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State of the Industry September 2013 Steve Carey Doyle Sumrall Executive Director Managing Director

State of the Work Truck Industry

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Presented in September 2013 by NTEA Executive Director Steve Carey and NTEA Managing Director Doyle Sumrall.

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Page 1: State of the Work Truck Industry

State of the IndustrySeptember 2013

Steve Carey Doyle SumrallExecutive Director Managing Director

Page 2: State of the Work Truck Industry

ABOUT THE NTEAEstablished in 1964, NTEA, the Association for the Work Truck Industry, represents more than 1,600 companies that manufacture, distribute, install, sell and repair commercial trucks, truck bodies, truck equipment, trailers and accessories. Buyers of work trucks and the major commercial truck chassis manufacturers also belong to the Association. The NTEA provides in-depth technical information, education and member programs and services, and produces The Work Truck Show®. The Association maintains its headquarters in suburban Detroit and a government relations office in Washington, DC. For more information, call 1-800-441-6832 or visit www.ntea.com.

Page 3: State of the Work Truck Industry

Members Continue to See Improvement

Page 4: State of the Work Truck Industry

Sales RecoverySource: NTEA Business Conditions Survey

Page 5: State of the Work Truck Industry

Plant Utilization Source: NTEA Business Conditions Survey

10%

57%

29%

4%

Page 6: State of the Work Truck Industry

37% 39%

24%

Lead Times are EvolvingSource: NTEA Business Conditions Survey

Page 7: State of the Work Truck Industry

2013 Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 8: State of the Work Truck Industry

Vocational DemographicsSource: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 9: State of the Work Truck Industry

Purchasing IntentSource: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Survey

Do you plan to replace existing trucks in your fleet during 2013?

Yes No

Page 10: State of the Work Truck Industry

Purchasing IntentSource: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Survey

Page 11: State of the Work Truck Industry

Average Age of VehiclesSource: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 12: State of the Work Truck Industry

Fuel Usage Driving Spec’ Changes Source: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Survey

Page 13: State of the Work Truck Industry

20072008

20092010

2011

0200400600800

1000120014001600

ELECTRICLNGAUTO GASE 85CNGBIODIESEL

Alternative Fuel UseEstimate 1,000 GGE

Note: Ethanol in Gasohol 8,563 (100K GGE)

Page 14: State of the Work Truck Industry

Current Fleet Deployment

Hierarchy of Solutions

Driver Involvement Idle ReductionWeight Reduction

High Efficiency Engines Aerodynamics

Gaseous Fuel

Hybrid Vehicles

Electric Vehicles

Component Electrification Telematics

?

Page 15: State of the Work Truck Industry

Using Analysis and Tools to Understand Payback

Drive & Duty Cycle DataValidation & Insights

Life Cycle Cost

Refine• UNDERSTANDING USE & NEEDS• COMPARING TECHNOLOGY & FUELS• DEVELOPING BUY-IN• REFINING RESULTS

Page 16: State of the Work Truck Industry

OEM Perspective

• CNG is a prime focus• An order of magnitude breakthrough is needed for

electric hybrid and/or electric drive• Diesel will be with us for a very long time and we

can expect breakthroughs in this engine technology• Fleets / Users see Life Cycle Cost as the Prime

Acquisition Criterion

Page 17: State of the Work Truck Industry

OEM Perspective (Cont’d)

• Cost of bringing technology/fuels to market is high and intensified by instability and failures in the supply chain

• Balancing infrastructure growth, product offerings and fleet integration is critical

• Driver training and buy-in critical to achieving technology or fuel potential

• Telematics is a winning strategy• Trucks are going to get a lot smarter

Page 18: State of the Work Truck Industry

FLEETS TAKE MULTI-FACETED APPROACH

Fuel-Saving StrategiesSource: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Survey

Page 19: State of the Work Truck Industry

Finding What you Need

Suppliers Promoting Green

Green Program or Mandate

Acquiring Green Trucks

0% 50% 100%

Fleet Acquisition Insights

All Fleets

Utility/ Telecom

Government/ Municipal

Delivery/ Cartage

Construction

Agricultural

Other

Source: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 20: State of the Work Truck Industry

Fuel and Technology Fleets Currently Deploy

Bio D

iesel

CNGE8

5

Electr

ic Hyb

rid

Exte

nded R

ange E

lectri

c

Full

Electr

ic

Hydra

ulic H

ybrid LN

G

LPG/A

utogas

Telem

atics

Syste

m Elec

trifica

tion

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

Chart Title

Source: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 21: State of the Work Truck Industry

Fuel and Technology Fleets Plan to Acquire

Bio Dies

elCNG

E85

Electr

ic Hyb

rid

Exte

nded R

ange E

lectri

c

Full

Electr

ic

Hydra

ulic H

ybrid LN

G

LPG/A

utogas

No Acq

uistion

Planned

0%5%

10%15%20%25%

Chart Title

Source: 2013 NTEA Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Page 22: State of the Work Truck Industry

Drivers for System Electrification

Reduce Fuel Utilization

Reduce Overall Operating Cost

Improve Co. Green Position

Take Advantage of Subsidies

Green Mandate

Other

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Why are you currently using electrification?

Source: 2013 GTA, VETC Fleet Electrification Survey (172 fleets with 54% currently electrifying)

Page 23: State of the Work Truck Industry

% of Fleets See Factor as High Importance

Page 24: State of the Work Truck Industry

Summary and Resources• Questions? Call 1-800-441-6832• Visit Shop NTEA on NTEA.com to order full reports:

– Whitepaper: Growing Interest in Electrification Systems– 2013 Fleet Purchasing Outlook

Thank you.