19
Market Transparency and Efficiency: Fine Wine’s Online Revolution

Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Liv-ex Director James Miles examines the impact that the internet has had on the fine wine market and suggests a future direction.

Citation preview

Page 1: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

Market Transparency and Efficiency: Fine Wine’s Online Revolution

Page 2: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

LIV-EX

• Set up in 1999, the vision for Liv-ex was to create a global exchange for fine wine merchants.

400 members - 33 countries

Page 3: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

RIPE FOR CHANGE

• Traditionally opaque

• Lack of trading liquidity

• Highly fragmented, both in terms of players and products

Page 4: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

MARKET TRANSPARENCY

The internet’s most important innovation has been transparency of:

• Quality

• Availability

• Pricing

Page 5: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

MARKET TRANSPARENCY

Ten years ago, price discovery was time consuming and imperfect - even for insiders. Outsiders had no chance.

Page 6: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

MARKET TRANSPARENCYToday, price discovery is instant and available to all:

Page 7: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

THE RESULT

• Dramatically lower barriers to entry

• Increased confidence for both the trade and collectors

• Margin compression, but market expansion

Page 8: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

MARKET EXPANSIONGlobal fine wine turnover has quadrupled since 2004, reaching USD4bn in 2010.

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

Glo

bal

mar

ket

turn

over

(B

illio

n U

SD

)

Page 9: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

HIGHER PRICES

Jul-

01

Jul-

02

Jul-

03

Jul-

04

Jul-

05

Jul-

06

Jul-

07

Jul-

08

Jul-

09

Jul-

10

Jul-

11

80100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380

Liv-ex Fine Wine 100 Index

Index V

alu

e

Source: Liv-ex.com

Prices for the top wines have increase 220% in ten years.

Page 10: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

WHAT NEXT?

In our view, the next ten years will be all about using the internet to increase efficiency, reduce costs and limit stock movement.

The focus will move from improving the trading experience, to improving post-trade settlement.

Page 11: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

A POST-TRADE REVOLUTION

Two key issues:

• Accounting and logistics functions in fine wine remain little changed in 20 years.

• Fine wine continues to use commercial wine’s logistics infrastructure, despite having very different requirements. The internet gives the fine wine trade the opportunity to develop its own platform.

Page 12: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

IMPROVING SYSTEMS

• Increased data interchange between customers and suppliers using industry-wide messaging standards.

• Transactions, invoices, warehouse instructions and accounts entries will be electronic– allowing for straight-through processing.

• L-WIN – The Universal Wine Code – is a key part of this process. A common language for the trade: one wine, one code.

Page 13: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

A NEW SUPPLY CHAIN

From a business perspective - commercial wine and fine wine have nothing in common....

So why do they share the same supply chain?

Page 14: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

COMMERCIAL WINE

Fast moving: Designed to be drunk within eighteen months of release.

Low value: The average bottle price in the UK (before tax and retailer margin) was $2 in 2010.

Short and Simple: Direct supply chain.

Producer

Distributor

Consumer

Page 15: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

FINE WINE

Slow moving: Designed to mature for up to 50 years.

High value: The average traded price for a bottle of wine on Liv-ex in 2010 was $400.

Long and Complex: Complicated supply chain.

Page 16: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

ELIMINATE MOVEMENTS

80% of the trade on Liv-ex is in wines from the last ten vintages, the majority of which are not for immediate consumption.

So why move it?

Eliminating excessive movement of stock offers huge upside.

Page 17: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

THE SOLUTION

We are reorganising our logistics along central depository lines, which is:

A mechanism for storing and managing ownership records in multiple locations.

Ownership can be transferred via electronic transfer, removing the need for physical movements.

Page 18: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

THE BENEFITS

•Reduced costs and risk

•Faster working capital cycle time

•Better provenance

Page 19: Market Transparency and Efficiency - Fine Wine's Online Revolution

The revolution in transparency is well advanced, but the potential gains from reorganising the post-trade infrastructure could be even more important.

Visit our mobile site – www.liv-exHKIWSF.com – to download this talk or find

us on

TO CONCLUDE