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NavigatingSustainabilityFrameworksandTools:A
PracticalGuideandTipsfromLeadingExperts
Daniel Aronson, Valutus @danielaronsonJason Jay, MIT Sloan @jasonjjay
Michael Corrigan, Corporate Value MetricsPhillip Clawson, MassMutual @csrphil
Michael Kraten, Providence College @mkraten
Besuretoengageintheapp:sb16app.com
1)Checkintothesessionbyselectingsession fromthe
programandselecting'checkin'
2)Poseand'up-vote' questions tobeposedduringQ&A:In
session description, select'submitaquestion'
Tools
Context: Why Tools
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Needs
Consulting Other
Source: Verdantix
Sustainability Activity
Part 1: Organizational Need
Source: Verdantix, 2013
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
Needs
Sustainability Activity
Consulting Technology Other
Source: Verdantix; Indeed
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
Needs
Sustainability Activity
Consulting Technology Ad Hoc / Manual
Part 2: Global Need
12%-20% of companies’ goals are in line with what science says we need.
How do we get moving fast enough?
Source:AndrewWinston, PivotGoals
Part 2: Global Need
12%-20% of companies’ goals are in line with what science says we need.
How do we get moving fast enough?
Catalyzing action, internally and externally – and tools are a big part of that.
Source:AndrewWinston, PivotGoals
Part 2: Global Need
0
5
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25
30
Valuation Goal Setting Research Assesment
Duration (Weeks): Status Quo vs. Using Tools
Status Quo Using Tools
Part 2: Global Need
The majority of an organization’s impact (typically 60%-80%+) is in its value chain – suppliers, customers, partners.
One of the most powerful practices for improvement: Providing tools and processes
Source:ASQ,Deloitte, ISM,CRA
Source:DanielAronson
Measuring & Modeling Sustainability Benefit
SustainabilityValue
CustomerBehavior
EmployeeBehavior
ValueNetworkBehavior
RiskProfile
• Whatistheimpacton
customerbehavior?
• Howistherelationship
betweenorganizationand
thecustomerimpacted?
• Dotheytalkdifferentlyto
others?
• Arebusinessrisksaffected
bytheprogram?
• Regulatoryrisks?
• Doemployeesjoin,
stay,orengage
differentlybecauseof
theprogram?
• Dotheyinteract
differentlywith
customers?
Sustainability initiatives, such as recycling, have effects on customer behavior, employee behavior, value network behavior, and on risk.
• Dosuppliersbehave
differently?
• Dopartners?
• Docompetitors?
Source:DanielAronson
SustainabilityMeasures(Prove)
External:Activity&Results(Prove)
External:Value(Prove)
Internal:Value(Prove)
Internal:Activity&Results(Prove)
• Isthecompanyagoodcitizen?
• Shouldweworkwith/sellto/
buyfromthem?
• Whatarewedoing?
• Areweactinginconcert
withourvalues?
• Arecompanyactivities
protecting investors’
interests?
• Isthecompanydoingwhat
isnecessaryforitssuccess?
• Iswhatwe’redoing
worthwhile?
• Dowedeserveour internal
’licensetooperate’?
Measuring & Modeling Sustainability Benefit
Measurement can help prove sustainability’s value by supplying answers to key questions.
Examples
Examples
Examples
Corporate Social Responsibility: Components, ROI and MeasurementSelected Slides for Sustainable Brands New MetricsNovember, 2016
18 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
Strategic Corporate Social Responsibility is the art of making responsibility profitable and making profitability responsible.
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
1CSR
Framework
2Ways To Measure
3Internal
ROI
4External
ROI
19 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
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1 Framework: Winning Combination
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ExternalROICSRInternalROI
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1 Framework: Winning Combination
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
ExternalROI
CSR
InternalROI
21 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
Corporate Social
Responsibility Strategy
IEnvironmen
tal Sustainabilit
yII
Money, Resources
& Time
IIIEthics &
Transparency
IVPeople
(internal)
VLeveraging Value Chain
VIBusiness Practices
1 Corporate Social Responsibility Components
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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22 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
Corporate Social Responsibility
Strategy
Business Practices
Environmental
Sustainability
Money, Resources &
Time
Ethics & Transparency
People (internal)
Leveraging Value Chain
1 CSR Component: Environmental Sustainability
Carbon Footprint
GHGEmissions
Waste Water
Pollution Energy
Customers’ Impact
Supply/Value-chain’sImpact
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
23 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
How would we recognize these results in measurable terms if we fell over them? So, for example, the rate of low-birthweight babies helps quantify whether we're getting healthy births or not. Third grade reading scores help quantify whether children are succeeding in school today, and whether they were ready for school three years ago.
