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Mt An 4 (12-07)
Washington, D.C.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
Released December 27, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
U.S. Hog Inventory up 4 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2007 was 65.1 million head. This was up 4 percent from December 1, 2006, but down 1 percent from September 1, 2007. Breeding inventory, at 6.16 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.0 million head, was up 5 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter. The September-November 2007 pig crop, at 28.0 million head, was up 4 percent from 2006 and up 7 percent from 2005. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.03 million head, up 3 percent from 2006 and up 4 percent from 2005. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.24 for the September-November 2007 period, compared to 9.11 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.30 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs InventoryDecember 1
57585960616263646566
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.98 million sows farrow during the December 2007-February 2008 quarter, up 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2007, and up 5 percent from 2006. Intended farrowings for March-May 2008, at 3.04 million sows, are up slightly from 2007 and up 4 percent from 2006. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 38 percent last year.
Revisions
All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2006 through September 2007 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of less than two percent were made to the June 2007 and September 2007 total inventory. An adjustment of less than three percent was made to the March-May 2007 pig crop while an adjustment of slightly more than one-half of one percent was made to the June-August 2007 pig crop.
This report was approved on December 27, 2007.
Acting Secretary of
Agriculture Keith J. Collins
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson Carol C. House
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 i NASS, USDA
Contents
Page
Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2005-2007 ............................................................ 1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2005-2008 ................................................ 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2006-2007 December 1 .................................................................................................................................... 5 March 1 .......................................................................................................................................... 7 June 1 ............................................................................................................................................. 9 September 1 .................................................................................................................................. 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2006-2008 December-November ................................................................................................................... 13 December-February ...................................................................................................................... 14 March-May ................................................................................................................................... 15 June-August .................................................................................................................................. 16 September-November ................................................................................................................... 17 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2006-2007 ................................................................... 18 Reliability Statement ................................................................................................................................. 19
