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Getting it right: effective private engagement in rail & metro systems
Kuwait Rail & Metro Conference 2012
Dr. Ulrich Koegler, Vice President at Booz & Company
Booz & Company Kuwait City, April 17th, 2012
This document is confidential and is intended solely for
the use and information of the client to whom it is addressed.
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Regional rail development and key questions
Core components of effective private sector engagement
April 17th, 2012 1
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
GCC region is the midst of a massive rail and metro development drive
2 April 17th, 2012
Planned Rail Networks in GCC
Source: Booz & Company analysis
v
Al
Baithaa
Al Hadetha Qurayyat
Station
Al Jalamid
Mine /
Hazm
Al Jouf
Ha’il
Zubariya
Al
Qassim
Nairiyah
Workshop Al Majma’a
Station
Sudair
Riyadh
Al
Madina
Station
King Abdullah
Economic City
Makkah
Jeddah
Damma
m
Jubail
Ras Az Zawr
Gizan
Khamis
Mesheet
Al Taaf
Yanbu
Rabigh
Hardh
Hafouf
Yemen
Oman
Saudi Arabia
Kuwait
Bahrain
Qatar
United Arab
Emirates
Al Ain/Oman
border Ghweifat
(KSA border)
Fujairah
Khor Fakkan Sharjah
Ras Al Khaimah
Ras Laffan
Ruwais
Port Khalifa
Musaffah
Shah
Sohar
Duqm
Boubyan Port Umm Qasr
Salemy Kuwait City Station to Airport
Qasr
Port Messieed Dukhan
Muscat
Comments
The GCC in general, Kuwait
included, is in the midst of a massive
rail development drive
With little prior experience in
railways, GCC governments faced
significant challenges in aiming to:
– Deliver various urban and national
rail projects
– Meet their policy goals of economic
diversification
– Sustainably delivering quality
service levels that attract users
– Determining the right approach
private sector engagement is a key
enabler.
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
So far, most are being directly procured through government-owned entities
3
Selected Rail Project Overview
Project Description Type Status Envisaged or Likely
Procurement Approach
Operation
Date
Kuwait National Rail
Road
Rail system connecting Boubyan port to
Kuwait city and to the border with KSA Long-haul
rail Feasibility PPP 2018
North – South Rail
(SAR – state owned)
Phosphate line from Jalamid to Ras El Kheir
with extension to Jubail/DMM and to Riyadh Long-haul
rail operational
Direct procurement through
SAR (state-owned Company) 2011
Haramain High
Speed Line
High Speed Line of 440 Km, linking Mecca,
Madinah, Rabigh (KAEC), and Jeddah HSR Under
construction
Direct procurement through
SRO (state-owned) 2014
Al Mashaer Al
Moqadassa (MMMP)
Rail system in Makkah to ease transport of
Makkah residents and Pilgrims during Haj
season
Light Rail Completed/Op
erational
Direct Procurement
3 year O&M contract
Awarded to Serco
2011
Princess Noura
University
A 11.5 km automatic light rail at Princess
Noura Bint Abdulrahman women’s university Monorail Completed Direct Procurement 2013
Makkah MRT Construction of four new lines to provide
passenger transport through Makkah Metro Feasibility/
Design Direct Procurement 20151)
Jeddah Monorail Three metro lines connecting Jeddah Airport
and different locations within the city Monorail Tender Direct Procurement 20161)
Riyadh Light Rail
Two high speed light rail lines (North-South
and East-West) providing passenger
transport through Riyadh Light rail Delayed PPP 2018
April, 2012
EXAMPLES
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Identifying where and how private sector participation is most beneficial comes down to a few key questions
Government objectives: What are the government broad policy goals (attracting know-how,
assuring service delivery, safeguard / asset , funding, developing capital markets) ?
Project goals: What are the government specific project objectives in terms of timeline, funding/
fares, network connections, and primary target users? How important is safeguarding long-term
reliability of the asset ?
Institutional enablers: What institutional framework and land transport regulations are required
to be developed? And what institutional capabilities and entities are needed to manage and
oversee project delivery?
Engagement model development and implementation: How could the right engagement model
be developed and tested in the market? How available is project finance for metro and rail
projects?
