An Improved Ammonia Inventory for the WRAP Domain ENVIRON International Corporation and University...

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An Improved Ammonia Inventory for the WRAP Domain

ENVIRON International Corporation

and

University of California, Riverside

WRAP Emission Forum MeetingJuly 15, 2004

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Introduction

• Objectives

• Methods and Data Sources

• GIS-based Model Development

• Summary

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Objectives

• Improved 2002 NH3 emission inventory for WRAP

• Consider major source categories

• Improved temporal/spatial allocation

• Incorporate environmental factors

• Develop GIS-based modeling system

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Methods and Data Sources

• Source categories

• Emission Factors

• Activity Data

• Temporal Allocation

• Spatial Allocation

• Environmental Data

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Source Categories

• Livestock – dairy & beef cows, poultry, swine, sheep, horses

• Fertilizer Usage

• Native Soils– urban, barren, forest, shrub/grassland, wetlands

• Domestic– Respiration, perspiration, infant diapers, cats, dogs

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Emission Factors

• Livestock– Battye, et al.– Chinkin, et al.– CMU NH3 Model– Others – Doorn, et al.; Keener, et al.; Pinder

et al.; EEA

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Livestock Emission Factors(kg/head-year)

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Emission Factors

• Fertilizer Application– Battye, et al.– Chinkin, et al.– EEA– Potter, et al.

• Emission factors adjusted for soil pH (Potter, et al. 2001)– EFadj = EF * (0.3125pH – 1.01)

– Normalized for 4% at pH=6.5

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Effect of Soil pH on Fertilizer Emissions Effect of Soil pH on Fetilizer NH3 Emissions (tpy)

Region County

Imperial ValleyNH3 w/o pH Effects

NH3 w/ pH Effects % Diff

Imperial 2535 3698 45.90%Riverside 1162 1498 28.86%San Bernadino 32 34 5.70%

3729 5230 40.24%

Central CoastMonterey 1514 1659 9.53%San Luis Obispo 49 57 17.14%Santa Barbara 638 702 10.06%

2201 2417 9.85%

San Joaquin ValleyFresno 4287 5606 30.78%Kern 5847 6684 14.31%Kings 1922 2765 43.87%Madera 750 935 24.65%Merced 1430 1822 27.38%San Joaquin 1379 1499 8.70%Stanislaus 1854 2090 12.68%Tulare 1640 2055 25.31%

19109 23456 22.74%

Sacramento ValleyButte 3043 3385 11.23%Colusa 717 846 17.92%Glenn 529 576 9.05%Sacramento 242 246 1.42%Solano 519 573 10.58%Sutter 985 1127 14.38%Yolo 1076 1190 10.58%

7111 7943 11.70%Region Total

Region Total

Region Total

Region Total

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Fertilizer Emission Factors (% N)

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Emission Factors

• Natural soils – source or sink

• Soil emission factors adjusted to account for soil

conditions (Potter, et al., 2003)

• EFadj = EF * (1-M){1/[1+10(0.09+2730/T-c*pH)]}

– M = soil moisture

– T = soil temp (K)

– C = constant determines sensitivity to pH (=1.3)

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Native Soils Emission Factors (kg/km2-yr)

Description Emission Factor Source

Urban 10

Battye, et al. (2003)

Chinkin, et al. (2003)

Barren 10

Forest 174 - Deciduous

54 - Evergreen

114 – Mixed

Shrub/Grassland 400

Fallow 205

Wetlands 400

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Soil Emission Factor Adjustments

0.0000

0.5000

1.0000

1.5000

2.0000

2.5000

3.0000

3.5000

4.0000

4.5000

4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Soil pH

20o C

10o C

0o C

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Soil Emission Factor Adjustments

0.0

0.3

0.5

0.8

1.0

1.3

1.5

1.8

2.0

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

Temperature (Centigrade)

Sca

lar

pH=7

pH=6

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Domestic Emission Factors (Chitjian et al, 2000)

Source Emission Factors Units

Cats 0.348 lb N/cat/yr

Dogs 2.17 lb N/dog/yr

Human Respiration 0.55 lb/person/yr

Human Perspiration 0.0035 lb/person/yr

Cloth Diapers 6.9 lb/infant/yr

Disposable Diapers 0.36 lb/infant/yr

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Activity Data

• Livestock headcounts – National Ag Services Statistics (NASS, 2003)

• Fertilized usage – Assoc. of American Plant Food Control Officers (AAPFCO, 2003); USDA; NASS

• Native soils – Land cover acreage (NLCD)• Domestic – 2000 US Census; Pet per capita ratios

from Dickson et al., 1991

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Temporal Allocation

• Livestock

– Monthly profiles recommended by Chinkin et al.

(2003)

– Diurnal profiles based on Russell & Cass (1986)

Ei [2.36(Ti-273)/10] ViA

Ei = hourly emission rate

A = daily total emission rate

Ti = hourly ambient air temperature (K)

Vi = hourly wind speed (m/s)

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Livestock Diurnal ProfilesTemporal Variation for Butte Co.

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Hour

TAF

Jul. 3, 2002

Jan. 4, 2002

Constant

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Livestock Diurnal ProfilesTemporal Variation for Kern Co.

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Hour

TAF

Jul. 3, 2002

Jan. 4, 2002

Constant

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Temporal Allocation

• Fertilizers– Monthly variation from fertilizer usage data – Diurnal profiles based on Russell & Cass

(1986)

• Domestic Sources– Temporally invariant

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Temporal Allocation

• Native Soils

– Temporal variation based on environmental

parameters

– EFadj = EF * (1-M){1/[1+10(0.09+2730/T-c*pH)]}

• M = soil moisture

• T = soil temp (K)

• C = constant determines sensitivity to pH (=1.3)

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Spatial Allocation by Source Category

Source Category Spatial Surrogate

Livestock LULC

Fertilizer Agricultural crop land

Soils Land use/Land cover

Domestic Population

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Environmental Data

• Soil pH– STATSGO

• Soil Moisture – 2002 36-km MM5 modeling results

• Temperatures, wind speeds – 2002 36-km MM5 modeling results

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

GIS-Based Emissions Model Development

• Designed to :– treat relationship of ammonia emissions to environmental

variables (wind speed, temperatures, soil moisture & pH)– incorporate high resolution spatial data (LU/LC databases;

population density; geo-coded point sources)– incorporate detailed source classification schemes

• Based on Arc/INFO GIS• Flexible input data sources/formats; easily modified

input tabular data (activity data, EF, spatial surrogate relationships)

• Modular & efficient processing capabilities• Intuitive user interface

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

Geospatial Data

• Land Use/Land Cover (LULC)– NLCD LU/LC coverages -- GIS rastor data; high spatial

resolution (30 m); 21 LU/LC classifications for land use

• Soil pH – STATSGO - PSU

• Population – 2000 US Census data assembled by EPA

Presents:/slides/gerry/nh3_conf060904.ppt

GIS-based NH3 Emissions Model

Main Menu

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GIS-based NH3 Emissions Model Emission Calculation Menu

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Summary

• 2002 NH3 emission inventory for WRAP – Livestock, fertilizers, soils, domestic sources

• Updated emission factors, temporal allocation• Incorporates environmental parameters

– Temperature; soil moisture, pH; wind speed

• GIS-based NH3 emissions modeling system• Final 2002 gridded inventory completed in late July

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