—Karen Finn, Partner, Results Leadership Group
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
1CSR
Frameworks
2Ways To Measure
3Internal
ROI
4External
ROI
24 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
2 Measurement Drives Strategy
3 Design strategies to achieve desired results
6 Adjust and continuously improve
2 Develop “Theory of Change”
5 Measure and evaluate the impact
1 Identify desired results
4 Invest, and test “TheoryofChange”
Somemeasurewhattheyalreadydoandtrytocapturetheiroutputsandimpacts.Buttoreallydrivechange,youneedto:
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
25 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
2 Types of Measures: Broadly Speaking
• Eg, $20M invested over 5 years in financial education for middle and high school students
• Eg, 5,000 employees volunteered in classrooms
Inputs (things you
do)
• Eg, $20M enabled intensive school-based co-curricular digital financial education course to reach 2M students in 5 years, for 10M hours of aggregated learning
• Eg, 10,000 employee volunteer hours
Outputs (what is done
with the resources)
• Eg, students showed a 53% knowledge gain• Eg, HS graduation rates of participants 27%
higher• Eg, 40% increase in morale indicators and
20% increase in retention rates for employee volunteers
Outcomes (what has changed, impacts)
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
26 © CSR Lab 2010-2016© CSR Lab 2010-2016
“The new currency of legitimacy for business will be outcomes. It’s all about action, delivery and real impact."
—Paul Polman, CEO, Unilever
1CSR
Frameworks
2Ways To Measure
3Internal
ROI
4External
ROI
27 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
3 Pools of Internal ROI
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
A
B
C
D
EF
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JDirectROIA. Corporate PerformanceB. Efficiencies &CostReductionsC. NewProducts &MarketsD. IncreasedSalesE. ChallengesSolved
IndirectROIF. Brand, Image&ReputationG. InnovationH. TalentI. KeyInfluencersJ. Risk&LicensetoOperate
28 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
3 Internal ROI: Examples of Direct ROI
• Oxford analyzed 200 academic studies: 90% show good ESG lowers cost of capital; 80% show stock price performance positively correlated with good CSR
A. Corporate Performance
• McKinsey survey: 1994-2011 Dow invested ~$2B to increase resource efficiency and saved $9.8B from reduced energy & wastewater consumption
B. Efficiencies & Cost Reductions • Unilever generates >1/2 of its sales from
developing markets. Signature BOP product, Pureit, a countertop water-purification system (India, Africa & Latin America)
C. New Products & Markets • Unilever “brands with purpose” are growing
at 2X rate• GE Ecomagination has generated $232B in
revenue• IKEA’s “Sustainable Life at Home” line
generates $1B
D. Increased Sales
• The CISCO Networking Academies initiative has solved a key barrier to CISCO’s growth―lack of qualified workers to administer their networks
E. Challenges Solved
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
29 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
3 Internal ROI: Examples of Indirect ROI
• A study of what types of news coverage affected evaluation of a firm and intent to purchase and CSR was the only significant factor
F. Brand/Image/ Reputation • United Technologies new jet engine cuts
fuel burn & CO2 emissions by 16%, cuts release of particulates 50%, dramatically muffles engine roar – It’s the future
G. Innovation
• Study found that morale was 55% higher in companies with strong sustainability programs, compared to those with poor ones, and employee loyalty was 38% higher
H. Talent• A study of the gold mining industry found
stakeholder relations can heavily influence land permitting, taxation, & regulatory environment
I. Key Influencers
• In a study of 8K suppliers (to 75 multinationals): 72% said climate change risks could significantly impact their operations, revenue, or expenditures
J. Risk & License to Operate
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
30 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
"To be successful in the long term, we must create value not only for our shareholders but also for society."
