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GLOBAL RESOURCES INVESTMENT CONFERENCE STATIONERS’ HALL, CITY OF LONDON TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, 27-28 SEP 2011 www.ObjectiveCapitalConferences.com How to pick junior gold equities Angelos Damaskos – Sector Investment Managers

How to pick junior gold equities

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Page 1: How to pick junior gold equities

GLOBAL RESOURCESINVESTMENT CONFERENCE

STATIONERS’ HALL, CITY OF LONDON ● TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, 27-28 SEP 2011

www.ObjectiveCapitalConferences.com

How to pick junior gold equities Angelos Damaskos – Sector Investment Managers

Page 2: How to pick junior gold equities

Other sponsors & participating organisations:

GLOBAL RESOURCESINVESTMENT CONFERENCE 2011

Lead sponsor:

Media partners:

@Objectivelive

Page 3: How to pick junior gold equities

Sector Investment Managers Ltd

JUNIOR GOLD fundPICKING Gold SHARES

27 SEPTEMber 2011

Page 4: How to pick junior gold equities

important notices

• Marlborough Fund Managers Ltd tel: 0808 145 2501• Junior Mining is eligible for SIPPs and ISAs• For further info and documentation visit:

www.juniorgold.co.uk

Risk Warning: This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. The fund invests in smaller companies some of which are listed on the Alternative Investment Market which may carry a higher degree of risk. The shares of smaller companies may be less liquid and more volatile over shorter term periods. Changes in exchange rates between currencies may cause the value of investments to diminish or increase. The value of your investment can go down as well as up. Opinion expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represents the views of Sector Investment Managers Ltd at the time of preparation based on SIM’s internal analysis which may have not been verified by independent sources. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Before making an investment in the fund, it is important that you read the Simplified Prospectus which is available free by visiting the websites above. Sector Investment Managers Ltd and Marlborough Fund Managers Ltd are authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Issued by Sector Investment Managers Ltd.

Page 5: How to pick junior gold equities

Junior GOLDoeic focusing primarily in gold mining

• Diversified portfolio of smaller gold mining shares

• High conviction strategy focusing in a maximum of 40 holdings

• Daily traded FSA-authorised OEIC offering an effective allocation tool

• Net Asset Value of £40 million as at 23.9.11

Page 6: How to pick junior gold equities

LONG-TERM TREND

Gold is in a ten-year bull market rising about 7x between Sep 2001 and Sep 2011

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COMMODITY OR EQUITIES?

Gold mining shares have only managed about 5x in the same period

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Operational gearing?

• Gold mining is a highly capital intensive business

• Depending on scale and mineralisation, operating costs are predictable

• Consider a mining company producing at US$700/oz

• At $1,200/oz gold price it makes $500/oz marginal profit

• A rise of gold by 41% to $1,700/oz profit expands to $1,000/oz

• Share price should rise more than 2x due to shorter capital payback

Page 9: How to pick junior gold equities

Current situation • Fiscal and economic worries have reduced investors’ risk appetite

• Early stage projects and exploration risk are discounted heavily

• Mature producers benefit from high spot prices commanding premium

• Focus on high quality companies with consistent and long track record

• Resources, resources, location, location

– Avoid narrow-vein deposits– Seek lower operating costs– Avoid political risk– Proximity to existing infrastructure– Ease of permitting

• All above factors are important in a volatile market

Page 10: How to pick junior gold equities

SHARE price drivers

• Smaller companies tend to outperform their larger peers in the long run

• Growth in production and organic cashflow is important

• Good Management costs, bad one costs even more

– Sector and regional experience– Proven operating capacity– Multiple mining concepts and approaches– Active exploration programme

Page 11: How to pick junior gold equities

• Avoid pure exploration risk• Large resources that can be acquired at a reasonable

price• No serious environmental problems• Experienced, proven management team• Little or no debt and no hedging• Strong cash flow on a PCF multiple below the average of

peer group• Increasing production with reasonably long life• Low cost per ounce produced• Prospective resource – open at depth and along strike

HOW DO WE INVEST IN smaller GOLD SHARES?