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Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1. Informa tion about the Poll. The poll was conducted on-site by CIVIS Centre for Sociological, Political and Psychological Analysis and Investigations - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Barometer of Public Barometer of Public OpinionOpinion
MaMayy 20120111
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Information about the Poll
• The poll was conducted on-site by CIVIS Centre for Sociological, Political and Psychological Analysis and Investigations
• Amount of the national sample: 1152 people aged 18 or more; additional sample in Chișinău municipality – 397 people; the total amount of the sample in Chișinău municipality - 662 people
• Representativeness: the national sample is representative for the adult population of the Republic of Moldova, with a maximal error of +3.0%; The sample for Chişinău municipality is representative for the adult population of Chişinău municipality, with a maximal error of ± 4%.
• Period of data gathering: May, 6 – 24, 2011. The interviews were conducted at the respondents’ place.
• The analysis of the sample structure obtained on-site revealed the concordance between the distribution of the population according to the available statistical data and those obtained, with the admissible statistical deviation. A significant difference was remarked within the structure women/men, women being over-represented, and within age groups, young people and adults aged 18-44 being under-represented
• The presented results are balanced. The difference between balanced and non-balanced results does not overpass 1,9% with regard to any question.
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?
19%
65%
13%
3%
24%
65%
8%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
The direction is right
The direction is wrong
DK
NA
National Chisinau mun.
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?
22%16%
5%8%
21%
39%37%36%33%31%29%
44%
29%33%
36%
28%32%
26%28%29% 29%22%25%
19%
52%
66%
82%79%
48%53%
46%53%55%
49%56%
41%
56%52%53%
59%56%
60%
51%55%
64%60%
65%
17%
59%
67%
0%
90%
Feb.98
Aug'0
0
Nov'01
Nov'02
3-Nov
Nov '0
4
Dec-0
5
6-Nov
7-Nov
Oct-0
89-
Jul
10-M
ay
11-M
ay
The direction is right The direction is wrong
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 20115
To what extent are you, in general, content with your living?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Very content
Rathercontent
Neither content,
nor discontent
Not so content
Discontent DK/NA
1%
20%
33%
25%
17%
4%2%
20%
40%
25%
10%
3%
National Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 20116
Assess the present income of your family
34%
40%
19%
4%
1%
2%
18%
46%
27%
7%
0%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
It is not enough at least for for the essential
It is enough just for the essential
It is enough for a decent living, but we cannot afford buying
any expensive things
We succeed to buy some expensive things, after cutting spending in other areas
We have everything weneed, with no restrictions
DK/NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Assess the present income of your family
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Mar
. 98
Aug. 0
0
J an.
01
Nov
. 01
Apr. '0
2
Nov
. 02
3-May
Nov
. 03
4-May
Nov
. 04
Feb-
05
Dec-0
5
Apr-06
6-Nov
7-May
Nov
-07
Apr-08
Oct
.08
Mar
.099-
J ul
Dec.0
9
May
.10
Nov
.10
11-M
ay
It is not enough at least for the essential
It is enough just for the essential
It is enough for a decent living, but we cannot afford buying any expensive things
We succeed to buy some expensive things, after cutting spending in other areas
We have everything we need, with no restrictions
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 20118
Which of the following statements describes the best the situation of your family?
