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Mining Done Right
RBC Conference
June 2013
B D HBruce D. HansenChief Executive Officer
Cautionary StatementsThis presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended that are intended to be covered by the safe harbor created by such sections. Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, (i) estimates of future molybdenum prices, supply, demand and/or production; (ii) estimates of future cash costs, direct operating costs, costs applicable to sales (CAS), or royalty payments; (iii) estimates of future capital expenditures; (iv) estimates regarding timing of permitting, future development, construction or production activities; (v) statements regarding cost structure, project economics, or competitive position, and (vi) statements comparing Mt. Hope to other mines, projects, or metals. Where the Company expresses or implies an expectation or belief as to future events or results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis However forward looking statements are subject to risksbelief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis. However, forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed, projected or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, metals price and production volatility, global economic conditions, currency fluctuations, increased production costs and variances in ore grade or recovery rates from those assumed in mining plans, exploration risks and results, political, operational and project development risks, including the Company’s ability to retain required permits to commence production and its ability to obtain suitable financing for development of the Mt. Hope project, adverse governmental regulation and judicial outcomes. For a more detailed discussion of such risks and other factors, see the Company’s Annual g g j p yReport on Form 10K, which is on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as the Company’s other SEC filings. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly revisions to any “forward-looking statement,” to reflect events orcircumstances after the date of this presentation, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Reserves and ResourcesCalculations with respect to "proven reserves" and "probable reserves" referred to above have been made in accordance with, and using the definitions of National Instrument 43-101, as required by Canadian securities regulatory authorities. For United States reporting purposes, the U.S. SEC applies a different standard in order to classify mineralization as a "reserve". Under SEC standards, mineralization may not be classified as a "reserve" unless the determination has been made that the mineralization could be economically and legally extracted or produced at the time the reserve determination is made. No such determinations have been made with respect to any mineralization at the Liberty project, and it cannot be assured that such a determination will be made. This release also uses the terms “measured” “indicated” and “inferred” resources We caution U S investors that while such terms are recognized and required bymeasured , indicated and inferred resources. We caution U.S. investors that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian Securities Administrators pursuant to the National Instrument 43-101, the SEC does not recognize them. U.S. investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of mineral deposits in these categories will ever be converted into reserves. “Inferred Resources”, in particular, have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian Securities Administration rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility studies. U.S. investors are cautioned not to assume that part or all of an inferred resource exists, or is economically or legally minable.
2
General Moly’s Significant AdvantagesThe onlyThe only
significant, viable, publicly
traded molycompany in an
advancedProduction
off-takeadvanced stage of
development
off-take agreements
provide price floor
protection and upside
Two world-class, high
grade projects in
Nevada
General Moly’sCompetitive
poptionality
F kp
AdvantagesFramework established
for full financing
Mt. Hope fully permitted
Long-term pricing
fundamentals
Management experienced in transitioning
3
fundamentals for moly are
strong
transitioning projects into production
Molybdenum – A Strategic Mineral
• Essential metal for modern industry• Strengthens steel, improves weldability, reduces brittleness, helps steel perform in very high
