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Presentation made by Keith Cressman at the 40th session of the FAO Desert Locust Control Committee (DLCC) on the Desert Locust outlook for 2012 (19 June 2012)
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the Desert Locust outlook for the Sahel this summer is ALARMING
DANGER
early summer rainssummer breeding (July onwards)
locust numbers increase (Aug-Sep)
CENTRAL REGION
winter breeding depends on rainfall (Red Sea)
CAUTION
SUMMER BREEDING(JULY-OCTOBER)
WINTER BREEDING(NOV-MAY)
POTENTIALTHREAT(JUNE)
EGYPT
SUDAN
SAUDIARABIA
N SOMALIA
YEMEN
OMAN
CALM
1 generation monsoon breedinglocust numbers increase slightly
decline after October
SW ASIA REGION
CALM
INDIA
PAKISTANSUMMER BREEDING
(JULY-OCTOBER)
MONSOON RAINS
SUMMER ADULTMIGRATION(OCT-DEC)
SPRING BREEDING(MAR-MAY)
CALM
2 generations of breeding (June-October)dramatic increase in locust numbers
threat to crops & food securityswarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)
ALARMINGWESTERN REGION
EGG-LAYING
HOPPERS & BANDS
ADULTS & SWARMS
EGG-LAYING
HOPPER BANDS
SWARMS
JUNE JULY AUG SEP OCT 2012
CROPSCROPS
CROPS
LIBYAALGERIA
MOROCCO
SUDAN
JUNE 2012
NIGER
INSECURE
MALI
CHAD
MAURITANIA
THREAT
CHAD
LIBYAALGERIA
MOROCCO
SUDAN
OCTOBER - NOVEMBER 2012
NIGER
MAURITANIA
MALI
DANGER
mobilize survey & control teams (Niger, Mali)start summer surveys (Chad, Mauritania)
initiate public awareness campaignspesticide deployment
plan for 2 generations of control ops (June-Oct)plan for swarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)
UN emergency funds & external assistance
ACT NOW !
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