—Paul Bulcke, CEO, Nestlé S.A
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
1CSR
Frameworks
2Ways To Measure
3Internal
ROI
4External
ROI
31 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
4 External ROI: UN SDGs Lens
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
32 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
4 External & Internal ROI – Theory of Change
Activities Expected ResultsTheory of Change
“TheoryofChange”=“Ifwedo this,weexpecttogetthese results.”
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
33 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
4 External ROI
• Based on existing research, current best practices and fresh creative thinking, identify a “Theory of Change”
How Can We Move the Needle?
• Test the “Theory of Change.” Did the strategic actions achieve the desired results?
Is This Theory of Change Correct?
• How much was achieved? Is there a way to improve effectiveness?
How Much Did We Move the Needle?
• This process will help prove and improve the change generatedExternal ROI
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
34 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
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© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CSRComponentsI Environmental SustainabilityII Money,Resources &TimeIII Ethics&TransparencyIV People(Internal)V LeveragingValueChainVI BusinessPractices
Direct ROIA CorporatePerformanceB EfficienciesC NewProducts/MarketsD IncreasedSalesE ChallengesSolved
‘Intangible’ ROIF Brand/ReputationG InnovationH TalentI KeyInfluencersJ Risk&License toOperate
4 CSR, External & Internal ROI
35 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
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© CSR Lab 2010-2016
§ Nikeembedded sustainability intoitsinnovationprocessandcreated the$1B+Flyknit line,whichusesaspecializedyarnsystem, requiringminimal laborandgenerating largeprofitmargins
§ Flyknit reduceswaste by60% comparedwithregularcutandsew footwear
§ Sinceits launchin2012,Flyknit hasreduced 3.5millionpoundsofwaste andfullytransitioned fromyarntorecycled polyester, diverting182millionbottles fromlandfills
4 External & Internal ROI Case: Nike Flyknit
B.Efficiencies &CostReductions
C.NewProducts&Markets
G.Innovation
ISustainability
VIBusiness Practices
VLeveragingValueChain
B. Efficiencies &CostReductionsC. NewProducts&Markets
G.Innov
ation
36 © CSR Lab 2010-2016
CSR Lab Contact
phillipclawsonmanagingdirectorCSRLab
t+16172977001m+16174298677
[email protected]/in/PhillipClawsontwitter:@csrphil
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
YOUR ROADMAP TO MAXIMIZING BUSINESS VALUEWWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
• Acloudbasedconsultingandvalueenhancementplatform
• Quantifiesthequalitativefactorsthatdrivefinancialresults,
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• Designedtohelpprivatelyheldbusinessownersstrengthen
businesses,achievesustainableprofitablegrowthandincrease
Enterprisevalue70%to100%overaperiodof2to5years.
Market Opportunity
• AM&AA
• Pepperdine Private Market
Research
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ForAdvisoryProfessionalsinAccounting,M&A,PrivateEquity,
Valuation,ExitPlanning&TurnaroundManagementfirms
• Generatesignificantnewadvisory revenuestreamsinValueGrowthServices
• Deliverabroader reviewofqualitativeandquantitativeissues
• Toconverttypicallyretrospectivehistoricalcomplianceservicestoamoreprospectiveforwardthinking growthservices
• Toposition firmastheClient’sMOSTValuedAdvisor
Market Opportunity
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To resolve the Problem
It’s Not all Financial
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
Focusingonthequalitativefactors
drivingfinancialresultscan:
• alignandstrengthentheorganization;
• improveprofitability;
• enhanceaccesstocapital;
• reduceoverallrisk,andmaximizevalue.
Chasing Quantitative results directlycan adversely impact an organization
Revenue Growth : Cost Cutting : Margin Increases
Morecontrollable,morepredictable,
moresustainable,andmoreeffective
To resolve the Problem
It’s Not all Financial
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
Focusingonthequalitativefactors
drivingfinancialresultscan:
• alignandstrengthentheorganization;
• improveprofitability;
• enhanceaccesstocapital;
• reduceoverallrisk,andmaximizevalue.
