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Celebrating 20 years of Economic Liberalisation
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
INTERLINK INSURANCE & REINSURANCE BROKERS PVT. LTD.501, Sai InfoTech, Patel Chowk, R.B. Mehta Road,
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(for Private Circulation only)
A Bird’s Eye View ofIndian Economy - 2011
A Bird’s Eye View ofIndian Economy - 2011
(1991 to 2011)
Compiled & Prepared by
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Release Photo
Mr. M.V. Nair,
‘A Bird’s Eye View of Indian Economy - 2011’
Mrs. Kalpana Parekh,
Chairman, Union Bank of India
performing release ceremony of our booklet
.
Next to him is Chairperson,
Interlink Insurance & Reinsurance Brokers Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai
�
�
�
�
�
Economy Survey of India,
Union Budget of India,
Statistical Outline of India by Tata Services Ltd,
The Times of India News Paper,
Business Express News Paper,
�
�
�
�
�
Financial Express News Paper,
International Monetary Fund,
Swiss Re - Sigma,
Various Government Websites and
various other sources
Sources for Compilation of Booklet :-
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Index
S.N. Particulars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page
1 Chairperson’s Views on State of Indian Economy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
2 Budget at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4, 5
4 India in the International Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
5 Agriculture Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
6 Industrial Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8, 9
7 Service Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10, 11
8 Deficit Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12, 13
9 Inflation, Foreign Trade & Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14, 15
10 Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16, 17
GDP Growth, Sectoral Growth, Real GDP Growth,
Brent Crude, Inflation & Industrial Growth
GDP & its Sectoral Share, GDP Comparison with USA - India & Other countries (1991 & 2011)
GDP (at Factor Cost by Industry of Origin), Average Customs Collection Rate, Excise Duty
Economic Outlook Projection by IMF, Excise/Manufacturing GDP, Customs/Import
Service Tax/Service GDP
Global Concern on Inflation, Overall Fiscal Balance and Gross Debt of the Govt.,
Ownership of Cars, India in World, India's Share in World Trade
Food Grain Output, Gross Capital Formation in Agriculture,
Agriculture Production, Hidden Cost - Food Subsidy, Inflation & Average Rainfall
Gross Domestic Savings & Capital Formation
Disruptions on Decline, Industrial Growth Loses Steam,
Soaring Input Prices Eat into Profits, Infrastructure Sectors Drag on Growth
Top 10 Slowest & Fastest Moving Industries, Ratio of Savings and Investments to GDP
Tourism, IT & IT Enabled Services
Composition of Service Sector, Performance of India’s Services Sector: Some Indicators
Performance in Services Growth (of Top 12 Countries)
Sectors Attracting Highest FDI Equity Inflows,
Growth Rate of GDP & Service Sector GDP, India's World ranking in different services
Revenue Receipts & Expenditure, Capital Receipts & Expenditure
Revenue Deficit, Fiscal Deficit & Primary Deficit
What it Means for the Government
Deteriorating Current Account, Major Subsidies
Trends & Composition of Centre’s Revenue Expenditure
External Debt Outstanding, Debt GDP Ratio, Foreign Exchange Reserves
Interest on Internal Liabilities and Avg.Cost of Borrowings
Foreign Trade, Latest Trend in FII Inflows, Movement of Indian Rupee,
Current A/c Imbalance (Foreign Funds Flows), Direction of Imports & Exports
Population Growth & Literacy Rate, High & Middle Income Households,
Composition of Private Consumption Expenditure, Most Populous Countries in the World,
Sex Ratio, Annual Sale of some Consumer Products, Sale of Consumer Non-Durables,
Insurance Density & Penetration, Gross Domestic Product, Gross Direct Premium & Inflation
Annual Growth in India’s Services in GDP,
1
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Chairperson’s Views on State of Indian Economy
The financial crisis which began in industrialized nations in
2007, spread to real economy across the world. India was
not an exception to this. The effect was visible when the
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of India came down from
9.3% in 2007-08 to 6.8% in 2008-09. To reverse the trend,
Policy Makers were forced to take calculated risk in
providing fiscal expansion, to boost the economy. The result
was, the Fiscal deficit shot up from 2.5%of GDP in 2006-07
to 6.0% in 2007-08 and 6.3% in 2008-09 which is a natural
phenomena.
The continued recession in the developed world affected
export of goods and services heavily, slowing down
financial inflow as well. Even then by the end of year 2009-
10 economy posted a remarkable recovery to achieve GDP
growth of 8.0%. During year 2010-11 estimated GDP
growth is 8.6% which adds to the comfort of Indian
economy.
Monetary-wise every sector has shown reasonable growth
year after year to achieve required Gross Domestic Product
growth. From 2004-05 to 2009-10 all sectors such as
Services, Manufacturing, Agriculture etc. have grown
almost in same proportion to give stability to Indian
Economy.
The Gross Domestic Savings have shown steady growth
except the year 2008-09, which suffered because of
recession. Again in 2009-10 with improved Economical
situation as far as India is concerned, Domestic Savings
regained its position to put up a very strong come back.
Similarly, Gross Domestic Capital Formation which was
almost stagnant in 2008-09 picked-up the steam to grow
from INR 19.73 Trillion in 2008-09 to INR 23.43 Trillion in
2009-10, an 18.75% jump.
Foreign Exchange Reserves for 3 quarters of INR 13.75
Trillion in 2010-11 surpasses the reserves of all 4 quarters
of INR 12.60 Trillion in 2009-10. This satisfactory Foreign
Exchange Reserve has provided required stability to the
economy.
Debt Service Ratio which stood at 10.1% in 2005-06 came
down to 4.4% in 2008-09. Though it has marginally
increased in 2009-10 taking into account the scenario
created by recession, there is no reason to panic.
Revenue Deficit which was 5.2% of GDP in 2009-10 has
been estimated to be 3.4% in 2010-11, Fiscal Deficit 6.4% of
GDP in 2009-10 to be 5.1% in 2010-11 and Primary Deficit
3.1% of GDP in 2009-10 to be 2.0% in 2010-11 shows
considerable improvement in the economy. All these
Deficits are not healthy signs but taking into account the
overall improvements, the Indian Economy is proving to be
stable and robust.