2%
1%
2%
13%
69%
4%
9%
3%
1%
5%
16%
65%
3%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
We have savings which we intend to invest
We have savings, but we do not know where toinvest them
We have savings, but we fear to invest them
We have savings, but we keep them for bad days
We do not have financial resources to be invested
We do not have savings, because we have-already invested them
DK/NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 20119
How often do you. …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Read newspapers
Listen to the radio
Watch TV
Read books
Use Internet
9%
48%
85%
9%
28%
22%
19%
9%
10%
9%
19%
9%
1%
12%
3%
11%
4%
1%
12%
2%
34%
17%
3%
51%
47%
5%
3%
1%
6%
11%
Daily (6-7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month
Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201110
How often do you …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Read newspapers
Listen to the radio
Watch TV
Read books
Use Internet
14%
43%
85%
15%
54%
22%
18%
9%
17%
9%
19%
9%
1%
15%
3%
11%
5%
1%
15%
2%
33%
23%
4%
36%
28%
1%
2%
0%
2%
4%
Daily (6 -7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month
Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201111
Which is the most important source of information for you? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)
71%
2%
8%
4%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
12%
1%
0%
16%
14%
26%
7%
12%
2%
2%
0%
1%
15%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Television
Newspapers
Radio
Family
Friends, neighbours
Job mates
Rumours
Public opinion polls
Local government
Internet
I am not informed at all
DK/NA
First Second
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201112
Which is the most important source of information for you? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)
65%
3%
5%
3%
1%
0%
0%
23%
0%
18%
12%
20%
7%
10%
4%
1%
0%
1%
24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Television
Newspapers
Radio
Family
Friends, neighbours
Job mates
Rumours
Public opinion polls
Local government
Internet
I am not informed at all
DK/NA
First Second
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201113
Which source of information do you trust in the most?
58%
3%
8%
5%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
13%
5%
0%
3%
2%
52%
3%
4%
5%
2%
1%
0%
1%
1%
24%
4%
2%
1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Television
Newspapers
Radio
Family
Friends, neighbours
Job mates
Rumours
Public opinion polls
Local government
Internet
None
I am not informed at all
DK
NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201114
Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)
* Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information
* Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information
1%
1%
6%
29%
1%
11%
23%
12%
3%
1%
2%
1%
9%
1%
1%
5%
17%
1%
10%
26%
12%
5%
2%
5%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
2 Plus
Eu TV
Jurnal TV
Moldova 1
N4
NIT
Prime TV
PRO TV
Publika TV
STS (CTC)
TV7 (NTV)
Other TV channel
DK/NA
First Second
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201115
Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)
* Basis: 549 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information
1%
1%
9%
13%
4%
17%
12%
27%
5%
1%
2%
1%
7%
1%
1%
12%
13%
4%
10%
17%
16%
8%
2%
6%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
2 Plus
Eu TV
Jurnal TV
Moldova 1
N4
NIT
Prime TV
PRO TV
Publika TV
STS (CTC)
TV7 (NTV)
Other TV channel
DK/NA
First Second
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201116
How often do you travel to EU countries?
1%
1%
3%
3%
9%
83%
1%
2%
4%
7%
14%
72%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Monthly or oftener
Once in 2 -3 months
Once in half a year
Once a year
More seldom than once a year
Never
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201117
Would you travel oftener to the EU, if there was no visa requirement?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Yes, for sure Yes, probably No, probably No, for sure
34%
26%
15%
25%
50%
24%
14%12%
National Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201118
Which would be the goal of your travel to EU countries? Multiple response
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Tourism/leisure Businesstravel
Visit torelatives
Labour Other
68%
23%
42%
64%
2%
84%
33%
50%
57%
3%
National Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201119
Which is the probability for you to go to work to the EU in the coming 12 months?
56%
20%
10%
9%
3%
2%
53%
21%
10%
11%
4%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Improbable
Little probable
Neither probable, nor improbable
Rather probable
Very probable
DK/NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201120
Which is the probability for you to go TO WORK to the EU in the coming 12 months, if there was no visa requirement
for travelling to the EU?
44%
18%
9%
18%
9%
2%
42%
18%
9%
18%
11%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Improbable
Little probable
Neither probable, nor improbable
Rather probable
Very probable
DK/NANational
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201121
If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to the European Union is held next Sunday, would
you vote for or against it?
I would vote for
I would vote against it
I would not vote
I have not decided yet
NA
64%
-15%
3%
16%
2%
66%
-12%
3%
17%
2%
-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201122
If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to NATO is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against
it?
I would vote for
I would vote against it
I would not take part in it
I have not decided yet
NA
17%
-45%
5%
26%
7%
25%
-48%
6%
16%
5%
-60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201123
To what extent are you concerned about politics?