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 1 NASS, USDA
Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2005-2007 1
2007 as % of Item 2005 2006 2007 2005 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Percent
March 1 Inventory All Hogs and Pigs Kept for Breeding Market Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Groups Under 60 Pounds 60-119 Pounds 120-179 Pounds 180 Pounds and Over June 1 Inventory All Hogs and Pigs Kept for Breeding Market Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Groups Under 60 Pounds 60-119 Pounds 120-179 Pounds 180 Pounds and Over September 1 Inventory All Hogs and Pigs Kept for Breeding Market Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Groups Under 60 Pounds 60-119 Pounds 120-179 Pounds 180 Pounds and Over December 1 Inventory All Hogs and Pigs Kept for Breeding Market Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Groups Under 60 Pounds 60-119 Pounds 120-179 Pounds 180 Pounds and Over
59,699 5,941
53,757
19,667 13,087 11,360 9,644
60,732 5,977
54,754
20,423 13,376 11,143 9,813
61,846 5,972
55,873
20,764 13,876 11,404 9,830
61,449 6,011
55,438
20,055 13,524 11,293 10,567
60,326 6,025
54,301
19,988 13,006 11,434 9,874
61,687 6,060
55,627
20,808 13,692 11,485 9,643
62,914 6,079
56,835
20,708 14,231 11,685 10,212
62,490 6,087
56,402
20,462 13,928 11,275 10,738
61,860 6,105
55,754
20,381 13,356 11,679 10,339
63,951 6,115
57,835
21,782 14,344 11,790 9,920
65,589 6,144
59,444
21,450 14,894 12,474 10,627
65,110 6,157
58,953
21,364 14,459 11,737 11,394
104 103 104
104 102 103 107
105 102 106
107 107 106 101
106 103 106
103 107 109 108
106 102 106
107 107 104 108
103 101 103
102 103 102 105
104 101 104
105 105 103 103
104 101 105
104 105 107 104
104 101 105
104 104 104 106
1 May not add due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 2 NASS, USDA
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2005-2008 1
2007 as % of Item 2005 2006 2007 2008
2005 2006
2008 as Percent of 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Percent Percent
Sows Farrowing Dec-Feb 2 3 Mar-May 3 Dec-May 2 3 Jun-Aug Sep-Nov Jun-Nov Pig Crop Dec-Feb 2 Mar-May Dec-May 2 Jun-Aug Sep-Nov Jun-Nov
2,835 2,882 5,716
2,918 2,900 5,818
25,343 25,986 51,330
26,449 26,187 52,635
2,841 2,927 5,768
2,912 2,949 5,862
25,662 26,580 52,242
26,519 26,857 53,376
2,905 3,033 5,938
2,993 3,029 6,022
26,396 27,896 54,293
27,646 27,998 55,645
2,976 3,037 6,013
102 105 104
103 104 103
104 107 106
105 107 106
102 104 103
103 103 103
103 105 104
104 104 104
102 100 101
Number Number Number Number Percent Percent Percent
Pigs per Litter Dec-Feb 2 Mar-May Dec-May 2 Jun-Aug Sep-Nov Jun-Nov
8.94 9.02 8.98
9.06 9.03 9.05
9.03 9.08 9.06
9.11 9.11 9.11
9.09 9.20 9.14
9.24 9.24 9.24
102 102 102
102 102 102
101 101 101
101 101 101
1 May not add due to rounding. 2 December preceding year. 3 Intentions for 2008.
Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2006-2007 1 Pigs per Litter on Operations Having
Pig Crop 1-99 Head
100-499 Head
500-999 Head
1,000-1,999 Head
2,000-4,999 Head
5,000+ Head
Number Number Number Number Number Number
2006 Dec-Feb 2 Mar-May Jun-Aug Sep-Nov 2007 Dec-Feb 2 Mar-May Jun-Aug Sep-Nov
7.50 7.60 7.70 7.70
7.60 7.60 7.50 7.40
8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00
8.00 8.00 8.10 8.00
8.30 8.40 8.40 8.40
