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MINNEAPOLIS REGION
The Twin Cities region has two central cities, Minneapolis and Saint Paul. About 2 percent of the metro’s residents live in areas with strong economic expansion or gentrification. By contrast, about 24 percent of residents live in areas that have experienced decline or poverty concentration since 2000.
In the city of Minneapolis, strongly gentrifying neighborhoods are somewhat more common than in the rest of the region, containing about 9 percent of residents. These neighborhoods include North Loop, a portion of Northeast, Bryn Mawr, Elliot Park, and parts of South Minneapolis. However, on net, these neighborhoods have seen limited displacement of about 7 percent of their low-income population.
Throughout the rest of the region, poverty concentration has been the overwhelming trend, particularly in first-ring suburbs like Brooklyn Park, Brooklyn Center, and Maplewood. In the suburbs, the low-income population of economically declining areas has increased by 88,000 since 2000 – a 101 percent gain. White flight and rapid racial transition has also occurred, causing segregation. Strongly declining suburban tracts have lost nearly 19 percent of their white population, a combined 96,000 people. In those same tracts, the black and Hispanic population has each grown by 158 percent, and the Asian population by 87 percent, a combined 86,000 people.
Regional Total Population: 3,420,041
Regional Low-Income Population: 778,418
Regional Nonwhite Population: 792,455
Central City Population: 701,830
Central City Low-Income Population: 275,396
Central City Nonwhite Population: 298,910
NET DISPLACEMENT (Low-Income Change in Tracts with Strong Expansion, 2000-2016)
Central City: -1,080
Suburbs: -462
NET CONCENTRATION (Low-Income Change in Tracts with Strong Decline, 2000-2016)
Central City: 30,306
Suburbs: 86,749
1
DETAILS ON TABLES
The following tables depict aggregated population and housing change in two categories of neighborhoods across the metropolitan area, its central cities, and its suburbs. The categories are:
• Economically expanding neighborhoods, which are those experiencing the kind of population changes associated with growth and displacement. These are neighborhoods where the low-income* share of population has fallen since 2000 (indicating that an area has grown less poor overall) and the absolute number of non-low-income residents has grown since 2000 (indicating that middle-income residents see the area as an attractive place to live).
• Economically declining neighborhoods, which are those experiencing the kind of population changes associated with abandonment and poverty concentration. These are neighborhoods where the low-income share of population has grown since 2000 (indicating that an area has more less poor overall) and the absolute number of non-low-income residents has fallen since 2000 (indicating that middle-income residents do not see the area as an attractive place to live).
Two variants of this measure exist, and a separate table is provided for each. They are:
• In the upper set of tables, a strong, narrow measure, which only includes census tracts that have a change of +/-5 percent or greater in low-income population share, and a change of +/-10 percent for non-low-income population. This approach classifies fewer neighborhoods overall, excluding areas with only small changes in their income profile. This is the more robust and preferred measure. It is also the measure used in the accompanying maps.
• In the lower set of tables, a weak, broad measure, which includes all census tracts with any change that meet the criteria for the two categories above, with no cutoffs for scale. This approach classifies more neighborhoods overall, but is noisier, because it includes tracts with very small population changes. In addition, because this report relies on American Community Survey sampling data with margins of error, this measure is more likely to include erroneously classified tracts. However, this broad measure can provide a useful outer estimate of the scale of neighborhood economic expansion and decline.
Three sets of tables are provided. They are:
• Figures for the entire metropolitan region, aggregating central cities and suburbs into one set of tables. • Figures for central cities. • Figures for suburban areas, defined as any area in the metropolitan region not included in a central city.
This includes incorporated and unincorporated communities.
Each table depicts the number of people in each of the two neighborhood categories, both overall and in various population subsets. It also shows the number of housing units of various types in each neighborhood category.
• 2016 Share indicates what share of the regional, city, or suburban population of a given group live in expanding or declining tracts. The box is shaded in accordance with the size of the share.
• 2016 Total indicates the absolute number of individuals in a given group that live in expanding or declining census tracts.