4 April 17th, 2012
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Regional rail development and key questions
Core components of effective private sector engagement
April 17th, 2012 5
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Three core components account for success
6 April 17th, 2012
6
Core Components of Effective Private Sector Engagement
Benefits &
Funding
Strategies
Private
Engagement
Enablers
Government
Goals and Role
Core Financing
Components
1
2 3
Government Role
Clear strategy for projects selection and development
Strong institutional framework and capabilities to
manage private participation and regulate the sector
Transparent governance and procurement process
Funding Strategy
Understanding of socioeconomic benefits vs. costs
Accurate knowledge of funding requirements and
funding sourced based on balanced risk allocation
Private Engagement Enablers
Definition of objectives behind adopting a PPP scheme
Identification of the right PPP enablers that attract
investors in a given market / economy
Enactment of planning and operational standards that
ensure successful implementation of the scheme
Source: Booz & Company analysis
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
The government role spans policy, regulation, procurement, and enforcement
7 April 17th, 2012
Government Contribution Roles
Government Roles
Policy Setting & Planning
Integrated Transport
Planning
Rail sector planning
Budgeting and Funding
Standards Development
Regulation
Fares Definition and
Economic Regulation
Demand Management
Performance Monitoring
Procurement
Tendering and Licensing
Infrastructure Ownership
and Management
Enforcement
Standards Enforcement
Regulations Enforcement
(economic, safety)
1 Government Role
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Rail tends to be actively promoted by government policies as an efficient and alternative mode of transportation
8 April 17th, 2012
Switzerland – Key Policy Pillars of Supporting Rail Development
Source: Various EU Transport Authorities, Swiss Department of Transport and Federal Roads Office websites, Booz & Company analysis
Vision
to Shift transportation From Road to Rail
Rail Expansion and Maximization
of Economic Benefit
Liberalization and
Private Sector Participation
Internalization of External Costs
of Road Freight Transport
Funding Programs:
Sidings, Terminals and Combined Transport
I II III
Interconnect rail network with
major industrial and logistics
hubs
Ensure speed, convenience and
financial efficiency of both
passenger and freight rail
Allocate fair share of
infrastructure, environmental and
safety related costs to road
freight transport
Reform sector and ensure
competition, product innovation
and service improvement
Optimize cost recovery
1 Government Role
ILLUSTRATIVE
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
A comprehensive regulatory framework, covering technical, safety, and economic matters is essential for sector development
April 17th, 2012 9
Land Use / Right of Way and Urban Development Regulations
Railway Sector Regulatory Framework
Source: Booz & Company analysis
1 Government Role
Railway
Vision
Access fees and policies
Infrastructure design and construction standards
Customer rights and protection
Market and competition regulations
Technical standards for rolling stock
Technical standards for interoperability
Technical standards for operation
Approval, Inspection & Audits
Infrastructure Protection
Environment and Sustainability
Fire Protection
Security, Emergency and Disaster Readiness
Accident & Incident Investigations
Commercial
Regulations
Health,
Safety and
Environmental
Regulations
System Certification Fares and tickets
Sector Policies, Institutional
Framework and Governance Model
Technical
Regulations
and Standards
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Railway Sector
Governance
Challenges
Typically Unclear Roles of the
Key Sector Entities
Limited Capabilities
and Expertise
Lack of Existing
Policies, Standards
and Regulations
Emerging
Role of the GCC
Rail Authority
Integration and
Interoperability
with GCC
Railway Systems
Short Time Frame
Sector governance, a pivotal enabler, remains a challenge for GCC to effectively develop
Challenges for Railway Sector Governance Set-Up in GCC Countries
Source: Booz & Company analysis
CONCEPTUAL
April 17th, 2012 10
1 Government Role
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
PT supply
PT coverage and capacity
Reach residential areas, increase connectivity of suburbs
Optimize network layout and density according to demand
Service quality Set and enforce quality standards
Encourage competition between service providers
Modal integration
Fare integration: integrated tickets and multi-mode smartcards Network: feeder bus/rail services to main corridors Physical: interchanges / park and ride facilities Institutional: same entity responsible for all modes
()
PT demand