Chasing Quantitative results directlycan adversely impact an organization
Revenue Growth : Cost Cutting : Margin Increases
Morecontrollable,morepredictable,
moresustainable,andmoreeffective
Market Opportunity
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
Market Opportunity
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Qualitative Performance
Impact
On
Qualitative Results
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
• EnableForwardthinkingStrategy
• AccuratelyAssessRisk
• IdentifyUn-Systematic
• Improvedpositionforinnovation
Benefits of Holistic Assessments
Measuring value on improvement
• ProvidesAnalysis&Toolforend-to-endimpact
assessmentinsupplychain
• Methodformeasuringandimprovingsupplychain
transparency
Morecontrollable,morepredictable,
moresustainable,andmoreeffective
VOP Practitioners around the
country
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
Methodically,Measurably,Maximizing
Value…ItallbeginswiththeVOP!
[email protected]: 508-870-5805C: 774-244-0909
The VOP
WWW.CORPORATEVALUE.NET
Round 2
CSR LAB CORE COMPETENCIES
CSRStrategy&
Implementation
Strategic
Planning toDrive
ExternalImpact
&InternalROI
Rigorous
Measurementof
ExternalImpact
&InternalROI
Internal&
External
Stakeholder
Engagement
Communication
withExternal
Stakeholders,
Employees,&
Executives
Implementation
(eg,Flagship
Partnership
Management)
Creative
Solutions toCSR
Challenges
Measurement Strategy
EngagingStakeholders
Measuring Outputs & Outcomes
Developing Measures
External ROI Measurement
InternalROIMeasurement
Direct,Proxy, &AnecdotalMeasures
Sampling,Census, &Experiments
DataExcavation& Triangulation
Statistical Analysis
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
1
CSR
Frameworks
2
WaysTo
Measure
3
Internal
ROI
4
External
ROI
EXTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
EXTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
§ NovoNordisk Diabetes inChina,between 2005and2010:o 14,600jobso Improvedproducts/services providedsaved140Klifeyrs
§ Cemex “Patrimonio Hoy” – Microcredit &supportforhomeimprovement andconstruction inLatin America. 2000-15:o Home improvement for1M,350Knewhomeso Participants build3Xfasterat1/3cost, worth20%moreo Jobsforlocalcraftsmen, andsalesforce(95%women)
§ NovartisSocial Ventures Novartisrecruitsandtrainslocals inremote villages tobecome “health educators” (India,Vietnam,Kenya,Indonesia). InIndia2010-15:o 11Indianstates, health educationà 24Mpeopleo Direct healthbenefits 2.5Mpatients: diagnosis/treatment
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EXTERNAL ROI: BASF EXAMPLE
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
EXTERNAL ROI: WALMART EXAMPLE
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IJ B.Efficiencies &CostReductions
C.NewProducts&Markets
G.Innovation
ISustainability
VIBusiness Practices
VLeveragingValueChain
B. Efficiencies &CostReductionsC. NewProducts&Markets
G.Innov
ation
EXTERNAL & INTERNAL ROI CASE: 3M
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
§ 3M integrates sustainability intoitsinnovationpipeline through“PollutionPreventionPays”program
§ 3M’sNovec firesuppressionfluidsarethefirst viable,sustainable alternative tohydrofluorocarbons
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B. Efficiencies &CostReductionsC. NewProducts&Markets
4 EXTERNAL & INTERNAL ROI CASE: 3M
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
G.Innov
ation§ 3M integrates sustainability intoitsinnovationpipeline through“PollutionPreventionPays”program
§ 3M’sNovec firesuppressionfluidsarethefirst viable,sustainable alternative tohydrofluorocarbons
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EXTERNAL ROI: UN SDGS LENS ACCENTURE RESEARCH
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
"Overthenextthreetofiveyears,howimportant willeach ofthefollowingbeinenablingbusiness tobeatransformative forceforachieving theSDGs?"