or very low temperatures provides corrosion resistanceor very low temperatures, provides corrosion resistance
• Key applications: energy infrastructure, pipeline development, power plants, desalination, refineries, motor vehicles, aircraft parts, specialty lubricants, catalyst for high sulphur fuelscatalyst for high sulphur fuels
• Powerful anti-corrosive alloy for stainless and alloy steels, especially important in cold water or deep water
• Molybdenum is vital in the products in which it is used with few economical substitutes and moly demand is relatively price inelastic
4
Moly Demand Growth Projected to be Robust• >500M lbs of moly consumed annually and demand expected to grow• >500M lbs of moly consumed annually and demand expected to grow
nearly 30M lbs per year through 2015 to over 600M lbs when Mt. Hope projected to commence production
• Supported by global steel demand growth ( 3 5% CAGR); Historically• Supported by global steel demand growth (~3.5% CAGR); Historically, moly demand exceeds crude steel demand by 1% to 2%
• Moly demand per capita growth illustrates increasing intensity of use
1,000
Moly Demand Per Capita (1999-2016p)World Moly Demand (2012p-2021p)
528612
793
600
800
,
200
400
0
5Source: CPM Group, IMOA, JP Morgan Research
China Use to Drive Global Demand• China consumes ~31% of moly and 45-50% of aluminum & copper todayy pp y
• China also produces and consumes 45-50% of global steel
• China is increasingly employing higher-grade steels and expanding its intensity of use, stoking additional demand for moly
I 2011 Chi ’ i t it f t d t 10 k f l 100 t f t l f• In 2011, China’s average intensity of use stood at 10 kg of moly per 100 mt of steel, up from 6.4 kg in 2005, but well below the 2011 global average of 15 kg
• If China’s intensity of use reached the global average, it would need 80M to 120M more lbs of moly per year120M more lbs of moly per year
• Chinese urbanization requires new industrial and electricity facilities, expanded oil & gas networks and a build out of intra-city high speed rail links
China’s Share of Global Moly DemandMoly Usage Per 100 Mt of Crude Steel, 2011
China37%
2001 2011 2021pChina s Share of Global Moly Demand
China8% China
30%
Moly Usage Per 100 Mt of Crude Steel, 2011
RoW63%
RoW92%
RoW70%
6Source: CPM Group, IMOA, World Steel Source: CPM Group
Industry Marginal Cost Limits Price Downside$40 Historic Moly Prices
$35
Historic Moly Prices(January 2008 – June 2013)
Strong global growth supports
$30+ /lb moly prices
Financial crisis$25
$30
Financial crisis causes prices to
collapse
Global uncertainty cause prices to drift
sideways
$20
Ex-China demand recovery
y
Softer macro environment in U.S., $10
$15
Marginal Cost of Chinese Production
Moly only dipped below $10/lb for 5 months during “Great
Recession”; Chinese buying & marginal production shuttered
support price recovery
ysupports prices further Europe and Japan weakens demand
offset by supply reductions in China
Note: CPM and Macquarie estimates 2012 Chinese production costs for 200M lbs/yr at between $7 and $13/lb
$5
7
support price recovery
Source: Ryan’s Notes, Company Estimates
$0
Jan-
08
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep
-08
Nov
-08
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep
-09
Nov
-09
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
May
-10
Jul-1
0
Sep
-10
Nov
-10
Jan-
11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep
-11
Nov
-11
Jan-
12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep
-12
Nov
-12
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
CPM Price Forecast• Molybdenum is a balanced market with price upside tied to supply &Molybdenum is a balanced market with price upside tied to supply &
demand fundamentals
• Price forecast in the $11-$16/lb range through 2017
• Price will typically range between $10 and $19/lb but with potential for prices to reach or exceed $30/lb at times
• Downside is limited and upside potential is strong when supply constrains or if demand exceeds expectations
8Source: CPM Group
Investment Thesis
N t d • Current focus on Mt Hope a large and high-Near-term producer of molybdenum with
two world-class projects
• Current focus on Mt. Hope, a large and high-grade moly project
• Liberty: a follow-on moly & copper project will position General Moly as the largest pure-playp j position General Moly as the largest pure-play primary moly producer in the world
C t d• Framework established for obtaining full
