Bob Black Life401.com bob@bobblackdistrict4.com robertblack401@live.com

Bob Black

Life401.combob@bobblackdistrict4.comrobertblack401@live.com

Climate Change Real Science

Factors Factor Degree of Human Control Output of the sun None Particles in the air Some Gasses in the air Some The orbit tilt None The orbit eccentricity None Relation tilt to apogee vs perigee None The building of cities and paving Complete Our location in the plane of the galaxy None

Earth Temperature gain ( Loss ) = Sun –Reflected - Radiated

It all starts with the sun

Our sun is a variable star

Near term

Ulysses spacecraft showed a 50 year low in solar wind. Recently we had a 55 year low in radio emissions from the

sun

Orbital effects Eccentricity 400, 123 and 95 thousand years

Oval makes the earth away more than nearAnnual cooling when away will be more than heating when away

Axis tilt 41 thousand yearsLess tilt means cooler polesCooler poles grow ice and cause cooling

Precession (Tip to orbit position) 23 and 19 thousand yearsMore land north of the equator than southSummer heating vs winter cooling

In and out of the plane of the galaxy 63 million years

Things in the atmosphere

Major green house gasses Carbon Dioxide Methane

Major anti green house gas: Sulfur Dioxide

Major green house particle: Soot

Major reflectors: Fine dust Smoke ( South and East Asia )

Both: Clouds

Green house gasses

Mona Loa Carbon Dioxide measurements

Recent data

GISS – Goddard Institute for Space Studies and home of James Hansen,Hadley Centre – British Meteorological Office research centreUAH – The University of Alabama, Huntsville, home of Roy Spencer with his colleagues including John Christy of NASA andRSS – Remote Sensing Systems in Santa Rosa, California, a company supported by NASA for the analysis of satellite data

Attempts at prediction

Judith Lean (NRL) and

David Rind (NASA/GISS)

Measured temperature Black

Model predicted temperature Orange

Pacific currents Purple

Volcanoes Blue

CO2 in Red

Sun output in Green

Predicts the past with 76% of accuracy

Sum of effects

Low sun output is now cooling Higher Carbon Dioxide is now heating Low levels of Sulfur Dioxide is heating Fine particles are cooling Larger particles are heating Orbit is warming Paving and building is warming

Science Conclusion

Climate has always been changing Humans are having an effect but it is

overwhelmed by natural processes With enough factors we are able to predict the

past in the short term with 76 % accuracy The future is less predictable Some changes can be fast

Future climate disruption

Super volcano Certain

Comet strike we can’t stop Certain

Lunatics with Nuclear bombs Probable

Sun output low causing ice age Certain

Plane of Galaxy cooling Certain

Run away green house effect Not Known

Any of the above will cause famine

High temperature mitigation

Sea level Flood the Quatrra Depression ( sp?) (-436ft.) Increase the level of the dead sea (-1,200 ft to

surface) Dams

Atmospheric Gasses Seed the sea with iron Bury yard waste and organic waste Burn Hydrogen Sulfide in high altitude aircraft

Wealth

Questions?

Solar output

Data from Radio carbon dating