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By Jasraj Singh
To grow revenues by 50% by the end of 2001Reach from $13million to $20million in revenuesTo take a decision for achieving these goals
Current situation
Market Leader in Natural Food Channel ButIn a dilemma to extend to Supermarket Channel or stick to Natural Food Channel?
Background
Founded in 1989, Nature view Farm manufactured and marketed refrigerated cup yogurt under the Nature view Farm brand name.
4 Ps
Product(Natural Yogurt
of size 32oz, 8-6oz,4oz)
Price(Affordable
according to its channel)
Place(Natural food channel, Drug
and Convenience
stores)
Promotion(Low cost guerrilla
marketing)
Trends in Yogurt Market
Package size
Taste
Flavour Price
Ingredients
Organic or not
Focus on Sales
Sell at Cheap Rate
Price sensitive
Charge Slot Fees
Trade promotion Ads
Super Marke
t Chann
els
Focus on Profits
Sell at Expensive Rate
Other Factors
No Slot Fees
No Trade promotion Ads
Natural Food Chann
els
VS
97%
3%
Distribution Channel
Supermarkets ChannelNatural Food channel
Manufacturer
Distributor
Retailer
Customer
15%
27%
Supermarket Channel
Manufacturer
Natural food Wholesaler
Natural Food Distributor
Retailer
Customer
7%
9%
35%
Natural Food Channel
33%
24%
23%
15%
5%
Supermarket Channel
DannonYoplaitOtherPrivate labelsColumbo
24%
15%
19%7%
35%
Natural Food Channels
Nature view FarmBrown CowHorizon OrganicWhite WaveOthers
Yogurt Market Share By Brand
Option1
• Expand in Northeast and West Supermarket region.
• Bring in 6 SKUs of 8-oz
Option2
• Expand in Supermarket Nationally
• Bring in 4SKUs of 32-oz
Option3
•Stay in Natural Channel•Introduce 2 children’s multipack
Dilemma For the Management
Provides significant revenue potential.
8-oz have highest incremental demand
Give first mover advantage
Option 1
Pros
Cons
High risk and High cost
Require quarterly trade promotions
Advertising plan would cost $1.2million
SG&A expenses increase by $320,000 annually
Units sold 3,50,00,000
Revenue($0.55*35000000) 19250000
COGS($0.31*35000000) (10850000)
Gross Profit $8,400,000
Expenses
Advertisement Cost($1,200,000*2)
$2,400,000
SG&A expenses $320,000
Slotting Fees($10,000*6*20)
$1,200,000
Broker’s Fee(4%*19250000)
$770,000
Advertisement cost is abundance,Natureview would pay $4,800,000 on ads by 2001
Option 2
Pros
Generate higher profit margin than 8-oz
Strong competitive advantage: long shelf life
Lower promotion expenses
Cons
Entry of potential competitor
Inability of sales to achieve growth within 12months
Increases SG&A expenses by $160,000
Units sales 5,500,000
Revenue($1.85*5,500,000) 10,175,000
COGS($0.99*5,500,000) 5,445,000
Gross Profit $4,730,000
Expenses
Advertisement Cost($1,200,00*4)
$480,000
SG&A expenses $160,000
Broker fees(4%*10,175000) $407,000
Slotting Fees($10,000*4SKUs*64)
$2,560,000The slotting is huge as Natureview have to 64 supermarkets
Option 3
ProsFinancial potential is very attractive
Nature food channels growing 7 times faster than supermarkets
Fewer competitive offerings in this size
Cons
Potential conflicts
Uncertain factors
Unprepared to handle the demands on resources
Units sold 1,800,000
Revenue($2,13*1,800,000) $3,834,000
COGS($1.15*1,800,000) $2,070,000
Gross Profit $1,764,000
Expenses
Marketing $250,000
SG&A expenses $0
Broker’s fee $0
Slotting Fee $0
Cost Effective as there is no slotting, broker or SG&A expenses
Financial Forecast 2001
Option 3Year Revenue
1999 $13,000,000
2000 $3,834,000
2001 $4,409,000
TOTAL $21,243,100
Meets the Goal of achieving 20million by 2001