Of all the facts the population growth rate from 1.0% in
2001 to 1.17% (approx.) in 2010 is a disturbing factor. Still,
the young population may prove to be an asset rather than
liability.
However there are a few disturbing features in the Indian
Economy. Of them Inflation is a big concern. Higher oil price
in the international market is a worrying factor as
approximately 1/3 of India’s total import bill is for oil and
petroleum products.
Likewise revenue deficit and fiscal deficit though are within
the control, a cause of concern.
We will be happy to receive your comments / suggestions to
enable us to improve our presentation.
I take this opportunity to thank
who has kindly agreed to perform the
release ceremony.
Once again thank you all!
Mr. M.V. NAIR, Chairman,
Union Bank of India
Kalpana Parekh(Chairperson)
Kalpana ParekhMumbai, 6th April 2011
2
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Budget at a Glance
(Figures in INR Billions)
Quick Return to Fast Track
‘Fast and Strong’ is how the
Economic Survey has termed India’s
Economic Performance. Though
2010-11 GDP growth is impressive
and comprehensive, there are new
challenges ahead
1. GDP Growth (%)GDP returned to near 9% growth...
2. Sectoral Growth (%)... because all three sectors grew well...
4. Brent Crude (USD/Barrel)
...but the impact of events in Arab World...
5. Inflation & Industrial Growth (%)...high inflation & slack in Indu.growth pose new challenges
3. Real GDP Growth (%)...and global recovery helped too...
2009 2010*
USA -2.6 2.6
UK -4.9 1.7
Germany -4.7 3.3
China 9.0 10.4
Japan -5.2 2.8
Brazil -0.1 7.5
9
8
7
6
FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10
9.58.6
FY 11(Adv.Esti.)
Agriculture Industry Services
9
6
3
0
2009-10 2010-11(Adv.Est.)
0.4
5.4
8.0 8.1
10.1
9.6
100
80
60
40
JAN ‘09 FEB ‘11JAN ‘10
20
111.36
M A M J J A S O N D
12
4
0
Inflation Industrial Growth
8
16
J2010 ‘11
8.23
* IMF Estimates
2009-2010 2010-2011 2010-2011 2011-2012
Actuals@ Budget Revised Budget
Estimates Estimates Estimates
1 Revenue Receipts 5,728.11 6,822.12 7,838.33 7,898.92
4 Capital Receipts (5+6+7) $ 4,516.76 4,265.37 4,327.43 4,678.37
8 Total Receipts (1+4) $ 10,244.87 11,087.49 12,165.76 12,577.29
9 Non-Plan Expenditure 7,210.96 7,356.57 8,215.52 8,161.82
13 Plan Expenditure 3,033.91 3,730.92 3,950.24 4,415.47
16 Total Expenditure (9+13) 10,244.87 11,087.49 12,165.76 12,577.29
20 Revenue Deficit (17-1) 3,389.98 2,765.12 2,698.44 3,072.7
21 Effective Revenue Deficit (17-18) # 2,451.95 1,790.52 1,604.17
22 Fiscal Deficit 4,184.82 3,814.08 4,009.98 4,128.17
23 Primary Deficit (20-11) 2,053.89 1,327.44 1,602.41 1,448.31
2 Tax Revenue (Net to Centre) 4,565.36 5,340.94 5,636.85 6,644.57
3 Non-Tax Revenue 1,162.75 1,481.18 2,201.48 1,254.35
5 Recoveries of Loans 86.13 51.29 90.01 150.20
6 Other Receipts 245.81 400.00 227.44 400.00
7 Borrowing and other liabilities * 4,184.82 3,814.08 4,009.98 4,128.17
10 On Revenue Account of which, 6,579.25 6,435.99 7,267.49 7,335.58
11 Interest Payments 2,130.93 2,486.64 2,407.57 2,679.86
12 On Capital Account 631.71 920.58 948.03 826.24
14 On Revenue Account 2,538.84 3,151.25 3,269.28 3,636.04
15 On Capital Account 495.07 579.67 680.96 779.43
17 Revenue Expenditure (10+14) 9,118.09 9,587.24 10,536.77 10,971.62
18 Of Which, Grants for creation of Capital Assets 313.17 907.92 1,468.53
19 Capital Expenditure (12+15) 1,126.78 1,500.25 1,628.99 1,605.67
-5.2 -4.0 -3.4 -3.4
-3.5 -2.3 -1.8
{16-(1+5+6)} -6.4 -5.5 -5.1 -4.6
-3.1 -1.9 -2.0 -1.6
3
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Gross Domestic Product and its Sectoral Share
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1991 20101992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
31.4 14.230.3 30.7 30.0 29.5 27.3 27.8 26.0 25.9 25.0 23.9 24.0 21.4 21.7 20.2 19.5 18.5 17.8 17.0
25.9
28.0
25.6 25.1 25.2 25.8 26.9 26.5 26.4 25.8 25.3
25.8 25.025.8 25.6 26.2 26.4 26.7 26.5 25.7
42.7 57.844.1 44.2 44.8 44.6 45.8 45.6 47.6 48.3 49.7 50.3 51.0 52.7 52.7 53.6 54.1 54.8 55.7 57.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
INR
Trillion
Pe
rce
nta
ge
GDP at Factor Cost (Right Scale)Agriculture Industry Services (Left Scale)
5.15 5.94 6.81 7.92 9.2510.83
12.60 14.0116.16
17.86 19.2520.97
22.6125.38
28.77
32.82
37.79
41.6244.93
48.79
Average Customs Collection Rate
Excise / Manufacturing GDP
Compared to other sector, Service sector is becoming more and more important
in Indian Market and Government is also spending higher amounts on
infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, communication, etc. and in 2019-20 the
% of Service sector will increase to 60%. However, unfortunately amount-wise as
well as % wise Defense is getting more and more allocation.