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
1
CSR
Frameworks
2
WaysTo
Measure
3
Internal
ROI
4
External
ROI
INTERNAL ROI
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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IJ A. Corporate
Performance§ McKinsey, Deutsch Bank’s analysisof56academic studies:
o HighratingsforESGà lowercostofdebt&equityo 89%ofthestudies showcompanies w/highESGratings
outperformmarket inmid&longterm.1
§ Companies intheCDP’sCarbonDisclosure Leadership Indexsubstantially outperformed theFTSEGlobal5002 between 2005and2012.Companies intheCarbonPerformance LeadershipIndexalsodidbetter.3
§ Arabesque&UofOxford reviewed academic literature onsustainability andcorporateperformance: found90%of200studies analyzedconclude that goodESGstandardslowerthecostofcapital; 88%showthat goodESGpractices result inbetteroperational performance; and80%showthatstockpriceperformance ispositivelycorrelatedwithgoodsustainabilitypractices.
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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§ JournalofBusinessEthicsstudyfoundthatfrom2006to2010,thetop100sustainableglobalcompaniesexperienced significantlyhigher meansalesgrowth,returnonassets,profitbeforetaxation,andcashflowsfromoperationsinsomesectorscomparedtocontrol
§ Companiescommittedtosustainabilityachieved“aboveaverage”performanceinfinancialmarketsduring2008recession,translatinginto anaverageof $650millioninincrementalmarketcapitalizationpercompany.Companieswithsuperiorenvironmentalperformanceexperienced lowercostofdebtby40-45basispoints
§ StudiesshowcompanieswithstrongCSRreputations“experiencenomeaningfuldeclinesinsharepricecomparedtotheirindustrypeersduringcrises”vsfirmswithpoorCSRreputationswhosereputationsdeclinedby“2.4-3%;amarketcapitalizationlossof$378Mperfirm”
A. CorporatePerformance
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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§ 2015EYGlobal Institutional Investor Surveyof>200institutionalinvestors:
o 59%viewnonfinancial disclosuresas“essential” or“important” toinvestment decisions, upfrom35%in2014
o 62.4%ofinvestors areconcerned about theriskofstrandedassets (i.e. assets that losevalueprematurely duetoenvironmental, social,orotherexternalfactors) andover1/3respondents reportedcutting theirholdingsofacompanyinthepastyearbecause ofthisrisk
§ Since CVSHealth shifted itspurposetoimprovinghealth, itsstockhasoutperformedthat ofitsclosest rival, Walgreens, beating itby50%overthelast fiveyears. Newbusiness andimprovedemployee motivationmorethancompensated forthelossof$2Binrevenue intobacco products
A. CorporatePerformance
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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§ "WeMeanBusiness" study estimated averageinternal RORof27%-80%onlowcarboninvestments
§ McKinsey survey:1994-2011Dowinvested ~$2Btoincreaseresourceefficiency andsaved$9.8B fromreduced energy&wastewater consumption
§ In2013,GEhadreduced GHGemissions by32%andwateruseby45%compared to2004and2006baselines,respectively, resulting in $300Minsavings
§ Wal-Martaimed to2Xfleet efficiency 2005à 2015throughbetter routing,truckloading,drivertraining,&advancedtech. Byendof2014:improvedfuelefficiency ~87%compared to2005baseline. In2014,improvements resulted in 15Kmetric tonsofCO2emissionsavoidedandsavings ofnearly$11M
B. Efficiencies &CostReductions
C. NewProducts&Markets
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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§ Unilevergenerates >1/2ofitssales fromdevelopingmarkets,withmuchofthat comingfromtheemergingmiddleclass. Itssignature BOPproductisPureit,acountertopwater-purificationsystem soldinIndia,AfricaandLatinAmerica
§ Proctor&Gamble conducted aLCAofitsproductsandfound3%ofUShouseholdelectricityà heating watertowashclothes. In2005,theylaunched aU.S. andEuropean lineofcold-water detergents that require50%lessenergy thanwarmwater washing
C. NewProducts&Markets
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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§ Assolarandbatterycosts continue tofall,&mobilemoneychanges thewaypeoplecanpay,off-gridenergy companies insub-SaharanAfricaarehitting commercial scale andattractingsignificant international investment
§ BankofAmericahasissued“green bonds,”whichfundlow-carbonorsustainable businessprojects. Ithandleda$1BbondforSouthernPower,asubsidiaryofcoal-dependent utilitySouthernCompany,tofunditscleanenergy projects; italsobacked a£400MbondtoaidtheLondontransportnetwork’ssustainability upgrades. BOAalsotookabigstep forwardlastyearwithitsCatalytic Finance Initiative (CFI),whichitexpandedthrougheightnewpartnerships withfinancialinstitutions thathavepledged acombined $8Btowardavarietyofsustainable investments aimed at lower-incomecommunities.
