United States Department of Agriculture National ... › Newsroom › Executive... · 6/28/2019...

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United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops BranchJune 28, 2019

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Field Crops Stocks

Planted Acres Corn

Harvested Acres Soybeans

Sorghum

Rice

All Wheat

Barley

Oats

Dry Peas

Lentils

Chickpeas

Rapeseed

Canola

Flaxseed

Rye

Contents

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Precipitation: March 30-June 26

Percent of Normal

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June APS June AreaOff-Farm Grain

Stock Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported Farmer Reported Reported

Collection MethodMail, Phone, Internet,

Personal Interview Personal Interview

Mail, Phone,

Internet, Personal

Interview

Crops Included Field Crops Field CropsGrains and Oilseeds

On Hand

States All Except HIAll Except AK and

HI

All Except AK, HI,

and NV

Sample Size 68,093 Farms 9,045 Segments ~ 8,500 Facilities

Collection Period May 30 – June 17 May 30 – June 14 May 30 – June 18

Survey Overview

Year Principal CropsChange From

Previous Year

Million Acres

2010 315.4 -3.6

2011 314.3 -1.1

2012 324.3 +10.0

2013 324.9 +0.6

2014 326.7 +1.7

2015 319.0 -7.6

2016 319.0 -0.1

2017 318.3 -0.6

2018 319.6 +1.2

2019 309.3 -10.3

Principal Crops Planted AcreageUnited States

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

309

290

295

300

305

310

315

320

325

330

335

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresPrincipal Crops

United States

Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 91.7 -1.2 +2.9

Harvested Mil Ac 83.6 NA +2.3

91.7

83.6

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresCorn AcresUnited States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

81.0

83.0

85.0

87.0

89.0

91.0

93.0

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Corn AcresIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 80.0 -5.4 -10.3

Harvested Mil Ac 79.3 NA -10.0

80.0

79.3

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresSoybean Acres

United States

Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

79.0

80.0

81.0

82.0

83.0

84.0

85.0

86.0

87.0

88.0

89.0

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Soybean AcresIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 13.7 -0.4 -2.7

Upland Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 13.4 -0.6 -2.9

Pima Cotton

Planted Thou Ac 275 +7.8 +9.9

13.7

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresAll Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

15.5

March June Final

Million Acres2019 United States Cotton AcresIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Winter Wheat

Planted Mil Ac 31.8 +0.9 -2.3

Harvested Mil Ac 24.9 -1.2 +0.7

Spring Wheat

Planted Mil Ac 12.4 -3.1 -5.8

Harvested Mil Ac 12.1 NA -6.0

Durum Wheat

Planted Mil Ac 1.40 -1.3 -32.2

Harvested Mil Ac 1.36 NA -31.1

All Wheat

Planted Mil Ac 45.6 -0.3 -4.6

Harvested Mil Ac 38.4 NA -3.0

31.8

24.9

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

30.5

31.0

31.5

32.0

32.5

33.0

33.5

December March June Final

Million Acres2019 United States Winter Wheat Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

12.4

12.1

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresOther Spring Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

11.9

12.2

12.5

12.8

13.1

13.4

13.7

14.0

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Other Spring Wheat AcresIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

1.40

1.36

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million AcresDurum Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

2.20

2.40

2.60

2.80

3.00

3.20

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Durum Wheat AcresIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Planted Area

Sorghum Mil Ac 5.13 -0.2 -9.9

Oats Mil Ac 2.55 -0.2 -7.2

Barley Mil Ac 2.86 +12.0 +12.3

Harvested Area

All Hay Mil Ac 52.8 -0.6 -0.1

Alfalfa Mil Ac 16.8 NA +1.3

Other Hay Mil Ac 35.9 NA -0.8

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Planted Area

Rice Mil Ac 2.76 -4.0 -6.4

Peanuts Mil Ac 1.36 -5.9 -4.3

Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.13 +0.6 +1.2

Dry Beans Mil Ac 1.31 +5.7 -37.0

Potatoes Thou Ac 968 NA +0.1

Harvested Area

Sugarcane Thou Ac 916 NA +1.8

Tobacco Thou Ac 236 -3.4 -19.1

Hops Thou Ac 57.3 NA +4.2

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Planted

Dry Peas Mil Ac 1.03 +16.6 +19.9Dry Beans Mil Cwt 29.2 +1.8 NALentils Thou Ac 535 -3.6 -31.4