Affordable fares Public transport fares are set at affordable rates Same entity sets PT fares vs. car usage fees and toll fees
Access to PT Pedestrian and cycling access to public transport Adequate waiting areas (e.g. bus/taxi shelters)
Supporting policies remain largely underdeveloped
11 April 17th, 2012
Example of Incentives to Increase Use of Metro, Light Rail and Public Transport – Benchmarks Singapore Hong Kong London Berlin
Note: London has some integration, e.g. ticketing and fare collection, but is less developed on the other integration dimensions
Road Demand
Limit number of cars
Heavily tax car acquisition & ownership
Limit number of additional cars per year
Limit car usage
Impose congestion charge
Parking spaces: limit number and increase costs
Heavily tax petrol
Usage Efficiency
Provide on-line and on-road information about congestion through intelligent traffic systems
Road Supply
Capacity New roads (inc. tunnels or underground roads)
Efficiency Build reversible “tidal flow” roads
Success Critical Factors/Levers
EXAMPLE
1 Government Role
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
A funding strategy should be driven by clear socioeconomic priorities and optimization of government funding
12 April 17th, 2012
Government
Invest/
Procure-
ment
Strategy
Funding
Sourcing
Funding Strategy Building Blocks
Alignment
Strategic
Objectives
& Policies
Government
Funding
Policy
Financial
Appraisal
Degree of
Public-Private
Sectors
Cooperation
Prioritization
and Work
Plans
Governmental
Risk
Allocation
Policies
Funding
Strategy
2 Funding Strategy
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Rail investments have significant potential socioeconomic benefits in GCC, where people and freight mobility needs are growing fast
13 April 17th, 2012
Potential Socio-economic Benefits for GCC – Overview
Benefit Impact
Benefits from
Modal Shift
Accidents Costs Savings
Enhance road safety through a safer mode of transport for passenger and freight traffics
which will reduce collisions and associated property damage, insurance and medical
costs and personal and production losses
Environmental Cost Savings Reduce greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution and transport noise through a more eco-
friendly mode of transport
Fuel Efficiency Savings Reduce fuel consumption through a more fuel efficient mode of transport for passenger
and freight traffics
Travel Time Savings Allow time savings for the new rail passengers due to improved services and for routes
travelers due to fewer vehicles on the road
Reliability Improvements Enhance reliability for rail passengers and especially for rail freight traffic due to
scheduled and precise time estimation for rail trips
Benefits from
Economic
Stimulation
Intangible Benefits Other qualitative benefits arise from implementing the rail project as a PPP e.g. quality of
service, institutional capacity, promotion of competitive markets
Positive Impact of Rail
Market on Economy
Further strengthen country economy through direct and indirect stimulation of economic
activity
Land Use Improvements Allow further developments in areas traversed by rail
End-user Satisfaction If users expectations are being met
Economic Stimulation of
Industrial Activity
Enhance economic productivity of planned industrial and residential/urban expansions by
providing them with a more efficient, cost-effective and reliable mean of doing business
Source: Booz & Company analysis
2 Funding Strategy
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Yet, they typically do not recover costs, hence, the need for sustainable funding
14 April 17th, 2012
157.0%
126.0%
81.0%
67.3%
57.0%
51.5%
47.0%
72.5%
48.5%
42.5%
53.0%
30.5%
54.0%
Hong Kong
Singapore
London
New York
Washington
Madrid
Cairo
Budapest
Vienna
Berlin
Copenhagen
Marseilles
Helsinki
Prague Average 51.4 %
> 4 mn.
Population
2-4 mn.
< 2 mn.
Average 52.3%
Average 83.3%
Me
ga C
itie
s
INDICATIVE
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Typically,
Urban Rail and
Public Transport
requires sustain-
able funding
schemes
Comparative Cost Recovery Ratios of International Urban Mass Transit Providers
2 Funding Strategy
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
A wide range of funding possibilities can explored for railway projects …
15 April 17th, 2012
Funding Sources
Internal – Tax revenues (land and non-based) – User charges – Developer contributions
– Central government development loans and grants
– Municipal property assets – Value Capture
External – Venture Capital & Infrastructure Funds – Non-Recourse or Project finance – Corporate Finance – Export Credit Finance
– Bond Finance
– Guarantees or Credit Enhancement Programs – Overdraft facilities and short-term loans from
banks and building societies
Operating Models
Public utilities
Community
State Corporation
Management Contract
Lease
PPPs
– BOT
– BOO
– BOOT
– DBFO
– Etc.