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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Sales§ Pricepremiums basedonpositiveCSRcanreach20%
§ MIT/Harvard studiesshowthat overallsales revenuecanincrease upto20%duetoCSRpractices
§ AConference Boardstudyfoundrevenues fromsustainableproducts&services grewat6Xtherateofoverallcompanyrevenues 2010-2013,for12members ofS&PGlobal100sampled (Singer,2015)
§ Unileversaysthat their“brandswithpurpose”aregrowingat twice therate asothers intheirportfolio
§ Through2015,GEinvested $17Binclean tech R&DthroughEcomagination generating $232Binrevenue
§ IKEA’s“Products foraMoreSustainable LifeatHome” linenowgenerates $1B asdetailed inGreenGiants
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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TheCISCONetworking Academies initiative hassolvedakeyrestrictortoCISCO’sgrowth―schools lacked financialandhumanresources tomanage theirnetworks.
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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Reputation§ Accenture’s consumer studyfoundthatconsumers expect
more transparency &tangible globalimpact fromcompanies&canchoose frommanysustainable, competitively priced,highqualityproducts
§ AstudypublishedinCorporateReputation Review foundthatnews coverage onenvironmental &social responsibilitywas theonlysignificant factor (amongmanycategories ofnewscoverage) thataffected respondents’ evaluation ofafirm&intenttobuy
§ Nearly2/3 ofconsumers across6internationalmarketsbelieve they“have aresponsibilitytopurchaseproductsthataregoodfortheenvironment andsociety” — 82%inemergingmarkets and42%indevelopedmarkets, accordingtoaGlobeScan/SustainAbility/BBMG survey
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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Reputation§ InaDeloitte studyonthefood&beverage industry,23%of
consumers surveyedchoose oneormoreoftheirshoppingdestinations basedonSocial Impact attributes (suchas safety, social impact, andtransparency)
§ InaJournalofConsumerResearch study,consumers perceive ahigherlevelofproductperformance inproductsfromsustainable companies andsustainabilityinformationhasasignificantly positive impact onconsumers’evaluation ofacompany, which translates intopurchaseintent accordingtoresearchpublishedintheJournalofBusiness Ethics
§ Consumers inapost-recession era areshiftingpurchasingdecisions tobrandswithintegrity,social responsibility,andsustainability attheircore
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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Innovation§ UnitedTechnologies hasanewcommercial jetenginethatcutsfuelburnandcarbondioxideemissionsby16%,slashesthereleaseofparticulates inhalf,anddramatically mufflesengine roar.Foreachplane,thatmeans3,600fewermetric tonsofcarbondioxidegeneratedannually,$1million inannualsavingsonfuel,and500,000fewerairportneighborswhowillheareachtakeoff.
§ UTCspent20yearsand$10billiondevelopingthetechnologyforcommercial aircraft.UTChasreceivedorderstoequip4,100planes,from70customersinmorethan30countries.A GE partnershiphasdevelopedacomparablyefficientconventionalengine,called theLeap.
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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TalentCSRcanincrease employee loyalty,efficiency, andproductivityandimproveHRstatistics related torecruitment, retention,andmorale.
§ Research inthe JournalofOrganizational Behaviorfoundthat 21st century employees arefocusingmoreonmission,purpose,andwork-lifebalance. Companies that invest insustainability initiatives tendtocreate sought-after cultureandengagement duetocompany strategy focusingmoreonpurposeandprovidingvaluetosociety
§ Thesame studyfoundthatcompanies thatadoptedenvironmental standards haveseen a16%increase inproductivity overfirmsthat didnot
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
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IJ H.
