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Mongolia Investment Summit 1 May 2014

01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

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Page 1: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Mongolia Investment Summit

1 May 2014

Page 2: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Contents

Power Sector Context

Mongolia Context

Key Considerations

Case Studies

Salkhit Wind Farm Project Case Study

Georgia Country Case Study

2 May, 2014 2

Page 3: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Power Sector Context

2 May, 2014 3

Public Sector

Involvement

Strong link with regulation and law

Requires strong policy/regulatory backing

Strong, transparent direction from government

Strong links with environmental outcomes

Long term, holistic perspective required

Long Lived Assets

Project life from 20 years onwards

Technological change

Environmental

Consequences

Long term debt tenors

Limited universe of financiers

Politically Sensitive

Tariff discussions

Budgetary decisions

Reform requires strong political will

Large Upfront Costs

Page 4: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Role of the private sector

Finance

• Infrastructure and other funds

• Capital markets

• Sponsors

Efficiency and innovation

• Projects delivered faster and more efficiently

• Integration of best practice techniques

Risk transfer and resources

• Private provider is responsible for delivery and takes the risks

Government

• Concentrates on

inputs, not

outputs

• Regulates

quality and

nature of supply

• Takes the risks it

can control

Page 5: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Mongolia Context

2 May, 2014 5

Resource Rich

12 billion tonnes proven coal reserves

100 billion tonne potential coal reserves

USD 20 mln loss annually

Cross subsidies

High losses

Growing Demand

Rapid urbanisation

6-7% annual growth in electricity demand

Long term GDP growth

Loss Making Sector

900 MW though 70% available

30 to 60 years old

Efficiency range of 20-40%

Economic Downturn

Foreign investment decline

Local currency depreciation

Liquidity crunch

Dated Asset Base

Urban Environment

SOX/NOX/Dust concentration levels

Most polluted capital based on PM

Health effects

Page 6: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Key Decision Point

Positives

• Quality of Private Sector Interest

• Quantity of Resources

• Growing demand

• Salkhit Precedent

2 May, 2014 6

Challenges

• Urgency of capacity increases

• Established legal framework

• Politics of tariffs

• Loss making sector

• Urban environment

Page 7: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Key Considerations

2 May, 2014 7

• Long term perspective on the part of GoM

• Ensure success of existing private power investments

• Prioritisation of large projects

• Improve long term viability of the sector

• Appropriate risk allocation between state and private sector

Page 8: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Salkhit : A landmark transaction

• Salkhit is the country’s first limited recourse project financing

• Salkhit is the first project financed power transaction in Mongolia

• Salkhit is the country’s first wind farm and privately owned power

producer

• Salkhit utilizes the first PPA in Mongolia

• CO2 reduction through the project of about 178,000 tonnes/year

• Salkhit will save 122,000 tons of coal and 1.6 million tons of water

Page 9: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Salkhit Wind Farm Timeline

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Investm

en

t P

olicy D

ialo

gu

e

Equity: USD 700,000

Development Equity

Equity: USD 4.5m

Follow-on equity

Debt: USD 42m

Senior Debt

Environmental and

Social Impact

Assessment (ESIA)

Mongolia Renewable Energy

Assessment and Regulatory

Development Road Map

Amendment of

existing project PPA

Government of Mongolia

Letter of Support

Page 10: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Salkhit Experience

Investment Details

Borrower

Sponsor

Equity

Loan

Structure

Clean Energy LLC

Newcom LLC

EBRD USD 5 mln FMO USD 5 mln GE USD 8 mln Newcom USD 19 mln

EBRD USD 42 mln FMO USD 42 mln Tenor of 15 years

Limited recourse project finance loan

•The Project is an example the Bank’s

financial products, our role in policy

dialogue, and approach to transition

•Appropriate risk allocation between

private and public sector roles

•Precedent for future IPPs to follow

•Demonstration effect by GoM and for

private sector investors

•Successful outcomes of the Salkhit wind

farm key in attracting future investment

Page 11: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Site before…

Page 12: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

… and after

Page 13: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

… and after

Page 14: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Power Sector in Georgia

Market Structure

• Generation dominated by state-owned

Enguri HPP while majority of remaining

generation under fully regulated tariffs

• Generation dominated by hydropower

for baseload and thermal for peaking

power

• Transmission state-owned though

distribution is private

• Growing private interest in hydropower

development

2 May, 2014 14

Strategic Initiatives

• Promote private greenfield hydropower

development

• Act as energy hub for the Caucasus

region into Turkey/Europe

• Integration with Europe energy market

Page 15: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Georgia: Transition Story

1995 2000 2005 2010

Investm

en

t P

olicy D

ialo

gu

e

Generation: Power

Rehabilitation Project

(EUR 14m Debt)

Generation: Enguri HPP

Rehabilitation Project

(EUR 57.2m, Debt)

Generation: Lopota

and Okami SHPP

(EUR 0.2m, Debt)

Generation: Paravani HPP

(EUR 48.5m, Debt)

(EUR 3.8m, Equity)

Generation: Intsoba

SHPP Rehabilitation

(EUR 0.4m, Debt) Transmission:

Black Sea Energy

Transmission System

(EUR 80m, Debt)

Distribution: Telasi

Rehabilitation Project

(EUR19.3m, Debt)

Distribution: AES Telasi

(EUR 23.2m, Debt)

Transmission: Jvari-

Khorga Interconnection

(EUR 25.2m, Debt)

Transmission: ESIA and

regulatory reform linked to the

Black Sea Transmission Line

Distribution:

Tariff Gap Analysis

Generation: Strategic

Environmental Assessment of

Paravani and Aragvi River Basin

Distribution:

Tariff Study

Energy sector: Debt

Restructuring and Reorganisation

Generation: Feasibility Study

for Enguri Rehabilitation

Energy Sector:

Development of wholesale

electricity market

Generation: Enguri HPP –

Technical experts opinion

Generation: Support to

the development of SHPP

Generation:

Upstream Enguri HPP

Rehabilitation

(EUR 20m, Debt)

Page 16: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Recent Experience

• Key sector counterparts in Georgian public entities highly credible and

proactive

• Ease of Doing Business in Georgia

• Key area of focus is ensuring the legal and regulatory framework

facilitate private generation investment

• Allocation of responsibilities – public versus private

Page 17: 01.05.2014 How can Mongolia attract private investment in power development Philip Lam

Contacts

2 May 2014 21

For all further enquiries, please

contact:

Philip Lam

Senior Banker

Power and Energy Utilities

+44 2073386669

[email protected]

EBRD, One Exchange Square

London, EC2A 2JN

United Kingdom

www.ebrd.com