• Net Change since 2000 indicates the change of population of a subgroup in expanding or declining tracts since 2000, both in percentage and in absolute terms. These have been colored to indicate the type of change. In economically expanding tracts, green indicates net growth while blue indicates net displacement. In economically declining tracts, red indicates net poverty concentration while purple indicates net abandonment. Darker shades indicate larger percentage changes.
* For the purposes of this report, “low-income” is classified as individuals at 200 percent of poverty line or less.
2
DETAILS ON MAPS
Neighborhood change has also been mapped by individual census tracts, incorporating the same data used to create the tables above.
The map incorporates the strong measure of neighborhood change used to create the tables. In the maps, tracts have been subdivided into four categories:
• Economically expanding areas with low-income displacement, indicated in blue, where a neighborhood’s income profile is improving while low-income population declines on net. These are typically places undergoing changes traditionally associated with gentrification, in which economic pressures push out lower incomes while higher income residents arrive.
• Economically expanding areas with overall growth, indicated in green, where a neighborhood’s income profile is improving while low-income population increases on net. These are typically places with significant new housing construction, where residents across the income spectrum are arriving.
• Economically declining areas with abandonment, indicated in purple, where a neighborhood’s income profile is worsening while low-income population declines on net. These are typically places experiencing the worst neighborhood economic decline, with people across the income spectrum leaving and outright depopulation occurring.
• Economically declining areas with poverty concentration, indicated in red, where a neighborhood’s income profile is worsening while low-income population increases on net. These are typically places where higher-income flight and eroding housing stocks are causing rapid demographic and economic transition, contributing to the impoverishment of the area.
The categories are also shaded to indicate the scale of low-income population change within the census tracts.
The maps allow intra-regional comparisons of observed neighborhood change. However, because these classifications have been made using American Community Survey data with margins of error, precise measures are not possible and it is likely that some individual tracts are erroneously classified. As a consequence, readers are advised to focus more on clusters of tracts undergoing similar changes rather than individual outliers, particularly outliers with smaller-scale changes.
3