Operating Franchise
Private companies
Infrastructure Trusts
Overview of finance methods and examples
2 Funding Strategy
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
… while Governments would have to subsidize remaining requirements through up to three levers
16 April 17th, 2012
Government Invest/Subsidies
Subsidy Type Subsidy Model Description Assessment
2 Funding Strategy
Opex
Subsidies
Fixed Simple
Fixed Performance
Based
Variable Simple
Variable
Performance Based
Fixed subsidy independent of performance
or ridership
Performance based subsidy independent of
ridership
Variable subsidy independent of
performance but dependent on ridership
Variable subsidy dependent on both the
performance as well as ridership
Capex
Subsidies In-Kind
Monetary Monetary subsidies for investing in Capex
Government contributes certain assets
Pros:
Easy, one-off monitoring
Cons:
Require large one-off investment
Pros:
Performance dependent
Subsidies provided in smaller
regular installments
Cons:
Require constant monitoring
Special
Subsidies Indirect – Customers
Indirect – Investor Indirect subsidies consisting of tax relief,
right of way, land development, etc.
Targeted directly at passengers based on
need and social status
Pros:
Target only the most needy
Cons:
Difficult to implement
ILLUSTRATIVE
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Hence, private sector engagement schemes (such as PPPs) and cost recovery policies need to be well synchronized
17 April 17th, 2012
Involvement of Private
Sector
PSP Scheme
Low
High
Definition
Combines two, usually separate services into a single
contract
Owners execute a single fixed- fee contract for both
architectural/engineering services and construction
BOT/BTO
DBFO
DBOM
DB
Manage-
ment
Contract
BOO
Integrated partnership that combines the design and
construction responsibilities of design-build procurements
with operations and maintenance
The responsibilities for designing, building, financing and
operating are bundled together and transferred to private
sector partners
Single contractor has the responsibility for designing and
constructing a facility, as well of operating and maintaining it
for specified period prior to handing it over to client
The process of managing the facility from the beginning of
the contract till the end of the contract date
Private company is granted the right to develop, finance,
design, build, own, operate, and maintain transportation
project
Ancillary Services
Retail
Property development
Advertising
Develop-ment Gains
Neighboring land-related fees to capture the developers’ gains
Gov’t Grants &
Incentives
Government provides capital
grants and subsidies
Government provides tax
incentives and exemptions
Fares Ticket revenue
Access charges
Cost Recovery Approaches
Service Availability Payments
Granting agency pays for the availability of the infrastructure services regardless the volume
Payment usually linked to KPis
2 Funding Strategy
ILLUSTRATIVE FOR ROADS
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
The starting point is capturing government objectives from engaging the private sector
18 April 17th, 2012
Political
Decrease government direct involvement in provision
of infrastructure sector services
Redefine role of government to become a regulator of
transport sector
Potential Government Objectives & Benefits
Ord
er
of
Pri
ori
ty
+
-
Key O
bje
cti
ve
s
Objectives Benefits
Fiscal
Share financial risk of project development with private sector thus redirecting public funds towards more urgently needed sectors
Avoid cost over-runs by adopting a life cycle approach to project costing
Economic
Enhance economic growth and deepen financial
markets by attracting domestic savings and
international investment
Improve project efficiency, cost, speed of delivery and
accessibility of services
Social Raise standards of living by providing infrastructure
services in a timely manner within an environmentally
sustainable framework
Technological
Provide technological benefits in terms of transfer of
know how, service update and innovation delivered by greater private sector participation
Free public funds for other uses Reduce risk for the public sector Reduce project life cycle costs
Accelerate speed of delivery Increase service coverage and improve quality Increase time and cost reliability Increase efficiency in project execution Attract international and domestic capital
Enable technology transfer and exchange Train resources on advanced technology in road
operations / maintenance Promote innovation
Mitigate repercussions of privatization Redefine the role of the government Enforce social stability Increase transparency of government processes