TalentCompanies whoembedsustainability incorebusinessstrategytreat employees ascritical stakeholders. Employees are proudtoworkthere andfeel partofa broadereffort.
§ SHRM/BSR/Aurosooya studyfoundthatmoralewas 55%better incompanies withstrongsustainability programs,compared tothosewithpoorones, andemployee loyaltywas38%better
§ Companies withgreater CSRperformance:o Canreduceaverage turnover overtimeby25-50%o Can reduceannualquitrates by3-3.5%, saving
replacement costs upto90%-200% ofanemployee’sannualsalaryforeach retained position
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
AB
C
DEF
G
H
IJ I. Key
InfluencersA study ofthegoldminingindustryintheStrategicManagement Journalfoundthat stakeholder relationscanheavily influence landpermitting, taxation, andtheregulatoryenvironment, thusplayingasubstantial roleindeterminingwhether afirmhastherighttotransformgoldintoshareholdercapital.1
Fromthe abstract: “Weprovidedirect empirical evidenceinsupportofinstrumental stakeholder theory'sargument thatincreasingstakeholder supportenhancesthefinancialvaluationofafirm,holdingconstanttheobjective valuationofthephysicalassets underitscontrol.”2
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
AB
C
DEF
G
H
IJ J. Risk&License to
Operate§ McKinsey reports risk/valueatstake fromsustainability
concerns canbeasahighas70%ofEBIT
§ InaCDP/BSRstudyof8Ksuppliers(to75multinationals):72% saidclimate change riskscouldsignificantly impacttheiroperations, revenue,orexpenditures
§ Companies (eg,Mars,Unilever, Nespresso) invest incertification (eg,Rainforest Alliance)tomitigate risks&helpsuppliersdealwithsustainability challenges. Increasesstability, butalsoimprovesproductivity &NetIncome. AstudyfoundRainforest Alliancecertified cocoa farmersfromCote d’Ivoirehad:o 72% increase inyield/hectareo 257% increase innet income/hectare
INTERNAL ROI EXAMPLES
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
AB
C
DEF
G
H
IJ J. Risk&License to
Operate§ Bunge, reported a$56millionquarterly loss initssugarand
bioenergysegments duetodroughtin2010
§ 2011floodinghurt160Thaitextile cos,halted~1/4ofThailand’s garment production, increasing globalprices by28%
§ Water-related risksthreaten tostrandbillionsformining,oil,&gascompanys. Eg,socialconflict related todisruptionstowater supplies inPeruhasresultedintheindefinite suspensionof$21.5billion inminingprojectssince 2010
§ Thereisalitanyofcompanies whofelldownononeaspectofCSRandhadtheir license tooperate seriouslyimpaired(eg,WellsFargo,Toyota, BP)orlost itcompletely (eg,Enron,Andersen,WaMu)
APPENDIX
Corporate Social
Responsibility
Strategy
I
Environmenta
l
Sustainability
II
Money,
Resources&
Time
III
Ethics&
Transparency
IV
People
(internal)
V
Leveraging
ValueChain
VI
Business
Practices
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY COMPONENTS
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
I
II
IIIIV
V
VI
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
Business
Practices
Environment
al
Sustainability
Money,
Resources&
Time
Ethics &
Transparency
People
(internal)
Leveraging
ValueChain
CSR COMPONENT: ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
Carbon Footprint
GHGEmissions
Waste Water
Pollution Energy
Customers’ Impact
Supply/Value-chain’sImpact
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
Environmental
Sustainability
Money,
Resources&
Time
Ethics&
Transparency
People
(internal)
Leveraging
ValueChain
Business
Practices
CSR COMPONENT: MONEY, RESOURCES & TIME
Strategic Philanthropy
Non-$Resources
GrassrootsVolunteering
Skills-basedVolunteering
Cause Marketing
Strategic Spend
Sponsorships In-kind Giving
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
Money,