Chickpeas Thou Ac 560 +7.8 -34.9

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June 2019 Acreage

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Planted

Sunflower Mil Ac 1.38 +2.3 +6.1

Canola Mil Ac 2.02 +6.0 +1.4

Flaxseed Thou Ac 355 NA +70.7

Safflower Thou Ac 153 NA -8.7

Mustard Seed Thou Ac 110 NA +7.3

Rye Mil Ac 1.88 NA -6.8

Proso Millet Thou Ac 433 NA -2.3

Rapeseed Thou Ac 14.8 NA +159.6

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Biotech Varieties

% of All Planted Acres

Crop

2018 2019 2018 2019

Corn 10 9 2 3

Soybeans 94 94 - -

Upland Cotton 9 6 3 3

Crop

2018 2019 2018 2019

Corn 80 80 92 92

Soybeans - - 94 94

Upland Cotton 82 89 94 98

Insect Resistant (Bt)

Only

Stacked Gene All Biotech Varieties

Herbicide Resistant

Only

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Percent of Acres Remaining

To Be Planted

Crop 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Corn 1.7 1.4 2.0 1.6 16.7

Soybeans 15.5 12.4 10.9 8.5 41.2

Cotton 21.5 17.3 16.2 15.3 16.1

Other Spring Wheat 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.7 2.5

Durum Wheat 3.6 6.6 2.6 3.0 4.6

Sorghum 17.6 14.4 12.3 18.4 21.6

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Soybeans, -9,156

Dry Beans, -774

S Wheat, -770

W Wheat, -757

D Wheat, -664

Sorghum, -565

Cotton, -380

Chickpeas, -300

Oats, -197

Rice, -190

Rye, -136

Hay, -66

Potatoes, -66

Peanuts, -62

Tobacco, -56

Proso Millet, -10

Sugarbeets, 14

Sugarcane, 17

Canola, 27

Sunflowers, 79

Barley, 314

Corn, 2,571

Principal Crop Planted Acres (000) ChangesUnited States: 2019 Compared With 2018

Harvested Acres for Hay, Tobacco & Sugarcane

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

Corn Bil Bu 5.20 NA -1.9

Soybeans Bil Bu 1.79 NA +46.8

Sorghum Mil Bu 115 NA +75.5

Canola Mil Lbs 324 NA +67.4

Rice Mil Cwt 65.8 NA +46.1

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

All Wheat Bil Bu 1.07 NA -2.4

Barley Mil Bu 86.6 NA -8.4

Oats Mil Bu 36.9 NA -10.0

Rye Thou Bu 398 NA -32.9

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

June Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season

Stocks

Dry Peas Mil Cwt 4.50 NA +2.2

Lentils Mil Cwt 3.18 NA +80.9

A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 177 NA -34.4

Chickpeas Mil Cwt 3.47 NA +294.0

Small Thou Cwt 955 NA +256.3

Large Mil Cwt 2.51 NA +310.5

13.7

14.7

14.1 13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4 15.3

16.9 16.916.6

5.20

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion BushelsCorn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

5.10

5.20

5.30

5.40

5.50

5.60

5.70

5.80

5.90

6.00

June

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn StocksIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation

3.17

3.50 3.48 3.31

3.21

3.50

4.024.12

4.49

4.71

4.98

1.79

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion BushelsSoybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

1.65

1.70

1.75

1.80

1.85

1.90

1.95

2.00

June

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean StocksIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation

2.82

2.87

3.14

2.86

2.99

2.85

2.62

2.81

3.28

2.922.98

1.07

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion BushelsAll Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar JunUSDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

NASSEstimate

LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

1.04

1.05

1.06

1.07

1.08

1.09

1.10

1.11

1.12

1.13

1.14

June

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat StocksIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation

228

245

273

227

236

220

249

236

263

217

248

65.8

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Million HundredweightRough Rice Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Aug

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

Release Date Report Title

July 1 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain Crushings

July 11 Crop Production

July 19 Cattle and Cattle on Feed

July 25 Census: Watersheds

July 31 Agricultural Prices

Upcoming Reports

USDA-NASS

6-28-19

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov

For Questions202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@usda.gov