12%
22%
28%
25%
12%
1%
17%
22%
33%
17%
10%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Very much
Much
Neither much, nor little
Little
No concern
DK/NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201124
What is your attitude towards the involvement of business people in politics?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Positive Negative Neutral /Indifferent DK/NA
22%
40%
25%
13%
22%
46%
24%
8%
National Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201125
As a result of the involvement of business people in politics, the corruption …?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Will decrease Will not change Will increase DK/NA
8%
20%
43%
29%
5%
27%
52%
16%
National Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201126
To what extent do you trust in …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)
Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses
No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust
-33%
-34%
-29%
-32%
-22%
-9%
-29%
-35%
-28%
-28%
-21%
-21%
-22%
-41%
-42%
-39%
-36%
-19%
-6%
-21%
-42%
-28%
-33%
-12%
-23%
-30%
19%
17%
17%
22%
39%
34%
37%
16%
28%
29%
51%
23%
16%
4%
2%
3%
2%
11%
48%
10%
1%
5%
5%
12%
3%
2%
-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90%
Government
Parliament
President
Courts
Army
Church
Local government
Political parties
Banks
Police
Media
NGO-s
Trade unions
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201127
To what extent do you trust in …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)
Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses
No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust
-33%
-35%
-30%
-33%
-26%
-12%
-29%
-37%
-28%
-30%
-26%
-27%
-26%
-42%
-44%
-44%
-42%
-24%
-11%
-27%
-45%
-33%
-43%
-14%
-30%
-36%
20%
16%
13%
18%
33%
34%
31%
14%
27%
21%
47%
22%
16%
3%
2%
3%
1%
8%
40%
10%
1%
6%
4%
12%
4%
3%
-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%
Government
Parliament
President
Courts
Army
Church
Local government
Political parties
Banks
Police
Media
NGO-s
Trade unions
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
To what extent do you trust in …? (Some trust +Very much trust)
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Church
Media
Army
Local government
Police
Banks
NGO-s
Courts
Government
President
Parliament
Trade unions
Political parties
Chisinau mun.National
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201129
Which is the political personality in the Republic of Moldova you trust in the most? (open-ended question)
14%
13%
10%
6%
5%
4%
1%
4%
24%
12%
11%
6%
14%
6%
8%
1%
3%
20%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Vlad Filat
Vladimir Voronin
Marian Lupu
Dorin Chirtoacă
Mihai Ghimpu
Igor Dodon
Buliga Valentina
Other personality
No trust in anybody
Chisinau mun.
National
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201130
To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (NATIONAL SAMPLE)
I have not heard about
Difference up to 100% represents NA
Not so much trustNo trust Some trust / Very much trust
-21%
-25%
-23%
-23%
-26%
-25%
-21%
-13%
-15%
-16%
-15%
-32%
-49%
-32%
-46%
-32%
-32%
-42%
-34%
-37%
-38%
-44%
-3%
-9%
-1%
-1%
-1%
-19%
-20%
-42%
-33%
-10%
-1%
23%
6%
25%
14%
25%
13%
7%
3%
5%
18%
20%
10%
1%
12%
8%
9%
3%
1%
0%
1%
9%
13%
-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%
Dorin Chirtoacă
Dumitru Diacov
Vlad Filat
Mihai Ghimpu
Marian Lupu
Buliga Valentina
Vladimir Plahotniuc
Victor Şelin
Victor Bodiu
Igor Dodon
Vladimir Voronin
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201131
To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU)
I have not heard about
Difference up to 100% represents NA responses
Not so much trustNo trust Some trust/ Very much trust
-20%
-26%
-23%
-22%
-31%
-28%
-23%
-15%
-21%
-17%
-14%
-27%
-57%
-32%
-41%
-39%
-45%
-56%
-48%
-49%
-42%
-54%
0%
-6%
-1%
-1%
-1%
-10%
-8%
-27%
-16%
-4%
-1%
28%
5%
30%
20%
18%
10%
5%
4%
7%
19%
14%
20%
1%
10%
11%
6%
3%
2%
0%
1%
14%
13%
-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70%
Dorin Chirtoacă
Dumitru Diacov
Vlad Filat
Mihai Ghimpu
Marian Lupu
Buliga Valentina
Vladimir Plahotniuc
Victor Şelin
Victor Bodiu
Igor Dodon
Vladimir Voronin
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities?(Some trust + Very much trust)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Vlad Filat
Marian Lupu
Dorin Chirtoacă
Vladimir Voronin
Igor Dodon
Mihai Ghimpu
Valentina Buliga
Vladimir Plahotniuc
Dumitru Diacov
Victor Bodiu
Victor Şelin
ChisinauNational
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201133
Would you go to voting, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday?
