Scawthorn

SPA Riskwww.sparisk.com

Emerging Trends, Best Practices and Lessons Learned in ICT-Enabled Disaster Risk Management

Session 1 Discussant

Charles Scawthorn, S.E.Professor (ret.), Kyoto University, Japan

Disaster Risk Management in the Information AgeOctober 8-9, 2008

Loss Estimation – foundation for all mitigation

Existing NH Loss Estimation Software:

• may well have good technical foundations, but

• are not open source

• users can’t ‘get under the hood’, don’t trust results

• inflexible – can’t quickly adapt to new needs, data

• slow uptake are not being used not doing the job

EXTREMUM

Open Sourcesoftware

movement

Natural hazards mitigation

–Earthquake–Wind–Flood…

Cost justification loss estimation

HAZARD

VULNERABILITY

Open Risk-related Software

Risk Engine

E p(DH)

OpenRisk

www.risk-agora.org

Data-related seismic risk management tasks

• Pre-disaster– Inventory of buildings at risk– Screen for potential seismic risk– Prioritize risk-mitigation efforts– Emergency planning

• Response– Prioritize inspections– Safety inspection, rough cost est.

• Recovery– Manage repairs—permitting, etc.

ShakeCast

ATC-20i

Windows Mobile smartphones

• OS similar to Windows XP

• Phone, camera, PIM, browser, other Windows apps

• Keyboard, stylus, touchscreen, bluetooth

• Cost ~$500; ~$200 with phone plan

• 4+ GB storage

ROVER (Rapid Observation of

Vulnerability and Estimation of Risk)

Photo tabPhoto tab Use built-in Use built-in

smartphone smartphone camera 2 MPix+camera 2 MPix+

Server adds a Server adds a watermarkwatermark

Soil tabSoil tab A-F scale, like IBCA-F scale, like IBC Soft soil tends to Soft soil tends to

amplify motionamplify motion Server can add soil Server can add soil

from built-in global from built-in global USGS mapUSGS map

Scoring tab• Choose possible

building type• Click on relevant

features• “Risk score”

calculated below• S ≥ 2 is good • S < 2 implies

need for detailed evaluation

Real Time

SPA Riskwww.sparisk.com usgs

Thank You

cscawthorn@sparisk.com

Scawthorn

Economy & Finance

Charles SCAWTHORN Junji KIYONO Kyoto University Earthquake Risk Reduction 3- Mitigation and ERR Program Development 1. Concepts and Terminology 2. Hazard,

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