinprotesteventsVerdiHall1706TheElectoralandPoliticalEffectsofCorruptionChair:MiriamGoldenDiscussant:CatherinedeVriesMarkoKlasnja,NoamLupuandJoshuaTuckerWhenDoVotersSanctionCorruptPoliticians?TheresaKuhnCorruptionandsupportfordecentralizationMarkBuntaine,RyanJablonski,PaulaPickering,DanNielsonInformation,voterturnoutandstrategicaccountabilityinelectoralautocraciesLaiaBalcells,ElenaCostasPerez,CatherineE.DeVries,AinaGallego,HectorSolazThepoliticallegacyofcorruptionIsabelaMaresandLaurenYoungTheelectoralevaluationofnonprogrammaticstrategies:evidencefromEasternEurope

PortaHall1704Newadvancesinissue-basedexplanationstopartyandvotingbehaviorChair:HenrikBechSeebergDiscussant:ZacharyGreeneStefaanWalgrave,AnkeTreschandJonasLefevereAComparisonofSalienceandProximitymodelsofVoting:EvidencefromBelgiumandSwitzerlandDanielBischofandMarkusWagnerDoPartiesLeadorFollowPublicOpinion?HenrikBechSeeberg“Theyarestealingourissue!”PartycommunicationandthedynamicsofissueownershipZacharyGreeneCompetingoncompetence:HowthescopeofcampaignmessagesstructurecompetenceevaluationsToscaniniHall1217UnionsandInterestRepresentationChair:LineRennwaldDiscussant:NadjaMosimannNuveYazganDivergentResponsestoAusterity:ComparingTradeUnions’intheGreekandIrishCasesDanielStegmueller,MichaelBecherandKonstantinKäppnerLocalUnionOrganizationandthe(In-)EqualityofDistrict-levelRepresentationintheUSCongressNadjaMosimannTradeUnionMembership,RedistributionSupportandPartyChoiceElinHaugsgjerdAllern,TimBale,SimonOtjesandAnneRasmussenInstitutionalizedAccesstoGovernment:ExaminingtheConnectionbetweenCorporatismandParty-InterestGroupRelationshipsLineRennwaldandJonasPontussonShouldIstayorshouldIgonow?HowsocialclassandunionmembershipconditionsthepropensityofvoterstoabandonmainstreamLeftpartiesatthebeginningofthe21stcentury

SanCarloBorromeoHall1213DemocracyandDevelopmentChair:DarinChristensenDiscussant:PieroStanigMarioA.Maggioni,DomenicoRossignoliandMarcoColagrossiTakingstockofdemocracyandgrowth:anewmeta-analysisSusumuAnnakaandMasaakiHigashijimaDemocratizationandHumanDevelopmentTroyS.BroderstadAmeta-analysisofincomeanddemocracyFlorianReicheModernizationRevisited:TheCaseofsub-SaharanAfricaChagallHall1801EmpoweringLegislatorsChair:DanielHöhmannDiscussant:MichaelJankowskiTomLouwerseTheBlurringofOpposition:MeasuringGovernment-OppositionRelationsinParliamentAlexandraCirone,BrendavanCoppenolleBridgingtheGap:Lottery-basedProceduresinEarlyParliamentarizationJonathanB.SlapinandJustinH.KirklandLegislativeSpeechandRebellion:EmphasizingDissentorExplainingVotesValentinSchröderandPhilipManowTheEndisnotNigh:CabinetStabilityandtheRoleoftheGovernmentinGermanLegislation,1890-2005JochenRehmertBehavioralConsequencesofOpenCandidateRecruitmentAgnesiHall1906ConfictModerationChair:KerimCanKavakliDiscussant:Nils-ChristianBormann�GeraldSchneiderandPatrickWeberHowUnifiedtoMakeSanctionsWork?Unilateralvs.MultilateralEconomicStatecraft

SabineCarey,BelénGonzálezHowtoimprovehumanrightsinpost-conflictsettings:TheroleofaccountabilityMwitaChachaandSzymonStojekOilandthePropensityofBiasedCivilWarInterventionsTatjanaStankovic,VibekeWøienHansenandJonHoviTheDynamicsofCivilWarPeaceNegotiationsandtheDurationofPeaceCharlotteFiedlerTheeffectsofspecificelementsofdemocracyonpeaceTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1405ThePursuitofConflictChair:ManuelVogtDiscussant:BerndBeberLinhTongWhydidthePhilippinepivottoChina?DiscourseanalysisofthePhilippineForeignpolicythroughPresidentDuterte’sspeechesManuelVogtColonialism,EliteNetworks,andtheOriginsofEthnicPower-SharingLisaHultmanandSabineOttoProtectionofCivilians:TheLong-termEffectsofUNPeacekeepingOperationsRuiAsanoEndogenousPeacebyPeacekeepers?PeacekeepingOperationandConflictRelapseTrainingRoomCavaliere2212ImmigrationandIntegrationChair:SarahJ.Cormack-PattonDiscussant:RomainLachatLucilaFigueroa,RachelGillum,NiklasHarder,JensHainmueller,DominikHangartner,DavidD.Laitin,DuncanLawrenceMeasuringImmigrantIntegrationVolhaCharnyshandLeonidPeisakhinRoleofParentsandPeerNetworksintheTransmissionofPoliticalIdentities:ANaturalExperiment

JudithSpirigAlongtheTracks:HowtheImmigrationofYugoslavianSeasonalWorkersImpactedonTheirNewHometownsDominikHangartnerandLukasSchmidMigration,Language,andEmploymentMirandaSimon,CassildeSchwartz,DavidHudson,andShaneJohnsonImmigrationPolicyandMigrationDynamics:ExperimentalEvidenceontheImpactofInformation

Friday23June8:15-10:00VoltaHall2110CausalityChair:AlrikThiemDiscussant:DominikHangartnerMichaelAklinandPatrickBayerHowCanWeEstimatetheEffectivenessofInstitutions?SolvingthePost-TreatmentversusOmittedVariableBiasDilemmaPaulKellstedtandMarkPickupEquationBalanceinTimeSeriesAnalysis:WhatitisandWhyitMattersLukeKeele,RandyStevensonCausalInteractionandEffectModification:SameModel,DifferentConceptsManzoniHall1802LegislatorBehaviorChair:JurajMedzihorskyDiscussant:ChristopherKamKamilMarcinkiewiczandMaryStegmaierParliamentaryActivitiesandPreferenceVoteShares:TheElectoralImportanceofSpeechesZsófiaPappPorkbarrelpoliticsanditselectoralbenefitsinamixed-membersystemSiljeSynnøveLyderHermansenandAndrejaPeganAbattleforresources:PersonalparliamentaryassistantsandpartycontrolAronBuzogányPolicyExpertiseandPolicyResponsiveness:TheCaseofEnvironmentalPolicyLeonardoHall1607DemocracyandDemocratizationChair:AmuitzGarmendiaMadariagaDiscussant:CarlHenrikKnutsenCarlHenrikKnutsen,JanTeorell,AgnesCornell,JohnGerring,HaakonGjerløw,Svend-ErikSkaaning,ToreWig,DanielZiblatt,KyleMarquardt,DanPemstein,BrigitteZimmermannWaranddemocratizationinthe“long19thcentury”:IntroducingtheHistoricalVarietiesofDemocracyDataset

Svend-ErikSkaaningDifferentTypesofDataandMeasurementValidityClaudiaZucca,FabrizioBiondiThePeople’sJury:MeasuringPartyCompetitionwithaNetworkModelingApproachTomokoMatsumotoandTetsujiOkazakiEliteContinuityandMobilityoverPhasesofDemocratizationBramanteHall1904RepressionandBehaviourChair:LaurenE.YoungDiscussant:AnitaGohdesSebastianSchutteandConstantinRuheRevenge,prejudice,andauthoritarianthinking:studyingtheindividual-levelconsequencesofpoliticalviolenceinongoingconflictsBenjaminLaughlinRefugeeCascadesandtheSpatialSpilloverofFleeinginCivilWarMarinaPetrovaDifferentiatingTypesofStateRepressionandDissentIncidenceLaurenE.YoungVariationincitizenreactionstorepressionandthepotentialformassmobilizationunderautocracySolariHall1806PoliticalControlChair:ScottMoserDiscussant:PhilippKökerJonathanLewallen,andScottMoserHousesinMotion:BicameralismandPartisanCoordinationEmilyU.Schilling,TracyL.OsbornMajorityoftheMajority:IntegratingCriticalMassandPartyControlThomasSaalfeld,PatrickEnglish,LucasGeeseandCarstenSchwemmerIstherea‘WestminsterBubble’:and,ifso,why?GiovannaInvernizziScandalintheLab:ExperimentalEvidenceonHowVotersReacttoPublicSignals

VerdiHall1705Thedeterminantsofthevote:Economics,socialidentitiesorideologicalperceptions?Chair:MarkusWagnerDiscussant:ThomasGschwendStephenQuinlanandMartinOkolikjPatrimonialeconomicvoting:across-nationalanalysisofwealth’simpactonthevoteRuthDassonnevilleandHannaWassIt’sthesocialidentitiesandpartisanloyalties,stupid?ThebasesforvotechoiceinEuropeEricGuntermannandMikaelPerssonIncomeDistributionsandtheRelativeRepresentationofRichandPoorCitizensBojanTodosijevicDirectionalandproximitymodelsofpartypreferencesinacross-nationalcontextPortaHall1408ProtestChair:PeterGrandDiscussant:EvaAnduizaNilsB.WeidmannandEspenGeelmuydenRødTheInternetandMassProtestinAutocraciesFriederikeLuiseKelleChangewecanbelievein:OntheRoleofReligioninDemandsforSelf-DeterminationKanaInataProtest,Counter-protest,andEndogenousInstitutionalisationofProtestGroupToscaniniHall1305AnalysisofMediaCoverageChair:RebeccaGlazierDiscussant:NathanielBeckAmberBoydstun,JessicaFeezellandRebeccaGlazierExperimentalAnalysisofFramingunderDifferentialTerrorismConditionsAndreaDeAngelisandAlessandroVecchiatoATestofMediaCaptureUsingUnsupervisedTechniques

MarkDavidNiemanandElenaLabzinaIdentifyingandUnderstandingtheUseofState-ControlledMedia:AMachine-learningApproachFlorianBader,AndreasBlätteChangeofmoods?WelcomeCulture,PopulistPartiesandhatecrimes:MediareportinginGermanyinthecourseoftherefugeecrisis.SanCarloBorromeoHall1005PublicGoodsChair:JohnPattyDiscussant:ThomasBraeuningerKiraProninandJonathanWoonPublicDeliberation,PrivateCommunication,andCollectiveChoiceJohnPattyandElizabethMaggiePennPreferencesOverRepresentativesSu-HyunLeeEthnicDiversity,PoliticalInstitutions,andPublicGoodsProvisionMarkusTepeandChristineProkopAdvocatingthepublicgood?Comparingstudentsofpublicadministration,economicsandlawinapublicgoodsgamewithandwithoutpunishmentChagallHall1105CorruptioninElectionsChair:HeikoGieblerDiscussant:NataschaNeudorferMiguelR.RuedaandNelsonA.Ruiz-GuarinPoliticalAgency,ElectionQuality,andCorruptionRebeccaWeitz-Shapiro,MatthewS.WintersPoliticalSophisticationandReactionstoPoliticalCorruptionHeikoGieblerThelimitsofaccountability:partisanbiasesintheevaluationofpoliticalscandalsSofiaBreitensteinChoosingthecrook:Aconjointexperimenttoassessunderwhatconditionsvoterssupportcorruptpoliticians

AgnesiHall1203Compliance,RedistributionandTaxationChair:LucyM.GoodhartDiscussant:KarstenDonnayIdaBastiaensandLauraSeelkopfTaxAidCurse?InternationalAssistance,Taxation,andtheInformalSectorIreneMenendezExplainingsupportfornon-contributorysocialpolicy:evidencefromArgentinaArminvonSchillerandSarahBerensManyreasonsto‘not’comply:HowgovernmentcorruptionandweakstatecapacityerodethefiscalcontractinSub-SaharanAfricaLópezCariboni,SantiagoPoliticalfoundationsofelectricitylossesandtheft:evidencefromsurveyexperimentsandtime-seriescross-sectiondatainLatinAmericaTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1209PoliticalEconomyandGovernanceinChinaChair:WenfangTangDiscussant:EnzeHanXinSunPoliticizedEnforcement,AuthoritarianStyle:EvidencefromtheEnforcementofLandRegulationsinChinaChuyuLiu,YueHouandCharlesCrabtreeReligiousDiscriminationinChina’sLaborMarket:AFieldExperimentSarahEatonandRezaHasmathHowSuccessfularetheChineseCommunistParty'sLegitimationStrategies?PublicOpinionaboutStateCapitalisminChinaVictorShihCoalitionsoftheWeak:ManipulatingEliteSelectorateandItsConsequencesinChinaTrainingRoomCavaliere2118ThePoliticalEconomyofCrimeChair:AndreaColomboDiscussant:SamMyersMarcelaIbáñezdeFoersterLet’s(Not)GetHigh!EstimatingtheEffectofDrugDecriminalization

JasperJackCooperCanCommunityPolicingExpandStateCapacity?ArandomizedevaluationofthecommunityauxiliarypoliceinBougainville,PapuaNewGuineaAndreaColomboandIlanTojerowPublicgoodunderappointedversuselectedmayors:EvidenceaboutcriminalityinBelgiumFilippoBoeriandRogerVicquéryInstitutionalChange,SocialCapitalandtheMarketforPrivateProtection:AnEmpiricalAnalysisoftheRiseofSicilianMafia.