0
10
20
40
30
50
(as
% o
f G
DP
)
1990-91 2009-10*2005-062000-011995-96
* Advanced Estimate
47.0
6.0
0
70
10
20
30
40
50
60
2004-05 2007-08 2009-10#2008-09*
Agriculture,
forestry &
fishing.
Mining &
Quarrying
Public admi-
-nistration
& defence
& other
services
Financing,
insurance,
real estate
& business
services
Trade,
hotels,
transport
& commu-
-nication
Manufac-
-turing, con-
-structions,
electricity,
gas and
water
supply Services
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
6.5
(21.89%)
9.6
(20.99%)
10.7
(20.21%)
12.4
(20.28%)
7.4
(25.06%)
12.1
(26.32%)
13.5
(25.59%)
15.0
(24.45%)7.3
(24.49%)
11.5
(25.09%)
13.1
(24.78%)
14.8
(24.09%)
4.4
(14.71%)
6.9
(15.09%)
8.5
(16.08%)
10.3
(16.75%)
4.1
(13.84%)
5.7
(12.51%)
7.0
(13.34%)
8.9
(14.44%)
29.7
(100.00%)
45.8
(100.00%)
52.8
(100.00%)
61.3
(100.00%)
(at Factor Cost by Industry of Origin)
* Provisional Estimates # Quick Estimates
15
.8(5
3.0
3%
)
24
.1(5
2.7
0%
)
28
.6(5
4.2
0%
)
33
.9(5
5.2
7%
)
0
5
10
20
15
25
(in
Pe
rce
nta
ge
)
23
.0 23
.8
23
.4
21
.9
21
.3
18
.5
16
.9
13
.3
11
.4 13
.2
01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 10-11*06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
* Figures for 9 months
Customs duties have fallen steeply ...
4
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
GDP Compared with USA - India & ......... 1991 & 2011
Gross Domestic Product
Service Tax / Service GDP
GDP (USD Bln PPP)
19912011
818
2,301
BRAZIL
% of US GDP
15%14%
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
5,488
11,805
19912011
1991 20111.0% 4.1%
GDP (USD Bln PPP)
19912011
CHINA
% of US GDP
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
19912011
1991 20119.2% 9.6%
888
8,304
74%
1,029
11,195
17%
GDP (USD Bln PPP)
19912011
INDIA
% of US GDP
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
19912011
1991 20112.1% 8.4%
793
901
4,393
29%13%
3,563
GDP (USD Bln PPP)
19922011
RUSSIA
% of US GDP
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
19922011
1993 2011-8.7% 4.3%
1,169
2,343
15%20%
7,855
16,750
GDP (USD Bln PPP)
19912011
UK
% of US GDP
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
19912011
1991 2011-1.4% 2.0%
2,254
981
16% 15%
35,982
17,082
GDP (USD Bln PPP)1991
2011
US
% of US GDP
1991 2011
GDP Per Capita (USD PPP)
GDP Growth Rate
19912011
1991 2011-0.2% 2.3%
5,992
15,157
100%100%
23,648
48,387
0
1.0
2.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
(as
% o
f G
DP
)
1990-91 2009-102004-052000-011997-98
4.3
3.2 3.33.1
1.7
Customs / Import
Excise Duty
How does India’s economic growth compare with other BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia & China) as well as the developed US and UK
01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-060
0.5
1.0
2.0
1.5
2.5
(in
Pe
rce
nta
ge
)
10-11*06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.3
1.8
2.1
2.1
2.1
1.7
* Figures for 9 months
0
3
6
15
12
9
18
(in
Pe
rce
nta
ge
)
16
.1
15
.1
13
.5
11
.5
9.9
10
.3
10
.3
7.3
6.1
8.6
01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 10-11*06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
* Figures for 9 months
... as has incidence of Excise Duty
PPP - Purchasing Power Parity
-2
2
0
6
4
10
8
12
(% C
ha
ng
e Y
OY
)
-0.6
5.7
9.2
5.0
9.710.3
4.4
8.4
9.6
4.5
8.0
9.5
World India China
2012*2009 2011*2010
* Projected
Economic Outlook Projection by IMF
5
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
India in the International Market
Global Concern on Inflation (in%) (2010) India in World
Particulars Units World India Rank
Area Mln. Km2 134 3 7
Population Mln 6,692 1,140 2
Gross National Income USD Bln 57,637 1,216 12
Electricity Generation Bln kwh 19,819 803 5
Exports of Services USD Bln 3,799 103 10
Agriculture & Allied
Arable Land Mln Hect. 1,411 159 2
Irrigated Area Mln Hect. 287 57 1
Gross Domestic Product USD Bln 60,587 1,217
Birth Rate per ‘000 20 24 85
Death Rate per ‘000 8 8 117
Infant Mortality (Live Births) per ‘000 47 54 51
Expectation of Life at Birth Years 69 65 162
Gross National Income USD Bln 57,638 1,516
Purchasing Power Parity 1 USD 10,357 2,960 83
Foreign Direct Investment
Inflow (in 2008) USD Bln 1,697 42
Outflow (in (2008) USD Bln 1,858 18
Foreign Exchange Reserve USD Bln 7,288 257
Insurance Premium Density
(
Life (in 2009) USD 341.2 47.7
