Impacts of cc on cambodia part 1

IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON CAMBODIA

FORUM ON THE CURRENT CHALLENGES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

By : Tek VannaraDate : July 5, 2011, Quezon City, Philippines

Balay Kalinaw Conference Hall, University of the Philippines, Diliman,Quezon City

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CONTENTS

1. Overview of Cambodia2. Cambodia’s people livelihood3. Climate Change in SEA & Cambodia4. Climate Change Impacts on Cambodia5. Conclusion

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1. Overview of Cambodia

Territory: 181,035 sq. km Population: 13.4 million Rural Population: 80.5 percent GDP: US$ 739 per capita Literacy Rate: 77.6 Percent = Male: 85.1%, Female: 70.9%

Source: Census 2008

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4

THE LIVELIHOOD CYCLE OF CAMBODIA’

S RURAL PEOPLE

Rice field, Home garden, River fishing, Forestry & Non Timber Forestry are also exchange by season

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2. CAMBODIA’S PEOPLE LIVELIHOOD

MAIN LIVELHOOD OCCUPATION OF CAMBODIAN

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People depend on fishery resources of Tonesap and Mekong rivers

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Mekong fishery resources

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Mekong fishery resources

Forestry Resources is our lifeForestry Resources is our lifeCEPA

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Animal husbandry and local fruit production

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People depend on

80% of Cambodia’s people depend on agriculture, fishery, forestry and river resources as the main occupations.

Importance of fish product & income to Cambodia 290,000t-430,000t US$250-500 million dollar per year Contribute 75% of the protein to Cambodian

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3. Climate Change in SE Asia and Cambodia

© Water & Climate change in Lower Mekong Basin Project / Helsinki University of Technology & SEA START Regional Center http://users.tkk.fi/u/mkummu/water&cc/

Climate scenario used: ECHAM4 A2

Temperature increaseFigure: Projection of average daily maximum temperature (1980s – 2090s)

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© Lay Kim-UNDP & Water & Climate change in Lower Mekong Basin Project / Helsinki University of Technology & SEA START Regional Center http://users.tkk.fi/u/mkummu/water&cc/

Climate scenario used: ECHAM4 A2

Changes in precipitation patterns – erratic, unpredictable

Figure: Annual precipitation in the 1980s and future change in % (decadal average: 1980s – 2090s)

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Vulnerability to climate change

Source: Lay Kim-UNDP & Reproduced with permission from EEPSEA. Vulnerability as composite of exposure to climatic hazards, sensitivity to the hazards, and adaptive capacity

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Cambodia Cambodia’s temperature would increase up

to 1.35 - 2.50C in 2100 Annual rainfall would increase between 3 and

35% from current condition; lowland areas seem to be more affected than highland areas (Source: Lay Kim-UNDP & First V&A Assessment: with two Global Circulation Models (GCM) : CCSR & CSIRO, and two emission scenarios: SRESA2 & SRESB1)

Cambodia mean annual temperature anomaly

Source: Oxford University (2008)

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