How$to$model$diffusion?$didawiki.cli.di.unipi.it/lib/exe/fetch.php/wma/sna.diffusion2.pdf ·...

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How  to  model  diffusion?  

Decision-­‐based  diffusion  models  

Collec6ve  ac6on  [Granove;er  1978]  

The  model  of  collec6ve  ac6on  

Dynamics  of  collec6ve  ac6on  

Fragile  vs.  robust  fixed  points  

Distribu6on  of  thresholds  (trust)  

Simula6on  

Simula6on  

Early adopters!

Innovators!

Early majority!

Late majority!

Laggards!Broadcast!

Contagion!

Weaknesses  of  the  CA  model  

Decision-­‐based  diffusion  models  

Game-­‐theore6c  models  of  cascades  [Moore  2000]  

Game  theore6c  models  of  cascades  

Rules  of  the  game  

Decision  rule  for  node  v  

Example  

Stopping  cascades  

Stopping  cascades  

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