Non-life (in 2009) 253.9 6.7
Insurance Penetration
(Insurance Premia as % of GDP)
Life (in 2009) % 4.0 4.6
Non-Life (in 2009) % 3.0 0.6
Growth Forcasts % 4.2 8.8 12
Trade in Commercial Services
Export (in 2008) USD Bln 3,780 103 9
Import (in 2008) USD Bln 3,490 84 13
Trade in Commercial Services in Total Trade
Export 19,850 280
Import 19,912 377
Per Capita Premia)
USD
Real GDP Growth (in 2010)
Trade in Goods
Export (in 2008) USD Bln 16,130 179 25
Import (in 2008) USD Bln 16,422 293 16
(in 2008) USD Bln
(in 2008) USD Bln
Brazil
China
Egypt
India
Thailand
Turkey
Ukrain
* Nov ** Dec *** Sept **** Oct
5.9**
5.1*
11.6***
8.3*
3.0**
6.4**
9.1**
9.2*
11.7*
21.9***
10.1*
3.2***
7.0**
13.1****
Inflation WPI Food Inflation WPI
Overall Fiscal Balance(as % of GDP)
Gross Debt of the Govt.(as % of GDP)
Ownership of Cars
India China USJapan
0
100
200
400
300
500
(pe
r T
ho
usa
nd
)
13
Brazil
23
457431
124
2009
2010*
Em
erg
ing
Eco
no
mie
s
Em
erg
ing
Eco
no
mie
s
India
Japan
Germany
France
US
Brazil
Russia
China
-10.2-9.8
-3.1-3.1
-6.2-4.2
77.875.7
17.718.4
10.910.4
-3.1-2.6
-10.6
-7.6-7.7
-3.0-3.5
-10.1-9.4
-12.791.2
78.184.0
73.5
76.6
217.4220.7
84.6
67.965.7
Ad
va
nce
d
Eco
no
mie
s
Ad
va
nce
d
Eco
no
mie
s
* Estimates
India's Share in World Trade (%)
Export Import
2001 2010 2001 2010
Agriculture Products 1.1 1.4 0.7 1.2
Food 1.3 1.4 0.5 1.0
Manufactured Products 0.7 1.3 0.5 1.3
Iron & Steel 0.9 1.9 0.5 2.3
Chemicals 0.7 1.3 0.8 1.8
Pharmaceuticals 1.0 1.3 * *
Telecom Equipment * 0.7 0.2 2.0
Automotive Products 0.1 0.6 * *
Textiles 3.5 4.3 * *
Clothing 3.0 3.6 * *
Transport Services 0.6 1.5 2.1 4.2
Commercial Services 3.7 2.4
* Negligible Source: CARE Ratings6
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Gross Capital Formation in Agriculture
Agriculture Sector
0
200
100
400
300
600
500
700
(IN
R B
illi
on
)
2006 2007 2008 2011*2009 2010
230.7 238.3
312.6
436.7
582.4
512.0
* up to 22-Oct-2010
195
205
200
215
210
235
230
220
225
240
(Mil
lio
n T
on
ne
s)
2006 2007 2008 2011*2009 2010
* Estimated
208.6
217.3
230.8
234.4
218.2
232.1
1600
1700
1650
1800
1750
1850
1900
1950
(KG
pe
r H
ect
are
)
2006 2007 2008 20102009
1,715
1,756
1,860
1,898
1,798
Food Grain Output
Agriculture Production Hidden Cost - Food Subsidy
Food Grain Output on the Rise ...
... and Low Yield Remain a Concern
Inflation & Average Rainfall
Year Inflation Percentage
All of long period
average rainfall
for the country
as a whole
of which,
Commodities Primary
Articles
2000-01 7.2 2.8 92
2001-02 3.6 3.6 81
2002-03 3.4 3.3 102
2003-04 5.5 4.3 86
2004-05 6.5 3.7 99
2005-06 4.3 4.3 99
2006-07 6.5 9.6 105
2007-08 4.8 8.3 98
2008-09 8.0 11.0 77
2009-10 3.6 12.7 102
2.1
2.5
2.3
2.9
2.7
3.1
3.3
(% o
f G
DP
)
2005 2007 2008 201020092006
2.56
2.56
... but Funds Flow Moderate
The demand for food grain is increasing as middle class
population has increased from 43 million in 1985-86 to
141 million in 2009-10 and this has changed the pattern
of consumption. There is minimum research and
development programme in agriculture compared to
industry. There is a need to tackle agriculture wastage
which is around 30-40% including storage-waste. The
return on agriculture is minimum to marginal and small
farmers compared to big farmers who enjoy subsidy,
minimum price and other benefits.
The inflow of funds is mainly come from Foreign
Institutional Investments (FII) which is a temporary
investment. Unfortunately Foreign Direct Investments
(FDI) is very low and because of government’s political
compulsion, the flow is limited as there are restrictions in
some of the financial sectors.
7
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Industrial Sector
Gross Domestic Savings(at Current Prices)
2006-07 2007-08 2009-10#2008-09*
0
5
10
15
20
25
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
Household
Private Sector
Public Sector
9.9 11.213.3
15.4
5.3
4.4
4.7
3.4
1.5
2.5 0.3
1.4
22.1
18.018.4
14.9
* Provisional Estimates # Quick Estimates
Gross Domestic Capital Formation
Soaring Input Prices Eat into Profits
Industrial Growth Loses Steam
(at Current Prices)
2006-07 2007-08 2009-10#2008-09*
0
5
10
15
20
25
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
Corporate Sec.
Public Sector
5.1 5.47.3 7.7
8.66.4
8.66.2
3.6
4.4 5.3
6.0
23.4
19.719.0
15.4
Valuables
Household Sec.