Friday23June10:15–12:00VoltaHall2210ThePoliticsofGender2Chair:LucasM.NovaesDiscussant:FabrizioGilardiNataschaNeudorferSex,SystemorBoth?AdvancingthedebateontherelationshipbetweengenderandcorruptionlookingatsurveydatainGhanaToreWig,SirianneDahlumFemalePoliticalEmpowermentandInternalArmedConflictTopiHulkkonen,TuomasTakaloandJanneTukiainenGenderSpecificRelativeAgeEffectsinPoliticsandSoccerPatrickKraftWomenAlsoKnowStuff:ChallengingtheGenderGapinPoliticalSophisticationManzoniHall2004BrexitChair:RaymondDuchDiscussant:SaraB.HoboltRosalindShorrocksandRoosmarijndeGeusBrexitandtheGenerationalGapinEUSupport:ACross-NationalPerspectiveMarcoDiCataldoTheimpactofEUobjective1fundsonregionaldevelopment:EvidencefromtheUKandtheprospectofBrexitSaraHobolt,ThomasLeeperandJamesTilley.SocialIdentityCuesandPolicyPreferences:AnexperimentalstudyofattitudestowardsBrexitKennethBenoitandAkitakaMatsuoTheBrexitDebatethroughSocialMedia:Topics,Arguments,andAttitudes

LeonardoHall1511DimensionalityandPartyCompetitionChair:NathalieGigerDiscussant:AndreaDeAngelisNikitasKonstantinidisToSplitorNottoSplit?AnIntra-PartyBargainingModelofMulti-partyElectoralCompetitionRoyceCarrollandHirokiKuboTheSourcesofComplexity:MeasuringandExplainingtheDimensionalityofIdeologicalandPartyPerceptionsNathalieGigerandSimonLanzTheconsequencesofamultidimensionalpoliticalspaceforissueownershipvotingBramanteHall1903GeographyandConflictChair:ShokoKohamaDiscussant:ToreWigEspenGeelmuydenRød,ToreWig,MihaiCroicuStreetstoRevolution:UrbanGeographyandMassProtestinAutocraciesShokoKohama,KazutoOhtsuki,andYasutakaTominagaBombingandMininginWar:EvidencefromCambodiaKaiGehring,LennartKaplanandMelvinWongGeocodedAidandConflict-MechanismsandcausalityInkenvonBorzyskowski,MichaelWahman(Election)ViolenceData:BiasesandPitfallsSolariHall1804LegislatorsandtheirConstituentsChair:RetoWuestDiscussant:EnriqueHernándezJackBlumenauDoE-PetitionsWork?AFieldExperimentintheHouseofCommonsJonasPontussonandRetoWuestDoCitizensPreferAffluentRepresentatives?

GabrieleMagniandZoilaPoncedeLeonElectoralRules,Gender,andLegislators’Responsiveness:FieldExperimentsfromEuropeandLatinAmericaMarioChacon,JeffreyJensen,andSidakGebreYntisoTheEffectsofPoliticalRepresentationonRacialMinorities:EvidencefromtheUSReconstructionPeriodVerdiHall1708ElectoralFraudChair:KatrinPaulaDiscussant:IsabelaMaresKatrinPaulaandMaschaRauschenbachElectoralClientelismandVoterIntimidationSvitlanaChernykhTheDilemmaofElectoralComplianceDanielBerlinerandJoachimWehnerAuditsandAccountabilityinSouthAfricaGianmarcoDanieleandGemmaDipoppaMafia,ElectionsandViolenceagainstPoliticiansPortaHall1103ClimateChangeChair:ConstantineBoussalisDiscussant:RutgerHagenRutgerHagenandChristopheCrombezBattlingClimateChange,RevisitingGlobalPublicGoods;HowaSuccessfulCoalitioncanbeBuiltandMaintainedLenaSchafferClimatechangepolicyincrises?NationaleconomicconditionsandpartisanpoliticsThomasBernauerandLiamF.McGrathWhyDoCitizensSupportUnilateralClimatePolicy?LukasFesenfeldandThomasBernauerInvestigatingpublicsupportforclimatefoodpolicies

ToscaniniHall1116LegitimacyChair:TomClarkDiscussant:GeraldSchneiderJonC.RogowskiandAndrewR.StoneDrainingthe"ReservoirofGoodwill"?LegitimacyandtheU.S.SupremeCourtNominationProcessAdrianaBuneaLegitimacythroughtargetedtransparency?ExaminingthedemocraticlegitimacyandpolicyeffectivenessoftheEU'slobbyingregulationregime.MartinoMaggettiandPhilippTreinDoestheEUsucceedinpromotingmorepolicycoordinationatthenationallevel?AcomparativeanalysisofthirteencountriesandfourpolicysectorsArthurDyevre,NicolasLampachTheChoiceforEurope:JudicialBehaviourandLegalIntegrationintheEuropeanUnionJulieHassingNielsenTheImpactofDemocratiSizeonInternalEfficacy:DenmarkandtheUSSanCarloBorromeoHall1006PerspectivesonPresidentialismChair:AndrewG.LongDiscussant:JonathanKlinglerRobertS.EriksonandTillWeberVoiceandBalancinginUSCongressionalElectionsGleasonJudd,LawrenceS.RothenbergDoesitPaytoTinkerwithaRelic?AndrewG.LongPresidentialSystems,Information,andCrisisBargainingPhilippKökerVetoPowerbutnotVetoPlayer?Determinantsofpresidents’legislativevetopowerbeyondoverridemajorities

ChagallHall1204MonetaryPoliticsChair:VytautasKuokštisDiscussant:LucyM.GoodhartDennisQuinnandStephenWeymouthThePoliticalOriginsofExchangeRateValuationsJonasMarkgrafandGuillermoRosasDoPubliclyOwnedBanksGivePoliticiansanElectoralAdvantage?EvidencefromGermanelections.JørgenBølstadNotSoSimilarAfterAll:OnNon-ConvergenceintheEurozoneJuliaGray,NicoleBaerg,JakobWillischTheyCouldHaveBeenContenders:APower-SharingExplanationforCentralBankIndependenceinTransitionCountriesAgnesiHall1206PoliticsofCapitalOwnershipChair:KatharinaPfaffDiscussant:JamesR.HollyerElsaMassocWhendobanksdowhatgovernmentstellthemto?AcomparativestudyoftheGreeksovereigncrisismanagementinFranceandGermanyin2010KatharinaPfaffandAlejandroQuirozFloresATheoryofExpropriationofDomesticCapitalUnderDemocracyTabeaPalmtag,TobiasRommelandStefanieWalterGlobalizationandProtest-HowTradeandForeignDirectInvestmentAffectPublicProtestinRussiaJamesR.Hollyer,B.PeterRosendorff,JamesRaymondVreelandFirm-LevelInvestmentDecisionsandGovernmentTransparencyTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1211TradePoliticsChair:SooYeonKimDiscussant:FedericoMariaFerraraTysonChatagnier,HaeyongLimDoestheWTOExacerbateInternationalConflict?

PadraigCarmody,NiheerDasandiandSlavaMikhaylovHowChina“MadeAmericaGreatAgain”:TheParadoxicalImpactofChineseTradeonAfricanForeignPolicyPositionsSooYeonKim,GabrieleSpilkerFirms,GlobalValueChains,andComplianceinWTODisputesTrainingRoomCavaliere2117ImmigrationandPopulismChair:MarioChaconDiscussant:RolandKappeAlbanaShehaj,AdrianJ.Shin,RonaldF.InglehartImmigrationandRight-WingPopulism:AnOriginStorySeikiTanaka,FrancesRosenbluth,andRiekoKageManufacturingMulticulturalism:TheEconomicUnderpinningsofPro-ImmigrationAttitudesRolandKappeMediaattention,partypositioningandpublicsupportforright-wingpopulistparties:Theemergenceofthe“AlternativefürDeutschland”(AfD)partyinGermanyJeremyFerwerdaandDominikHangartnerLocalWelfareBenefitsandImmigrantSettlement:EvidencefromSwitzerland

Friday23June12:15–14:00VoltaHall2108AdvancesinSurveyMethodsChair:ScottCookDiscussant:HolgerReinermannBrettCarterandErinBaggottCarterAutocratsandtheirLobbyists:ThePoliticsofForeignInfluenceScottCook,BetsabeBlas,RaymondCarroll,SamiranSinhaSampleSelectionBiasinBinary-OutcomeDataDanielPemsteinandBrigitteSeimAnchoringVignettesandItemResponseTheoryinCross-NationalExpertSurveysManzoniHall2006SupportfortheEUChair:PhilippTreinDiscussant:HyeonhoHahmAlexanderGeislerUsingalatentvariableapproachwithmultipleindicatorsformodelingdiffusepublicsupportfortheEuropeanUnionRubenRuiz-RufinoSoniaAlonsoSupporttomainstreampartiesintheEurozoneafterthefinancialcrisisJulianSchuesslerDoestheEUsuccessfullybuysupport?Evidencefromaregression-discontinuitydesignEliasDinas,IgnacioJurado,NikitasKonstantinidisandStefanieWalterKeepingtheeuroatanycost?ExplainingpreferencesforeuromembershipinGreeceLeonardoHall1911CivilWarsChair:JulianWucherpfennigDiscussant:TatjanaStankovicMichaelColaresiandLoraDiBlasiSPII:ANewDatasetMeasuringNationalSecurityOversightinDemocracies

Nils-ChristianBormann,JonathanCinnamon,StaceyHyndDoNightlightsEmissionsEnlighten?ExploringtheeffectoflocaleconomicconditionsonviolenceagainstciviliansduringcivilwarWakakoMaekawaEstimatingPreferencesofNon-StateActorsFenjaSøndergaardMøllerPerformancelegitimacyandconflicteventsinAfricanprovincesBramanteHall1905Trade,ResourcesandViolenceChair:RananKupermanDiscussant:SooYeonKimSaraMcLaughlinMitchellDamsinGlobalContext:ConflictInducingoraPathtoPeace?ChristopherK.Butler,ScottGates,HaavardMokleivNygaard,andSiriAasRustadForcesofDarkness:Proto-states,armedconflict,andresourceallocationJuliaGrayAimingTooHigh:SecurityExplanationsfortheImplementationGapinInternationalEconomicOrganizationsRananKupermanAnanalysisofthedebatebetweentwoperspectivesofliberalpeaceSolariHall1805LegislativeTiesChair:JenniferHayesClarkDiscussant:TomLouwerseDanielRubensonandPeterLoewenDoesTellingLegislatorsWhatTheirConstituentsThinkLeadtoBetterRepresentation?JenniferHayesClark,MichelleBelcoandSavannahSipoleDividedWeStandoverImmigrationReform:RollCallorVoiceVotingintheU.S.CongressSarahAnderson,DanielButler,andLaurelHarbridgeYongBeyondPolarization:VotersasObstaclestoLegislativeCompromise

