Inferences based on TWO samples

Inferences based on TWO samples

•New concept: Independent versus dependent samples

•Comparing two population means: Independent sampling

•Comparing two population means: Dependent sampling

2

Inferences About Two Means• In the previous chapter we used one sample

to make inferences about a single population. Very often we are interested in comparing two populations.– 1) Is the average midterm grade in Stat 201.11

higher than the average midterm grade in Stat 201.12?

– 2) Is the average grade in Quiz #1 higher than Quiz #2 in this section of Introductory Statistics?

Inferences about Two Means

• Each sample is an example of testing a claim between two populations. However, there is a fundamental difference between 1) and 2).

• In # 2) the samples are not independent where as in # 1), they are.

• Why? 1. Different people in each class. 2. Same people writing different test.

Recognizing independent versus dependent samples

1. Is the average midterm grade in Stat 201.11 higher than the average

midterm grade in Stat 201.12? Independent samples

2. Is the average grade in Quiz #1 higher than Quiz #2 in this section

of Introductory Statistics? Dependent samples

Definition. Independent and Dependent Samples

Two samples are independent if the sample selected from one population is not related to the sample selected from the other population.

If one sample is related to the other, the samples are dependent. With dependent samples we get two values for each person, sometimes called paired-samples.

We consider first the case of two dependent (or paired) samples

•Calculations are very similar to those in the previous chapter for a CI or Test of Hypothesis involving one sample

Organize work using a table

Sample 1 Sample 2 Difference

1 x1 y1 d1=x1 - y1

2 x2 y2 d2=x2 - y2

3 x3 y3 d3=x3 - y3

… ..l. …. …..

n xn yn dn=xn -yn

Organize work using a table

Sample 1 Sample 2 Difference

1 x1 y1 d1=x1 - y1

2 x2 y2 d2=x2 - y2

3 x3 y3 d3=x3 - y3

… ..l. …. …..

n xn yn dn=xn -yn

Can now use the methods of the previous chapter to find a confidence interval for the population mean of the difference d between x1 and x2.

d

Notation for Two Dependent Samples

data of pairs ofnumber

data sample paired for the

sdifference theofdeviation standard

data sample paired the

for sdifference theof mean value

data. paired of population for the

sdifference theof mean value

n

ds

dd

d

d

d

Confidence Interval for the Mean Difference

(Dependent Samples: Paired Data ) The (1-)*100% confidence interval for the mean

difference d is

. and of instead used are and then 30 If --

normal. is scores difference

of population that theassume then we30n If --

data. sample

paired in the sdifference theofdeviation

standard theandmean theare and where

2,12,1

stzn

sd

n

std

n

std

d

dnd

dn

Test Statistic for the Mean Difference (Dependent Samples)

For n<30 the appropriate test statistic for testing the mean difference between paired samples is

with n-1 degrees of freedom.

For n>30 then we use ‘z’

nsd

td

d

n

dz

d

d

We now turn to the more challenging case of independent

samples

Testing Claims about the Mean Difference (Independent Samples)

• When making claims about the mean difference between independent samples a different procedure is used than that for dependent/paired samples.

• Again there are different procedures for large (n>30) samples and small samples (n<30).

• In the small sample case, we must assume that both populations are normal and have equal variances.

ExampleSuppose we wish to compare two brands of 9-

volt batteries, Brand 1 and Brand 2. Specifically, we would like to compare the mean life for the population of batteries of Brand 1, 1, and the mean life for the population of batteries of Brand 2, 2. To obtain a meaningful comparison we shall estimate the difference of the two population means by picking samples from the two populations.

For Brand 1 a sample of size 64 was chosen.

For Brand 2 a sample of size 49 was chosen.

From the data a point estimate for 1, would be 7.13. From the data a point estimate for 2 would be 7.78.

It would therefore be natural for us to take as a point estimate for (1-2) to be -0.65 hours.

4.1

13.7

1

1

s

x

2.1

78.7

2

2

s

x

Point Estimator (Independent Samples)

The estimate is the best point estimator of (1-2).

Having found a point estimate, our next goal is to determine a confidence interval for it.

21 xx

Point Estimator (Independent Samples)

To construct a confidence interval for (1-2) we need to know the distribution of its point estimator.

The distribution of is normal with mean (1-2) and standard deviation

where n1 is the size of sample 1, n2 is the size of sample 2.

21 xx

2

22

1

21

)( 21 nnxx

Confidence Interval for Difference in two Means (Large samples or known

variance)

2

22

1

21

22121

2

22

1

21

221 nn

zxxnn

zxx

Example: Life span of Batteries

Let = .05 so we are looking for the 95% confidence interval for the mean difference.

16.014.1

48825.065.49

2.1

64

4.196.165.

21

21

22

What conclusion can you draw from the above?

Example: Life span of Batteries

Let = .05 so we are looking for the 95% confidence interval for the mean difference.

16.014.1

48825.065.49

2.1

64

4.196.165.

21

21

22

We are 95 percent certain that the difference is negative. Thus, we are 95% certain that

21

21 0

Test Statistic for Two Means: Independent and large samples

2

22

1

21

2121

nn

xxz

Example: Life span of Batteries

• Hypothesis Testing. I claim that the two brands of batteries do not have the same life span. Using a 5% level of significance, test this claim.

Example: Life span of Batteries

• Hypothesis

• Sample Data

• Test Statistic

21

210

:

:

AH

H

64

4.1

13.7

1

1

n

s

x

49

2.1

78.7

2

2

n

s

x

65.2

492.1

644.1

078.713.722

2

22

1

21

2121

nn

xxz

Example: Life span of Batteries

• Critical Region

• Decision The test statistic lies in the critical region, therefore we reject H0. The samples provide sufficient evidence to claim that the Batteries do indeed have different life spans.

Exercise

Show that we would have rejected the null hypothesis even if we had used level of significance .008 (instead of .05. Thus…

We conclude that the mean battery lives ARE different (p = .008)

Overview

• Comparing Two Populations:

• Mean (Small Dependent (paired) Samples)– Asumptions: Samples are random plus eith

n>=30 or the population of differences is approximately normal

• Mean (Large Independent Samples)• Assumptions: Both samples are randomly chosen

plus both sample sizes >= 30.

NOTEIn the case of SMALL independent

samples, one must use the t-distribution plus additional

conditions must be satisfied AND one must use what is called a

pooled estimate of the variance.

NOTE

In the case of SMALL independent samples, one must use the t-

distribution plus additional conditions must be satisfied AND

one must use what is called a pooled estimate of the variance.

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