University of Nebraska Lincoln R School of Natural Resources CARC Update Allen Dutcher State...

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University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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CARC Update

Allen Dutcher

State Climatologist - Nebraska

adutcher1@unl.edu

(402)-472-5206

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Water Year Precipitation

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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SMI maps

• The soil moisture index (SMI) scales the fraction of available water in a 50 cm (~20 in.) profile

• Scaled such that 0.0 is the equivalent of 50% available water– 5.0 represents a soil at field capacity and -5.0 represents a soil at wilting point

• Measured under grass cover– Can be used to approximate soil moisture in nearby grain fields

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Surplus or Deficit maps

• The surplus or deficit maps show how much water:– Is needed to get the soil profile back to 50% available water (shown on the map as a deficit)– Is left in the soil profile before the 50% threshold is reached (shown on the map as a surplus)

• The colored dot represents the SMI at that location• Irrigation scheduling possibilities?

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Water Year Precipitation Departures

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Water Year Percent of Normal

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Water Year Percent of Normal Precipitation - National

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Current 7-Day Soil Temperatures

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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Platte River Update

• 2 Million acre-feet of runoff projected

• Current storage: 830,000 acre-feet

• Flood pool storage: 250,000 acre-feet

• Water releases increased by CNPPID with high flows for at least 30 days

• Near record to record river stages and doesn’t include southern branch flows

• Sudden warmth and/or heavy rainfall would aggravate the situation

• Irrigation will determine summer flood risk

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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June Temperature Outlook

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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June Precipitation Outlook

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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June-AugustTemperature Outlook

University of NebraskaLincoln

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School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources

University of Nebraska Lincoln

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June-AugustPrecipitation Outlook

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