GRIP | Sebastian Carney

Regional Scale

• The sponsors• Scope

– Standards

• Sources of information and standards• Criteria• GRIP’s three approaches• Software tools

– Open Access, Free to Use

The Emission Tools

• Web based.• Return to points.• Consistent reporting.• Advice and support offered.• Colour coded clarification.

Inventory Results

• 6.7million people; 2.4million households• Cheshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, Greater

Manchester, Merseyside• GDP £77billion;

– GDP per head £11,273– GDP nationally £15,788

DOMESTIC30%

ENERGY INDUSTRY OWN

USE6%

TRANSPORT22%

FUGITIVE EMISSIONS

4%

OTHER2%

INDUSTRIAL26%

SERVICES10%

Inventory Results

• All emissions:– 11.2 tonnes CO2 eqv per person NW

– 11 tonnes nationally• Average household –

– 6.7 tonnes CO2 region

– 5.6 tonnes nationally• All emissions

– 0.87 tonnes per £1000 GVA regionally– 0.74 tonnes per £1000 GVA nationally

Inventory Results

Scenario Process

• Rationale– Group settings– Benefits– The question– The range– Additional feedback, learning environment.– Quantification

• Phase 1: Scenario generation-individual stakeholders• Phase 2: Scenario generation-groups• The tool

The Four Scenarios

• 40% - 4x4xbye • 50% - Hanging out the washing• 60% - Greening business is usual• 70% - Upwardly mobile

Electricity Supply Region 2050

On-Site8%

GRID80%

CHP12%

CHP Fuel Source

Gas92%

Coal / Oil2%

Biofuel6%

Electricity Supply North West

Coal CCS10%

CCGT 17%

Nuclear26%

Renewables19%

Biofuel11%

Gas CCS12%

Coal5%

Regional Renewables Supply

Wind Off Shore60%

Tidal15%

Wind on Shore25%

Non-Electrical Energy Fuel Split

Gas57%

Solid5%

Liquid25%

Biofuel11%

Hydrogen2%

Energy Fuel Split

Gas66%

Solid6%

Liquid13%

Biofuel13%

Hydrogen2%

Transport Fuel Split

Biofuel14%

Liquid67%

Electricity9%

Hydrogen10%

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000

G W h

DOM ESTIC

SERVICES

HEAVY INDUSTRY

LIGHT INDUSTRY

ENERGY INDUSTRY

ROAD TRANSPORT

RAIL

AVIATION

M ARINE

Energy Characteristics

2000 Energy 2020 Energy 2050 Energy

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000

Thousand Tonnes

DOMESTIC

SERVICES

HEAVY INDUSTRY

LIGHT INDUSTRY

ENERGY INDUSTRY& FUGITIVE

ROAD TRANSPORT

RAIL

AVIATION

MARINE

2000 Emissions 2020 Emissions 2050 Emissions

Electricity Supply Region 2050

On-Site8%

GRID80%

CHP12%

Electricity Supply Region 2020

GRID86%

On-Site5%

CHP9%

Electricity Supply North West

Coal CCS10%

CCGT 17%

Nuclear26%

Renewables19%

Biofuel11%

Gas CCS12%

Coal5%

Electricity Supply Region 2020

CCGT 37%

Nuclear18%

Biofuel11%

Renewables19%

Coal CCS11%

Coal4%

Regional Renewables Supply

Wind Off Shore60%

Tidal15%

Wind on Shore25%

Regional Renewables Supply

Wind on Shore24%

Wind Off Shore57%

Hydro5%

Tidal14%

Where to next?

• Other regions • Smaller scales Suggestions? • Questions

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70% 2050 - Electricity Supply Region 2050

GRID68%

CHP19%

On-Site13%

70% CHP Fuel Source

Gas87%

Coal / Oil1%

Biofuel11%

Hydrogen1%

GRID Region

Nuclear21%

Biofuel18%

Renewables32%

Coal CCS13%

Gas CCS10%

CCGT 6%

Regional Renewables Supply

Wind Off Shore55%

Tidal19%

Hydro3%

Wind on Shore17%

Solar6%

Total Non Electrical Fuels Consumed 2050

Gas40%

Solid4%

Liquid15%

Biofuel22%

Hydrogen19%

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000

Tho us and T o nnes C O 2

DOM ESTIC

SERVICES

HEAVY INDUSTRY

LIGHT INDUSTRY

ENERGY INDUSTRY

ROAD TRANSPORT

RAIL

AVIATION

M ARINE

Emissions Characteristics

2050 Emissions2020 Emissions2000 Emissions

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000

G W h

DOM ESTIC

SERVICES

HEAVY INDUSTRY

LIGHT INDUSTRY

ENERGY INDUSTRY

ROAD TRANSPORT

RAIL

AVIATION

M ARINE

Energy Characteristics

2050 Energy2020 Energy2000 Energy

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