ThomasKönig,NickLin,andKatsunoriSekiChallengingGovernments:CommitteeLeadershipandtheRoleoftheOppositioninParliamentaryDemocraciesVerdiHall1716AdvancesinElectoralResearchChair:ConstanzaSanhuezaPetrarcaDiscussant:JoseFernandez-AlbertosPeterGrandExploringtheRegionofAcceptability.WhenDoVotersDeviatefromTheirDirectionalVotingPredictions?LeandroDeMagalhaes,SalomoHirvonenMulti-OfficeIncumbencyAdvantage:PoliticalCareersinBrazilNicolaMartocchiaDiodatiIsItOnlyYouandMe?ExplainingPartyCompetitioninWesternEuropeSince1995KonstantinosMatakosandDimitriosXefterisItisnot(only)theeconomystupid!EthnicidentityheterogeneityandredistributiveoutcomesintheUSPortaHall1216RedistributivePoliticsChair:SiljaHäusermannDiscussant:EricGuntermannMariaCarreriandEdoardoTesoEconomicRecessionsandCongressionalPreferencesforRedistributionKlausArmingeonandDavidWeisstannerEducationpremiumsasasourceofinequality:TheroleofregulativeandredistributivepoliciesHyeonSeokParkHouseholddebtsandPoliticalEconomyofTaxationafterthecrisisof2008ToscaniniHall1215CentralBanksChair:SebastianDellepianeDiscussant:DennisQuinnVytautasKuokštisManufacturingandExchangeRateChoicesinDevelopedCountries

ManuelaMoschellaandLucaPintoToconcentrateortodisperse?WhycountriesdelegatemacroprudentialresponsibilitiestocentralbanksSebastianDellepianeCredibleCommitmentandtheMakingofMonetaryInstitutionsAgnesiHall1301AuthoritarianRegimesandMediaChair:SarahBerensDiscussant:Wen-chinWuHannahS.ChapmanShoringUpAutocracy:ParticipatoryTechnologiesandRegimeSupportinPutin'sRussiaBlakeMillerCensorshipWithoutDeletion:How"Shadow-Banning"onSinaWeiboHidesCensorshipfromUsersFranziskaBarbaraKellerandSergeySanovichPublicappearancesofpoliticalelitesinopaqueregimes-thecasesofChinaandtheSovietUnion

TrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1609GenderandGovernmentChair:GuyGrossmanDiscussant:ElenaFrechGuyGrossman,KristinMichelitchandAnaGarciaHernandezWhenGenderGapsareGoodandBad:AssessingSubstantiveRepresentationandLegislativePerformanceamongUgandanPoliticiansKuniakiNemotoTheEffectofaGenderQuotaonFemaleLegislators’SubstantiveRepresentationinEastAsianDemocracySelinaHofstetterEmpoweringWomen-TheEconomicImpactofEnfranchisementinADirectDemocracyTamakiOhmura,StefanieBailerYouthparties:equalizingorreinforcingthegenderimbalance?

TrainingRoomCavaliere2005EuroskepticismChair:KatrinAuelDiscussant:FedraNegriChristopherJ.WilliamsBankingonIdentifiers:HowDoesStrengthofPartyIdentificationInfluenceResponsivenesstoEuroskepticismSofiaVasilopoulouandLiisaTalvingIssue-basedEuroscepticism:voterattitudesonEUfreedomofmovementKatrinAuelTheGood,TheBadorTheUgly?EuroscepticParliamentaryActorsintheMediaTillHeinsohnandMartinSchultzeTheshort-termdynamicsofEuroscepticism.ThreeFormsofCampaignCommunicationunderReviewConstantinSchäferShiftHappens?ExplainingGrowingEuroscepticismwithaShiftinIndividualValuesTrainingRoomMarinetti2208PoliticsofNon-DiscriminationChair:AlexandraSiegelDiscussant:KarineVanderStraetenSaurabhPantMobViolenceandtheLackofTerror:TheCaseofIndianMuslimsRikhilR.BhavnaniandAlexanderM.LeeTheDownstreamEffectsofAffirmativeActioninaBureaucracy:EvidencefromaNaturalExperimentinIndiaRandyBescoDiscriminationandPoliticalParticipation:ACross-nationalTestAlexandraSiegel,JoshuaTuckerandJonathanNaglerTweetingBeyondTahrir:IdeologicalDiversityandPoliticalToleranceinEgyptianTwitterNetworks

Friday23June14:15–16:15VoltaHall1508PartySystemsChair:JonH.FivaDiscussant:OritKedarLorenzoDeSioandTillWeberIssueYieldandPartySystemChange:ModelingtheStrategicIntegrationofNewlyEmergingIssuesintoPartyPlatformsValentinoLarcineseCoordinationwithouttheparty:electoralandlegislativeconsequencesofthe“GentiloniPact”inItalyPamelaBan,AlexanderFouiranaies,AndrewB.HallandJamesM.Snyder,Jr.TheDeclineofAmericanPartyOrganizationsFlorianFoosandDanielBischofFederalismandPartySystemFragmentation:OntheUnintendedConsequencesofIncreasingDecentralizationGaryW.Cox,JonH.Fiva,DanielM.SmithParties,Legislators,andtheOriginsofProportionalRepresentationManzoniHall1118ThePoliticsofPoliticalIssuesChair:JohannaWillmannDiscussant:MaryStegmaierJohannaWillmannThestructureofpoliticalattitudesinEuropeKojiYamamotoEstimatingEffectofChangeinPolicyPreferenceonChangeinVotingIntentionOverTime:Micro-foundationforTheoriesofParties'MoveEricGuntermann,MikaelPerssonandMikaelGilljamPolicyVotingandtheRepresentationofPolicyPreferencesAndrewPhilips,ChristineLipsmeyer,andGuyD.WhittenLookOverThere.Where?ACompositionalApproachtotheModelingofPublicOpinionontheMostImportantProblem

MathieuTurgeonandPhilipHabelUnderstandingtheRolesofPrejudice,Ideology,andSelf-InterestinPoliticalAttitudestowardAffirmativeActionPoliciesinBrazilLeonardoHall2009EUDecision-MakingChair:MauritsJ.MeijersDiscussant:BjørnHøylandMartijnHuysmansHeterogeneity,vetoesandexitclausesin(con)federalsystems,withanapplicationtotheEuropeanUnion’sArticle50NilsRingeandStevenLloydWilsonSignalingInfluenceandLeadershipSelectionintheEuropeanParliamentHyeonhoHahmHowtoDesign:AConjointAnalysisofAttitudestowardstheEUDecision-MakingProcessMauritsJ.Meijers,HarmenvanderVeerIssueCompetitionover‘DemocraticBacksliding’:MEPResponsestothe‘IlliberalTurn’inCentralandEasternEuropeErikavanElsas,AndreasGoldbergandClaesdeVreeseEUissuevotingandthe2014EPelectioncampaign:adynamicperspectiveBramanteHall1503CoalitionVotingandTerminationChair:SylviaKritzingerDiscussant:FrancescoZucchiniCarolinaPlesciaandSylviaKritzingerIntra-cabinetandintra-partyconflictandretrospectivevotingMichaelLewis-Beck,RoniLehrerandAndreasMurrHowWiseAreCrowds?HeikeKlüverandJae-JaeSpoonCoalitiongovernmentsandpartycompetition:TheelectoralimplicationsofministerialportfoliosSvenjaKraussControlmechanismsincoalitiongovernments:Howcross-partisanjuniorministersinfluencecabinetstability

EdMorgan-Jones,MatthewLovelessConstitutionalRulesandDemocraticEvaluations:Doconstitutionalrulesgoverningearlyelectioncallingshapeperceptionsofdemocraticquality?SolariHall1112PoliticalPolarizationChair:DamienBolDiscussant:AlbertFalcó-GimenoNiheerDasandi,SlavaMikhaylov,andCalebPomeroyPersistentPolarizationintheUnitedNationsPaulC.BauerConceptualizingandMeasuringPolarizationJohannesSchmittandSimonT.FranzmannMeasuringIdeologicalPolarizationinPartySystems:AnEvaluationoftheConceptandtheIndicatorsRyanBakker,ChristopherHare,RobertN.Lupton,andKeithT.PooleCrowdedCoalitions:HowDemographics,Ideology,andIssuePrioritiesDivideandSustaintheContemporaryAmericanPartiesVerdiHall1101Trade-offsinPreferencesoverDistributivePoliciesChair:PaulMarxDiscussant:CatherinedeVriesandHectorSolazSiljaHäusermann,ThomasKurer,DeniseTraberThePoliticsofTrade-offs:StudyingtheDynamicsofWelfareStateReformwithConjointExperimentsCameronBallard-RosaandKennethSchevePublicPreferencesintheUnitedKingdomforTaxProgressivityPaulMarxAnti-elitepartiesandpoliticalinequality:howchallengestothepoliticalmainstreamreduceincomegapsininternalefficacyPieroStanigandPaoloBelardinelliAltruism,LinkedFate,andPreferencesforRedistribution

PortaHall1008TheEffectsofPoliticalInstitutionsChair:ThomasJensenDiscussant:KenShottsEricDickson,SanfordGordon,andGregoryHuberProfilingintheLab:HowGroupTargetingbyLawEnforcementAffectsLegitimacyandComplianceTiberiuDraguandXiaochenFanTheStrategyofRepressionThomasJensenandThomasMarkussenModelingthe“DividendofDemocracy”EllenHoltmaatCompany-staterelationsinglobalgovernance:Privatestandards,marketconcentration,andapoliticaleconomyofexportsMatiasNunezandDimitriosXefterisUnanimousImplementation:AcaseforApprovalMechanismsToscaniniHall1007CommitteeDecision-MakingChair:CherylSchonhardt-BaileyDiscussant:NickLinJanSauermann,PaulBeckmannAnExperimentalStudyofVotingbyVetoCherylSchonhardt-BaileyDoActionsSpeakLouderthanWords?NonverbalCommunicationinParliamentaryOversightCommitteeHearingsMoritzMarbachandTilkoSwalveSafeSecrets?VotingRulesandInformationinCommitteesofRepresentativesDavidM.Willumsen,PatrikÖhbergWhogoeswhere?Committeeassignmentinstrong-partysettings.ZacharyGreeneandJavierSajuriaAgendaSettingandIntra-PartyDeliberation:Whogetsrepresentedatpartynationalmeetings?