0.5
0.50.7
1.1
* Provisional Estimates # Quick Estimates
0
100
50
200
150
250
300
(No
. o
f In
cid
en
ce)
2006 2007 2008* 2010*2009*
24
3
18
7
21
0
24
0
15
7
79
20
19
2
18
1
17
9
* Provisional
Strikes Lockouts
Infrastructure Sectors Drag on Growth(% Growth : Core Industries)
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11*
Power 6.3 2.5 6.8 4.6
Coal 6 8.2 8 0.6
Freight 9 4.9 6.6 3.3
Port cargo 12 2.2 5.7 0.8
Cement 7.8 7.6 10.1 4.1
Crude oil 0.4 -1.8 0.5 11.5
Natural gas 2.1 1.4 44.8 19.8
Disruptions on Decline
Apr-10 Jan-11
10
5
15
20
(% G
row
th I
IP)
Dec-11Dec-10
1.6
01.13
#
# because of Recession
-30
-20
0
40
20
60
80
(% G
row
th)
Expenditure Profit
16.23
23.15 19.88
13.50
28.50
9.55
67.05
-23.00
FY 08 FY 11
(Q1 & Q2)
FY 09 FY 10
* April to November
8
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Industrial Sector
Ratio of Savings and Investments to GDP(% at current market Prices)
[% C
ha
ng
e (
Tota
l In
com
e)]
FMCG
Glass & Glass Products
Computers-Hardware
Couriers
Air-Conditioners
Computers-Software-Large
Steel-Medium/Small
Diversified-Large
Diversified-Medium/Small
Steel-Sponge Iron
1.0 5.02.0 3.0 4.0
4.63
4.60
4.36
3.25
2.94
2.90
1.96
0.47
0.42
0.32
0.0
[% C
ha
ng
e (
Tota
l In
com
e)]
Food-Processing-India
Diamond Cutting / Jewellery
Textiles-Products
Computers-Software-Converts
Packaging
Healthcare
Automobiles-LCVs/HCVs
Computer-Education
Automobiles-Motorcycles/Mopeds
Tyres
1.0 402.0 3.00.0
37.97
37.17
36.93
34.94
33.01
32.78
30.12
29.56
27.19
23.66
Top 10 Slowest Moving Industries Top 10 Fastest Moving Industries
Party 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Gross Domestic Savings 33.5 34.6 36.9 32.2 33.7
Gross Capital Formation 34.7 35.7 38.1 34.5 36.5
Gross Fixed Capital 30.3 31.3 32.9 32.0 30.8
Savings-Investment Gap
Public Sector 2.4 3.6 5.0 0.5 2.1
Private Sector 31.0 31.0 31.9 31.7 31.6
Household Sector 23.5 23.2 22.5 23.8 23.5
Financial Savings 11.9 11.3 11.7 10.8 11.8
Savings in Physical Assets 11.7 11.9 10.8 13.1 11.7
Private Corporate Sector 7.5 7.9 9.4 7.9 8.1
Public Sector 7.9 8.3 8.9 9.5 9.2
Private Sector 25.2 26.4 28.1 24.6 24.9
Corporate Sector 13.6 14.5 17.3 11.5 13.2
Household Sector 11.7 11.9 10.8 13.1 11.7
Stocks 2.8 3.4 4.0 2.0 3.3
Valuables 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.7
Public Sector -5.5 -4.7 -3.9 -9.0 -7.0
Private sector 5.8 4.6 3.8 7.1 6.7
(Investment)
Formation
industrial growth has come down mainly because of
increase in interest rate.
The booster dose given by the government to fight
the recession has side effect and i.e. Inflation. To
check the inflation, government has to increase the
interest rate. The silver lining in this is increase in the
savings rate and drastical reduction in strikes and
lock-outs.
The recession in the western world affected the
whole world including India. However, India was not
affected much. Thanks to their local consumption
plus increase in middle class population. This helped
consumer industry such as food processing, diamond
jewellary, textile, computers, etc. to meet the
growing demand of middle class and helped to
increase industrial growth. However, recently
9
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Service Sector
2009-10
Other Services, 14.67%
Trade, 26.94%
Hotels & Rest., 2.53%
Railways, 1.81%
Transport, 9.40%
Storage, 0.18%
Commu., 2.71%
Bank & Ins., 9.76%
Real Estate, 20.61%
Public Admin., 11.36%
& Defense
Composition of Service Sector
USA
15.7%
UK
14.7%
Bangladesh
9.0%
Sri Lanka
4.7%
Canada
4.3%
France
3.8%
Other
36.0%
Japan
2.4%
Germany
3.8%
Australia
2.9%
Malaysia
2.6%
Tourist Arrival in India (in 2009)
Total Tourists = 5.1 mln
2004 2005 2006
0
4.0
2.0
8.0
6.0
12.0
10.0
14.0
(US
D B
illi
on
)
6.17
7.49
8.63
10.73
11.75 11.39
2009*2007 2008*
* Advance Estimate
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
0
40
20
60
80
(US
D B
illi
on
)
2009-102007-08 2008-09
9.9
Domestic Market
Export Market
18.224.2
13.2
16.2
31.740.9
22.0
21.9
47.5 50.1
23.0
73.169.4
62.9
47.9
37.4
28.1
Tourist Arrival in India (in 2009) Earnings from Tourism
Growth of IT & IT Enabled Services
Performance of India’s Services Sector: Some Indicators
Sector Indicators Unit 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
Aviation
Telecom
Tourism
Shipping
Ports
Railways
Storage
Airline Passengers Million 53.5 49.5 56.9 NA
Connections - Million 300.5 429.7 621.3 764.8(a)
Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTA) Million 5.1* 5.3* 5.1* 5.6*
Foreign Exchange Earnings USD Mln 10,729* 11,750* 11,394 14,193*
Gross Tonnage of Indian Million GT 8.8* 9.3* 9.4* 10.1b
No. of Ships Numbers 867 925 1,003 NA
Port Traffic Mln Ton 521.5 532.5 562.7 416.6c
Freight Traffic by Railways Mln Ton 804.1 833.3 888.0 673.3d
Net Tonne KMs of Railways Billion 523.0 538.2 584.8 444.5d
Storage Capacity MT 98.8 105.3 106.0 NA
Warehouses Numbers 490 499 487 NA
(Domestic & Intl.)