2.3% 80,040 39.0% +22,461 23.5% 803,262 0.1% +9252.4% 18,354 -7.8% -1,542 36.3% 282,240 70.9% +117,0552.9% 9,443 4.1% +372 37.9% 125,307 86.3% +58,0322.7% 3,905 -0.3% -12 35.9% 51,848 83.0% +23,5204.3% 676 -33.3% -337 30.7% 4,807 -16.8% -9741.3% 2,804 -10.9% -344 35.0% 75,513 55.5% +26,9624.1% 10,805 19.6% +1,773 42.3% 112,515 79.7% +49,9152.8% 5,400 28.1% +1,186 35.9% 69,146 85.3% +31,8382.2% 57,834 51.9% +19,760 19.4% 510,568 -18.4% -115,1342.4% 22,365 129.0% +12,597 18.3% 169,694 21.2% +29,7002.3% 31,135 21.1% +5,422 26.3% 359,552 -2.5% -9,1992.1% 9,047 26.3% +1,884 22.7% 96,237 -10.2% -10,9792.4% 1,037 -17.6% -221 41.7% 18,307 83.9% +8,3542.1% 8,010 35.6% +2,105 20.5% 77,930 -19.9% -19,3332.1% 593 -24.4% -191 41.0% 11,383 79.6% +5,0462.3% 18,997 24.5% +3,743 23.4% 193,147 -8.1% -16,9522.8% 22,883 26.1% +4,738 25.9% 208,786 1.1% +2,3122.2% 30,728 56.3% +11,067 22.1% 302,521 0.1% +3611.8% 7,432 64.9% +2,925 23.6% 98,808 19.2% +15,9102.3% 69,923 39.0% +19,632 22.4% 688,687 -5.3% -38,8892.9% 10,117 38.8% +2,826 33.0% 114,575 53.3% +39,8242.0% 18,337 58.6% +6,772 21.0% 191,646 -8.8% -18,6033.3% 13,347 29.3% +3,021 29.7% 119,414 18.5% +18,6592.8% 1,850 111.9% +977 25.2% 16,666 139.4% +9,704
13.6% 466,586 30.3% +108,469 48.6% 1,661,391 0.6% +9,31510.3% 80,490 6.0% +4,523 62.4% 485,698 56.8% +175,90010.6% 35,206 18.0% +5,370 64.7% 214,024 73.0% +90,33311.4% 16,445 29.6% +3,756 63.9% 92,437 76.7% +40,12113.3% 2,089 -27.0% -773 57.1% 8,936 -29.2% -3,6778.1% 17,550 73.1% +7,413 60.1% 129,483 54.5% +45,7029.8% 26,010 28.4% +5,751 69.6% 184,989 72.0% +77,418
10.5% 20,165 45.4% +6,294 63.9% 122,936 90.7% +58,45714.8% 388,224 27.8% +84,446 44.0% 1,156,989 -13.8% -185,49715.3% 141,648 75.6% +60,976 45.0% 417,379 23.7% +80,10112.9% 176,160 16.5% +24,917 51.1% 698,496 -3.2% -23,42313.2% 55,993 18.2% +8,619 46.2% 195,785 -11.1% -24,3977.7% 3,397 -7.4% -273 67.9% 29,780 74.9% +12,755
13.8% 52,596 20.3% +8,892 43.7% 166,005 -18.3% -37,1528.3% 2,312 5.5% +120 68.5% 19,016 79.9% +8,447
13.3% 110,055 18.5% +17,178 46.6% 385,082 -10.1% -43,42914.0% 112,936 21.3% +19,798 51.8% 417,868 1.1% +4,52113.9% 189,664 38.7% +52,949 47.0% 643,818 1.0% +6,52012.9% 53,931 50.1% +18,002 51.3% 214,623 24.5% +42,18713.9% 427,923 28.7% +95,342 47.3% 1,454,167 -3.8% -58,01611.1% 38,663 51.4% +13,120 59.7% 207,224 48.1% +67,32913.6% 124,730 30.3% +28,971 46.4% 424,483 -5.3% -23,58414.9% 59,767 29.7% +13,670 56.2% 225,939 17.6% +33,84616.4% 10,867 105.2% +5,570 50.7% 33,502 115.8% +17,981
*The figures in the lower set of tables may include many neighborhoods with very sl ight demographic changes, and are especially sensitive to sampling error. These tables are best understood as depicting an aggressive outer estimate of population shifts, as compared to the estimates in the upper set of tables, which are more robustly observed.
Data: U.S. Census.
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Expansion*
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Decline*
(Minneapolis Metro) (Minneapolis Metro)
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
TABLES FOR METROPOLITAN AREA - Minneapolis Region