SanCarloBorromeoHall1602GenderedRepresentation:PoliticsandPoliciesChair:ElenaFrechDiscussant:SelinaHofstetterAudingaBaltrunaite,AlessandraCasarico,PaolaProfetaandGiuliaSavioLetthevoterschoosewomenFabrizioGilardi,OliverDlabacSpillovereffectsinwomen'spoliticalrepresentationLucasM.NovaesTheExitTrap:GenderDifferencesinPoliticalPerseveranceMaciejA.Górecki,MichaelJankowskiIdentifyingbehaviouraleffectsofaffirmativeaction:ElectoralgenderquotasinanunrestrictiveinstitutionalcontextEva-MariaEuchnerandElenaFrechDebunkingaMyth:Arefemale"quotaMEPs"lessactive?ChagallHall2206ImmigrationandIntegrationChair:JeffreyJensenDiscussant:ConradZillerSebastianJäckle,PascalD.KönigTheeffectsofspatialandtemporalinfluencesonanti-refugeeviolenceMariaGrassoGenerationsandattitudestoimmigrationinWesternEuropeEvaRaschkeThePoliticalIntegrationofImmigrantsPaulineJonesandMaikoIsabelleHellerTheEffectofState-ChurchRelationsonVoterAttitudesTowardImmigrationConradZillerPublicResponsetoEconomicProgressofImmigrants

AgnesiHall1910NewApproachestoConflictResearchChair:SabineCareyDiscussant:ScottGatesKiyotakaYasuiTakingVotersSeriously:ElectoralCyclesofAudienceCostsKazuhiroObayashi,RentaroIidaandJonathanLewisHowLegislaturesDiscussViolence:TheCaseofNigeriaSabineCareyandAnitaGohdesExplainingthekillingofjournalistsbystateagentsJuliaGrayandRaymondHicks'SoWeSendThemPlanesandRifles':TradePatternsintheSpanishCivilWarErinBaggottCarterSmallEventsinHighPoliticsTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1901EthnicConflictChair:AlexandraScaccoDiscussant:MaxSchaubLudovicoAlcorta,JeroenSmitsandHaleySwedlundTherootsofsocialconflict-adyadicanalysisofgrievancesandhorizontalinequalitiesAleksandraZdebandDanielBochslerCross-bordertiesorpolygamy?Thefragileinterplayofexternalkin-staterelationsanddomesticpoliticalautonomyCharityButcherCross-BorderEthnicandReligiousAffinity:ANewDatasetAlexandraScaccoandShanaWarrenCanSocialContactReducePrejudiceandDiscrimination?EvidencefromaFieldExperimentinNigeria

TrainingRoomCavaliere2112TheSpatialAnalysisofPoliticsChair:KevinA.ClarkeDiscussant:LaronWilliamsDainaChibaItTakesTwotoTango:StatisticalModelsforDyadicDatainConflictResearchTimWegenastandMarioKrauserAGeospatialAnalysisoftheEffectsofNaturalResourceOwnershiponSocio-EconomicGrievancesJulianWucherpfennig,PhilippHunzikerAModelforCapturingVariationinSusceptibilitytoSpatialDiffusionMariusRadeanTailoredConfidenceIntervals:ComputingCustomizedCIstoIndicateSignificanceofDifferenceBetweenTwoPointEstimates

Friday23June16:30–18:15VoltaHall2001EuropeanIntegrationandRepresentationChair:GailMcElroyDiscussant:SimonHugMiriamSoraceTheEuropeanParliamenthasaRepresentativeInequalityProblem:VoterEducationandLegislativeResponsivenessintheEP7KatjanaGattermannMediatedpersonalizationofEuropeanUnionpolitics:Explainingpatternsinbroadsheetcoverage,1992-2016ManueleCitiandMogensK.JustesenRedistributivePoliticsinaPoliticalUnion:TheCaseoftheEULaszloBrusztNauroFCamposDeepEconomicIntegrationandStateCapacity:TheCaseoftheEasternEnlargementoftheEuropeanUnionManzoniHall2102PoliticalRhetoric:MeasurementandMethodChair:HeikeKlüwerDiscussant:LeonceRöthGiovannaIannantuoni,ElenaManzoniandFrancescaRossiDoindividualeheterogeneityandspatialcorrelationmatter?AninnovativeapproachtothecharacterisationoftheEuropeanpoliticalspaceSebastianJuhlDynamicPartyPositionsandReciprocalSpatialDependencies:AnalyzingMultipartyCompetitionintheGermanParliamentarySystemUsingRoll-CallVotesChristopherKam,Sven-OliverProkschParliamentaryRhetoricandObstruction:EvidencefromGermanyandCanadaJamesSanders,GiulioLisiandCherylSchonhardt-BaileyWordsandArgumentsinParliamentarySelectCommitteeHearings:HowdoWeEstablishRobustnessinTextualDataAnalysis?

AndreaCeronandZacharyGreeneVerbavolant,scriptamanent?PartyconferencesandIntra-partycohesioninItalyandFranceLeonardoHall2007IssuesinEUGovernanceChair:ThomasKönigDiscussant:AdrianaBuneaPhilippevanGruisenandChristopheCrombezIfyouwanttogofast,goalone.Ifyouwanttogofar,gotogether:TrioPresidenciesintheCounciloftheEUAmieKreppelandBuketOztasThePaternityofPolicyintheEuropeanUnion:TheOriginsoftheCommission'sWorkProgramPrioritiesPhilippBroniecki,LukasObholzerandChristineRehBargainingsuccessintheCounciloftheEU:theimpactofsalienceandimpatienceinlegislativedecision-makingJamesP.CrossandDerekGreeneLeadingorfollowing?CapturingandExplainingthePolicyAgendaoftheEuropeanCommissionbetween1985and2016.ThomasKönig Stillthecenturyofintergovernmentalism?PartisanIdeology,Two-levelBargainsandInformalGovernanceinthePost-MaastrichtEraBramanteHall2124SurveyExperimentsChair:NickVivyanDiscussant:TimothyHicksDavidJ.HendryPreferenceFalsification,CoalitionalPsychology,andthePersistenceofNormsHolgerReinermannAsurveyexperimentonthecontentsandunderstandingoftheleft-rightdimensionSeonghuiLeeTheOriginsofConfidenceinPoliticalKnowledgeKorhanKoçakSequentialUpdating

SonkeEhretLanguage,EmpathyandRedistributiveDecisionMakingSolariHall2119FiscalPoliticsChair:LauraSeelkopfDiscussant:KennethScheveChristopherGandrudandMarkHallerbergWhoDeterminesFiscalValue?:StatisticalagencyautonomyandthefiscalvalueofmemberstatepoliciesintheEuropeanUnionJulianL.Garritzmann,HannaKleiderandLeonceRoethPartiesandEducationPolicyinMulti-LevelSystems:TheEffectsofRegionalGovernmentsandRegionalAuthorityonRegionalEducationSpendingin245Regionsin15OECDCountriesovertwodecadesPavithraSuryanarayanandStevenWhiteSlavery,Reconstruction,andFiscalCapacityintheAmericanSouthPhilippGenschelandLauraSeelkopfPathwaystothetaxstate:timing,sequenceandrevenueVerdiHall1712VoteforChallengerParties1Chair:EvaWegnerDiscussant:ThomasDäublerDenisCohenBetweenStrategyandProtest:HowIdeology,PoliticalDisaffectionandStrategicIncentivesMatterforRadicalRightVotingFabianG.NeunerandChristopherWratilIsItPopulartoBePopulist?TheSocialDesirabilityofPopulistAttitudesElena-CristinaMitrea,MonikaMühlböck,JuliaWarmuthFallingtotheright?FearofsocioeconomicdeclineandpoliticalattitudesCatherinedeVries,SaraB.HoboltChallengingthemainstreamonEuropeanintegrationandimmigration

PortaHall1908PoliticalRadicalizationandTerrorismChair:RobertA.HuberDiscussant:AnnaGetmanskyMilanObaidi,RobinBergh,JimSidaniusandLotteThomsenTheMistreatmentofMyPeople:Victimization-by-proxyandBehavioralIntentionstoCommitterrorismSaraPoloandJulianWucherpfennigRefugeesandtheSpreadofTerrorism:NewDataandAnalysesAlbertFalcó-Gimeno,JordiMuñozandRobertoPannicoThepoliticalconsequencesofterrorism:EvidencefromnaturalexperimentsKaterinaTertytchnayaTerrorism,Counterterrorism,andDemocraticReversalsToscaniniHall1202CompetenceChair:DanielRubensonDiscussant:EricDicksonSebastianFehrlerandMoritzJanasDelegationtoaCommitteeJohnPattyandDanielRubensonATheoryofSprezzatura:SignalingwithMultidimensionalTypesEnriqueHernándezShouldYouSacrificeYourConstituents?MoralDilemmasandtheEvaluationsofPoliticiansAgnesBrenderandKatharinaPfaffTheeffectofleader’smilitarybackgroundonarmsimportsSanCarloBorromeoHall2204RepresentationChair:LawrenceS.RothenbergDiscussant:HeikoGieblerRumildaCanete,JosepaMiquel-Florensa,StephaneStraub,KarineVanderStraetenOpen/ClosedlistsandInformationonvotesforcorruptpoliticians:EvidencefromavotingexperimentinParaguay

LeslieSchwindt-BayerandMathiasTromborgConstituentDemandandLegislativeRepresentationJ.AlexanderBranham,MikaelGilljamandMikaelPerssonPublicOpinion,EliteOpinion,andPolicyOutputsAndersRavikJupskås,Ann-KristinKöllnandJonathanPolkPerformingDemocraticLinkage?TheRoleofPartyMembersintheScandinavianCountriesNoamLupu,NicholasCarnesWhatDoVotersThinkAbouttheDescriptiveUnderrepresentationoftheWorkingClass?ChagallHall1610EnvironmentalPoliticsChair:JohnKennyDiscussant:MariaGrassoAlfonsoSanchezClimatechange,landdegradationandcommunalviolenceVallyKoubi,GabrieleSpilker,LenaSchaffer,andTobiasBöhmeltEnvironmentalchangeandmigration:AdaptationpossibilitiesversustrappedpopulationsJohnKennyEnvironmentalRecession:TheEffectoftheGreatRecessiononSupportforEnvironmentalProtectionConstantineBoussalis,TravisCoan,andMiryaR.HolmanIsClimateChangeontheUrbanAgenda?ALarge-scaleAnalysisofU.S.CitiesAgnesiHall2115NetworksinPoliticsChair:LucasLeemannDiscussant:JoachimWehnerBrettV.Benson,KristopherRamsayCharacterizingtheGlobalSmallArmsTradeNetworkAnneSchäferPoliticalTalkandElectoralVolatilityinComparativePerspective

DavidSzakonyiPrincelingsandPoliticalRentsOlgaChyzhNetworkAnalysisUsingaLocalStructureGraphModel:ApplicationtoAllianceFormationTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni2109QCAChair:KevinA.ClarkeDiscussant:LukeKeeleShoNiikawaTowardsamethodologicalpluralism:AsettheoreticalreviewofcoalitionstudiesAlrikThiemAPhantomMenace:RandomData,ModelSpecificationandCausalInferenceinQualitativeComparativeAnalysisMarkusB.SiewertMappingConfigurationalComparativeMethodsintheSocialSciencesKevinA.ClarkeSetTheory,Statistics,andQCATrainingRoomCavaliere1407GlobalCapitalChair:AlejandroQuirozFloresDiscussant:JamesHollyerHendrikPlatteWhenDisasterStrikes--HowDiasporasAffectEmergencyAidFlowsAmyPondLaborandInvestmentPolicy:InflowLiberalizationandOutflowRestrictionsBarryMaydomMigrantRemittancesandPoliticalParticipationTrainingRoomMarinetti2216CasesofIdentityChair:EbubekirIsikDiscussant:MichaelNicholsonIbrahimKhatibIdentity,ConflictPerception,DemocraticValuesandReconciliation:ArabIsraeliconflictasacasestudy

S.ErdemAytaç,AliÇarkoğlu,andErikNisbetDriversofAnti-AmericanisminaMuslim-MajorityCountry:EvidencefromaSurveyExperimentinTurkeyEbubekirIsikIdeologicalPositioning“Stateless”NationalistandRegionalistParties(SNRPs)Nexus:Thecaseofthepro-KurdishDemocraticPeople’sParty(HDP)inTurkeyRudabehShahidSocialCapitalFormationintheBengali-speakingMuslimCommunitiesinThreeIndianBorderStates