wire line & wireless
from FTA
Shipping
* Calendar Years, e.g. 2007-08 for 2007
(a) April-November | (b) as on 01.09.10 | (c) April-October | (d) April-December
Sources: Directorate General of Civil Aviation, Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Ministry of Tourism,
Ministry of Shipping, Ministry of Railways & Central Warehousing Corporation (Compiled by EXIM Bank of India)
Performance in Services Growth in 2009(of Top 12 Countries)
country Rank in Overall Share of Services
World - 58,069 64.2 -1.6
Services GDP** Services Growth*
GDP USD Bln % of GDP Rate (%)
India 12 1,287 52/55.2# 6.8
US 1 14,119 76.5 -3.1
Japan 2 5,069 71.0 -5.6
China 4 4,984 39.2 9.4
Germany 3 3,330 66.6 -1.4
France 5 2,649 71.1 -1.1
UK 6 2,170 70.5 -3.3
Italy 7 2,113 66.6 -2.0
Brazil 9 1,572 57.3 2.6
Spain 8 1,464 63.6 -1.0
Canada 10 1,336 65.5 -0.2
Russia 11 1,231 54.0 -5.1
* on Constant Prices (USD) ** at Current Prices
# In 2009-10 as per CSO, India.
Source : UN National A/c Statistics accessed on 4-Feb-2011
10
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Service Sector
10
6
8
12
(An
nu
al
Gro
wth
in
%)
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Overall GDP Services GDP
Growth Rate of GDP & Service Sector GDP India's World Ranking in Services(As on FY 2010)
Sectors Attracting Highest FDI Equity Inflows
Ranks Sector 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Cumulative % to Total
(Apr.- (Apr.- (Apr.-Mar.) Mar.) Dec.) Inflows (Apr-00 (In USD
Dec-10) terms)
1 Services Sector 6,138 4,353 2,853 26,454 21%
2 Computer Software & Hardware 1,677 919 670 10,601 8%
3 Telecommunications 2,558 2,554 1,327 10,258 8%
4 Housing & Real Estate 2,801 2,844 1,024 9,380 7%
5 Construction Activities 2,028 2,862 911 8,964 7%
(Financial & Non-Financial)
Mobile,
(including Roads & Highways)
(Radio Paging, Cellular basic Telephone Services)
Source : Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion.
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09* 2009-10#
Trade, Hotels, & Restaurants 12.2 11 10 5.5 6.7
Transport, Storage 12.2 12.7 12.9 11.1 15.0
Financing, Insurance,
Community, Social & 7.0 2.9 6.9 12.7 11.8
Construction 12.8 10.3 10.7 5.4 7.0
Total Services
Overall GDP 9.5 9.6 9.3 6.8 8.0
Trade 11.7 10.7 9.7 6.5 7.2
Hotels & Restaurants 17.5 14.4 13.1 -3.1 2.2
Railways 7.5 11.1 9.8 7.6 9.4
Transport by Other Means 9.3 9.0 8.7 5.2 7.0
Storage 4.7 10.9 3.4 10.5 10.7
Communications 25.5 24.9 25.4 25.8 32.1
Banking & Insurance 15.9 20.6 16.7 14.0 11.3
Real Estate, Ownership
Public Administration and Defense 4.2 2.0 7.6 20.2 13.0
Other Services 9.1 3.5 6.3 7.4 10.9
Excluding Construction 11 10.1 10.3 10.1 10.1
Including Construction 11.2 10.1 10.4 9.5 9.7
& Communications
Real Estate & Business Services 12.7 14.0 11.9 12.5 9.2
Personal Services
of Dwellings & Business Services 10.6 9.5 8.4 11.2 7.5
Annual Growth in India’s Services in GDP at Factor Cost (in constant prices) (in %)
* Provisional Estimates # Quick Estimates Source : CSO
Service sector is becoming more and more important. The
performance of IT Sector is very impressive. Government is also
allocating more funds to infrastructure which in turn helps
industry and agriculture. The recession affected the service
sector but it grew at 6.8% where as some of the developed
countries had negative growth. However, the communication
sector has grown impressively and more than 50% of the Indians
are having land-line and/or cell phones.
Computer
Construction
Insurance
Financial
Information
Business
2
3
12
13
7
7
7
5
2
4
6
6
Export
Import
(Figures in USD Million)
11
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Deficit Finance
Revenue Receipts & Revenue Expenditure
Capital Receipts & Capital Expenditure Capital Receipts & Capital Expenditure
Revenue Receipts & Revenue Expenditure
Revenue Deficit Fiscal Deficit
2004-05 2009-10*2008-09
0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
2010-11#
3.06
3.84
5.40
7.94
5.75
9.08
6.82
9.59
Revenue Receipts Revenue Expenditure
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
2004-05 2009-10*2008-09
0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
(% o
f G
DP
)
2010-11#
Revenue Receipts Revenue Expenditure
9.7 9.7
8.8 8.7
12.2
13.914.2
12.2
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
2004-05 2009-10*2008-09
0
1.0
2.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
2010-11#
Capital Receipts Capital Expenditure
1.92
1.14
3.44
0.90
4.43
1.11
4.27
1.50
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
2004-05 2009-10*2008-09
0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
(% o
f G
DP
)
2010-11#
Capital Receipts Capital Expenditure
3.6
1.6 1.7 1.9
5.4
6.8
6.26.1
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
Primary Deficit(Fiscal Deficit Less Interest Payments)
04-05
0
0.5
1.0
3.0
2.5
1.5
2.0
3.5
10-11#09-10*08-09
0
1.0
2.0
6.0
(% o
f GD