Company supported through significant
strategic partnerships
financing
• 20% Mt. Hope Joint Venture with POSCO
• Off take approximately 50% committed for first• Off-take approximately 50% committed for first five years
• Replace or augment Hanlong participation withSignificant Catalysts
Anticipated
Replace or augment Hanlong participation with other partners
• Close Chinese Bank Loan
9
• Initiate heavy construction
Mt. Hope – A World-Class Moly Project
R
BattleMountain
Winnemucca
Carlin
Elko Wells
Mt. H
Tonopah
Reno
Austin Eureka ElyHope
• Annual production of 40M lbs1 Tonopah• Annual production of 40M lbs
• Process grades of 0.1% Mo1
• 1.3 billion pounds moly contained in Proven & Probable Reserves
Large scale project with high Mo grades
and low costs& Probable Reserves
• Cash costs of $5.29 / lb Mo1 – well positioned as one of the lowest cost primary producersAdvanced stage of
development • Bankable Feasibility Study updated in August 2012 with
Mining-friendly location in Nevada
development Bankable Feasibility Study updated in August 2012 with revised capital estimate of $1.27 billion
• Engineering approximately 64% complete
• $235M spent on permitting, long-lead equipment
101. Average over the first five full years of operations, based on 2010 study
location in Nevada USA
$ p p g, g q p
• Access to infrastructure, labor & support services
Liberty - A Second World-Class Moly Project
Reno
BattleMountain
Winnemucca
Carlin
Elko Wells
Tonopah
Austin Eureka Ely
Anaconda operated 1982 1985LibertyA previous
producing mine of moly and copper
• Anaconda operated 1982-1985
• Cyprus Minerals operated 1988-1991
• Maintains some key infrastructure
Pre feasibility study
• Containing 739M lbs Mo and 893M lbs Cu (43-101 report)
• Production of 20M lbs Mo and 17M lbs Cu over first 5 years at costs of $5.70/lb Mo1
Pre-feasibility study completed
November 2011
• 42 year mine life
• CapEx estimate of $550 million to build
• Will start Feasibility Study and permitting post Mt Hope
111. Costs estimated using $2.50/lb Cu byproduct credits. See November 2011 43-101 Report on SEDAR for more information
Will start Feasibility Study and permitting post Mt. Hope construction start
Financing Timeline
P i t Pl t f 8 3 illi h ith A l Mitt l th h l t• Private Placement of 8.3 million shares with ArcelorMittal; these shares were later spun off to APERAM (2007)
• POSCO capital contributions of $100M at Mt. Hope Project Level (2008)
• Hanlong Tranche 1 investment $40M (2010)• Hanlong Tranche 1 investment $40M (2010)
• Major terms agreed with China Development Bank (2012)
• POSCO capital contribution and catch-up payment of ~$100M at Mt. Hope Project Level (2012)(2012)
• Loan negotiations (facility agreement, security documentation) (Early 2013)
• Detainment of Hanlong Founder Liu Han results in China Development Bank suspending loan negotiations (March 2013) g
• Currently working with Hanlong and Cutfield Freeman & Co. (advisors) to secure another Chinese strategic partner to advance Chinese bank loan completion and the full financing of the Mt. Hope Project (June 2013)
• Evaluating other alternatives
12
Project / Financing Timeline
Final Permits Received (Record of Decision)
HanlongTranche 1 Investment
Preliminary Construction Start
Dec 2010 Nov 2012 Jan 2013Permitting, BFS Update 20-24 months construction
• Access $665M Chinese Bank Loan
• Heavy Construction Start
2015:Production Start
POSCO $100M payment
• Final permits received:
• Record of Decision Environmental Impact Statement
• NV State Air Permit, Reclamation Permit, Water Pollution Control Permit
• Nevada State Engineer granted Water Permit
• Ready for construction on receipt of Chinese bank loan and full project financing
13
China’s Rationale For Moly Investment• The world’s largest steel producer is expanding into higher value added steel• The world s largest steel producer is expanding into higher value added steel
products
• Has transitioned from a significant to a minor exporter of moly. As its need for molygrows and the country seeks to conserve its national moly resources, China is g y yexpected to become a significant importer
• Focused on conserving moly for its growing steel business and restricting mining and smelting projects in domestic moly industry to improve economics, safety and environmental protection of existing Chinese moly productionenvironmental protection of existing Chinese moly production
• Restrictive licensing, export quotas and tariffs discouraging moly exports from China