I would go, I am absolutely sure
I would go, for sure
I would probably go
I would probably not go
I would not go, for sure
DK
NA
45%
25%
16%
-5%
-5%
4%
0%
59%
20%
12%
-4%
-3%
2%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201134
What party would you vote for, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday?
Percentage of the total sample
11%
13%
1%
27%
19%
0%
0%
0%
5%
19%
5%
7%
23%
1%
26%
20%
1%
1%
3%
12%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Democratic Party
Liberal Party
People’s Christian-Democratic Party
Party of Communists
Liberal-Democratic Party
Social-Democratic Party
Other party
An independent candidate
I would not vote
DK
NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201135
Local elections will be held on the 5th of June 2011. Will you go to voting?
I would go, I am absolutely sure
I would go, for sure
I would probably go
I would probably not go
I would not go, for sure
DK/NA
53%
25%
13%
-3%
-4%
2%
66%
16%
9%
-4%
-3%
2%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201136
Whose political party’s candidates to the function of district councillor will you vote for?
Percentage of the total sample* Basis, national sample: 830 respondents outside Chişinău
and Bălţi municipalities
12%
9%
0%
20%
18%
1%
1%
0%
4%
28%
7%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Democratic Party
Liberal Party
People’s Christian-DemocraticParty
Party of Communists
Liberal-Democratic Party
Social-Democratic Party
Other party
An independent candidate
I would not vote
DK
NA
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201137
Which party/parties you would not vote for in any case at local elections of 5th of June 2011? Multiple response
10%
24%
15%
34%
14%
9%
1%
17%
18%
15%
23%
11%
43%
17%
5%
1%
11%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Democratic Party
Liberal Party
People’s Christian-Democratic Party
Party of Communists
Liberal-Democratic Party
Social-Democratic Party
Other party
DK
NA
National
Chisinau
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 201138
Whom will you vote for the function of General Mayor of the capital?
Percentage of the total sample
2%
0%
0%
0%
26%
0%
1%
4%
39%
0%
3%
1%
12%
12%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Sergiu Corobceanu (Social-Democratic -Party)
Victor Bodiu (Liberal-Democratic Party)
Radu Busila (People’s Christian-Democratic Party)
Valentin Krylov (Party of Socialists)
Oleg Oniscenko (“Casa Noastra -Moldova”)
Igor Dodon (Party of Communists)
Valeriu Klimenko (“Ravnopravie” Social-political -Movement)
Vitalia Pavlicenco (National-Liberal Party)
Maia Laguta ( “Patriotii Moldovei” Party)
Valentina Buliga (Democratic Party)
Valeriu Plesca ( “Forta a treia” Electoral block)
Mihai Manoli (People’s Democratic Party)
Dorin Chirtoaca (Liberal Party)
Other candidate
I will not vote
I will not vote in Chisinau, because I do not have a legal residence
DK
NA
©Institutul de Politici Publice, 2011
30 mai, 2011
Impact of participation in voting on the score: example
Dorin Chirtoacă Presence to voting
I would go to voting,
I am absolutely sure
I would go to voting,
I am sure
I would probab-ly go to voting
TOTAL 39% 66% 16% 9%
Age
18 - 29 years old 45% 64% 14% 11%
30 - 44 years old
36% 62% 17% 10%
45 - 59 years old
40% 73% 14% 7%
60 + years old 23% 67% 23% 7%
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