MARKAL Demo: UTOPIA

Evelyn Wright & Dan Loughlin APB/APPCD/NRMRL/ORD/USEPA

Presentation to NESCAUM

December 18th, 2003

MARKAL Demo: UTOPIAMARKAL Demo: UTOPIA

Scenario Management

The Reference Energy System

OilWell

Pipeline RefineryPowerPlant

CoalMine

TransportPowerPlant

ResidentialAir

Conditioner

EnergyConservation

Oil 2Oil 1Oil

Gas

Coal 1Coal

Coal

Elec

tric

Elec

tric

PowerPlant

Syn-Gasfrom Coal

ResidentialSpace

Cooling

PipelineGas Well

Resource technologies

Process technologies

Conversion technologies

Demand technologies

End-usedemand

Browsing a Scenario

Viewing the RES: Transportation

Navigating the RES

Navigating the RES

Viewing the RES: Residential Lighting

Navigating the RES: Residential Lighting

Navigating the RES: Residential Lighting

Viewing a Technology

Run Model…

Diesel Gasoline Electricity

Transportation

Heating

Lighting

…Finding equilibrium prices, fuel usage, emissions

Results

Results

Scenarios that could be Evaluated

Effect of:

Addition of new capacityAddition of new technologyEmissions limitsChanges in fuel pricesChanges in technology prices

Evaluate Effect of Tax on Diesel Fuel

Results

Base Case

Diesel Tax

Results

Base Case

Diesel Tax

Interpretation

Diesel Gasoline Electricity

Transportation

Heating

Lighting