• Mt. Hope moly trioxide product significantly higher grade, lower in copper, lead than LME, Chinese moly producers:
Grade Copper Lead
Mt Hope 63% 0 02% 0 02%Mt. Hope 63% 0.02% 0.02%
LME min. 57% max. 0.5% max. 0.05%
China Moly 52%, 55%, 57% 0.24‐0.25% 0.10%
JDC 55%, 60% 0.24‐0.25% 0.10%
14• Scope to blend to upgrade low grade Chinese product
,
General Moly Partnerships• POSCO 5th largest global steel producerPOSCO, 5 largest global steel producer
• 20% Joint Venture Partner at Mt. Hope project; will receive 8M lbs of moly production annually
• Has already contributed $200M to Mt. Hope development including $100M payment in December 2012 after receipt of all permits
• $156M buy-in values Mt. Hope at $780M
• APERAM, former stainless division of ArcelorMittal• General Moly’s 2nd largest customer
• Bought shares at $8.50 in late 2007 and owns a 9% stake in General Molyg y
• Other CustomersS AH B t l & S jit h ff t k t• SeAH Besteel & Sojitz have off-take agreements
• Off-take approximately 50% committed for first five years• Up to half of sales contain hard floor prices between $14 $15/lb with ~80% upside participation• Up to half of sales contain hard floor prices between $14-$15/lb with ~80% upside participation
above floor
15
Off-Take – First 5 Years1 APERAM1 (Nov 2007)1. APERAM (Nov 2007)
• 6.5M lb (+/- 10%) off-take agreement for five years with floor price protection3
• 3 0M lb off-take option for years 6-15• 3.0M lb off-take option for years 6-15, requires 10% FD ownership of General Moly
2. SeAH Besteel (May 2008)
• 4.0M lb (+/- 10%) off-take agreement for five years with floor price protection2
3. Sojitz Corporation (Aug 2008)
• 1.0M lb off-take agreement for five years with floor price protection2,3
• 4.0M lb off-take agreement for five years near spot2,3 11.5M annual pounds committed with price protection
that includes:4. New Partner
• 16.5M lb off-take available over first five years, additional rights LOM
that includes:
• A hard floor price between $14-$15 per pound on average;
• PPI escalation annually;
16
• A modest discount to customer above floor price1. APERAM was the stainless steel division of ArcelorMittal and was spun off as a separate public company as of January 25, 20112. Off-take agreements begin only when Mt. Hope reaches certain levels of commercial production and do not require General Moly to deliver product other than its own 3. Sojitz has the option of continuing the contract until the commencement of commercial production
General Moly Capital StructureStock on IssueShares Outstanding 91.5 MWarrants1 1.0 MEquity Compensation1 3.3 MDiluted Shares 95.8 M
Balance Sheet (3/31/2013)2.5$5
General Moly Share Price, Volume (Rolling One Year)
Balance Sheet (3/31/2013)Cash on Hand $ 93M2
Debt $11M
Top Owners1. Hanlong 11.88M shares 13.0% FD2. APERAM 8.26M shares 9.1% FD
2$4
sh)
3. Coghill Capital Mgmt 8.10M shares 8.9% FD4. BlackRock Trust Co. 3.85M shares 4.2% FD5. Vanguard Group 2.58M shares 2.8% FD 6. Van Eck Associates 1.64M shares 1.8% FD7. Dimensional Fund 1.59M shares 1.7% FD8. David Russell 1.30M shares 1.4% FD 9 Bruce Hansen 1 20M shares 1 3% FD
1.5$3
me,
Mill
ions
y Sh
are
Pric
e ($
/s
9. Bruce Hansen 1.20M shares 1.3% FD10. State Street Global 1.19M shares 1.3% FD
Analyst CoverageBank of America Merrill Lynch Dave Forster CIBC Matt GibsonJohn Tumazos VIR John Tumazos 0 5
1
$1
$2
Volu
m
Gen
eral
Mol
y
RBC Fraser PhillipsStifel Nicolaus Paul Massoud
Insider OwnershipDirectors & Mgmt 16.84M shares3 17.6% FD
0
0.5
$0
$1
171. Includes warrants and equity compensation that are “out of the money”2. Includes $36M in cash held at Eureka Moly to be released with bank financing3. Actual ownership including Hanlong’s shares
Why General Moly?
Two world-class molybdenum assetsGeneral Moly
Only Near-term Producer Mt. Hope – One of the largest and highest-grade moly assets currently under development
Fully Permitted
Properties in Mining Friendly Jurisdictions
Mt. Hope fully permitted
Both assets located in Nevada, USA
Significant Strategic Partnerships
Substantial Off-take
Partnerships with Hanlong, POSCO, APERAM, SeAH Besteeland Sojitz Corporation support financing and off-take
50% itt d fi t fiSubstantial Off take Agreements
Meaningful Follow-on Project
~50% committed first five years
Liberty – a solid follow-on project to make General Moly the largest pure play primary moly producer in the world
Compelling Valuation Trading at 20-25% of NPV @ $15/lb moly
18General Moly is the “Go To” Moly Story
Appendix
