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AMEREX ENERGY SERVICES
PRESENTED BY
STEVEN WILLETTPHONE: 484-885-8345
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AMEREX HISTORY
Amerex Energy Services Established:Formed to provide energy advisory services to end- use client retail
Amerex purchased by GFI Group (NYSE: GFIG):•2000 employees•Serves 24,000 institutional clients: financial institutions, FERC, retail suppliers, and utilities in 12 countries
AES acquired CETX Energy Agency:Increased Texas client base and added key team members
AES acquired Philadelphia based Energy Choice Solutions:Increased Northeast and Midwest client base and expanded team footprint
Amerex Brokers, LLC Founded in NYC: Commodities Brokered: •Heating oil •Gasoline•Fuel oil
1978 2011200920062004
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AMEREX: INDUSTRY LEADERS Amerex Brokers (Wholesale)
– Pre-eminent wholesale energy brokerage platform in North America– Facilitate large trading volumes across most U.S. regions:
• Electricity- 7.5 million MWh per day• Natural gas- 170 Bcf per day
Amerex Energy Services (Retail)– Leverage wholesale presence to advise end-use retail clients on energy procurement &
management• Commercial• Industrial• Institutional• Governmental
– Assist clients in all deregulated markets for both electricity and natural gas– Seasoned team with experience on both the supplier and consulting sides
Industry Awards• Ranked No. 1 Energy Commodity Broker for Energy Risk and Risk Magazine’s for 2010 , 2011, and
2012• Only energy brokerage firm invited to join Committee of Chief Risk Officers
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OUR PROCESS Phase I Orientation & Education Phase II Data Collection & Analysis Phase III Strategic Planning Phase IV Client Risk/Reward Assessment Phase V Supplier Evaluation & Selection Phase VI Execution Phase VII Monitor & Manage Phase VIII Track Data
Diligence and Devotion to each step prevents mistakes and eliminates errors
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PRODUCT OPTIONS
MostRisk &
Opportunity
LeastRisk &
Opportunity
LMP Index
Block & Index
Heat Rate
Fixed Price with
Bandwidth
Fixed Price with
Full Swing
Real Time Market Prices• Available to most clients• Prices set real time &
only known afterwards• Volatile• Relatively easy to
manage• Price spikes likely
coincide with peak usage• Can capture lower/avoid
higher prices with load shifting• Potentially low pricing
over extended periods of time
Portfolio Managed Strategy• Available to mid to large
clients• Requires management• Disaggregate components
to allow wholesale purchasing dictated by market conditions• May yield lower pricing
than fixed prices if forward natural gas prices continue to drop• Can provide budget
forecasting via hedges and caps
Fixed Price• Not available for all
clients• Price certainty• Set it and forget it• Relatively easy• Market near 10 year
lows• Probable savings
against current rate (hero status)
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ELECTRICITY PRICING
Market Conditions
Supplier Specific
Regulated Tariffs
Wholesale Supply• Heat Rate• Energy• LMP• NG - NYMEX
Retail Supply• Ancillaries/Losses• ISO fees• Load shaping• Supplier Margin• Capacity &
Transmission
Utility Supply & Tax• Transmission• Distribution• GRT/PUC• State/City
Generator & Fuel Costs
Retail Costs Utility Costs and Taxes
Total Cost ($/kWh)
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REPRESENTATIVE CLIENTSDiningRetailersGovernment
& Non-ProfitHealthCareIndustrialHigher
EducationK-12 Real Estate
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CASE STUDY : CHILDREN’S NATIONAL MEDICAL
Hospital, Power – 75,000,000 KWh/yr- Challenge:• Currently paying well above market rates in a supplier contract with 1.5 years of term remaining•Establish long term energy procurement strategy to include all primary / secondary accounts and 20% green REC’s
- Solution:•Provide various strategy options for management review & consideration•CNMC staff educated for greater understanding & input.