ECONOMICALLY EXPANDING NEIGHBORHOODS ECONOMICALLY DECLINING NEIGHBORHOODS
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Expansion
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Decline
(Minneapolis Metro) (Minneapolis Metro)
4
9.1% 36,820 18.7% +5,797 23.4% 94,523 2.2% +2,0788.9% 13,679 -7.7% -1,142 30.5% 46,665 36.2% +12,3959.2% 7,610 3.4% +248 31.9% 26,498 59.9% +9,9268.2% 3,211 0.9% +28 31.0% 12,106 52.1% +4,146
14.0% 594 -32.1% -281 19.5% 831 -36.1% -4706.3% 1,503 -39.2% -970 33.0% 7,857 10.2% +730
12.5% 9,330 12.3% +1,025 32.8% 24,472 8.2% +1,86112.6% 4,910 30.7% +1,152 26.8% 10,411 42.6% +3,1097.7% 18,825 34.9% +4,867 18.7% 45,566 -7.7% -3,7839.4% 11,945 132.6% +6,809 15.0% 19,183 36.9% +5,1709.6% 13,472 -2.6% -355 26.1% 36,628 -6.7% -2,6407.8% 3,129 -5.3% -174 25.4% 10,145 -4.3% -4588.6% 807 -21.4% -220 36.9% 3,463 54.3% +1,2197.6% 2,322 2.0% +46 21.9% 6,682 -20.1% -1,6776.8% 439 -33.4% -220 37.0% 2,384 60.5% +8998.6% 6,969 -7.9% -594 26.7% 21,584 -10.2% -2,4599.1% 13,264 24.0% +2,570 23.8% 34,649 9.5% +3,0109.3% 13,268 29.4% +3,012 22.0% 31,311 7.5% +2,1819.3% 3,319 34.5% +852 19.6% 6,979 -8.9% -6798.4% 28,695 15.5% +3,859 23.3% 79,974 0.5% +372
13.1% 8,125 31.3% +1,937 23.5% 14,549 13.3% +1,7108.2% 6,628 47.2% +2,126 19.7% 15,888 -17.3% -3,317
10.3% 9,210 25.8% +1,886 21.9% 19,517 20.5% +3,32110.7% 1,235 106.9% +638 23.1% 2,663 76.6% +1,155
25.4% 102,637 15.3% +13,603 49.8% 201,494 0.4% +85921.5% 32,914 -1.2% -392 60.7% 92,911 22.4% +16,98721.4% 17,788 13.1% +2,065 61.4% 50,911 39.5% +14,41222.4% 8,742 24.8% +1,736 60.8% 23,732 42.8% +7,10927.2% 1,155 -38.4% -720 55.7% 2,370 -44.3% -1,88621.8% 5,196 5.2% +258 61.0% 14,547 -0.4% -5622.3% 16,681 12.0% +1,792 64.0% 47,802 9.9% +4,32325.8% 10,037 21.3% +1,760 56.3% 21,863 38.5% +6,08126.7% 65,158 17.5% +9,712 43.0% 105,057 -6.3% -7,00929.3% 37,432 66.0% +14,880 39.1% 49,890 35.1% +12,95023.8% 33,342 -4.3% -1,499 55.0% 77,058 -7.9% -6,57622.2% 8,869 -0.7% -59 51.4% 20,530 -6.1% -1,34217.8% 1,673 -11.5% -217 67.9% 6,369 37.9% +1,75223.6% 7,196 2.2% +158 46.4% 14,161 -17.9% -3,09416.6% 1,070 -15.3% -194 67.9% 4,375 48.2% +1,42222.4% 18,066 1.4% +258 53.1% 42,881 -11.1% -5,34026.5% 38,622 19.9% +6,423 51.6% 75,100 4.3% +3,12225.4% 36,213 19.7% +5,961 47.4% 67,555 5.7% +3,62627.3% 9,736 10.4% +914 44.8% 15,958 -2.8% -46725.1% 85,875 14.0% +10,576 48.8% 167,354 -0.7% -1,20127.1% 16,762 22.0% +3,023 55.1% 34,140 6.4% +2,06525.5% 20,518 13.1% +2,369 44.4% 35,717 -11.0% -4,40827.4% 24,441 19.4% +3,971 50.4% 45,005 9.6% +3,95926.5% 3,063 91.6% +1,464 53.9% 6,224 98.8% +3,093
*The figures in the lower set of tables may include many neighborhoods with very sl ight demographic changes, and are especially sensitive to sampling error. These tables are best understood as depicting an aggressive outer estimate of population shifts, as compared to the estimates in the upper set of tables, which are more robustly observed.
Data: U.S. Census.
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Expansion*