Meet people’s needs Raise living standards Promote environmental sustainability Balance social and commercial priorities
1
2
5
3
4
3 PPP Enablers
ILLUSTRATIVE
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
This will ultimately help determine the most effective model for private sector participation
19 April 17th, 2012
Procurement Model Options Description
Potential PPP options
Asset
Operate
and
Maintain
Go
ve
rnm
en
t R
ole
P
riva
te S
ecto
r R
ole
Options Privatization
High Private
Sector Risk
High Public
Sector Risk
Build Own and
Operate
Build Operate and Transfer
Design and Build
O&M
Maintain
(Might provide
equity at times)
Design, Build Operate, and
Finance
Finance
Asset
Revenues/
Benefits
Asset
Delivery
Government
Benefit
Government
Cost
Operate
Govt Finance
Costs Funded
Owned
Tolling Rights
Govt Financial Support
Costs Funded
Owned
Tolling Rights
Owned
Tolling Rights
Owned
Tolling Rights
Costs Funded Costs Funded
Govt Financial Support
Govt Financial Support
Govt Financial Support
Construct
Design
Construct
Design
Construct
Design
Construct
Design
Finance Finance Finance Finance
Construct
Design
Operate Operate Operate Operate
Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain
Finance Finance
Own Own
Collect Revenue
Collect Revenue
Collect Revenue
Retain Revenue
Retain Revenue
Source: Booz & Company analysis
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Results reveal a significant improvement in time and cost when adopting PPP schemes
20 April 17th, 2012
PPP
11.6%
Traditional
Procurement
35.3%
Cost Over-Run
1) Traditional procurement figures relate to previous public sector experience besides PPP projects in focus
Source: ACG/University of Melbourne, Australia; National Audit Office, PFI: Construction Performance, 2003 ,UK
Time Over-Run
(% of Cost) (% of Time)
(% of Projects) (% of Projects)
54 Projects
(21 PPP’s)
37 Projects1)
(37 PPP’s)
ILLUSTRATIVE
Performance of PPP’s vs. Traditional Procurements
PPP
13.2%
Traditional
Procurement
25.6%
PPP
22.0%
Traditional
Procurement
73.0%
24.0%
70.0%
PPP Traditional
Procurement
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
However, not every PPP has become a success – Failure cases exist
21 April 17th, 2012
Weaknesses Weaknesses
Partial privatization of London
tube (Infrastructure maintenance)
Investment volume of £15,3bn
Selection of PPP experienced
consortium
Expected ROI 15-20%,
cost savings of £2-4bn
Mainland railway (108 km)
linking the Channel Tunnel
with London
Investment volume of £2,2 bn
Operated by London
Continental Railways (LCR)
Major delays caused by judicial
conflicts, complex bidding and
approval process
Financial problems of
consortium partners finally led to
bankruptcy of Metronet
Responsibilities were trans-
ferred back to City of London
Financial risk transferred
completely to private sector
Low public infrastructure
service charge and too
optimistic passenger
forecasts
As a result LCR sold back
operating license to
Network Rail
Metronet
(2003)
Channel Tunnel
Rail Link
(2007)
Worst Case PPP-Examples
Weaknesses
Revenue risk was transferred
completely to private sector
Due to too optimistic passenger
demand forecasts, revenue
targets were not achieved
An airport rail link connecting
Stockholm City with Arlanda
Airport
Operated by A-Train under a 30
year concession
Arlanda Express
(1999)
Weaknesses
BOT and Design-Construct-
Operate contracts with 60-year
lease / concession for STAR
and PUTRA Malaysian Light
Rail Transits respectively
Investment volume lower than
the budgeted RM 3.5Bn
Lack of transparency:
Contracts not bid for / unclear
cost of systems to the public
Forecast of revenues too
optimistic
Lack of exit strategy, the
government thus having to bail-
out and eventually takeover the
LRT systems
STAR and PUTRA
(1994)
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
A crucial element for successful PPP’s is to understand investors’ perspectives
22 April 17th, 2012
Determine firm appetite for project different elements and its envisaged role
Get firm’s comments about different contractual structure components e.g. package size, phasing, contract term
duration, risk allocation, etc.
Contractual
Structure
Determine firm familiarity/experience with project technical specifications
Get firm’s comments on project technical specifications e.g. contract packages size, potential challenges, etc. Technical
Determine firm appetite to invest its own capital on the project
Get firm’s comments about several financing considerations e.g. raising third party equity, raising of project debt,
proportion of Kuwaiti shares, currency risk approach, Islamic Finance, Export Credit, etc.