-Results:•Provide multi level / term fixed rate to include all accounts to secure budget certainty and alignment through 2017•Achieved annual savings of ~ $3M/yr inclusive of green REC’s with options for longer term extensions
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CASE STUDY: BAYLOR UNIVERSITY
Power: 100,000 MWh/yr, Gas: 30,000 Dth/yr– Challenge
• Control escalating energy prices for as long as possible allowing university to focus on capital program
– Solution• Leveraged university's investment grade credit to support financing of
west Texas wind farm• Sleeved university credit through major investment bank, thus
decreasing developer’s financing costs• In exchange, university obtained 10 year fixed price contract at
below-market rate
– Results• 35% savings, resulting in $2M+/yr in savings• Received 2007 Innovation Award by the National Association of
College and University Business Officers• Energy Risk Magazine recognized the contracts as a 2007 Deal of the
Year
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CASE STUDY: LARGE PJM INDUSTRIAL
Large Multi-National, power: 425,000,000 kWh/yr PJM
– Challenge• Need to Secure Savings vs. Lowered Target while Mitigating Risk• Leverage Buyer Sophistication and Secure Contract Flexibility
– Process• Evaluated Fixed, Block & Index, Managed Heat Rate Options• Developed Qualified Supplier List of Those Willing to Provide• Evaluated Pricing , Contracts, Optionality Gained• Priced Subs Together, but Contracted Separately
– Results• 24 month Load Following Heat Rate Contract, Cap & Trans P.T.
– Block & Index Value vs. Risk Deemed Insufficient– Fixed Rejected Due to Bearish Gas Bias
• Savings vs. Contract Executed 3 Years Ago = $10/MWh & Improving• Total Energy Cost Under $0.04/kWh
– 2013 Strategy• Lock Additional Heat Rate at Opportune Time
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VALUE ADD EXAMPLESProducts: Facilitated and manage numerous heat rate structure
contracts in PJM (PA & IL) allowing clients to capitalize on falling gas prices
10 year power contract using I-bank for commodity and REP sleeve for QSE and billing resulting in $2 MM annual savings
Designed commodity product structure to capitalize on demand response load resulting in 30% increase in demand response revenues
In discussions with several clients on financial products in both deregulated and regulated markets
Pricing: Captured below-market heat rate (~$13/MWh)
supported by Letter of Credit in a specific market yielding 22.5% savings for client
Analyzed and recommend contract restructure to avoid LMP exposure after cap increase and secure budget certainty, lowering overall fixed price and potentially avoiding ~$300,000 increased spend
Currently represent ~30 clients who have secured energy prices <$45 per MWh in 2012
Contracts: Negotiated with multiple suppliers to provide 100%
bandwidth at no premium with no recourse for a large institutional client that had previously been subject to usage limitations
Negotiated with multiple suppliers to provide customized language limiting change in law utilization regarding ERCOT LMP price cap increases
Additional Services: Negotiating development of a natural gas pipeline in a
rural market to allow client to convert from propane to gas, which is expected to save ~$300,000 annually after CAPEX
Provide 4CP notifications to ERCOT clients, providing potential savings of ~$20,000 per MW
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THE ROAD AHEAD Depressed economy does not incentivize building new
generation fleets in states like Ohio, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Texas
As long as EPA allows hydraulic fracking, natural gas resources will be plentiful, presumably keeping prices low.
Additional fields likely to be developed Additional infrastructure to supply markets New EPA emissions regulations could create an
uneconomic environment for older coal generation Purchasing managers will continue to be overwhelmed by
a market that is increasingly competitive Utilities want expanded capacity payments because they
do not want to take the market risk others deem normal Be aware of PJM capacity price increase for 2013-2014
– PECO: $139.73 vs. $245.00/MWday
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GETTING THE MOST Develop a Long Term View
and Strategic Purchasing Plan– When to buy– What components to buy– How long to buy for– What terms/conditions
most appropriate– What’s negotiable– Explore opportunities for
“value adds”
The optimum strategy strikes
the best combination of balancing: cost minimization
capturing opportunities, and mitigating
risks and uncertainties.