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Decline*
(Minneapolis) (Minneapolis)
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
TABLES FOR CENTRAL CITY ONLY - Minneapolis
ECONOMICALLY EXPANDING NEIGHBORHOODS ECONOMICALLY DECLINING NEIGHBORHOODS
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Expansion
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Decline
(Minneapolis) (Minneapolis)
5
1.5% 4,541 26.6% +953 39.9% 118,476 1.5% +1,7331.2% 1,418 4.6% +62 51.5% 63,052 39.7% +17,9111.1% 707 13.8% +86 53.4% 33,319 54.4% +11,7340.9% 219 -32.8% -107 51.1% 12,923 51.9% +4,4150.8% 13 225.0% +9 60.9% 1,040 -14.4% -1750.3% 157 -57.6% -213 53.3% 27,304 36.9% +7,3631.3% 604 49.1% +199 48.4% 21,977 52.9% +7,6080.2% 60 -70.6% -144 54.5% 15,151 15.9% +2,0762.2% 3,525 41.3% +1,030 29.9% 47,501 -24.4% -15,3582.5% 1,839 68.3% +746 24.4% 18,108 35.4% +4,7391.2% 1,383 14.4% +174 45.7% 50,870 -3.5% -1,8451.0% 338 1.8% +6 43.0% 15,065 -3.0% -4710.8% 68 11.5% +7 60.3% 5,235 49.3% +1,7291.0% 270 -0.4% -1 37.3% 9,830 -18.3% -2,2000.5% 25 -49.0% -24 59.7% 3,270 63.4% +1,2690.8% 619 20.7% +106 45.6% 34,304 -6.9% -2,5582.2% 2,023 17.0% +294 38.9% 35,200 7.0% +2,2941.4% 1,422 35.3% +371 38.1% 39,376 8.3% +3,0261.7% 477 75.4% +205 34.0% 9,596 -8.3% -8721.7% 4,040 28.7% +901 37.6% 90,836 -4.6% -4,3950.9% 501 11.6% +52 49.5% 27,640 28.5% +6,1331.2% 674 39.8% +192 34.8% 19,411 -16.0% -3,7032.8% 1,602 9.3% +136 37.7% 21,419 17.0% +3,1081.9% 136 240.0% +96 42.9% 3,029 106.9% +1,565
11.4% 33,737 11.1% +3,360 71.4% 212,089 2.1% +4,4117.4% 9,031 1.4% +124 80.2% 98,118 37.0% +26,4836.4% 4,000 -1.6% -66 82.1% 51,211 54.4% +18,0435.4% 1,360 -8.4% -124 82.9% 20,979 54.5% +7,3985.9% 101 -43.6% -78 82.4% 1,407 -31.6% -6502.2% 1,149 -18.2% -256 85.1% 43,625 45.0% +13,5498.9% 4,045 34.3% +1,032 76.0% 34,511 48.2% +11,2195.4% 1,502 -5.0% -79 85.3% 23,715 29.9% +5,459
16.3% 25,919 11.8% +2,732 62.7% 99,467 -20.9% -26,29420.1% 14,856 44.7% +4,592 55.4% 41,029 27.9% +8,9499.4% 10,466 -11.0% -1,294 76.2% 84,788 -4.4% -3,9148.1% 2,830 -3.5% -102 75.9% 26,589 -0.1% -282.9% 251 -35.1% -136 88.5% 7,678 50.4% +2,5749.8% 2,579 1.3% +34 71.7% 18,911 -12.1% -2,6023.8% 208 11.8% +22 89.0% 4,870 61.5% +1,8547.1% 5,344 5.1% +261 78.2% 58,859 -2.8% -1,693
12.2% 10,993 11.4% +1,124 70.2% 63,416 5.5% +3,32612.7% 13,147 19.6% +2,159 69.2% 71,546 7.1% +4,76515.1% 4,253 -4.1% -182 64.8% 18,268 -10.0% -2,02912.1% 29,223 9.1% +2,446 69.9% 168,705 -3.6% -6,3658.1% 4,514 25.4% +914 77.7% 43,384 33.0% +10,775
12.0% 6,702 4.4% +283 67.7% 37,747 -13.2% -5,73718.2% 10,357 13.2% +1,204 64.9% 36,905 11.6% +3,84513.7% 966 86.5% +448 69.6% 4,907 98.5% +2,435
*The figures in the lower set of tables may include many neighborhoods with very sl ight demographic changes, and are especially sensitive to sampling error. These tables are best understood as depicting an aggressive outer estimate of population shifts, as compared to the estimates in the upper set of tables, which are more robustly observed.
Data: U.S. Census.
