The Threat From The Far East: China

By: Andrew

Agenda

1) Background2) Threats (3 pronged)

3) COA’s4) Questions

China Facts

World’s 4th largest country Largest population

1,336,000,000 Natural Resources

Nuclear power

Beijing Regime Stability

Tiananmen Square in 1989 Restrict media

250,000 in re-education camps

Execute more than all countries combined

Torture

U.S. aggressive hegemon

Enemy mingling in internal affairs for “human rights”

Xenophobic

Temporarily useful

China’s Perspective

China’s Goals

Regional hegemony

Superpower status

America’s Goal

Maintain the status quo and superpower status

Conflict is inevitable

“Once China becomes strong enough to stand alone, it might discard us. A

little later it might even turn against us, if its perception of its interest requires

it”

Henry Kissinger

Strategic in nature (10-15 years)

3 pronged

Threats

Economic

MilitaryNatural Resources

U.S debt over $ 14 trillion

$ 4 billion per day 1/3 $ is borrowed

Economic

2020 $20 trillion of debt

2020 there will be $20 trillion of debt

Little more than half is owned by the U.S.

And the other debt…

Where does the money come from?

China acquires 50% of all debt at U.S. auctions

More than one auction a day…

U.S. is the world’s technological leader

Chinese intelligence agencies have 2 million spies

Currently 500 ongoing investigations

$250 Billion

Economic Espionage

Well placed scientists

Students

Economic Espionage

Taiwan weapon sales

American rockets,

submarines, navy ships, aircrafts and

space shuttles

What Did They Take?

America vulnerable to foreign pressures

Loss of independence

Why is this a Threat?

Chinese power is growing as a result

Gives China leverage

Why is this a Threat?

Defense spending put at risk Cuts discretionary budget

Military Education Foreign aid

Why is this a Threat?

The American model is

being undermined before the rest of the

world

Why is this a Threat?

Military

China is increasing military spending

They face no threats

Military

The U.S. is reinforcing military alliances and getting more involved

in regional affairs

"The United States continues to sell weapons to Taiwan, severely impeding Sino-US relations”

Military White Paper (2011)

Used over 90 Satellites in Iraq

Over reliance of technology

Coordination

China Assessment of U.S.

Anti-satellite weapons

China’s Military

China’s offensive use of technology Hacking DOD, power grid “Electronic dominance”

Shut down a carrier group

China’s Military

Offensive naval capabilities Region’s leading Navy

15 years more nuclear subs than U.S.

Aircraft carrier

China’s Military

J-20 stealth jet fighter Maiden flight during Defense

Secretary Gates’ visit

China’s Military

They are competing with the U.S. Taiwan, Korea (Asia influence) 2005 passed anti-secession law

(authorizing force)

What it means

Oil is limited Competition is growing

Raising prices

Competition Over Natural Resources

Turning to Africa and beyond Proxy Wars

U.S. arms Nigeria and Angola China is aiding government forces

in Sudan and Zimbabwe

Competition Over Natural Resources

U.S. Oil Imports

COA:1 Balanced Budget Amendment

-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law

Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations

accountable Increase collection on Chinese

mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure

Develop alternative fuels w/China

COA:2

Raise taxes-Cut discretionary funding No Chinese students Enter into arms race

Covert action (support unrest) Cold War with China

COA:3

Increase relations with China Increase trade

Support China’s acquisition of Taiwan

Let the free market determine natural resource allocation

COA:1 (Recommended) Balanced Budget Amendment

-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law

Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations

accountable Increase collection on Chinese

mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure

Develop alternative fuels w/China

Bernstein, Richard and Ross H. Munro. 1998. The Coming Conflict With China. New York: Vintage Books.

Babbin, Jed, and Edward Timperlake. 2006. Showdown: Why China Wants War With The United States.

Washington D.C.: Regnery Publishing Inc. Dorn, James A. 2008. "The Debt Threat: A Risk to U.S.-

China Relations?" Brown Journal of World Affairs 14, no. 2: 151-164. Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.

Newman, Alex. 2010. "Chinese Spying in the United States." New American (08856540) 26, no. 10: 31-34.

Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.

Sources

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