8.40 8.40 8.50 8.40
8.80 8.80 8.80 8.80
8.80 8.90 8.90 8.80
9.00 9.00 9.10 9.10
9.00 9.10 9.10 9.20
9.10 9.20 9.20 9.20
9.20 9.30 9.30 9.30
1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2 December preceding year.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 3 NASS, USDA
U.S. Quarterly Litter RateSeptember-November
8.40
8.60
8.80
9.00
9.20
9.40
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Number Head
U.S. Pigs per LitterBy Size of Operation, September-November 2007
9.24
7.40
8.40
8.80
9.20 9.30
8.00
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+
Number Head
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 4 NASS, USDA
U.S. Quarterly Sows FarrowedSeptember-November
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
U.S. Quarterly Pig CropSeptember-November
23
24
25
26
27
28
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 5 NASS, USDA
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1
Breeding Market Total 2007 2007 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006
Number as % of 2006
2006 Number as % of
2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US
19 0.3 16 85 20
155 0.7 2.5 4.0 38
4.1 5.0 440 330
1,080 170 35
2.0 1.1 6.0 1.5 110 590 35
360 18
365 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.2
12.0 1,010
33 170 350 5.0 105 0.6 30
140 22 95
103 0.5 30
4.0 2.0 55 25
6,087
18 0.3 17 85 20
150 0.8 2.5 5.0 40
3.6 5.0 440 330
1,100 170 35
1.5 0.9 5.0 1.5 100 600 35
370 18
355 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.2
11.0 1,030
38 165 360 4.0 100 0.6 29
165 18
110 100 0.6 30
4.0 2.0 50 29
6,157
95 100 106 100 100 97
114 100 125 105 88
100 100 100 102 100 100 75 82 83
100 91
102 100 103 100 97
100 100 100 100 92
102 114 97
103 80 95
100 97
118 82
116 97
120 100 100 100 91
116
101
146 0.6 132 175 125 685 2.9 8.0
16.0 207
11.9 20.0
3,760 3,020
16,220 1,670
275 12.0 3.7
27.0 11.5 890
6,310 300
2,440 162
2,685 3.1 2.3 8.0 1.8
86.0 8,490
136 1,520 1,980 20.0 975 1.5 265
1,130 198 845 577 2.0 335
32.0 9.0 395 75
56,402
152 0.6 158 200 135 700 3.2 8.5
15.0 225
11.4 23.0
3,710 3,170
17,100 1,680
315 9.5 3.8
26.0 10.5 920
6,600 310
2,680 162
2,795 2.6 2.4 8.0 1.8
75.0 8,870
145 1,595 1,970 21.0
1,030 1.7 266
1,205 122
1,010 690 2.1 340
25.0 7.0 380 60
58,953
104 100 120 114 108 102 110 106 94
109 96
115 99
105 105 101 115 79
103 96 91
103 105 103 110 100 104 84
104 100 100 87
104 106 105 99
105 106 113 100 107 62
120 120 105 101 78 78 96 80
105
165 0.9 148 260 145 840 3.6
10.5 20.0 245
16.0 25.0
4,200 3,350
17,300 1,840
310 14.0 4.8
33.0 13.0
1,000 6,900
335 2,800
180 3,050
3.5 2.8 9.0 2.0
98.0 9,500
169 1,690 2,330 25.0
1,080 2.1 295
1,270 220 940 680 2.5 365
36.0 11.0 450 100
62,490
170 0.9 175 285 155 850 4.0
11.0 20.0 265
15.0 28.0
4,150 3,500
18,200 1,850
350 11.0 4.7
31.0 12.0
1,020 7,200
345 3,050
180 3,150
3.0 2.9 9.0 2.0
86.0 9,900
182 1,760 2,330 25.0
1,130 2.3 295
1,370 140
1,120 790 2.7 370
29.0 9.0 430 89
65,110
103 100 118 110 107 101 111 105 100 108 94
112 99
104 105 101 113 79 98 94 92
102 104 103 109 100 103 86
104 100 100 88
104 108 104 100 100 105 110 100 108 64
119 116 108 101 81 82 96 89
104
1 May not add due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 6 NASS, USDA
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1
Under 60 Lbs.
60-119 Lbs.
120-179 Lbs.
180 Lbs. and Over State
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head
AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US
62 0.2 49
125 40
380 1.3 4.0 7.0 96
5.5 9.0
1,270 1,120 4,910
560 90
4.0 1.7
10.0 4.2 300
2,420 125
1,130 53
1,010 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.5
23.0 3,390
58 590 900 6.5 300 0.5 60
415 73
280 273 0.7 110 8.0 2.0 155 27
20,462
62 0.2 62
145 40