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Expansion*
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Decline*
(Saint Paul) (Saint Paul)
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
TABLES FOR CENTRAL CITY ONLY - Saint Paul
ECONOMICALLY EXPANDING NEIGHBORHOODS ECONOMICALLY DECLINING NEIGHBORHOODS
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Expansion
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Decline
(Saint Paul) (Saint Paul)
6
1.4% 38,679 68.4% +15,711 21.7% 590,263 -0.5% -2,8860.6% 3,257 -12.4% -462 34.3% 172,523 101.1% +86,7490.6% 1,126 3.5% +38 35.3% 65,490 124.9% +36,3720.6% 475 16.4% +67 33.4% 26,819 126.1% +14,9590.7% 69 -48.5% -65 30.3% 2,936 -10.1% -3290.8% 1,144 275.1% +839 28.7% 40,352 87.8% +18,8690.6% 871 170.5% +549 45.3% 66,066 157.9% +40,4460.3% 430 70.6% +178 34.7% 43,584 157.4% +26,6531.6% 35,484 64.1% +13,863 18.8% 417,501 -18.7% -95,9931.2% 8,581 142.5% +5,042 18.3% 132,403 17.6% +19,7911.5% 16,280 52.5% +5,603 24.4% 272,054 -1.7% -4,7141.6% 5,580 58.2% +2,052 20.4% 71,027 -12.4% -10,0500.6% 162 -4.7% -8 37.3% 9,609 128.6% +5,4061.7% 5,418 61.3% +2,060 19.0% 61,418 -20.1% -15,4560.8% 129 69.7% +53 36.1% 5,729 100.9% +2,8781.7% 11,409 58.9% +4,231 20.5% 137,259 -8.0% -11,9351.3% 7,596 32.8% +1,874 24.3% 138,937 -2.1% -2,9921.4% 16,038 92.0% +7,684 20.6% 231,834 -2.0% -4,8461.0% 3,636 105.7% +1,868 23.2% 82,233 27.0% +17,4611.5% 37,188 66.6% +14,872 20.8% 517,877 -6.3% -34,8660.6% 1,491 128.0% +837 31.6% 72,386 79.2% +31,9811.4% 11,035 67.7% +4,454 20.1% 156,347 -6.9% -11,5831.0% 2,535 65.0% +999 30.7% 78,478 18.5% +12,2301.0% 479 103.0% +243 23.1% 10,974 175.0% +6,984
12.1% 330,212 38.3% +91,506 45.9% 1,247,808 0.3% +4,0457.7% 38,545 14.2% +4,791 58.6% 294,669 81.6% +132,4307.2% 13,418 33.6% +3,371 60.3% 111,902 107.1% +57,8787.9% 6,343 51.1% +2,144 59.5% 47,726 115.8% +25,6148.6% 833 3.1% +25 53.2% 5,159 -18.1% -1,1418.0% 11,205 195.3% +7,411 50.8% 71,311 82.4% +32,2093.6% 5,284 124.2% +2,927 70.5% 102,676 151.7% +61,8766.9% 8,626 115.0% +4,613 61.5% 77,358 154.1% +46,917
13.4% 297,147 32.0% +72,002 42.8% 952,465 -13.8% -152,19412.3% 89,360 86.7% +41,504 45.0% 326,460 21.7% +58,20211.9% 132,352 26.5% +27,710 48.1% 536,650 -2.4% -12,93312.7% 44,294 24.7% +8,780 42.6% 148,666 -13.4% -23,0275.7% 1,473 5.7% +80 61.0% 15,733 115.4% +8,429
13.3% 42,821 25.5% +8,700 41.2% 132,933 -19.1% -31,4566.5% 1,034 39.4% +292 61.6% 9,771 112.4% +5,171
12.9% 86,645 23.8% +16,659 42.3% 283,342 -11.4% -36,39611.1% 63,321 24.0% +12,251 48.9% 279,352 -0.7% -1,92712.5% 140,304 47.0% +44,829 44.9% 504,717 -0.4% -1,87111.3% 39,942 76.2% +17,270 50.9% 180,397 32.9% +44,68312.6% 312,825 35.7% +82,320 44.9% 1,118,108 -4.3% -50,4507.6% 17,387 111.9% +9,183 56.5% 129,700 72.4% +54,489
12.5% 97,510 37.0% +26,319 45.1% 351,019 -3.7% -13,4399.8% 24,969 51.6% +8,495 56.4% 144,029 22.1% +26,042
14.4% 6,838 115.0% +3,658 47.1% 22,371 125.6% +12,453
*The figures in the lower set of tables may include many neighborhoods with very sl ight demographic changes, and are especially sensitive to sampling error. These tables are best understood as depicting an aggressive outer estimate of population shifts, as compared to the estimates in the upper set of tables, which are more robustly observed.
Data: U.S. Census.