Saturday24June9:00-10:30VoltaHall2215AdvancesinPoliticalSociologyChair:ThomasKurerDiscussant:DavidWillumsenIngridGrosseUrban-rurallifesatisfaction:acloserlookintoEuropeandAsiaSabrinaJ.MayerandMartinSchultzeMultiplepartyidentifications,politicalinvolvementandcrosspressures:ResultsfromarepresentativesurveyinGermanyThomasKurerThedecliningmiddle:PoliticalreactionstooccupationalchangeTheresaGesslerandJuliaSchulte-CloosDynamicsofCulturalProtestfromtheNewLeftandtheNewRightAchimGoerresandHayfatHamidouThePhysicalCorrelatesofPoliticalEliteMembership:ComparingtheHealthandFitnessofElectedPoliticianswiththeGeneralPublicinGermanyManzoniHall2008EUIntegrationChair:AmieKreppelDiscussant:FrancescAmatPirminBundiandMichaelA.StrebelDoestheNatureofaPolicyMatter?APolicy-CentredApproachtoEuropeanIntegrationDominikSchraffTheFreeMovementofPeopleandPublicSupportforEuropeanIntegration:APanelStudyonLaborMarketCompetitionKatharinaHolzingerandThomasMalangPoliticalEconomyofDifferentiatedIntegration:TheCaseofCommonAgriculturalPolicyGeraldSchneiderSchengen-Dublin:Theregimethatwasn´tthereStefanoRonchiWhySpendonSocialInvestment?Comparingpoliticalandstructuraldeterminantsofsocial

investmentreformsintheEUthroughthecrisistimeLeonardoHall1505Pledges,Policies,andCuesChair:PetiaKostadinovaDiscussant:KatjanaGattermannRosaM.NavarreteandMarcDebusDoregionalprimariesaffectparty’sideologicalcongruence?DavidBarrettEvaluatingtheElectoralimpactofPartyCohesionintheBritishLabourParty:ANewspaperApproachPetiaKostadinovaElectionpromisesinthespotlight:howthevisibilityofpartypledgesinthemediafacilitatestheirfulfilmentLuigiMariniRedPartiesandBlueParties.ThePoliticsofPartyColours:UseandPerceptionofNon-VerbalCuesofIdeologyBramanteHall1302CandidateMessages1Chair:AndrewLittleDiscussant:PhilipHabelAndrewLittleandSherifNasserUnbelievableLiesJasonEichorst,NickLin,andMoritzOsnabrüggeElectoralSystemandtheStyleofLegislativeSpeechSaschaGöbelandSimonMunzertCloakedcampaigning:PoliticiansintheWikipediamarketplaceofinformationAndreaCeronandSergioSplendoreTheTwittersphereandtheinformedTwittersphereinthe2016Italianconstitutionalreferendumdebate.Wholeads,whofollows?MonicaAnnaGiovannielloEchoChambers:Voter-to-VoterCommunicationandPoliticalCompetition

SolariHall2121WelfareStateChair:DianaBurlacuDiscussant:JonathanPolkDianaBurlacuPublicopinionandpolicyreforms.AlongitudinalanalysisMacarenaAresChangingjobs,changingparties?Alongitudinalanalysisofintra-generationalclassmobilityandpartypreferencesJonathanChapmanDemocraticreformandoppositiontogovernmentexpenditure:evidencefromnineteenth-centuryBritainEvgeniaJaneKitaevichandAlbanaShehajBulletsandBlessings:EffectsofProtractedConflictsonDistributivePoliticsinDevelopingStatesLukasFerversEconomicMiracle,PoliticalDisatster?PoliticalandSocialConsequencesoftheHartz-ReformsVerdiHall1907CivilWarandViolenceChair:JohannesVüllersDiscussant:VallyKoubiEgorLazarevLawsinConflict:LegaciesofWarandLegalPluralisminChechnyaJohannesVüllersandRomanKrtschRaiseYourVoices!TheOccurrenceofNon-ViolentActioninCivilWarsRichardTraunmüller,SaraKijewskiandMarkusFreitagTheSilentVictimsofWartimeSexualViolence.EvidencefromaListExperimentinSriLankaS.P.HarishandRisaTohaWhyTargetCandidates,NotVoters:Pre-ElectionViolenceinIndonesiaSerenaMerrinoBeyondtheHandshake:agametheoreticapproachtocomplianceissuesandpoliticalviolenceduringpeaceprocesses

PortaHall1401BecomingRepressiveChair:CyrusSamiiDiscussant:RobertoFoaAnjaNeundorf,NatashaEzrow,JohannesGerschewski,Roman-GabrielOlar,andRosalindShorrocksThelegacyofauthoritarianregimesondemocraticcitizenship:Aglobalanalysisofauthoritarianindoctrination,repressionandpublic-goodprovisionRoman-GabrielOlarPeerpressureorpeerlearning?DiffusionofrepressioninauthoritarianregimesDanielaBarba-SánchezHumanRightsViolationsunderNewDemocraciesFightingCriminalViolenceCarloHorzandMoritzMarbachEconomicInequality,Emigration,andAuthoritarianRepressionTobiasRommelForeignDirectInvestmentandCitizenSupportforAutocraticRuleToscaniniHall1403InternationalAgreementsChair:MariaelisaEpifanioDiscussant:VincentArel-BundockXinyuanDai,ColbyHess,andEvangelineReynoldsWhereisDepthversusParticipationTradeoff?YoramHaftelandStephanieHofmannTwoisaCrowd?OrganizationalOverlapamongRegionalEconomicandSecurityOrganizationsCristinaBodeaMichiganStateUniversityandFangjinYeShanghaiUniversityofFinanceandEconomicsBilateralInvestmentTreaties(BITs):TheGlobalInvestmentRegimeandIncomeInequalityinDevelopingCountriesMariaelisaEpifanioRatificationofUNAnti-drugsconventions:someselectedconsequencesCristinaBodea,FangjinYeDoesbilateralinvestmenttreaties(BITs)increasefiscaldeficitindevelopingcountries?

SanCarloBorromeoHall1603GenderRepresentation:CaseStudiesandComparativePerspectivesChair:DaphnevanderPasDiscussant:MaciejA.GóreckiAnnaGwiazda‘WomeninBlack’asVetoPlayers:TheSubstantiveRepresentationofWomeninPolandDeeGoddardEnteringtheMen’sDomain:GenderandPortfolioAllocationinEuropeanGovernmentsSarahDinglerRecruitmentproceduresofPoliticalPartiesinEurope:Bottlenecktowomen’srepresentation?LisaKeenanGenderdifferencesinpoliticalcareerprogression:evidencefromtheRepublicofIrelandChagallHall1208InformationandPoliticalBehaviorinAfricanPoliticsChair:MaschaRauschenbachDiscussant:RoundRobinJ.AndrewHarrisandPeterVanderWindtTheMaterialConstraintstoParticipation:ExperimentalEvidencefromKenyaGuyGrossman,NickEubank,MelinaPlatas-IzamaandJonathanRoddenSocialNetworks,Clientelism,andStrategicVotingSoerenHenn,LauraPaler,WilsonPrichard,CyrusSamiiandRaulSanchezdelaSierraOnthemechanicsofkleptocraticstates:FieldexperimentalevidencefromtheCongoJenniferM.Larson,JanetI.LewisandPedroRodríguezFromChattertoAction:HowSocialNetworksInformandMotivateinRuralUgandaKellyZhangVoterPessimismandPoliticianCorruption:ExperimentalEvidencefromKenya

AgnesiHall1406PeaceKeepingChair:ElioAmicarelliDiscussant:HenryPascoeColinKraininKristopherWRamsayWhoWinsThePeace?Elites,Citizens,andtheDecisionforWarRebeccaA.GlazierReligionandPeacemakingBerndBeberEstimatingacausaleffectofUNpeacekeepingonlocalsecurityChristineBell,RobertForsterandSanjaBadanjakInclusivityandSecurityinPeaceagreements:newdatasetandapplicationElioAmicarelliandJessicaDiSalvatoreIntroducingthePeacekeepingOperationsCorpus(PKOC)TrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1111PreferencesforRedistributionChair:ManuelSchwaningerDiscussant:SantiagoLópezCariboniGabrieleMagniWho“Deserves”WelfareSupportinTimesofCrisis?ExperimentalEvidencefromItalyNadjaWehlAtypicalEmployment,JobInsecurity,andSocialPolicyAttitudes:TestingtheMediationHypothesisVerenaFetscherRedistributiondespiteInsurance?ThesocialpolicydesignandpreferencesforredistributionManuelSchwaningerConditionalAltruisminBilateralBargainingOlgaGriaznovaSelf-interestandredistributionpreferences.Relativenatureoftheeffects

TrainingRoomCavaliere1509PopulistPartiesChair:SophiaHungerDiscussant:SilviaDecadriChristina-MarieJuenDoIssuesReallyMatter?TheSuccessofRight-WingPopulistPartiesinWesternEurope.DaniloSeraniThespiralofdistrustmechanism:apanelanalysisoftheassociationbetweenpoliticaldistrustandvotingforpopulistpartiesinthe2015parliamentaryelectionsinSpainFedraNegriWhenPopulismandEuroscepticismmeet:developingaspatialmodeltoexplainthetwo-facedpopulistcontagioninEurope(1999-2016).SophiaHungerIdentifyingpopulistdiscoursestrategiesinEurope

Saturday24June10:45–13:00VoltaHall2104RobustnessTestsinComparativePoliticsChair:EricNeumayerDiscussant:PaulKellstedtLaronWilliamsStatisticalnightmareofcausalfeedback’:howspatialeconometricmodelsimproveempiricalevaluationsofformalmodelsofpartycompetitionVeraE.TroegerTheSensitivityofWeakInstrumentsRaymondDuchRobustnessofExperimentalResultsRichardTraunmüllerandThomasPlümperASimpleTruthaboutExpertDisagreementManzoniHall1205PoliticalEconomyoftheEconomicVoteChair:ScottCookDiscussant:ScottCookMarkKayserandLiamMcGrathThelongshadowoftheopposition:ElectoralbenchmarkingagainstpreviousgovernmentsTimothyHicks,AlanJacobs,andScottMatthewsExplainingClass-BiasedEconomicVoting:EvidenceFromSurveyExperimentsMaryStegmaierandLaronWilliamsKeepingupwiththeJonesesandSmiths:Benchmarkedinequalityandpublicopinion CristinaBodea,TanyaBagashka,SungminHanWhichBrokenPromisesMatter?ThepoliticalcostsofdeviatingfrompolicyplatformsLeonardoHall2003EUFiscalIntegrationChair:ChristopheCrombezDiscussant:ThomasMalangLiisaTalvingandSofiaVasilopoulouVoterperceptionstowardsfiscalsolidarityintheEUJuanMuñoz-PortilloPietervanHoutenExplainingtheMagnitudeandCompositionofFiscalAusterityEpisodesintheEuropeanUnion

SebastiaanWijsmanandChristopheCrombezInternationalAgreements,UnreliableSignals,andGovernmentCompliance.TheCaseoftheStabilityandGrowthPactCamillaMariottoImplementingEUfiscalrulesElisaCencigLobbyingacrossvenues:thecaseofEUfinancialregulationBramanteHall1003PoliticalRepresentationChair:MichaelBecherDiscussant:LeandroDeMagalhaes�OritKedar,MaayanMor,OmerYairParliamentaryrepresentation:partisanandgeographicdisproportionalityMichaelBecherandCarlMaierAccountabilityorRepresentation?DemocracyandTrade-OffsinElectoralEngineeringJonRogowskiBargainingCommitmentsandExecutiveReputation:LegislativeResponsetoUnilateralActionEmanueleBraccoandFedericoRevelliConcurrentElectionsandPoliticalAccountability:EvidencefromItalianLocalElectionsMarioChacon,JeffJensen,andAdamRameyPartisanCompetition,BlackRepresentation,andCivilRightsintheReconstructionEraSolariHall1507PartyManifestosChair:KennethBenoitDiscussant:WolfgangC.Müller�RaimondasIbenskas,JonathanPolkPartyPolicyChangeinCentralandEasternEuropeMartinElffHowshouldweextractparties'politicalpositionsfromtheirmanifestos?Problemsofconventionalapproachesandtheirsolutionbasedonadynamicidealpointmodel

