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Maps–Models–Management Assembling tools for ecosystem-based management of Newport Bay & Coast Authors: Scott Akenhead S4S Solutions BC Dr. Scott Carley Organomics Consulting WA Dr. Irwin Haydock S4S Solutions CA Krista Sloniowski Connective Issue CA Robert Stein City of Newport Beach CA

Maps Models Management H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

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a framework for environmental management programs such as adaptive management or ecosystem-based management, emphasizing components needed for four different feedback / learning loops. Reviews progress on the S4S.com support system for inter-agency program management that will operationalize this framework.

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Page 1: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Maps–Models–Management Assembling tools for ecosystem-based management of Newport Bay & Coast

Authors: Scott Akenhead S4S Solutions BC Dr. Scott Carley Organomics Consulting WA Dr. Irwin Haydock S4S Solutions CA Krista Sloniowski Connective Issue CA Robert Stein City of Newport Beach CA

Page 2: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IRCWMP

Page 3: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

The Path to Sustainability

•  whole-systems thinking •  inter-agency program •  span multiple jurisdictions •  stakeholder engagement

•  move from vision to action

•  measure progress

•  project tracking

•  building consensus

•  knowledge management

Requires structured collaboration to deal with inherent complexity.

Page 4: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Structured Collaboration WORKSPACE

PROGRESS REPORTING

GOALS

ULTIMATE OUTCOMES

SHARED OUTCOMES

STORIES

INDICATORS

IMMEDIATE OUTCOMES

STRATEGIC PLAN

AUTHORITY

REGIONAL OBJECTIVES

LOCAL OBJECTIVES

PROJECTS

OPERATING PROCESS

EBM / AM FRAMEWORK

REPORTING TO STAKEHOLDERS

PROJECTS REVIEW & FUNDING

PROJECT MANAGEMENT

ACTION ITEMS WORKING GROUPS

SECURE DOCUMENTS MANAGEMENT EXTERNAL PROJECTS WORKFLOW

EXECUTION

OUTPUTS

MANDATE

Page 5: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

ON-LINE COMMUNITY

Page 6: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

HUNDREDS OF PROJECTS

Page 7: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

HUNDREDS OF PROJECTS

Page 8: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

ANNUAL OPERATING PROCESS

PRIORITIZATION INTEGRATION

REG

ION

AL

SC

ALE

LO

CA

L SC

ALE

CONSENSUS ON VALUES

WATERSHED OBJECTIVES

LOCAL OBJECTIVES

INTEGRATED PROJECTS

STAKEHOLDER GOALS

PROJECT FUNDING

FUNDING NEEDS

PROGRESS INDICATORS

Page 9: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009
Page 10: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

adaptive management

An approach to learning from management actions that allows:

  scientific evaluation   testing alternate management approaches   adjusting policies and institutions as new

information becomes available from carefully designed monitoring programs.

Scientific Consensus Statement on Marine Ecosystem-Based Management, 2005

Acknowledge that our current understanding is incomplete. Acknowledge that our current institutions are inadequate.

Page 11: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT - Process

Scientific and social processes are vital components of AM: 1. Management acts on appropriate temporal and spatial scales.

2. Management focus is on experimental design: controls for experiments and statistical power of analyses.

3. Computer models build a synthesis of knowledge and embody a consensus on ecology.

4. Use models to evaluate strategic alternatives. 5. Communicate alternative scenarios to political arena. 6. Negotiate trade-offs and select one scenario.

adapted from www.resalliance.org/600.php

Page 12: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Collaborative Adaptive management

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD STAKEHOLDERS

FUNDED PROJECTS RESOURCES

DESIRED OUTCOMES

Page 13: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Collaborative Adaptive management

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

PROPOSED PROJECTS

KNOWLEDGE

FUNDED PROJECTS

STAKEHOLDERS

RESOURCES

DESIRED OUTCOMES

Page 14: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Collaborative Adaptive management

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

PROPOSED PROJECTS

KNOWLEDGE

SCENARIOS

PREDICTED OUTCOMES

FUNDED PROJECTS

STAKEHOLDERS

RESOURCES

DESIRED OUTCOMES

Learning Loop: Scenarios-based Planning

Page 15: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

Collaborative Adaptive management

PREDICTED OUTCOMES KNOWLEDGE

PROPOSED PROJECTS SCENARIOS

FUNDED PROJECTS

OBSERVED OUTCOMES

MONITORING

LEARNING

STAKEHOLDERS

DESIRED OUTCOMES

RESOURCES

Learning Loop: Adaptive Management

Page 16: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

ACTIVE ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT

AM seeks to aggressively use management intervention as a tool to strategically probe the functioning of an ecosystem. Interventions are designed to test key hypotheses about the functioning of the ecosystem.