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Expansion*
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods with Any Indicators of Economic Decline*
(Minneapolis Suburbs) (Minneapolis Suburbs)
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
Owner Units Owner UnitsRenter Units Renter UnitsVacant Units Vacant Units
Seniors (65 and up) Seniors (65 and up)U.S.-Born U.S.-Born
Foreign-Born Foreign-Born
Children (Under 18) Children (Under 18)Young Adults (18-34) Young Adults (18-34)
Adults (35 to 64) Adults (35 to 64)
Families in Poverty Families in PovertyNon-Poor Families Non-Poor Families
Single Mothers Single Mothers
College-Educated College-EducatedNon-College Non-College
Families Families
Black BlackHispanic Hispanic
White White
Extreme Poverty Extreme PovertyAmerican Indian American Indian
Asian Asian
TABLES FOR REGIONAL SUBURBS - Minneapolis Region
TOTAL TOTALLow-Income Low-Income
Poverty Poverty
2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000 2016 Share 2016 Total Net Change Since 2000
ECONOMICALLY EXPANDING NEIGHBORHOODS ECONOMICALLY DECLINING NEIGHBORHOODS
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Expansion
Population Change by Subgroup in Neighborhoods Experiencing Strong Economic Decline
(Minneapolis Suburbs) (Minneapolis Suburbs)
7
St. Paul
Hugo
Blaine
EaganClifton
Somerset
May (t)
MinneapolisAfton
Grant
Orono
Corcoran
Medina
Oak Grove
Plymouth
Dayton
Woodbury
Lino Lakes
St. Joseph
Rosemount
Bloomington
Shakopee
Eden Prairie
Edina
Maple Grove
Burnsville
Cottage Grove
ChaskaDenmark (t)
Minnetonka
Lake Elmo
Savage
Chanhassen
Coon Rapids
Brooklyn Park
Prior Lake
Hassan (t)
Fridley
MaplewoodRoseville
Inver GroveHeights
Nininger (t)Apple Valley
Oakdale
Hastings
Victoria
Stillwater (t)Shoreview
Shorewood
Anoka
Louisville (t)
Rogers
Hudson
Champlin
StillwaterCrystal
Richfield
Baytown (t)
St. Louis Park
Golden Valley
North Oaks
Mound
West Lakeland (t)
White Bear (t)
Carver
Hanover
MendotaHeights
VadnaisHeights
Hopkins
Wayzata
ArdenHills
Jackson(t)
MahtomediWhiteBearLake
Brooklyn CenterNewBrighton
NewHope
Newport
SouthSt. Paul
WestSt. Paul
Prescott
LittleCanada
Lakeland
MoundsViewDellwood
St. PaulPark
Robbins-dale
Centerville
Bayport
Marine on St. Croix
Deephaven
NorthSt. Paul
ColumbiaHeightsSt.Anthony
Oak Park Heights
NorthHudson
CirclePines
FalconHeights
SunfishLake
GreyCloudIsland (t)
Osseo SpringLakePark
GemLake
Lilydale
Maple Plain
Tonka Bay
Long Lake
Pine Springs
Excelsior
Lexington
Woodland
Greenwood
SpringParkLake St. Croix Beach
Lakeland Shores
Loretto
Lauderdale
Mendota
St. Marys Point
MinnetonkaBeach
MedicineLake
Birchwood VillageHilltopWillernie
Landfall
Data Sources: Geolytics, U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 SF3; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey (5-year data).
MN WI
HENNEPIN
RAMSEY
ANOKA
WASHINGTON
DAKOTA
CARVER
SCOTT
94
94
94
494
494694
694
35E
35E
35W
35W
394
212
10
12
1052
169
169
7
35
494
Miles0 5
169
77
62
36100
610
MINNEAPOLIS-SAINT PAUL (CENTRAL) REGION:Gentrification and Economic Decline by Census Tractwith Net Change in Low Income Population, 2000-2016 Abandonment: (0)< -700 Low IncomeEconomic Decline:
(6)-1 to -699 Low IncomeLow Income Concentration:
(142)1 to 699 Low Income(60)> 700 Low Income
Low Income Displacement:(0)< -700 Low Income
Economic Expansion:
(13)-1 to -699 Low IncomeOverall Growth:
(7)1 to 699 Low Income(0)> 700 Low Income
Economic expansion/decline isdefined if a tract has a +/- 10%change in middle-high-incomepopulation and a -/+ 5% changein low-income population share,respectively.
8
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