LaurenzEnnser-JedenastikandWolfgangC.MüllerExpandingtheuseofmanifestodata:AnalyzingpolicyframingthroughissuelinkagesBastiaanBruinsmaandKostasGemenisChallengingtheManifestoProjectdatamonopoly:Estimatingpolicypositiontime-seriesfromexpertandmasssurveydataVerdiHall1709VoterTurnoutinDemocracyandAutocracyChair:MicheleFenzlDiscussant:JenniferM.LarsonMicheleFenzlIncomeinequalityandVoterTurnoutinAmericanElectionsLukasRudolphandArndtLeiningerTheelectoralandpolicyconsequencesofincreasingturnoutinlow-salienceelections:EvidencefromconcurrentelectionsinGermanyTakashiNagatsujiElectoralTurnoutinAuthoritarianRegimes:TheImpactofSocialMovementsinAfricaLeonidPeisakhin,ArturasRozenas,SergeySanovichGettingOuttheVoteunderCompetitiveAuthoritarianism:AFieldExperimentinRussiaPortaHall1106DirectDemocracyandReferendaChair:ArthurSpirlingDiscussant:JackVowlesOlgaHerzogIfyouplaywithfireyougetburned:Howexperiencewithreferendaaffectselites’supportfordirectdemocracyStephenFisherandAlanRenwickHowdoespublicopinionchangeinreferendumcampaigns?CélineColombo,AndreaDeAngelisandDavideMorisiDemandingchoicesoreasyshortcuts?-Astudyonthe2016ItalianconstitutionalreferendumSveinungArnesen,TroyS.Broderstad,MikaelPoulJohannesson,andJonasLindeReferendumsasthewiggleroomofdemocracy

ChristineMariaStedtnitzTheroleofstressinreportedbeliefinincorrectstatementsintheBrexitdebateToscaniniHall1501CoalitionBargainingChair:ThomasM.MeyerDiscussant:OrTuttnauerDanielaGiannetti,AndreaPedrazzani,LucaPintoEffectsofpartisancongruenceinbicamerallegislaturesonthedurationofthegovernmentformationprocessAlejandroEckerandThomasM.MeyerFairnessandportfolioallocationinmultipartygovernmentsVeronicaAnghelPoliticalpartiesandtheircommitmentissues:astudyofcoalitionagreementsasincentivesforgovernmentstabilitySanCarloBorromeoHall2101Left-RightfromaMostlyVoterPerspectiveChair:SimonT.FranzmannDiscussant:PedroRieraHeikoGieblerandThomasM.MeyerHowvotersputnewpartiesintheirplace:Mappingpartyissuepositionsontheleft-rightscaleMacarenaAres,EnriqueHernándezandPedroRieraOldPartiesinNewDimensions?SpatialVotinginSpanishElectionsMathildeM.vanDitmarsWhoisleft,whoisright?Theuseoftheleft-rightscalebyEuropeanvotersandelitefromthesub-andsupranationallevelCarmeloLicataandPierre-GuillaumeMéonPartisanstereotypesChagallHall2203(Dis-)TrustinPoliticsChair:StefanieReherDiscussant:MoritzOsnabrüggeEriBertsou,MichaelBruterandSarahHarrisonCitizenDistrustofPolitics:Testinganewmeasureforattitudesofpoliticaldistrust.

NickVivyan,MarkusWagner,KonstantinGlinitzerandJakob-MoritzEberlDoessocialdistancedecreasesupportforpoliticians?EvidencefromconjointexperimentsinthreecountriesMatthiasFatkeandDanielaBraunPoliticalTrustinanUnequalWorld:ofsystemjustificationStefanieReherMindThisGap,Too:TheRolesofResourcesandRepresentationinthePoliticalOrientationsofCitizenswithDisabilitiesCeciliaHyunjungMo,KatrinaKosecSocialProtection,Poverty,andPolitics:DeterminantsofCitizenAttitudesTowardGovernmentAgnesiHall1214AidanditsConsequencesChair:SarahBerensDiscussant:ElsaMassoc AlexanderDeJuan,CarloKoos,MiquelPellicer,EvaWegnerEffectsofDevelopmentAidonPoliticalPerceptions:EvidencefromaQuasi-ExperimentintheEasternDemocraticRepublicoftheCongo(DRC)DavidBacker,RaviBhavnani,KarstenDonnay,AndrewLinkeDoesDevelopmentAidImpactResiliencetoArmedConflict?

AndreasFuchs,SooYeonKim,AustinM.Strange,MichaelJ.TierneyCompetingforAidRecipients?DonorResponsestoChineseDevelopmentFinanceKateBaldwinandMatthewS.WintersCanInternationalAidChangethePoliticsofServiceDelivery?FaisalZ.AhmedAidingConflict:TheconsequencesofU.S.aidTrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1404PreferentialTradeAgreementsChair:Wen-ChinWuDiscussant:MonikaMühlböckHyeonhoHahm,MoritzOsnabrügge,ElenaFrech,andThomasKönig

TreatyDesignandTradeAttitudesTowardsTTIP:AConjointAnalysisIdaBastiaensandEvgenyPostnikovSocialProtectionistBias:TheDomesticPoliticsofNorth-SouthTradeAgreementDesignWen-ChinWuPreferentialTradeAgreements,Democracy,andtheRiskofCoupsd’etatTrainingRoomCavaliere1510PopulistPartyVote:CaseStudiesChair:RandyBescoDiscussant:SonkeEhretWoutervanderBrug,EelcoHarteveld,SarahdeLangeandTomvanderMeerHowlocalandregionalcontextaffectssupportforthepopulistradicalright:newevidencefromtheNetherlandsRobertA.Huber,StevenM.VanHauwaertPublicopinion,supportforpopulismandtheNovember2015terroristattacksinFrance:AnempiricalanalysisSilviaDecadri,ConstantineBoussalisPopulismandLanguageComplexity:AnanalysisoftheXVIIItalianLegislatureEvaAnduiza,MarcGuinjoanandGuillemRicoAttitudinalSpeciesofPopulism:SurveyEvidencefromNineEuropeanCountries

Saturday24June13:15–15:00VoltaHall2105BigDataandtheStudyofPoliticsChair:MartinElffDiscussant:JamesM.Snyder,Jr.TommyKrieger,KlausGruendlerComputingMachineLearningIndexes:AnewmethodologytounbundletheRoleofDemocraticInstitutionsforEconomicGrowthNoahBuckleyUsingInternetSearchesinRussiaforMeasurementandPredictionMing-HungWang,AlexChuan-HsienChang,Kuan-TaChenandChin-LaungLeiTemporalDynamicsofOn-LinePoliticalIdeology:LongitudinalStudyonFacebookSimonMunzert,PabloBarberá,AndrewGuessandJungHwanYangMediaExposureandOpinionFormationinanAgeofInformationOverloadNathanielBeckMachinelearningandpoliticalscienceManzoniHall1714ElectionsandChoiceChair:KonstantinosMatakosDiscussant:HannaWass�StefanMüllerandTomLouwerseExplainingGovernmentSupportThroughouttheLegislativeCycle:AComparativeAnalysisChristopherKirklandBeyondFirst-andSecond-order?PoliticalPartiesApproachestoElections.SalvatoreNunnariandJanZapalAModelofFocusinginPoliticalChoiceKonstantinosMatakos,RiikkaSavolainen,OrestisTroumpounis,JanneTukiainenandDimitriosXefterisElectoralRuleEffectsonIntra-partyCohesion:TheoryandEvidenceLukasF.Stoetzer,MatthiasOrlowskiBayesiandynamiclinearmodeltotracegoverningoptionsduringpoliticalcampaigns

LeonardoHall1114PoliticalSpeechChair:JonathanKlinglerDiscussant:ZoltánFazekasJonathanKlinglerSupporter-FocusedPresidentialTargetedAppealsAnnaBrosius,BertBakker,MartijnSchoonveldeandGijsSchumacherComplexityandIdeologyinPoliticalSpeech

TomPaskhalis,ChristianMüllerTheroleofnegationinpoliticaltext:BritishandGermanelectoralcampaignsAnselmRink,HannoHilbigPanderingorCrafting?HowPublicOpinionShapesEliteRhetoricErikdeVries,MartijnSchoonveldeandGijsSchumacherTopicModels:LostinTranslation?BramanteHall1718CampaignsChair:MarcelNeunhoefferDiscussant:ShaunBowlerMeganMacDuffeeMetzgerSocialMediaandProtest:ImpactsontheDynamicsofProtestEmergenceandProtestOutcomesAnnemarieWalter,UniversityofNottinghamTravisRidout,WashingtonStateUniversityVoters’EmotionalResponsetoNegativeCampaignMessages:TheRoleofIncivilityJohnH.Parmelee,NataliyaRoman,BerrinBeasley,StephyniePerkinsGenderandGenerationalDifferencesinPoliticalReporters’InteractivitywithPoliticiansandthePubliconTwitterMarcelNeunhoefferTheEffectsofPartisanDirectMail:EvidencefromaFieldExperimentinGermanyPaoloBellucci,AndreaDeAngelisandDr.DiegoGarziaWhenpersonalizationmeetsdirectdemocracy:AnanalysisofthedeterminantsofvotingintheItalianConstitutionalreferendum,2016

SolariHall1108AttitudesTowardsImmigrationChair:Anne-MarieJeannetDiscussant:CatherinedeVriesAlinaVranceanuandRomainLachatDopartiesinfluencethepublicopiniononimmigration?EvidencefromEuropeSarahJ.Cormack-PattonImmigrationPolicyPreferencesandVarietiesofImmigrationPoliciesSergiPardos-PradoandCarlaXenaImmigrationpolicyandethniccleavagesSimonSaldnerandMichaelF.MeffertImmigrationAttitudes:TheRoleofValuesandContextualFactorsAnne-MarieJeannetRevisitingtheLaborCompetitionHypothesis:TheEffectofRetirementonOpinionaboutImmigrationVerdiHall1913TerroristStimulusandResponseChair:AnnaGetmanskyDiscussant:TiberiuDraguKatalinKovacsTheClaimofResponsibilityasaTacticalChoiceofTerrorismDavidSylvan,AshleyThornton,MiraFeyandJulietteGanneCross-nationaltrendsinconsensusonnationalsecurityAnnaGetmanskySurpriseattacksandpublicsupportforleadersElenaLabzina,GeorgeYinFightingthedigitalcaliphate:analyzingthecyber-warbetweenAnonymousandtheIslamicStateLiranHarsgor(In)securityduringformativeyears:Long-termcohorteffectsonpoliticalattitudes

PortaHall1604GenderGapsChair:VincenzoGalassoDiscussant:MichaelCourtneyOritKedar,LotemHalevyandOdeliaOshriThegendergapinvoting:wheredidmengo?FabrizioGilardi,BrunoWüestNewspapercoverageoffemalecandidatesduringelectioncampaigns:EvidencefromastructuraltopicmodelSimoneAbendschönGemaGarciaAlbacetePoliticalparticipationonlineandthegendergapVincenzoGalasso,TommasoNanniciniPersuasionandGender:ExperimentalEvidencefromTwoPoliticalCampaignsDaphneJ.vanderPas&LoesAalderingInvisiblewomen?AcomparativeanalysisofMPvisibilityinnewspapersinsixEuropeancountries.ToscaniniHall2211EthnicityChair:PatrickKuhnDiscussant:AndrewKernerFabianGuyNeuner,HakeemJefferson,JoshPasekUnpackingtheRacialDivideinPolice-InvolvedShootings:WhatCanAssessmentsofWitnessStatementsTellUs?JaninaBeiser,CarlMüller-Crepon,andYannickI.PenglRegional,Ethno-RegionalorEthnicTargeting?HowLocalEthnicDemographyShapesPoliticalFavoritisminAfrica.MaxSchaubSecond-orderethnicdiversity:thespatialpatternofdiversity,competitionandcooperationinAfricaMarisaA.Abrajano,ChristopherS.Elmendorf,andKevinM.QuinnLabelsvs.Pictures:HowShouldWeRepresentEthnicityinExperimentsAboutDiscrimination