365 1.5 4.0 7.0 94
5.8 10.0
1,320 1,160 5,300
570 100 3.0 1.8 9.0 3.8 320
2,590 111
1,245 55
1,030 0.7 0.7 1.5 0.5
17.0 3,370
75 625 920 6.0 325 0.7 50
450 40
310 275 0.9 100 6.0 1.0 150 24
21,364
29 0.2 28 15 40 80
0.8 1.0 4.0 46
3.0 5.0 970 760
4,470 320 70
3.0 1.1 6.0 3.4 230
1,540 69
490 40
720 0.9 0.4 2.0 0.5
22.0 1,970
36 370 340 6.0 300 0.4 80
260 40
200 129 0.4 95
9.0 2.0 100 20
13,928
32 0.2 32 20 37 95
0.7 1.0 5.0 51
2.7 6.0 920 780
4,700 355 75
3.0 0.9 6.0 3.0 225
1,590 77
550 40
755 0.7 0.5 2.0 0.5
20.0 2,100
27 395 300 6.0 295 0.3 81
255 23
220 148 0.4 100 7.0 2.0 100 13
14,459
26 0.1 27 15 20 85
0.4 2.0 4.0 35
2.0 3.0 800 580
3,540 310 55
2.0 0.4 7.0 2.4 170
1,250 53
475 35
530 0.8 0.2 2.0 0.5
21.0 1,680
22 305 240 4.0 185 0.4 65
220 40
185 115 0.3 65
9.0 2.0 70 13
11,275
29 0.1 32 15 30 85
0.4 2.5 2.0 41
1.8 4.0 770 640
3,700 295 65
2.0 0.5 7.0 2.2 200
1,250 61
465 36
560 0.6 0.3 2.0 0.5
20.0 1,790
24 325 220 5.0 210 0.4 70
250 23
200 142 0.3 75
6.0 2.0 60 14
11,737
29 0.1 28 20 25
140 0.4 1.0 1.0 30
1.4 3.0 720 560
3,300 480 60
3.0 0.5 4.0 1.5 190
1,100 53
345 34
425 0.7 0.9 3.0 0.3
20.0 1,450
20 255 500 3.5 190 0.2 60
235 45
180 60
0.6 65
6.0 3.0 70 15
10,738
29 0.1 32 20 28
155 0.6 1.0 1.0 39
1.1 3.0 700 590
3,400 460 75
1.5 0.6 4.0 1.5 175
1,170 61
420 31
450 0.6 0.9 2.5 0.3
18.0 1,610
19 250 530 4.0 200 0.3 65
250 36
280 125 0.5 65
6.0 2.0 70 9
11,394 1 Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 7 NASS, USDA
U.S. Hog Inventory & Market HogsDecember 1
4648505254565860626466
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
Inventory Market
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory
by State and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1 Breeding Market Total
2007 2007 2007 State 2006
Number as % of 2006
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
85 150 420 310
1,100 165 100 580 345 355
1,020 160 360 100 155 100 50
470
6,025
85 150 440 320
1,090 165 110 600 360 360
1,030 165 360 100 140 100 55
475
6,105
100 100 105 103 99
100 110 103 104 101 101 103 100 100 90
100 110
101
101
185 680
3,730 2,790
15,300 1,565
860 5,820 2,355 2,545 8,480 1,380 1,970 1,010 1,285
830 370
3,146
54,301
190 670
3,660 2,930
15,810 1,685
880 6,300 2,490 2,740 8,370 1,545 1,990 1,010 1,140
870 385
3,089
55,754
103 99 98
105 103 108 102 108 106 108 99
112 101 100 89
105 104
98
103
270 830
4,150 3,100
16,400 1,730
960 6,400 2,700 2,900 9,500 1,540 2,330 1,110 1,440
930 420
3,616
60,326
275 820
4,100 3,250
16,900 1,850
990 6,900 2,850 3,100 9,400 1,710 2,350 1,110 1,280
970 440
3,565
61,860
102 99 99
105 103 107 103 108 106 107 99
111 101 100 89
104 105
99
103 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 8 NASS, USDA
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1
Under 60 Lbs.
60-119 Lbs.
120-179 Lbs.
180 Lbs. and Over State
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
140 360
1,310 1,030 4,680
530 315
2,280 1,085 1,000 3,400
570 910 370 455 265 145
1,143
19,988
140 375
1,310 1,070 4,650
575 305
2,400 1,160 1,050 3,430
605 940 300 415 315 155
1,186
20,381
15 90
870 700
4,140 285 200
1,330 490 660
1,940 315 350 270 300 190 90
771
13,006
20 100 890 730
4,210 310 210
1,540 485 730
1,850 380 310 295 260 205 90
741
13,356
15 80
840 560
3,520 345 175
1,310 460 490
1,690 305 220 210 275 195 70
674
11,434
15 75
790 580
3,780 335 180
1,330 500 530
1,670 320 220 225 240 185 70
634
11,679
15 150 710 500
2,960 405 170 900 320 395
1,450 190 490 160 255 180 65
559
9,874
15 120 670 550
3,170 465 185
1,030 345 430
1,420 240 520 190 225 165 70
529
10,339 1 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
U.S. Hog Inventory & Market HogsMarch 1
4446485052545658606264
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