P)
INR Trillion (Left Scale)
as % of GDP (Right Scale)
0.78
2.5
(IN
R T
rilli
on
)
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
4.5
3.33
5.02.77
3.0
5.1
4.03.52.53
04-05
0
1.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
4.5
10-11#09-10*08-09
0
1.0
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
2.0
6.0
5.0
3.0
4.0
7.0
(% o
f GD
P)
INR Trillion (Left Scale)
as % of GDP (Right Scale)
1.26
3.37
4.12
3.81
4.0
6.0
6.3
4.8
1.0
2.0
1.5
0.5
2.5
10-11#09-10*08-09
0
0.5
3.5
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
1.0
3.0
2.5
1.5
2.0
(% o
f GD
P)
1.451.33
2.6
3.1
1.7
04-05
-0.5
0-0.01
0.0
2.01
INR Trillion (Left Scale)
as % of GDP (Right Scale)
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
12
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Deficit Finance
Deteriorating Current Account
* Provisional Actuals # Budgeted Estimates(Unaudited)
Major Subsidies
2009-10 2010-11
4.8
6.3
Fiscal Deficit(as % of GDP)
Bank Credits(in %, January)
2009-10 2010-11
23.2
14.8
Government Spending
2009-10 2010-11
11.4
12.0
(as % of GDP)Current A/c Deficit
2009-10 2010-11*
3.0
2.8
* Estimated
Trade Deficit
2009-10 2010-11*
3.0
2.8
* Estimated
(as % of GDP) (as % of GDP)
FY-06
0
-6
6
(as
% o
f G
DP
)
FY-11
-12
-7.7
-6.2
-1.2
5
-3
4.8
FY-07 FY-08 FY-09 FY-10
Trade Deficit Current A/c Deficit Invisibles
2007-08 2008-09 2010-11#2009-10*
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
1.2
1.0
0.8
1.4
(IN
R T
rill
ion
s) (% o
f GD
P)
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
2.2
2.0
1.8
2.4
Major Subsidies as % of GDP (Right Scale)Major Subsidies (Left Scale)
0.67 1.24 1.23 1.09
1.4
2.2
1.9
1.4
* Provisional # Budgeted Estimates
Fiscal Deficit(as % of GDP)
Revenue Deficit(as % of GDP)
* Revised Estimate # Budgeted Estimate + includes sale of 3G Spectrum + Exclude Defense Personnel, includes allowances and travel expenses
Gross Tax Revenue(INR Trillion)
Non Tax Revenue(INR Trillion)
Interest(INR Trillion)
Salaries+ & Pension(INR Trillion)
What it Means for the Government
6.4
5.1
4.6
3.4 3.4
5.2
6.25
7.87
9.32
1.16
2.20
1.25
2.13
2.41
2.68
1.53
1.51
1.61
2009-10 2010-11* 2011-12# 2009-10 2010-11* 2011-12# 2009-10 2010-11* 2011-12# 2009-10 2010-11*+ 2011-12# 2009-10 2010-11* 2011-12# 2009-10 2010-11* 2011-12#
13
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Inflation, Foreign Trade & Investments
Composition of Centre’s Revenue ExpenditureTrends in Centre’s Revenue Expenditure
2007-08 2008-09 2010-11#2009-10*
0
20
40
60
80
100
(Pe
rce
nta
ge
s)
28.824.2 23.3 25.9
11.4
9.1
18.2
32.5
15.6
9.2
15.6
35.4
13.6
10.0
15.5
37.6
11.4
9.1
16.1
37.4
Others Grants to State & UTs Defense Expenditure
Major Subsidies Interest Payments
* Provisional Estimates # Budgeted Estimates
2007-08 2009-10*2008-09
0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
2010-11#
Defense Expenditure
Interest Payments
Major Subsidies Others
Grants to States & UTs
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
* Provisional Estimates # Budgeted Estimates
Foreign Exchange Reserves
2004-05 2007-08 2009-102008-09
0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
(IN
R T
rill
ion
)
Foreign Currency AssetsGold, Reserve Tranche position in IMF & SDRs
5.93
11.96 11.5012.40
0.54
12.300.26
0.42 1.10
1.35
13.75
12.8412.38
6.19
12.60
2010-11*
* April to January
Interest on Internal Liabilities and Avg.Cost of Borrowings
External Debt Outstanding
2005-06 2006-07 2008-092007-08
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
(US
D B
illi
on
s)
Long Term (Left Scale)
2009-10*
119.6144.2
181.2209.9
45.7
178.7
19.5
28.1
43.4
52.5
262.3
224.4
172.4
139.1
224.5
Short Term (Left Scale)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
(Pe
rcen
tag
e)
10.1
4.7 4.84.4
5.5
Debt Service Ratio (Right Scale)
* Provisional Estimates # Quick Estimates
Debt GDP Ratio
2007-08 2008-09 2010-11#2009-01*
0
10
20
30
50
40
60
(% o
f G
DP
)
2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1
26.426.523.8
21.9
54.7 54.4
51.548.0
56.9 56.653.7
50.1
Total Outstanding Liabilities Market Borrowing (Part of Internal Liab.)
Internal Liabilities External Debt (Outstandings)
* Revised Estimates # Budgeted Estimates
2007-08 2008-09 2010-11#2009-10*
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
(IN
R T
rill
ion
s)
(% p
er a
nn
um
)
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
7.6 7.6
7.7
7.9
1.49
1.70
1.98
2.27
Interest on Internal liabilities (Left Scale)
Average Cost of Borrowings (Right Scale)
* Revised Estimate # Budgeted Estimate
14
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Inflation, Foreign Trade & Investments
Foreign Trade Latest Trend in FII Inflows
2006-07 2007-08 2009-102008-09
0
50
100
300
250
150
200
350
(US
D B
illi
on
)
2010-11*
12
6.4
1
18
5.7
3
16
3.1
3
18
5.2
9
17
8.7
5
16
4.7
0
25
1.6
5
30
3.6
9
28
8.3
7
24
6.7
2
Import Export
* April - December (Prov.)
