Hans Mackaaij (ALO) Drs. Jolanda Mol

Hans Mackaaij (ALO)Drs. Jolanda Mol

Prediction is possible

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Requirement of the ALO

Improve study succes: • Improve the quality of the starters • Decrease the dropout of students

Support of Talent.Sense:1. Start 2. Move up3. Exit

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Is prediction possible?

- Is it possible to predict study succes?

- Is it possible to figure out the reasons of dropout?

- Is it possible to prevent dropout?

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Talent.Sense Methode

MatchBalanceAttitude

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Competences / Affinities

Study attitude / succes expectation

Personal strength

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Questionnaire

• Psychological instrument• 202 stellingen & 42 vragen

– Intake rapport, Study development rapport, Quickscan

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Balance as a predictor

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- Stability = I CAN- Requirements = I WANT- Frustrates = I CAN NOT

S B FOptimaal

G1-G7

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Attitude as a predictor

IS A Succesfull

IS B Probably succesfull

IS C Not succesfull

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Succes expectation:

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Match as a predictor

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Research

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Total N 650Number of sampels 2Predictors S-scoreCriterion variable Dropout

Bron: Prediction is Possible (Witte, de Jong en Schoonman, 2014)

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Result

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Result

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Risico groep Drop-out % Drop-out % N=650 Accuracy 66% Accuracy 73%A (laag) 26% 28%

B (midden) 37% 43%

C (hoog) 56% 88%

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IS predictor

Dropout Succes

• Low emotional stability• Feelings of being overloaded• Helpness, powerless• Highly dynamic

• Conscientiousness• Fous on tenacity• Structured / Stable • Enterprising

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Target group attention with I-score

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Indicator expected

studysucces

↑ Match with the study ↓

A Above average Above average Variable succes

B Variable succes Variable succes Below average

C Below average Barely succes Barely succes

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Use of insights

TS meting

ABalans Keep

Disbalans Keep

BBalans Keep

Disbalans Critical

CBalans Critical

Disbalans Exit

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Prediction is possible

Increase of Study succes - Is it possible to predict study succes?

→ yes: the lower the indicator of succes, the higher the change of dropout

- Is it possible to figure out the reasons of dropout? → yes: the reason is caused by attitude, balance and match

- Is it possible to prevent dropout? → yes: students with a lower balance and vulnerable

attitude need counseling on a frequent base

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Contact

L&D SupportSector Onderwijs

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Drs. Jolanda MolJ.Mol@LDsupport.nl0031 6 121 75 649

Hans Mackaaij H.Mackaaij@hva.nl 0