Inventory Market
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 9 NASS, USDA
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1
Breeding Market Total 2007 2007 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006
Number as % of 2006
2006 Number as % of
2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
85 150 430 320
1,080 160 100 590 350 365
1,020 165 360 100 160 105 55
465
6,060
85 150 440 310
1,080 165 110 610 370 360
1,020 165 360 100 145 110 50
485
6,115
100 100 102 97
100 103 110 103 106 99
100 100 100 100 91
105 91
104
101
195 690
3,770 2,880
15,520 1,680
880 6,210 2,350 2,635 8,580 1,455 2,010 1,000 1,260
865 375
3,272
55,627
205 690
3,560 3,040
17,120 1,735
920 6,390 2,680 2,790 8,680 1,505 1,960 1,020 1,145
890 360
3,145
57,835
105 100 94
106 110 103 105 103 114 106 101 103 98
102 91
103 96
96
104
280 840
4,200 3,200
16,600 1,840
980 6,800 2,700 3,000 9,600 1,620 2,370 1,100 1,420
970 430
3,737
61,687
290 840
4,000 3,350
18,200 1,900 1,030 7,000 3,050 3,150 9,700 1,670 2,320 1,120 1,290 1,000
410
3,631
63,951
104 100 95
105 110 103 105 103 113 105 101 103 98
102 91
103 95
97
104 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
U.S. Hog Inventory & Market HogsJune 1
4648505254565860626466
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
Inventory Market
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 10 NASS, USDA
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1
Under 60 Lbs.
60-119 Lbs.
120-179 Lbs.
180 Lbs. and Over State
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
140 360
1,350 1,080 4,860
585 335
2,460 1,135 1,000 3,540
590 930 330 475 275 145
1,218
20,808
150 375
1,310 1,120 5,450
620 330
2,570 1,300 1,040 3,600
600 940 300 425 285 155
1,212
21,782
20 85
940 760
4,240 360 195
1,550 490 700
1,960 360 330 290 290 220 105
797
13,692
20 100 920 780
4,770 340 215
1,620 550 730
2,000 375 315 305 270 215 85
734
14,344
15 95
840 550
3,530 310 175
1,310 420 550
1,690 320 270 215 255 205 70
665
11,485
15 85
760 590
3,850 335 195
1,300 505 580
1,670 315 230 225 240 200 65
630
11,790
20 150 640 490
2,890 425 175 890 305 385
1,390 185 480 165 240 165 55
593
9,643
20 130 570 550
3,050 440 180 900 325 440
1,410 215 475 190 210 190 55
570
9,920 1 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 11 NASS, USDA
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1
Breeding Market Total 2007 2007 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006
Number as % of 2006
2006 Number as % of
2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
85 155 440 330
1,080 165 100 590 355 350
1,010 170 360 105 155 100 55
474
6,079
85 150 450 310
1,070 170 100 610 380 365
1,030 170 360 100 155 100 50
489
6,144
100 97
102 94 99
103 100 103 107 104 102 100 100 95
100 100 91
103
101
195 695
3,910 2,970
15,920 1,755
880 6,310 2,395 2,700 8,690 1,500 2,030 1,055 1,285
890 375
3,280
56,835
205 710
3,650 3,140
17,030 1,790
980 6,490 2,720 2,885 9,170 1,550 2,070 1,060 1,185 1,000
370
3,439
59,444
105 102 93
106 107 102 111 103 114 107 106 103 102 100 92
112 99
105
105
280 850
4,350 3,300
17,000 1,920
980 6,900 2,750 3,050 9,700 1,670 2,390 1,160 1,440
990 430
3,754
62,914
290 860
4,100 3,450
18,100 1,960 1,080 7,100 3,100 3,250
10,200 1,720 2,430 1,160 1,340 1,100
420
3,929
65,589
104 101 94
105 106 102 110 103 113 107 105 103 102 100 93
111 98
105
104 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
U.S. Hog Inventory & Market HogsSeptember 1
4648505254565860626466
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Million Head
Inventory Market
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 12 NASS, USDA
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1
Under 60 Lbs.
60-119 Lbs.
120-179 Lbs.