19
Experienced Management Team•CEO at General Moly since 2007Bruce Hansen •Previously served in multiple executive roles at Newmont Mining including Chief Financial Officer and Senior VP, Operations Services & Development. Prior to that, was Senior VP of Corporate Development for Santa Fe Pacific Gold
Bruce HansenChief Executive Officer
•CFO at General Moly since 2007•More than 30 years of financial and operational experience in the metals and mining
Dave Chaputy p p g
industry, previously serving as CFO of The Doe Run Resources CorporationChief Financial Officer
•25 years experience in plant operations and 6 years in design engineering firm •Previously served as general manager of one of the largest open-pit/concentrator operations in the world, the Phelps Dodge Morenci mine in Arizona
Bob PenningtonChief Operating Officer
•Joined General Moly in 2007; has served as Controller and Treasurer since 2009 •Formerly the Director of Supply Chain - Nevada Operations for Newmont Mining; prior roles with Santa Fe Pacific Gold and Price Waterhouse
Lee ShumwayController & Treasurer
•25 years industry experience, including extensive work within the state of Nevada •Previously served as Operations Environmental Permitting Manager with Newmont Mining
•30 years of mining experience, predominately in Nevada•Previous positions include Operations Manager at Goldcorp’s Marigold Mine andMike Iannacchione
Pat RogersVP Permit. & Env. Compliance
•Previous positions include Operations Manager at Goldcorp s Marigold Mine and General Manager at Round Mountain Mine, a Barrick Gold and Kinross Gold Joint Venture
•25 years mining experience, primarily with Phelps Dodge and Freeport McMoRan•Previously served as Assistant General Manager of Concentrator Operations at Cerro
Fred Zumwalt
VP & GM Mt. Hope
20
y g pVerde, a large copper and molybdenum mine in PeruMt. Hope Mill Manager
•38 years mining experience with Santa Fe Pacific Gold, North American Coal Co., TXU/Luminant Mining and Westmoreland Coal Co.
•Previously served as General Manager of the Kemmerer Mine in Wyoming
Randy JohnsonMt. Hope Mine Manager
Mt. Hope Financing Plan – Funding Sources & UsesE k M lEureka Moly:
Sources $M Uses $MEquipment Lease 95 Capital Cost 1269Shareholder funding: 1174
POSCO (20%) 235GMI (80%) 939
Total Sources 1269 Total Uses 1269
GMI (80% share):( )Sources $M Uses $MChinese Bank Debt 665 Share of EM funding 939Equity funded by: 371 of which:Cash1: Cash spent (2007-Q1’13) 188Cash : Cash spent (2007-Q1 13) 188
Spent 188 Future spending 751On hand 93 Interest during constr. & financing fees 67
281 Working Capital 30
New equity or sub debt 90
Total Sources 1036 Total Uses 1036
211. As of March 31, 2013
Water Rights HistoryMt. Hope Water Well MapMt. Hope water right historyp g y
• Project requires ~7,000 gpm fresh water for milling operations
• Company purchased from existing water holders• Company purchased from existing water holders in Kobeh Valley, essentially all available water rights, sufficient for project water requirements
• Nevada State Engineer granted General Moly
Mt. Hope Water Impact Map
water permits in March 2009. That ruling was successfully appealed in a Nevada District Court in April 2010
• Company re-applied for water rights andCompany re applied for water rights and Nevada State Engineer granted the applications in a second ruling in July 2011
• That ruling was appealed and the Nevada State Di t i t C t ffi d th St t E i ’District Court affirmed the State Engineer’s ruling in all respects June 14, 2012
• Two parties appealed to NV Supreme Court; General Moly considers appeals without merit
22
y pp
• Water permits remain in effect
Equipment Procurement Status• Approximately $71M paid on commitments forApproximately $71M paid on commitments for
$178M in equipment orders
• Major milling equipment secured: Own or have orders in place for Mt. Hope crusher, SAG mill & ball mill mill drives and roaster equipmentball mill, mill drives, and roaster equipment
• Made $75M commitment to Caterpillar for haul fleet and support equipment, including 18 CAT 793F haul trucks
• Significant progress negotiating leasing terms for $95M in mining equipment at Mt. Hope Project level (representing $76M to General Moly)
• Have letter of intent in place for large electric mining shovels
• 4 Atlas Copco mine drills ordered
• As progress on permitting and financing continues, will place orders for remainder of equipment
23
Moly Consumption & SupplyMoly Consumption by Region, 2011• With industrial growth concentrated in emerging