SanCarloBorromeoHall2207ThePoliticalSociologyofTrustChair:GuyAitchison�Discussant:KonstantinGlinitzerIoannaChristodoulakiReformpotentialincrisis-strickenGreece:lackoftrustinthepoliticalclassandpublicdisengagementduringtheentrenchmentofthefirstMemorandumStephanSimonDoopenbordersmakesocietieslesstrusting?TheeffectsofliberalimmigrationpoliciesonsocialtrustandpoliticalsupportEefjeSteenvoordenandEelcoHarteveldUnderstandingtheeducationgapinpoliticaltrust:alongitudinalstudyintodiffuseandspecificpoliticaltrustintheNetherlands.MarleneMaukRegimeSupportandItsSourcesinDemocraciesandAutocraciesAgnesiHall1001JudicialPoliticsChair:BenjaminG.EngstDiscussant:JonC.Rogowski�ThomasGrayJudicialElectionsandRacialBiasinCriminalAppealsDeborahBeim,TomClark,BenjaminLauderdaleTheEffectsofPanelAssignmentontheUSCourtofAppealsinDeathPenaltyCasesElisaRebessiAdministrativeJudgesversusPolicyEvaluation.DoestheInvolvementoftheAdministrativeJudgesinExecutivePoliticsUnderminetheuseofOversightPracticesBasedonPolicyEvaluation?BrianJ.Fogarty,PatrickC.WohlfarthandNasserQadriPersonalizationFramesinNationalNewsCoverageofU.S.SupremeCourtJusticesBenjaminG.Engst,ThomasGschwendandSebastianSternbergPublicSupportforJudicialNominations:EvidencefromaDiscrete-ChoiceExperiment

TrainingRoomCacciaDominioni1115IdentityandPoliticsChair:TimothyHicksDiscussant:AnjaNeuendorfSveinungArnesen,DominikDuellandMikaelJohannessonIsDescriptiveRepresentationaProxyforSubstantiveRepresentation?EvidencefromConjointSurveyExperimentsOdeliaOshri,YairFogel-DrorAmatterofidentity:MeasuringagendasettingpowerinafragmentedparliamentLesleyDaniels,MariaJoseHierro,AinaGallegoandDanielOberskiDualidentitiesindividedsocieties:LongitudinalevidencefromScotlandMichaelNicholsonExplainingImmigrants’PoliticalParticipation:AnIdentityPoliticsApproachUsingEvidencefromSwitzerlandTrainingRoomCavaliere1611AdvancesinComparativePoliticsChair:AnthonyMcGannDiscussant:DespinaAlexiadouFrancescoGallettiGatekeepingatstake?InstitutionalresiliencevsconstrainedadjustmentsintheMixedMarketEconomiesAnthonyMcGannSebastianDellepiane-AvellanedaTheComparativeMacropolity:PublicOpinion,ProportionalityandVetoGatesChristopherClaassenEstimatingsupportfordemocracyin100+countriesover20+yearsRobertoStefanFoaDoesDemocratisationBuildorUndermineStateCapacity?ReconsideringtheTime-SeriesEvidence

Saturday24June15:15–17:00VoltaHall2106AdvancedSurveyTechniquesChair:DavidHendryDiscussant:ChristopherClaassenEliasDinas,AnjaNeundorfandBentNielsenIdentificationinAge-Period-CohortModels:ACanonicalParametarizationSolutionSebastianBarfortUnderstandingtheCausesandConsequencesofSurveyNonparticipationUsingAdminstrativeRegisterDataPhilippBroniecki,LucasLeemann,andRetoWüestImprovedMultilevelRegressionwithPost-StratificationThroughOptimalModelSelectionLouiseThornBøttkjærBackToBasics:HowLISTITLeadsToFalsePositivesManzoniHall1719ElectionsinMajoritarianSystemsChair:RobJohnsDiscussant:RobJohnsRobJohnsandThomasHunterBig'c'orsmall'c'?Conservatism,risk,lateswingandpollingerrorsKevinMungerDon't@Me:ExperimentallyReducingPartisanIncivilityonTwitterFlorianFoosFirstImpressions-LastingImpressions:PersuasionFieldExperimentsUsingCampaignCanvassingDataUgurOzdemirandAliIhsanOzkesMeasuringPublicPreferentialPolarizationLeonardoHall1713VoteforChallengerParties2Chair:ChristianSchimpfDiscussant:MeganMacDuffeeMetzgerTarikAbou-Chadi;EelcoHarteveldVotingAgainsttheEstablishment.TheEffectofGovernmentCongruenceonVotingforChallengerParties

StevenVanHauwaert,ChristianSchimpf,FlavioAzevedoMeasuringpopulistattitudesacrossnineEuropeancountriesChristianH.SchimpfBeneficiariesofPartySpecificProtestVoting?Voters,Populism,andSwitchers.CarolineMcEvoyTheeffectofpublicattitudestowardsdemocracyonsupportforradicalpartiesinEuropeBramanteHall1512TheEndofPartyPoliticsasWeknowit?Chair:GabrielaBorzDiscussant:RaimondasIbenskasRobinE.BestandWilliamB.HellerSeatSharesandLegislativePartyUnity:VyingforPoliciesorPositionTaking?GiacomoBenedettoandSimonHixTheRiseandFallofSocialDemocracy,1918-2017GabrielaBorzPartyorganizationalchangeanditsdeterminants:evidencefromEuropeanpartiesJamesR.Hollyer,MarkoKlasnjaandRocioTitiunikPartiesasDisciplinarians:TheElectoralStrategiesofCentristPartiesSolariHall1102CampaignSpendingChair:StephaneWoltonDiscussant:KaiJägerScottLimbocker,andHyeYoungYouCampaignStyle:EvidencefromU.S.HouseElectionsNelsonRuiz-GuarinThepowerofmoney:TheconsequencesofelectingaprivatelyfundedpoliticianNourAbdul-Razzak,CarloPratoandStephaneWoltonHowOutsideSpendingShapesAmericanDemocracyWilliamSimoneauIndividualCandidateContributionsandPartyDiscipline:EvidencefromtheUnitedKingdom

VerdiHall1710VoterTurnoutChair:LasseAaskovenDiscussant:WolfgangMüllerRiccardoLadiniCampaigndynamiceffectsonparticipationinAustrian2013GeneralElections:AfocusonpartycontactingLasseAaskovenFiscalRulesandElectoralTurnoutMichaelJankowskiandMarkusTepeTheEffectofMunicipalityCentralizationOnVoterTurnoutDamienBol,KostasMatakos,OrestisTroumpounis,DimitrosXefterisTurnoutandpolarization:Uncoveringamissinglinkintheproportionality-turnoutnexuswithavotingexperimentPortaHall1912ConflictandWarChair:AndrewJ.CoeDiscussant:DavidLindsey�ConstantinRuheModelingthesizeofwar:PredictingconflictintensitywithasimulatedbargainingmodelAkisatoSuzukiCitizens,IndividualRationality,andWarInitiationHenryPascoeandScottWolfordOpportunityCosts,EndogenouslyShiftingPower,andWarAndrewJ.CoeandJaneVaynmanTheTragedyofArmingToscaniniHall1803LegislatorsandRollCallVotesChair:JackBlumenauDiscussant:AlexandraCirone�Fang-YiChiou,BjørnHøyland,SimonHugStrategicrollcallvoterequestsJurajMedzihorskyALatentClassFrameworkforRollCallAnalysis

MichaelJankowski,KamilMarcinkiewiczIsthepenmightierthanthevote?ComparinglegislativepositiontakinginspeechesandvotesZsuzsannaBlankaMagyarUnitedweOppose:CoalitionsintheOppositionSanCarloBorromeoHall2209ThePoliticsofGender1Chair:KenShottsDiscussant:ElinHaugsgjerdAllernCorinnaKroeber,SarahDingler,JessicaFortin-RittbergerWhichwomenarerepresented?Exploringfactorsthatshapethepolicycongruencebetweenwomenandparliaments.DanielHöhmannElectoralSystemsandtheLegislativeBehaviorofWomen:TheSubstantiveRepresentationofWomen’sInterestsintheGermanBundestagFrancescAmat,CarlesBoix,JordiMuñozandAntoniRodonFemaleParticipationuponExtensionofWomen’ssuffrage:TheRoleofIndustrializationandIdeologyFormationKennethW.ShottsFamilySize,InvestmentinDaughters,andthePoliticsofGenderEquityChagallHall1601DemocratizationandStabilizationChair:GiacomoBenedettoDiscussant:SaraMcLaughlinMitchell�AnnaM.MeyerroseReversingtheThirdWave:TheUnintendedConsequencesofInternationalDemocracyPromotionOliverWesterwinterDemocracy,VetoPlayersandStateParticipationinInformalGlobalGovernanceMereteBechSeebergandBryceReederFightingyourFriends?TheCausesofIntra-partyViolenceAmuitzGarmendiaMadariaga,GraigR.KleinDoesDecentralizationAlleviateMalcontent?TerritorialDistributionofPowerandProtestEvents

AgnesiHall1207IMFProgramsChair:MichaelBreenDiscussant:JonasMarkgrafMichaelBreenandIainMcMenaminDecodingtheLanguageoftheIMFExecutiveBoardBernhardReinsberg,ThomasStubbs,AlexanderKentikelenis,LawrenceKingIMFprogramsandthelegalprotectionoflaborrights:AdisaggregatedanalysisValentinF.LangTheEconomicsoftheDemocraticDeficit:TheEffectofIMFProgramsonInequalityMerihAnginAnAgent-BasedModelofIMFProgramDesign

TrainingRoomCacciaDominioni2122ThePoliticsofHomeownershipChair:VeraTroegerDiscussant:JonathanWoonPaulBeckmannDoeshomeownershipchangevotechoice?VotingbehavioramonghomeownersundervolatilehousepricesindifferentpoliticalcontextsSamMyersThepoliticaleconomyofhousingsupply:evidencefromAustraliancitiesJasonCasellasandMarkieMcBrayerTheEffectsofGentrificationonMInorityRepresentationinU.S.CitiesLisaBlaydesandChristopherPaikUrbanGrowthandDeclinebeforethe19thcentury:ComparativeUrbanizationinEurope,theMiddleEastandCentralAsia

ParticipantIndex

AAaldering,17,52Aaskoven,55Abendschön,52Abou-Chadi,23,54Aitchison,18,53Albertos,17,34Alcorta,38Alexiadou,23,53Ali,14,43,54Allen,17Allern,24,55Alt,13,19Amat,44,55Amicarelli,46Anghel,49Angin,56Arel-Bundock,23,45Arnesen,49,53Asano,25Asri,21Aytaç,43

BBach,14Badanjak,46Bader,28Bagashka,48Bailer,13,34Barfort,13,16,54Barrett,44Bastiaens,29,50Basu,14Bauer,13,37Baumann,14Bayer,20,27,42Beber,25,46Becher,24,48Beck,4,28,36,51Beckmann,37,56Belardinelli,37Benedetto,54,55Benoit,4,19,30,48Berens,29,34,50Berning,17Bertelli,20Bertsou,49Besco,35,50Bhavnani,35,50Bischof,23,24,36Blaydes,56Blumenau,30,55Bochsler,15,18,38Boeri,29Bølstad,32Bormann,25,33Borz,54Borzyskowski,15,21,30Bøttkjær,54

Boussalis,31,42,50Bowler,13,14,15,20,51Bracco,48Braeuninger,13,28Branham,17,42Breen,23,56Broderstad,25,49Bronner,17,23Bruinsma,49Buckley,51Bucur,20Bundi,44Bunea,31,40Burlacu,23,45Busch,15,21Butcher,38Butler,4,20,33Buzogány,27