180 Lbs. and Over State
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 2 US
140 380
1,360 1,080 4,750
590 300
2,440 1,115 1,000 3,530
600 950 330 480 315 145
1,203
20,708
150 365
1,320 1,070 5,190
550 335
2,580 1,270 1,050 3,550
605 960 325 400 340 150
1,240
21,450
20 90
990 770
4,500 395 220
1,610 480 710
2,040 380 330 305 300 200 90
801
14,231
20 130 920 830
4,710 380 230
1,610 540 810
2,260 380 340 310 290 215 105
814
14,894
15 85
850 580
3,600 305 180
1,300 470 560
1,710 320 260 235 265 190 75
685
11,685
15 75
790 640
4,030 375 230
1,300 520 590
1,810 340 250 240 260 215 60
734
12,474
20 140 710 540
3,070 465 180 960 330 430
1,410 200 490 185 240 185 65
592
10,212
20 140 620 600
3,100 485 185
1,000 390 435
1,550 225 520 185 235 230 55
652
10,627 1 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 13 NASS, USDA
Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November 2006-2007 1 2
Sows Farrowing Pig Crop 2007
Pigs per Litter 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006 2007 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US
32.0 0.26 31.0 160
33.0 328
0.60 6.00 8.00 83.0 3.40 5.60 820 545
1,855 340
75.0 3.70 1.40 8.00 1.60 193
1,110 74.5 680
34.0 715
0.62 0.60 0.90 0.40
15.60 2,200 55.5 326 745
6.20 182
0.60 55.0 309
37.0 182
144.0 0.60 62.0 5.60 2.20 108
43.5
11,629
33.0 0.25 32.0 166
33.0 322
0.70 6.00 8.00 75.0 3.20 7.20 900 575
1,880 353
74.0 3.00 1.40 8.00 1.60 209
1,135 75.5 750
33.5 735
0.58 0.60 1.00 0.40
18.00 2,190 62.0 332 760
5.70 184
0.60 52.0 304
43.0 201
160.0 0.70 59.0 5.20 1.90 105
53.0
11,960
103 96
103 104 100 98
117 100 100 90 94
129 110 106 101 104 99 81
100 100 100 108 102 101 110 99
103 94
100 111 100 115 100 112 102 102 92
101 100 95 98
116 110 111 117 95 93 86 97
122
103
8.66 9.19 9.00 9.64
10.00 8.88 7.60 9.33 7.00 8.90 7.35 8.93 9.05 8.91 9.01 8.89 9.08 7.03 6.40 8.00 8.30 9.15 9.24 9.33 9.04 9.56 9.17 7.45 7.00 6.33 8.50 9.55 9.11 9.55 9.12 8.90 8.39 9.21 8.00 9.24 9.40 8.89 9.12 9.48 7.70 8.84 8.57 7.00 8.74 8.67
9.08
8.73 9.20 9.47 9.67
10.15 8.95 7.80 9.33 7.00 8.91 7.50 8.75 9.10 8.94 9.18 8.99 9.35 6.97 6.80 7.75 7.50 9.10 9.33 9.46 9.16
10.06 9.41 7.29 7.50 7.00 8.00 9.78 9.09 9.85 9.30 9.28 8.25 9.15 7.90 9.10 9.54 9.07 9.08 9.78 7.40 9.31 8.08 7.58 8.90 9.21
9.19
277.0 2.39
279.0 1,543 330.0 2,911 4.56
56.00 56.00 739.0 25.00 50.00 7,423 4,858
16,719 3,021 681.0 26.00 8.96
64.00 13.28 1,765
10,255 695.0 6,146 325.0 6,560 4.62 4.20 5.70 3.40
149.00 20,048 530.0 2,972 6,632 52.00 1,676 4.80
508.0 2,904 329.0 1,660
1,365.0 4.62
548.0 48.00 15.40
944 377.0
105,618
288.0 2.30
303.0 1,605 335.0 2,881 5.46
56.00 56.00 668.0 24.00 63.00 8,192 5,140
17,253 3,173 692.0 20.90 9.52
62.00 12.00 1,901
10,586 714.0 6,872 337.0 6,920 4.23 4.50 7.00 3.20
176.00 19,901 611.0 3,088 7,050 47.00 1,683 4.74
473.0 2,900 390.0 1,825
1,565.0 5.18
549.0 42.00 14.40
935 488.0
109,937
104 96
109 104 102 99
120 100 100 90 96
126 110 106 103 105 102 80
106 97 90
108 103 103 112 104 105 92
107 123 94
118 99
115 104 106 90
100 99 93
100 119 110 115 112 100 88 94 99
129
104 1 December preceding year. 2 May not add due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 14 NASS, USDA
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2006-2008 1 2
Sows Farrowing Pig Crop 3 2008 4
Pigs Per Litter 2007 State
2006 2007 Number as % of
2007 2006 2007 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 5 US
41 81
195 130 455 84 48
270 165 175 540 77
185 47 77 42 26
203
2,841
39 83
210 140 455 88 49
