Status and Trends in the Florida Keys: Coral Reef and Hard … · 2017. 7. 27. · Status and...

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Status and Trends in the Florida Keys: Coral Reef and Hard-bottom Communities

Mark Chiappone, Steven Miller, Leanne Rutten

Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center

mc191@nova.edu, 305-898-5390

The Florida Keys Setting

Factors Affecting Florida Coral Reefs • Geography (continental influence, cold fronts)

• Tropical cyclones

• Climate-change drivers and responses:

– Coral bleaching (temperature and UV)

– Coral diseases

– Ocean acidification

• Coastal development (pollution/contamination)

• Urchin die-off (two events)

• Removal of wildlife

• Physical impacts (vessels, anchors, etc.)

• Non-native species (invasive exotics)

The Future: Minimizing the Damage?

The Everglades and Miami, 11/21/2008 Earth Snapshot http://www.eosnap.com/image-of-the-day/the-everglades-and-miami-florida-december-24th-2008/

The integrity of hydrologic and biologic components of Florida’s Southeast coast will ultimately depend upon achieving a sustainable

balance between ecosystem and human needs.

South Florida’s historic and current watershed Sources: USDOI/USGS, USEPA, FDEP, Evergladesplan.org

Cuba, South of Florida and the Bahamas, 07/23/2011 Earth Snapshot http://www.eosnap.com/public/media/2011/07/cuba/20110714-cuba-full.jpg

The Florida Keys Ecosystem: Open and Connected

Florida Keys Diversity: A result of connectivity

Status and Trends: Reef and Hard-bottom The Past

Geologic and environmental contexts

“The past is the key to the present” (Ginsburg and Shinn)

The Present

What has been observed/documented?

What are we to make of present conditions?

Possible Futures

A few years?

A few decades?

End of the 21st century?

Florida Keys Depth to Pleistocene Bedrock Surface USDOI/USGS https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/2007/1751/professional-paper/bedrock-surface.html

Geologic History Influences the Present

Florida Keys Bedrock Surface Map USDOI/USGS https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/2007/1751/professional-paper/bedrock-surface.html

Florida Keys Depth to Pleistocene Bedrock Surface USDOI/USGS https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/2007/1751/professional-paper/bedrock-surface.html

The Past Influences the Present

Summary Illustration Index Map of the Florida Keys USDOI/USGS https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/2007/1751/professional-paper/figures/summary-illustration.html

Florida Keys Benthic Maps: The Early Version

Florida Reef Tract Marine Habitats and Ecosystems Marszalek (1977-82) c/o UF Map and Imagery Library http://ufdc.ufl.edu/UF00016788/00001/citation

Florida Keys Benthic Maps: The Latest Version

Florida Keys Benthic Ecosystems USDOI/USGS https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/2007/1751/professional-paper/benthic-ecosystems.html

Carysfort Light

Molasses Reef

Florida Keys Iconic Bank Reefs

The Elbow

Sombrero Key

Sand Key

Fowey Rocks

American Shoal Alligator Light

Tennessee Light

Florida Reef Tract Marine Habitats and Ecosystems Marszalek (1977-82) c/o UF Map and Imagery Library http://ufdc.ufl.edu/UF00016788/00001/citation

Hard-bottom and Coral Reef Habitats

Status and Trends: Reef and Hard-bottom

The Past (deep and shallow time)

Geologic and environmental contexts

“The past is the key to the present.”

The Present

What has been observed/documented?

What are we to make of present conditions?

Possible Futures

A few years?

A few decades?

End of the 21st century?

White Band Disease

Bleaching

Bleaching

Diadema Die-off

Gardner et al. 2003 c/o W. Precht

White Band Disease

Regional Caribbean Coral Reef Change

Regional Caribbean Coral Reef Change

Images courtesy of P. Dustan, University of Charleston

Images courtesy of P. Dustan, University of Charleston

Images courtesy of P. Dustan, College of Charleston

CREMP Sampling Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

Dry Tortugas National Park

Florida Keys Reefs in Recent History

Data from CREMP, USC, UG, UNCW, NSU

Upper Florida Keys Acropora Reefs

Grecian Rocks

N-N Dry Rocks Carysfort Reef

South Carysfort

Elbow Reef

Dry Rocks

French Reef

Sand Island

Molasses Reef

Florida Keys Corals (1999-2015)

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

No

. co

ral ta

xa p

er

tran

sect

(15 m

2)

Coral Species Richness

Patch reefsShallow hard-bottomHigh-relief spur and grooveDeeper fore reef

0.05.0

10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.050.0

% C

over

Stony Coral Cover

Patch reefsShallow hard-bottomHigh-relief spur and grooveDeeper fore reef

050,000,000

100,000,000150,000,000200,000,000250,000,000300,000,000350,000,000400,000,000450,000,000500,000,000

SSID PAST SMIC AAGR PPOR MCAV PFUR DSTK MFAV SRAD CNAT PDIV DSTR SBOU ODIF

Scleractinian Abundance: Top 15 speciesFlorida Keys 1999-2009 All Habitats

B B B B B B

050,000,000

100,000,000150,000,000200,000,000250,000,000300,000,000350,000,000400,000,000

SSID SRAD PAST AAGR SMIC PPOR MCAV DSTK PFUR FFRG SCOL DSTR MARE EFAS SBOU

Juvenile Scleractinian Abundance: Top 15 speciesFlorida Keys 1999-2009 All Habitats

85% 96% 98%

72% 88% 94%

Kissling (1964) Looe Key Fore Reef

NURC/UNCW (2012) Looe Key Fore Reef

Florida Keys Reefs of the Future?

The Past (deep and shallow time)

Geologic and environmental contexts

“The past is the key to the present.”

The Present

What has been observed/documented?

What are we to make of present conditions?

Possible Futures

A few years?

A few decades?

End of the 21st century?

Transformation from Corals to…

Re-transformation may not occur anytime soon. Coral larval supply, recruitment, and

post-settlement survivorship Algae, sponge, and octocoral

growth, fecundity, and allelopathic effects Microbiomes may also be altered.

Ajax Reef, Northern Reef Tract Reef framework may be collapsing (2015)

Projected Sea Level Rise 5 ft. by the year 2100 Sources: Climate Central, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, NOAA

Sea Level Rise Scenarios

What can be done?

Balancing Human Enterprise and the

Ecosystem

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