Dec-10 Jan-11
0
1,000
2,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
6,000
Feb-11
551.8
5,364.0
96.1
Movement of Indian Rupee Time to take Note of Current A/c Imbalance, Foreign Funds Flows
Mar-04 Mar-08 Mar-10Mar-09
30
35
40
50
45
55
(Ru
pe
es)
43.98
Mar-11
39.89
51.76
45.00
45.29
USD 1 =
Direction of Imports & Exports (in 2009)
Imports Exports
Europe
19.32%
Africa
7.18%
America
10.22%
Asia & ASEAN
60.81%
CIS Baltics
2.12%
Unspecified
Region
0.34%
CIS Baltics
0.94%
Unspecified
Region
2.75%
Europe
21.55%
Africa
5.77%
America
15.03%
Asia & ASEAN
53.96%
05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10* 09-10# 10-11#
Export 12.6 13.6 13.4 15.4 13.2 13.9 14.5
Import 18.8 21.1 20.8 25.2 21.7 23.4 23.2
Trade Balance -6.2 -6.5 -7.4 -9.8 -8.6 -9.4 -8.8
Invisible Balance 5.0 5.5 6.1 7.5 5.8 7.2 5.1
Goods and -3.4 -3.4 -4.2 -5.4 -6.0 -6.2 -6.2
Current Account -1.2 -1.0 -1.3 -2.3 -2.8 -2.2 -3.7
Balance
External Commercial 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 1.0 0.1
B
FDI (Net) 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.7
Portfolio Investment 1.5 0.7 2.2 -1.2 2.4 3.8 2.5
Total Capital 3.0 4.7 8.6 0.5 3.8 3.9 4.8
Services Balance
orrowings
(Net)
Account (Net)
[as % of GDP (At Current Market Prices)]
The biggest problem against the government is
Revenue Deficit and Fiscal Deficit. The Revenue
Expenditure is increasing year after year and in
turn government debt is also increasing. The
stimulus package during recession has helped the
industry to maintain but its side-effect is Inflation.
The Foreign Trade also has trade deficit and it
brings pressure on government to borrow more
funds and this has increased the average cost of
borrowing.
* Partially Revised # April-September
15
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Population
Population Growth & Literacy Rate
* Literacy Rate available till 2000-01 # Provisional
0
100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2004-05 2007-08 2009-10#2008-09*
Food, Beverages & Tobacco
(in
Pe
rce
nta
ge
)
Miscellaneous Goods & Services
Clothing & Footwear
Gross Rent, Fuel & Power
Furniture, Furnishings, etc.
Medical Care & Health Services
Transport & Communication
Recreation, Education & Cultural Services
40.036.4 34.9 32.6
6.6
8.07.9
7.7
11.611.8
12.213.8
3.4
4.14.3
4.6
4.8
19.818.618.4
19.3
5.0
4.84.7
3.0
3.13.2 3.2
15.714.613.08.9
* Provisional estimates # Quick estimates
Composition of Private Consumption Expenditure
High & Middle Income Households
1985-86 1993-94 2007-082001-02
0
40
80
160
120
200
(in
Mil
lio
n)
1.4
2009-10
Middle Income
High Income
46.743.3
140.7
As the Consuming Classes Swell in Numbers ...
Most Populous Countries in the World
The growth of middle class people is increasing and it isreflected in the consumption expenditure. Now in India,Number of middle income group is increasing very fastand it has changed the pattern of style, particularly inconsumable goods, ...etc.
For the first time after many years the non-life insurancepenetration has gone to 0.66% from 0.60%. People havealso become aware of security and it is reflected in lifeinsurance premium, medical and healthcare
1951
0
10
20
70
60
50
30
40
80
201120011991198119711961
0
(in P
erce
nta
ge
)
Population (Left Scale) Literacy Rate (Right Scale)
(in
Bil
lio
n)
0.360.43
0.54
0.68
0.84
1.02
1.21
0.2
0.4
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.8
1.4
18.33
28.30
34.45
43.57
52.21
64.84
74.00
Japan - 1.9%
Russia Fed.- 2.0%
Nigeria - 2.3%
Bangladesh - 2.4%
US - 4.5%
Brazil - 2.8%
Indonesia - 3.4%
Pakistan - 2.7%
India
17.5%China
19.4%
Others
41.1%
At 1.21 bl, India’s population is almost equal to the combined
populations of US, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Japan
Sex Ratio (Females per ‘000 Male)
1961 1971 1981 20111991 2001
976
964 962
945
927 914
940933
927
934930
941
0-6 Years
Overall Ratio
16
Indian Economy - 2011
A SYMBOL YOU CAN TRUST
Population
Annual Sale of some Consumer Products
2005
0
1
2
7
6
5
3
4
8
(% o
f GD
P)
2009200820072006
0.57
0.59
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.67
(US
Do
lla
r)
4.4
5.2
6.2 6.2 6.7
0.61
0.60 0.60 0.60
0.66
Density (Left Scale) Penetration (Right Scale)
2006-07 2007-08 2009-102008-09
0
5
10
20
15
25
(in
Pe
rce
nta
ge
s)
2010-11*
6.5
Gross Domestic Product Gross Direct Premium (Non-Life)
Inflation
4.8
5.93
3.6
9.4*9.6 9.3
6.8**
8.0#
22.5*
16.9
10.1
12.3
20.8
8.6+
20010
10
20
50
30
40
60
(US
Do
lla
rs)
Non-LifeLife
9.1
11.5
20092002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
11.7 12.9 15.718.3
33.240.4 41.2
47.7
6.7
6.26.2
5.2
4.44.0
3.53.0
2.4
14.7 16.419.7
22.7
38.4
46.6 47.4
54.4
20010
1.0
2.0
5.0
3.0
4.0
6.0
(% o
f G
DP
)
20092002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
5.39
Non-LifeLife Total
4.604.604.70
3.143.182.88
3.26
2.71
2.15
2.592.26
2.53 2.53
4.10 4.00 4.00
4.73
0.660.600.600.600.610.650.620.670.56
Non-Life Insurance Density & Penetration Gross Domestic Product, Gross Direct Premium & Inflation
Insurance Density Insurance Penetration
2007 2009
0
1
2
5
4
3
6
(in
Mil
lio
n)
2011*
1.9
0.3
2.5
1.5
3.6
4.8Air Conditioners
LCD Televisions
* Projected
... Sale of Consumer Products Break New Records
Sale of Consumer Non-Durables
-15
-10
0
-5
20
15
5
10
25
(Pe
rce
nta
ge
)
Rural
Urban
21.0
8.0
2003 2005 2006 20102007 2008 20092004
... and a significant chunk of future consumer
demand will come from rural areas
* Apr-Dec ‘10 (Prov.& Unaudited) ** Prov. Est. # Quick Est. + Adv. Est.
17
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We are from the office.
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We are from the office.
He asked us to get the sanction of his superior
KALPANA PAREKH