275 180 180 540 84
190 44 67 45 27
209
2,905
41 83
220 150 470 91 51
275 180 175 550 82
180 47 85 55 25
216
2,976
105 100 105 107 103 103 104 100 100 97
102 98 95
107 127 122 93
103
102
9.50 8.80 9.00 8.90 9.00 8.85 9.30 9.10 9.00 9.15 9.10 9.10 8.70 9.90 9.40 8.60 8.55
9.00
9.03
9.45 8.80 9.05 8.80 9.00 8.90 8.75 9.25 9.05 9.20 9.10 9.15 9.20 9.00 9.50 8.90 8.95
9.18
9.09
390 713
1,755 1,157 4,095
743 446
2,457 1,485 1,601 4,914
701 1,610
465 724 361 222
1,823
25,662
369 730
1,901 1,232 4,095
783 429
2,544 1,629 1,656 4,914
769 1,748
396 637 401 242
1,921
26,396
95 102 108 106 100 105 96
104 110 103 100 110 109 85 88
111 109
105
103 1 December preceding year. 2 May not add due to rounding. 3 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4 Intentions. 5 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 15 NASS, USDA
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2006-2008 1
Sows Farrowing Pig Crop 2 2008 3
Pigs per Litter 2007 State
2006 2007 Number as % of
2007 2006 2007 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 4 US
41 81
210 135 465 84 47
280 170 180 550 82
185 47 84 47 27
212
2,927
42 80
230 140 480 88 53
290 195 185 560 83
195 45 73 49 26
219
3,033
41 83
230 155 490 90 48
280 180 180 560 80
190 46 87 57 25
215
3,037
98 104 100 111 102 102 91 97 92 97
100 96 97
102 119 116 96
98
100
9.60 8.90 9.05 8.90 8.95 9.10 9.20 9.30 9.10 9.15 9.10 9.00 8.90 9.10 9.35 9.25 8.70
9.11
9.08
9.80 8.90 9.05 8.95 9.20 8.95 9.00 9.35 9.15 9.45 9.05 9.30 9.40 9.10 9.55 9.25 8.90
9.36
9.20
394 721
1,901 1,202 4,162
764 432
2,604 1,547 1,647 5,005
738 1,647
428 785 435 235
1,933
26,580
412 712
2,082 1,253 4,416
788 477
2,712 1,784 1,748 5,068
772 1,833
410 697 453 231
2,048
27,896
105 99
110 104 106 103 110 104 115 106 101 105 111 96 89
104 98
106
105 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3 Intentions. 4 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 16 NASS, USDA
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2006-2007 1
Sows Farrowing Pig Crop 2 2007
Pigs per Litter 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006 2007 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 3 US
40 82
200 140 455 85 48
280 170 175 560 84
190 45 77 48 26
207
2,912
44 80
230 145 450 89 54
285 190 185 550 83
190 45 78 53 26
216
2,993
110 98
115 104 99
105 113 102 112 106 98 99
100 100 101 110 100
104
103
9.70 9.00 9.05 8.95 9.05 8.75 9.15 9.25 9.05 9.15 9.10 9.15 9.00 8.80 9.40 9.60 8.80
9.24
9.11
9.60 9.10 9.10 9.05 9.25 9.00 9.15 9.40 9.20 9.50 9.05 9.35 9.30 9.60 9.55 8.80 8.90
9.49
9.24
388 738
1,810 1,253 4,118
744 439
2,590 1,539 1,601 5,096
769 1,710
396 724 461 229
1,914
26,519
422 728
2,093 1,312 4,163
801 494
2,679 1,748 1,758 4,978
776 1,767
432 745 466 231
2,053
27,646
109 99
116 105 101 108 113 103 114 110 98
101 103 109 103 101 101
107
104 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 17 NASS, USDA
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2006-2007 1
Sows Farrowing Pig Crop 2 2007
Pigs per Litter 2007 State
2006 Number as % of
2006 2006 2007 2006
Number as % of 2006
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent
AR CO IL IN IA KS MI MN MO NE NC OH OK PA SD TX WI Oth Sts 3 US
38 84
215 140 480 87 50
280 175 185 550 83
185 43 71 45 29
209
2,949
41 79
230 150 495 88 53
285 185 185 540 82
185 50 86 54 26
215
3,029
108 94
107 107 103 101 106 102 106 100 98 99
100 116 121 120 90
102
103
9.75 8.80 9.10 8.90 9.05 8.85 8.95 9.30 9.00 9.25 9.15 9.20 9.00 9.00 9.45 8.95 8.90
