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12.09.2012 Seite 1
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Solar Energy Potential
& Market in Pakistan
Supported by:
Bernhard Meyhöfer
Principal Advisor – GIZ-REEE
12.09.2012 Seite 2
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Energy Mix Projections
Solar Energy Potential
Status of Solar Projects
Development of Upfront Tariffs
Q&A
Agenda
12.09.2012 Seite 3
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Energy Mix Projections Vision 2030-Planning Commission
50.8
79.39
120.18
177.35
255.37
361.31
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Nuclear
Renewable
Hydro
Coal
Natural Gas Oil
Mil
lio
n T
on
of
Oil
Eq
uiv
ale
nt
(M
TO
E)
12.09.2012 Seite 4
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Indigenous Energy Projection (Vision 2030, Planning Commission)
12.09.2012 Seite 5
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Solar Energy Potential of Pakistan
12.09.2012 Seite 6
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Solar Energy Potential of Pakistan
Pakistan receives one of the best solar-irradiation in the
world
Average solar irradiation 5-7 kWh/m2/day
It can produce over a million MW of Solar PV electricity
provided adequate space for installation (Source: NREL-USAID-
study)
Market is at developing stage in both Solar PV and Solar
Thermal (domestic & commercial hot water applications)
12.09.2012 Seite 7
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Solar Energy Potential of Pakistan - contd.
Presently 5000-7000 MW capacity deficit
National natural gas reserves are rapidly depleting
Government subsidy for domestic/commercial
natural gas consumption is slowly being withdrawn
Plans by Government to reduce trade deficit from
fossil fuels (presently exceeding10 billion USD
annually) by reducing imports
Plans by Government to increase the share of RE
particularly Solar in the total energy mix of Pakistan
12.09.2012 Seite 8
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
12.09.20
Status of Solar Projects
Solar PV Off – Grid Applications
40,000 villages presently un-electrified
Grid extension technically and economically not feasible
for next 20 years to reach remote areas
8000 villages identified for Off-Grid Solar PV applications
Approx. 100 villages presently electrified by Solar Home
Systems (SHS)
Microfinance based solar home system programs are in
initial stages of development
12.09.2012 Seite 9
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
12.09.20
Status of Solar Projects
Solar PV Grid Connected Applications
Tax and custom duty exemption in place by Government for
Solar products
LOIs for 9 projects with cumulative capacity of 228 MW issued
by AEDB under RE Policy
Government of Punjab (DoE) has allocated approx. 5000 acres
of public land for solar PV installations
Government considering switching 280,000 electric tube wells
onto Solar PV with Government allocation of funds under
process
12.09.2012 Seite 10
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
12.09.20
Status of Solar Projects
Solar Thermal - Hot Water Applications
Approx. 10,000 Solar Water Heaters (SWHs) installed in
both rural and urban areas producing 2 million liters per
day
Approx. ten installations in various industries, producing
80,000 liters per day
12.09.2012 Seite 11
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
12.09.20
Development of Upfront Tariffs
Following wind power, Government has in principle agreed to
upfront feed-in tariff regimes for solar PV projects up to 50 MW
capacity –
Formal reference for solar PV upfront feed-in tariff is expected
to be submitted to NEPRA within third quarter of 2012 by
AEDB, with tariff expected to be announced within the year
2012.
At present seven solar PV investors are actively involved in
obtaining a feed-in tariff for their projects with two feasibility
studies submitted
12.09.2012 Seite 12
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Barriers for Solar Energy
Technology
Week technology basis (design, specification,
installation, O&M) on solar technologies
Low level of experience in larger scale application
(industrial scale, on-grid)
Grid connection issues (grid code)
Policy & Institutional
Lack of feed-in tariff (under development 2012)
Lack of incentive schemes (promotion schemes,
credit lines, microfinance etc.)
Image of solar technology (expensive, unknown…)
12.09.2012 Seite 13
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
Recommendations for investors
Identification of suitable local companies for
joint ventures
ensure presence at Pakistan
Development of local capacities (technology,
management) on solar technology
Contribute (actively) to dialogue on solar
energy application – awareness creation
private sector organized
seminars/workshops etc. for govt. agencies
and suppliers/consultants, academia
12.09.2012 Seite 14
German Development Cooperation – Pakistan Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Project
THANK YOU
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