Students game for technical analysis game

Game on!(Historical charts.

Real prices.)Making Portfolio

decisions

AGILLES@FIRSTMETROSEC.COM.PH

To buy or, not to BuyYou start with 10 million pesos.You may invest a maximum of 10 million

per round. When presented an opportunity:

You may invest ZERO or 1 or 2 ... Up to 10.

>> For each round, how much can you invest ?

“Fundamental” Vs. “Technical”

3

Fundamental AnalysisFinancials & Economics

Technical Analysis• Trends (to continue?)• Turning points (reversals)

Sales – Costs = Net profits

Earnings per Share

Stock Price versus Company VALUE

Past prices vs Future prices

TIPS

Analysis: TEL is not looking good in the short-term as it continued to make a lower low in this week’s trading. Investors who are looking to enter should probably wait first before entering this stock as it may now fall back near its psychological 2,500 support. Support is seen at 2,506 while resistances are pegged at 2630 and 2700.

Trading PlanAVOID (short-term): 2,572.00

“PLDT” = telecoms

!

BUY at Support

Level

Buyers Buyers No more Buyers

SellersSellers

SellersSAMPLE CHART

Strong probability of going down

Looks Impres-sive? NO

Side-ways

Don’t judge a book by its cover.

Is this stock price ... going up ?Will it recover, ... going up ?

Thumbs up? Thumbs down?

This stock looks... hopeless ?? UP

Akala mo, down?

UP, some moreDon’t judge a book

by its cover.Is this stock price ... Going to stay down?Will it turn around ... And go down?

Thumbs up? Thumbs down?

Going down ??

Or Turn around

And Go UP?

Thumbs up? Thumbs down?

Down slightly

Will this stock

Continue

To go UP?

Thumbs up? Thumbs down?

50

PROCTER & GAMBLE.Will you buy shares, at $50 each? How much to Invest? 67

Sales are good.Profits are improving...

205

IBM. Will you buy shares, at $205 each? How much to Invest?

200

Sales are down, But the companywill recover.

24

COCA COLA.Will you buy shares, at $24 each? How much to Invest? 37

Sales are good.They are beating Pepsi Cola ...

25

CISCO SYSTEMS.Will you buy shares, at $25 each? How much to Invest?

15

Experiencing some Competition...

Here is the real contest

Watch out for TRENDS … “Support and resistance”

WATCH for CHANNEL formations.

AGILLES@FIRSTMETROSEC.COM.PH

PLDT

Buyers

Buyers

Sellers

Will you buy, at 2340? Invest how much?

If the price cuts above the Moving Average, BUY

2704

?

Philex MiningIf i see that the Price is ABOVE the Moving Average line, then i continue to buy.

3 17Money grew

3

17

Strong probability of going UP

Will you buy, at 3 per share?How much, to invest?

Can the airplane land? Yes.

70

Raised money from IPOBut then it has not yet gained revenues..to offset the expenses.

Will you buy, at 130? Invest how much?

130

METROBANK

Buyers

Buyers

SellersWill you buy, at 68? Invest how much?

91

21

8

AYALA LAND. Will you buy, at 8? Invest how much?

1000

1600Some marketing problems, Being beaten by the competition...

GLOBE Tel. Will you buy, at 1600? Invest how much?

EEI. Will you buy, at 1? Invest how much?

6.6

1

Good fundamentals...

AGILLES@FIRSTMETROSEC.COM.PH

25

15

Some bad news... Power plants are under repair and rehab. Less revenues, lower profits.

FIRST POWER GENERATION. Will you buy, at 25? Invest how much?

Benguet Corporation

10Will you buy, at 10? Invest how much?

23After years of losses, it returned to Profitability In 2011`...

Banco de ORO

30

Will you buy, at 30? Invest how much?

62Making lots of money from SM group

.03

.015

Production Problems...

Will you buy, at 3ctv ? Invest how much?

BELLE

Corp

1

Will you buy, at 1? Invest how much?

5Strong growth

40 c

Will you buy, at 40 centavos? Invest how much?

1.60Digging up

Gold & Copper

SmoothoperationsLepanto Mining

2.00“SEA” CEMENT. Buy, at 2? How much?

1.70

Some marketing problems

10

Will you buy, at 10 pesos? Invest how much?

“LOTO”

20Looks like a winner.Plenty of Sales

38

FACEBOOK.Will you buy shares, at $38 each? How much to Invest?

20

GREAT IPO...

Lots of Hype...

Where are the

Profits?

230

APPLE COMPUTER.Will you buy shares, at $230 each? How much to Invest?

700

Sales are good.NEW ipHONE 5COMING OUT

...Last ...

Thank You!

You were a good sport !

Want some more ?

fermented milk products, & health drinks

Yakult sales are going up!Because of Filipino kids...

250 yen

Will you invest? If yes, how much?

250

370

Fukushima reactor was destroyed, by a TsunamiWill you

invest? If yes, how much?

2300 yen

“Tokyo Electric Power”generates, and distributes electricity, generated from hydroelectric, thermal, and nuclear power sources.

2300150

After the catastrophic accident, the share price fell.

800 yen

KIKKOMAN SAUCE, doing OK. Will you invest? If yes, how much?

800 yen

1,048The more Sashimi, ... the more Soy Sauce

350 Yen

Doing OKAY.. Will you invest? If yes, how much?

350 Yen

You are an Rucky investor!

congratuRations

Game on!(USA edition)

Dow Jones Industrials

27

MERCK & CO.Will you buy shares, at $27 each? How much to Invest?

44

Good sales.Good profits.

•Upward Channels•Downward Channels

•Sideways Channels

• Continuation Patterns

• Reversal Patterns

D M Consunji D M Consunji 47

6

Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?

6

Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?

33

Nickel Asia

Buyers

Buyers

SellersSellers

34

Will you buy, at 21? Invest how much?

Practice, Lang...

Aboitiz Power

Will you buy, at 12? Invest how much?

34

12Practice, Lang...

8

Will you buy, at 8? Invest how much?

24

Practice, Lang...

Alaska Milk

Jollibee Foods

20

Will you buy, at 20? Invest how much?

110Doing OKAY

6

Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?

33JG Summit

1

2

Having some difficulty with sales...

FILINVEST LAND.Will you buy, at 2? Invest how much?

2.3

Management problems...

Will you buy, at 2.8? Invest how much?

.60

FIL-ESTATE CORP. Will you buy, at 10? Invest how much?10

.40

.26

Having some difficulty with production...

BASIC ENERGY.Will you buy, at 40 ctvs? Invest how much?

75

BOEING AIRCRAFT.Will you buy shares, at $75 each? How much to Invest?

73

AGILLES@FIRSTMETROSEC.COM.PHSales are down,But expectedTo recover. Competition is Tough.

50

HEWLETT- PACKARDWill you buy shares, at $50 each? How much to Invest?

18

Sales are DOWN.Having some marketing problems.