Financing
Get firm’s views on the procurement process and timeline and any other relevant issues, comments or
requirements in relation to the project
Procurement
Process & Other
issues
Get an overview of the firm’s appetite for rail projects (greenfield in the GCC)
Get details on the firm approach and experience in:
– Middle East market
– PPP transaction
General
Appetite
1
2
3
4
5
Market Testing Dimensions
Source: Booz & Company analysis
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
PPP transaction success may currently require some government help to address global crisis fallout, and stimulate capital markets
23 April 17th, 2012
Current Situation Government Potential Responses
Weakened global appetite for infrastructure
long-term finance, given liquidity crisis and
regulatory change
Expanded role of local banks, implying:
– Shorter-term financing (can cover construction)
– Refinancing risks exist, complicated by a
shortage of infrastructure-focused investors
– Potential market congestion with raft of PPP
projects scheduled in coming years in Kuwait
Other forms of transport infrastructure
financing remain largely unproven, for
example:
– Islamic finance
– Projects bonds
Mismatch between government PPP ambitions
and regional investor mix
Tactical / Short-term
Reduce quantum of market-raised finance
– Increase competition amongst financing sources
to influence pricing
– Utilize government finance to lower PPP cost of
capital and availability fee
Reduce private capital risk
– Undertake part or all of its ultimate repayment,
but distinguish between senior and mezzanine
equity
Reduce tenor of capital required
– Employ shorter term private sector capital which
could be more plentiful and cheaper
Strategic / Long-term
Promote development of infrastructure funds,
equity, and debt markets
Encourage export credit in equipment
purchases and infrastructure development
Source: Booz & Company analysis
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
A robust evaluation methodology for procurement process is key to conclude a PPP transaction
24 April 17th, 2012
Rail PPP Procurement – Key Evaluation Principles
Provide clarity with respect to the methodology, process and results, with all parties having access to the same
data Transparency
Create a “level playing field” by not advantaging/disadvantaging any party over another Neutrality
Preserve utmost confidentiality of all evaluation materials, discussions and results Confidentiality
Provide an audit trail to allow relevant parties with the necessary access rights to revisit the basis of decisions Auditability
Provide consistency of approach across projects in the same sector being procured by the same
government/procuring authority Consistency
Allow for “apples-to-apples” comparison of applicants/bids by clearly defining the type and form of data to be
provided by applicants/bidders as part of their RFQ application/bid submissions Comparability
Principle Description
3 PPP Enablers
NON-EXHAUSTIVE
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Ultimately, PPP is about ensuring long-term service performance, hence need for monitoring against KPIs
25 April 17th, 2012
Category KPI Frequency Target Actual Score
Service Availability
Punctuality – On time availability of vehicles M 95%
Fleet Failure – Number of failures per coach.km M OEM Guidelines
Fleet Availability M 85%
On board equipment reliability S 98%
Service Quality
Coaches cleanliness M TBD
Clarity of on board information signage and systems M TBD
Average time to repair defects S Less than 24 hours
Average time to respond to emergency incidents S Less than 1 hour
Customer Service
Nr of complaints resolved within 1 hour as % total number of
complaints
M More than 95%
No of complaints as % of total passengers M Less than 5%
No of resolved complaints as % of total complaints M More than 90%
Sustainability Excess energy consumption per pax.km S TBD
Safety and Security Number of safety defects per year S Less than 10
Number of accidents per year S None
NON EXHAUSTIVE
Above 100% of Target 90% – 100% of Target Less than 90% of Target M = Monthly ; S = Semi-Annually
Sample Scorecard for Operations Performance Indicators of Public transport
3 PPP Enablers
120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
Overall, successful PPP schemes require a collaborative approach between the private and public sectors
26 April 17th, 2012
Demand Side – Public Sector Supply Side – Private Sector
Create the appropriate legal and regulatory
framework to encourage international private
investments (e.g. PPP, concession law)
Prioritize the projects according to long term
strategy and structure them in order to allow for
easier debt and equity financing
Adopt a value for money approach to define the
risk allocation and to select the PPP scheme
Support the development of local institutional
investors (e.g. infrastructure funds) with medium to
long term investment perspectives
Further market targeted infrastructure projects
in order to attract world-class investors and
developers
1
2
3
4
5
Local developers and operators should partner
with international infrastructure operators to
– bid for PPP projects in the region
– acquire best practices in managing and
developing infrastructures
– optimize the life cycle cost, and quality of the
service delivered
Institutional investors should start to
– Use other forms of financing which may involve
tapping into capital markets
– Plan to be engaged for a longer term
(e.g. 15+ years)
Banks should accept to step in for short term
financing (provided that they receive the comfort of
government and sponsor guarantees) in order to
kick-start infrastructure projects
1
2
3
Source: Booz & Company analysis
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