Europe25%
CIS5%China
Other14%
With industrial growth concentrated in emerging economies, molybdenum market share will continue to shift to the developing world
• However, the moly demand picture in mature economies remains healthy, supported by the need for maintenance, repairs or replacement of aging infrastructure
Moly Consumption by Region 2016p
5%USA14%Japan
12%
China30%
repairs, or replacement of aging infrastructure
• As a higher cost producer with strict government policies, China’s share of moly production is expected to decline over the next ten years Moly Consumption by Region, 2016p
Europe20%
CIS5%
Other17%
Moly End-Uses 2011
5%USA13%Japan
11%
China34%
Carbon8% Cast Iron
8%Catalysts
7%Lubricant/Tool
Mo Metal/ Alloy7%
HSLA11%
Moly End-Uses, 2011
24Source: CPM Group, IMOA
Pigment3%
Other Chemical
1%Stainless
20%Super-alloys
4%
Full Alloy21%
10%
Moly Market End UsesMoly End Use, 2011 Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas17%
Electronics & Medical
2% Other
Top 5 Categories Account for 67% of Mo Use • Refinery catalysts, LNG development, shale gas installations, off-shore / deep ocean oil production
Chemical / Petrochemical• Corrosion inhibitors, chemical catalysts, smoke suppressants, fertilizers, waste water treatment
Automotive
Other Transportation
Building / Construction
6% Aerospace & Defense
3%
%Applications
6%
Automotive• Engines, pistons, crankshafts, axle shafts, steering components
Mechanical Engineering• Heavy machinery, mining equipment, cutting tools
Chemical / Petrochemical
15%Power
Generation
p8% Process Industry
• Food processing equipment and storage, metal / steel processing, desalination
Power Generation• Coal, oil, gas and nuclear power plants, wind turbines hydro and solar energy
Automotive13%Mechanical
Process Industry
9%
Generation8%
turbines, hydro and solar energyOther Transportation• Locomotive shafts, train wheels, brake pads, shipbuilding (bulkheads and hulls)
Building / Construction• Major infrastructure such as bridges and tunnels, Mechanical
Engineering13%
Major infrastructure such as bridges and tunnels, anchors, rebars, heating and ventilation systems
Aerospace & Defense• Turbine parts, jet engines, landing gear, piping systems, armored vehicles
Electronics & Medical• More sophisticated energy production and
transportation driving moly use
25Source: SMR Research, JP Morgan Research
• Semiconductors, pharmaceutical and biotechnology processing equipment, x-ray tubes
Other Applications• Pigments, coatings, lubricants
transportation driving moly use
• JP Morgan forecasts $30 trillion to be spent on global energy-supply infrastructure by 2035
Top 10 Moly Producing Companies
Top 10 Moly Producing Companies, 2011
Th
Top 10 Moly Producing Companies, 202168% of total mine production, Equity Share 63% of total mine production, Equity Share
Xstrata 2%
Codelco 9%JinduichengMolybdenum
6%
Thompson Creek 5%
Thompson Creek
3%Codelco
9%
General Moly5% Jinduicheng
Molybdenum
Grupo Mexico, Southern
Copper 7%China Moly 7%
6%
Rio Tinto4%
Freeport McMoran
China Moly5%
y4%
Freeport McMoRan 7%
Rio Tinto 6%Teck 7%
Freeport McMoran 7%
Grupo Mexico, Southern Copper
8%
Freeport Xstrata
4%
McMoran7%
Antofogasta4%
Teck 7% McMoRan6%Teck
8%
C P d / M B P d t
26Source: CPM Group
Cu Producer w/ Mo By-Product
Primary Mo Producer
Capacity vs. Bottlenecks
Scarce Financing
Rising Capital Costs
Low Process Grades
Permitting and Labor Challenges
Power and Water
Shortages
Social License and Geopolitical
Risk
• While sizable moly capacity is forecasted to come online over the next decade, many projects face significant financial, infrastructural and geopolitical challenges
• Bottleneck issues are most acute amongst by-product copper/moly projects in Latin America
• Approximately $57B of mining investment is now delayed or deferred in Chile and Peru• Affected projects include: Xstrata’s Collahausi, Southern Copper’s Los Chancas, Codelco’s
Salvador, Teck’s Relincho and Antofogasta’s Esperanza• Revisions in Chile to the SEIA process and implementation in Peru of the Prior Consultation Law
have added complexity and extended the timeline in permitting projects
27
• Slow pace of power infrastructure development in Chile has placed a number of projects at risk• Production prospects declining at some aging moly mines
• Stripping activity suspended at Thompson Creek Mine and mining ceased at Endako
Source: Scotia Bank Research
High Levels of Energy Investment
28Source: JP Morgan Research