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The Evolution of Technology

Eric Beinhocker ITIF, 2 October 2014

Technological Pathways from Combinatorial Inventions

Huge Space (1015)

We’ve only exploited a small

fraction

Technology Possibility Space

1880chemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

category: Hall 2001MST

1910: Mechanicalchemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

chemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

1930: Mechanical

1960: chemicals and electrical & electronics

chemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

1980: electrical & electronics

chemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

2000: chemicals & Biomedchemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

2010: computer & communications chemical

drug & medical

others: apparels, textile, agriculture, etc

design

new tech: nano, robot

mechanical

computers& communications

electrical & electronics

power & energy

music, entertainment

MST

Acknowledgements

• Research and slides by Dr. Hyejin Youn, INET Oxford!

• Collaborators include Prof. J. Doyne Farmer (INET Oxford), Prof. Jose Lobo (ASU), Prof. Debbie Strumsky (Univ N. Carolina)!

• Support provided by INET, NSF, US DOE