9.12
9.11
9.80 9.00 9.20 8.95 9.25 9.10 9.45 9.30 9.25 9.50 9.15 9.40 9.20 8.90 9.55 9.35 8.90
9.36
9.24
371 739
1,957 1,246 4,344
770 448
2,604 1,575 1,711 5,033
764 1,665
387 671 403 258
1,911
26,857
402 711
2,116 1,343 4,579
801 501
2,651 1,711 1,758 4,941
771 1,702
445 821 505 231
2,009
27,998
108 96
108 108 105 104 112 102 109 103 98
101 102 115 122 125 90
105
104 1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 18 NASS, USDA
Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2006-2007 1 2
Sows Farrowing Pigs per Litter Pig Crop Month 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head
Dec 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Total
938 952 951 984 969 974 973 965 974
1,002 985 962
11,629
961 972 973
1,023 1,006 1,004 1,005
993 995
1,024 1,013
992
11,960
8.97 9.08 9.05 9.04 9.07 9.13 9.10 9.10 9.12 9.10 9.12 9.10
9.08
9.07 9.10 9.09 9.14 9.23 9.22 9.24 9.24 9.22 9.24 9.25 9.24
9.19
8,411 8,646 8,605 8,898 8,789 8,893 8,856 8,780 8,883 9,123 8,982 8,752
105,618
8,712 8,841 8,843 9,346 9,290 9,260 9,291 9,180 9,175 9,458 9,372 9,168
109,937
1 December preceding year. 2 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 19 NASS, USDA
Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 12,000 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2007, data were collected from about 9,600 operations, 80 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2007. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all hog raising operations are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.1 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.7 percent.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board December 2007 20 NASS, USDA
Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates 1 Quarters Difference Between
First and Latest Estimates Item
Root Mean Square Error
90% Confidence
Level Average Smallest Largest
First Above Latest
First Below Latest
Percent Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number
All Hogs & Pigs Pig Crop Expected Farrowings Next Quarter Following Quarter
1.0
1.3
1.5
1.9
1.7
2.2
2.5
3.3
1,107
616
77
100
503
260
34
46
76
8
3
3
1,386
824
120
126
2
2
4
5
18
18
16
15 1 Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters.
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ............................................................................... (202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Shawn Clark, Head, Livestock Section ................................................................................ (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................. (202) 720-3106 Vacant - Dairy Products .......................................................................................... (202) 690-3236 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows ............................................... (202) 720-3278 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats & Kids ......................................................... (202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....................................................................... (202) 720-3040 Benita Hodge - Livestock Slaughter ....................................................................... (515) 284-4340 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices ........................................................................ (202) 690-2168
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