CCabeza,16Campos,40Cardenal,23Carey,25,38Carlitz,14Carreras,15,19Carreri,34Carroll,13,30,33Carter,13,33,38Casellas,56Castaneda,19Catalinac,21Cencig,48Ceron,40,44Chacha,25Chacon,15,31,32,48Chang,15,34,51Chapman,34,45Chatagnier,32Chelotti,20Chernykh,31Chiba,20,21,39Chiru,19Choi,13Christensen,17,18,25Christodoulaki,53Chu,20Chyzh,42Cirone,25,55Citi,13,40Claassen,53,54Clark,31,33,53Clarke,39,42Coe,55Cohen,17,41Colaresi,16,33Colombo,29,49Coman,16Compton,23Cook,33,48Cooper,29

Cormack-Patton,25,52Courtney,23,52Crombez,31,40,48Cross,17,30,33,35,38,40,52Crutzen,13,17Curini,14,21

DDahlum,14,30Dai,45Dasandi,20,32,37Däubler,19,41Davis,14DeAngelis,21,28,30,51DeMagalhaes,34,48DeSio,36deVegaAlavedra,22deVries,24,37,41,51,52DeVries,24Decadri,47,50Desai,24DiCataldo,30DiLonardo,21DiSalvatore,46DiBlasi,33Dickson,37,41Dinas,16,17,19,33,54Dingler,46,55Dipoppa,31Donnay,29,50Dornschneider,18Dragu,37,52Duch,4,30,48Duell,18,53Dufresne,23Dyevre,16,31

EEaton,29Ecker,49Ehret,41,50Eichorst,44Elff,19,48,51Engst,53Ennser-Jedenastik,49Epifanio,45Exadaktylos,24

FFalcó-Gimeno,23,37,41Fang,20,55Fatke,50Fazekas,23,51Fehrler,41Feil,15,21Fenzl,49Fernández-i-Marín,19Ferrara,15,32

Ferrari,13Fervers,45Ferwerda,32Fesenfeld,31Fetscher,46Fey,52Fiedler,25Fisher,49Fiva,36Flanagan,20Foa,45,53Fogarty,53Foos,16,36,54Forster,46Franchino,4,16Franzmann,37,49Frech,34,38,50

GGalasso,52Gallego,24,53Galletti,53Gandrud,41Ganne,52GarciaHernandez,34GarmendiaMadariaga,27,55Garritzmann,41Gates,33,38,53Gattermann,40,44Geisler,33Gemenis,49Getmansky,41,52Giannetti,14,49Giebler,28,41,49Giger,24,30Gilardi,30,38,52Giovanniello,44Glazier,28,46Glinitzer,13,50,53Goddard,46Gohdes,27,38Goldberg,36Golden,16,24Goodhart,19,29,32Goyal,20Grand,28,34Grasso,38,42Gray,20,32,33,38,53Greene,13,16,24,37,40Griaznova,46Grittersova,14Gross,21Grosse,44Grossman,34,46Gschwend,21,28,53Guess,51Guntermann,28,34,36Gwiazda,46

HHabel,36,44

Haftel,45Hagen,31Hahm,33,36,50Hamidou,44Han,14,29,48Hangartner,16,25,26,27,32Hansen,4,25Harder,17,25Hare,37Harris,13,46Harsgor,52Harteveld,50,53,54Hartman,17,18Haselmayer,17Häusermann,34,37Heinsohn,35Helbling,16Heller,13,38,54Hendry,40,54Hernández,30,41,49Herold,15,21Herzog,21,49Hicks,18,38,40,48,53Hidalgo,18Higashijima,15,25Hilbig,51Hillen,16Hino,21Hirvonen,34Hix,54Hjermitslev,16Hobolt,16,30,41Hofmann,45Hofstetter,34,38Höhmann,25,55Hollenbach,18Hollyer,32,42,54Holman,42Holtmaat,37Hoon,16Hope,19Horn,19Hou,29Høyland,36,55Huber,37,41,50Hug,21,40,55Hunger,47Hunziker,39Huysmans,36

IIannantuoni,40IbáñezdeFoerster,29Ibenskas,48,54Inata,28Invernizzi,27IrepogluCarreras,19Ivandic,20

JJablonski,13,24

Jäckle,13,17,38Jäger,21,54Jankowski,21,25,38,55Jeannet,52Jensen,31,37,38,48Johns,23,54Jones,37,38Juen,47Juhl,40Jurado,15,33Justesen,40

KKam,20,27,40Kao,13,14Kaplan,30Kappe,21,32Käppner,20,24Katrin,14,31,35Kavakli,20,25Kayser,4,14,21,23,48Kedar,4,36,48,52Keele,27,42Keenan,46Kelle,24,28Keller,18,34Kellstedt,27,48Kenkel,15Kenny,42Kentmen-Cin,23Kerby,13Kerner,16,52Khatib,42Kim,32,33,50Kirkland,25,51Kitaevich,45Klemmensen,16,21Klingler,31,51Knott,21Knutsen,4,27Kohama,30Köker,27,31König,13,16,34,38,40,50Konstantinidis,14,24,30,33Kostadinova,44Kostyuk,21Koubi,42,45Kovacs,52Kraft,30Krauser,39Krauss,36Kreppel,40,44Krieger,51Kritzinger,13,36Krtsch,45Kubo,30Kuhn,13,14,15,16,24,52Kuo,17,19Kuperman,33Kurer,37,44

LLabzina,28,52Lachat,25,52Lacy,14Ladini,55Lang,56Lanz,30Larcinese,36Larson,46,49Lassen,13,19Laughlin,27Lazarev,45LeBihan,17,19Lechner,23Lee,13,28,35,40Leemann,19,42,54Lehrer,36Leininger,21,49Lewis,4,36,38,46Lin,34,37,44Linde,49Lindsey,15,55Linsi,13,16Lipsmeyer,23,36Lisi,40Little,44Llaudet,19Long,18,21,25,31,52LópezCariboni,19,29,46Lorenzo,23,36Louwerse,25,33,51Loveless,37Lupton,37Lupu,22,24,42Lust,13,14Lyon,15

MMaekawa,33Magni,17,31,46Magyar,55Malang,44,48Malik,22Manzoni,12,13,16,19,23,27,30,

33,36,40,44,48,51,54Marbach,20,37,45Marcinkiewicz,27,55Mares,22,24,31Marini,44Mariotto,4,48Markgraf,32,56Marquardt,19,21,27Marshall,14Martin,4,17,19,21,28,35,44,

48,51MartocchiaDiodati,34Marx,37Massoc,32,50Matakos,16,34,51,55Matsumoto,23,27Matsuo,30

Matthews,17,48Mauk,53Maydom,42Mayer,44McElwain,17,23McEvoy,54McGann,19,53McGrath,31,48Medeiros,14Medzihorsky,23,27,55Meffert,16,52Meijers,36Menendez,29Méon,49Merola,16Merz,23Metzger,51,54Meyer,49Meyerrose,55Michelitch,34Mikhaylov,20,21,32,37Miller,34Miquel,24,41,50Mitchell,20,33,55Mo,50Møller,33Monti,6Moschella,34Moser,27Mosimann,24Mueller,20Mühlböck,41,50Müller,48,49,51,52,55Munger,54Muñoz,24,41,48,55Munzert,21,44,51Myers,29,56Myrodias,18

NNagatsuji,49Negri,35,47Nemoto,34Neudorfer,28,30Neumayer,48Neundorf,45,54Neuner,41,52Neunhoeffer,21,51Nezi,15,24Nicholson,42,53Nicoli,18Nielsen,31,54Nieman,28Niikawa,42Nisser,15,17Novaes,22,30,38Nunnari,51Nyhuis,20

OObaidi,41

Obholzer,40Ohmura,34Ohtsuki,30Olar,15,45Oliveros,14Osborn,27Oshri,52,53Otero-Felipe,17Otto,25Ozdemir,54

PPalmtag,32Panagos,18Pannico,16,41Pant,35Papp,27Pardos-Prado,52Park,14,15,16,34Parmelee,51Partheymüller,13,21Pascoe,46,55Paskhalis,51Patty,28,41Paula,14,24,31Paulus,22Pegan,27Peisakhin,25,49Pellegata,16Pemstein,19,27,33Pengl,52Peterson,18Petrova,27Pfaff,32,41Pickup,27Pierzgalski,19Pinto,34,49Piotrowska,18Platte,42Plescia,20,36Plümper,4,48Poertner,17Polk,42,45,48Polo,41PoncedeLeon,31Pond,42Popa,23Profeta,38Proksch,40

QQuinlan,28Quinn,14,32,34,52QuirozFlores,32,42

RRadean,21,39Ramsay,42,46Raschke,38Rauschenbach,31,46

Rebessi,53Regan,18Reh,40Reher,49,50Rehmert,25Reiche,25Reinermann,33,40Reinsberg,56Rennwald,24Rico,50Riera,49Rink,51Rød,28,30Rodon,18,55Rogowski,31,48,53Rommel,32,45Ronchi,44Rosman,18Rossi,40Rossignoli,25Röth,19,40Rothenberg,31,41Rubenson,33,41Rudolph,19,49Ruggieri,15Ruhe,27,55Ruiz-Guarin,28,54Ruiz-Rufino,33Ruiz-Soler,21

SSaalfeld,21,27Samii,17,45,46Sanchez,42,46SanhuezaPetrarca,19,34Sattler,18Sauermann,37Scacco,38Schäfer,35,42Schaffer,31,42Scharpf,21Schaub,38,52Scheve,13,37,41Schilling,27Schimpf,54Schlipphak,15Schmitt,37Schneider,25,31,44Schonhardt-Bailey,37,40Schoonvelde,51Schraff,44Schröder,25Schrodt,16Schuessler,33Schulte-Cloos,13,44Schumacher,23,51Schwaninger,46Schwartz,19,26Schwindt-Bayer,42Seeberg,24,55Seelkopf,29,41Serani,47

Shahid,43Shehaj,32,45Shih,29Shim,17Shin,32Shorrocks,30,45Shotts,37,55Siegel,35Siewert,42Simon,26,53Simoneau,54Siroky,18,20Skaaning,16,27Slapin,25Smidt,20Snyder,36,51Solaz,18,24,37Sorace,40Spirig,26Spirling,23,49Spoon,23,36Stanig,17,25,37Stankovic,25,33Stedtnitz,49Steenvoorden,53Stegmaier,4,27,36,48Stegmueller,24Steiner,16,20Sternberg,21,53Stoetzer,21,51Stone,31Sun,29Suryanarayan,41Suzuki,55Sylvan,52Szakonyi,42

TTalving,35,48Tanaka,32Tepe,28,55Tertytchnaya,41Thiem,27,42Thürk,23Tiemann,20,23Ting,17Tojerow,29Tong,25Traber,37Traunmüller,21,45,48Trein,31,33Tresch,24Tromborg,42Tukiainen,17,30,51Turgeon,23,36Turner-Zwinkels,13,17Tuttnauer,14,49

UUraler,18

VVanderStraeten,35,41vanderVelden,14VanderWindt,46vanDitmars,49vanGruisen,40vanNoort,14,17,20vanSpanje,14,17Vasilopoulou,35,48Vecchiato,28Velasco,22Visconti,22Vivyan,14,23,40,50Vogt,25Volden,20Volpi,20vonSchiller,29Voors,18Vowles,14,49Vrablikova,15Vranceanu,52Vüllers,45

WWagner,13,24,28,50Wallace,16Walter,18,32,33,51Wang,17,51Wass,28,51Weber,17,25,31,36Wegenast,39Wegmann,18Wegner,24,41,50Wehl,46Wehner,31,42Weisstanner,34Westerwinter,15,55Whitten,36Wig,27,30Wijsman,18,48Wilhelm,19Williams,35,39,48Willisch,32Willmann,36Willumsen,37,44Wilson,36,46Winters,22,28,50Wolton,19,54Woon,28,56Wratil,41Wu,50Wucherpfennig,33,39,41Wüest,52,54

XXefteris,16,34,37,51,55

YYair,19,48,53

Yamamoto,36Yasui,38You,34,41,54Young,17,24,27

ZZdeb,38Zhang,23,46Ziaja,16

Ziller,38Zucca,27Zucchini,20,36

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