- adapted from http://www.resalliance.org/600.php

Page 17: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Adaptive management definition from CALFED Bay-Delta Program, 2000

•  Actions are partnerships between scientists and managers.

•  Design actions as experiments, with risk commensurate with the status of species involved.

•  Use science to evaluate the feasibility of those experiments.

http://www.calwater.ca.gov/content/Documents/ ROD8-28-00.pdf

Page 18: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

Collaborative Adaptive management

PREDICTED OUTCOMES KNOWLEDGE

PROPOSED PROJECTS SCENARIOS

FUNDED PROJECTS

OBSERVED OUTCOMES

MONITORING

LEARNING

STAKEHOLDERS

DESIRED OUTCOMES

RESOURCES

VALUES

Feedback Loop: Policy Exploration/Development

Page 19: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

OPEN MANAGEMENT Process

Achieving Adaptive Management objectives requires an open management process which seeks to include past, present, and future stakeholders and to create and maintain political openness.

Adaptive Management applies a collegial scientific approach to build understanding, but also aims to enhance the institutional flexibility (or new institutions) required to apply this understanding on a day-to-day basis.

‐adaptedfromh-p://www.resalliance.org/600.php

Page 20: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

PREDICTED OUTCOMES KNOWLEDGE

PROPOSED PROJECTS SCENARIOS

FUNDED PROJECTS

OBSERVED OUTCOMES

MONITORING

LEARNING

STAKEHOLDERS

DESIRED OUTCOMES

RESOURCES

VALUES

Collaborative Adaptive management

Feedback Loop: Policy/Project Feasibility

Page 21: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

OPERATIONS REAL WORLD

PREDICTED OUTCOMES

KNOWLEDGE

PROPOSED PROJECTS

SCENARIOS FUNDED

PROJECTS

OBSERVED OUTCOMES

MONITORING

LEARNING

STAKEHOLDERS

DESIRED OUTCOMES

RESOURCES

VALUES

Collaborative Adaptive management

What IS possible if we could, in fact, work together?

Page 22: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

SCENARIOS MIGHT BE VERY EFFECTIVE…

Page 23: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Support System Update

New Developments: 1.  High-level CAM framework that integrates all

components of ecosystem management. 2.  Collaboration support has Project Atlas.

3.  Indicator time-series and maps integrated. 4.  Project Scenarios with predicted Outcomes.

5.  Decision Table to compare Scenarios.

Page 24: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

PROJECT ATLAS

Page 25: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

PROJECT IN MAP

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MAP IN PROJECT

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INDICATOR GRAPH in MAP

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SCENARIO = PROJECTs, FUNDING, OUTCOMES

Page 29: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

COMPARE SCENARIOS BY OUTCOMES

Page 30: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Newport Bay Watershed/coast Plan

Requirement to Lower the Barriers: •  Invest in new forms of dialogue and new commitments

between individuals and agencies.

•  Improve the exchange, retention, and application of data, information, and knowledge.

Objective for Implementation: Continuity of thought, dialogue, process, and learning despite turnover of participants in a lengthy program. Critical for achieving long-term goals.

Barriers: institutional, regulatory, financial, logistical, technical

Page 31: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

The Power of People

Page 32: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009

Thank you!

Authors: Scott Akenhead S4S Solutions BC Dr. Scott Carley Organomics Consulting WA Dr. Irwin Haydock S4S Solutions CA Krista Sloniowski Connective Issue CA Robert Stein City of Newport Beach CA

Page 33: Maps Models Management   H2 O Conf Oct 29 2009