Resources&
Time
Ethics &
Transparency
People
(internal)
Leveraging
ValueChain
Business
Practices
Environmental
Responsibility
CSR COMPONENT: ETHICS & TRANSPARENCY
Business Ethics Governance
ReportingSocial&Environmental
Impact
HumanRights
ResponsibleInvesting
Advocacy
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
Ethics&
Transparency
People
(internal)
Leveraging
ValueChain
Business
Practices
Environmental
Responsibility
Money,
Resources&
Time
CSR COMPONENT: PEOPLE (INTERNAL)
Fair Pay & Benefits
Work-LifeBalance
Development &Advancement
Diversity&Inclusion
Employee Health&Safety
Supporting Volunteerism
Employee Assistance
Training
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
People
(internal)
Leveraging
ValueChain
Business
Practices
Environmental
Responsibility
Money,
Resources&
Time
Ethics&
Transparency
CSR COMPONENT: LEVERAGING VALUE CHAIN
B2C Customers B2BCustomers
Suppliers Vendors
Sphere ofInfluence
Competitors
Leading Collaborations
InspiringOthers
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
CorporateSocial
Responsibility
Strategy
Leveraging
ValueChain
Business
Practices
Environmental
Sustainability
Money,
Resources&
Time
Ethics&
Transparency
People
(internal)
CSR COMPONENT: BUSINESS PRACTICES
Loan Portfolio DepositPortfolio
CRA Values-basedProducts
Thisisabouttheimpactofcoreoperations,products andservicesandassuch,variesgreatlybybusiness.Forabankthiscouldinclude towhomandhowtheylend, wheretheylocatebranches,whether theyhelpunbankedpopulations orarepredatory, iftheysupport greenbuilding,etc.
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
TYPES OF MEASURES: MORE SPECIFICALLY
• Eg,inputs,outputs,directoutcomeslikenumberofparticipantsgettingintocollege,dollarssaved,etc.
Direct
Measures
• Eg,thereisno“employeemoralethermometer”tomeasuremorale,buttherearecausallyrelatedmeasuresliketimeliness,attritionandsickdays
Proxy
Measures
• Proxymeasuresalonecanbeimperfect.Individually, timeliness,attritionandsickdaysdon’tmeasuremorale,buttheyhavedifferent“noisepatterns”andtriangulatingthemcancreateagoodindicatorofmorale
Triangulated
Measures
• Therecanbedeeppersuasivepowerinanecdotes.Individualstoriesoftheimpactonpeople,communities,departments,etc.canbeincrediblypotent
Anecdotal
Measures
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
TECHNIQUES FOR GATHERING & ANALYZING DATA
• Sampling:Identifyrepresentativesubgroupsandusedatagatheringtechniques(eg,observationorsurveys)togleandatathatcanbeappliedtothewholegroup
• Census:Collectdatafromanentirepopulation
Sampling&
Census
• Identifyanexisting“longitudinaldivergence”inthepopulation thatyoucanuseasanaturalexperiment―or―designanintentionalexperiment,comparingawell-matchedcontrolgroupandexperimentalgroup
Experiments
• Often,relevantdataisalreadybeingcollected(eg,annualemployeesurveys,anonprofit’sownresearchontheirimpact,datacollectedbygovernmentagenciesandadvocacygroups,etc.)
FoundData
• Regression• BayesianStatistics• DifferenceinDifferencesAnalysis,etc.
Statistical
Analysis
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
KEY MEASUREMENT CHALLENGES & HOW TO OVERCOME
• Manyorganizationslacktheexpertiseandcapacitytomeasureimpact,andoftenfacedemandsforvaryingmetricsfrommultiplestakeholders
• Manycompanieshavelimitedbudgetformeasurement
Capacity/
Resources
• Itappearsdifficulttomeasurethevalueoflesstangiblevariables(eg,morale),butitispossible
• Notmeasuringgivesthemtheonlyvaluethatweabsolutelyknowtheycan‘thave:zero
Intangibility
• Eg,decisionsonhavingmoreefficientdatacentersthatonlylookatthepowercostreductionsmissmostofthebenefit(75%oftheROIisfromrent/spacesavings)
• Unknownrelationships(eg,treecoveragereducescrime)
HiddenValue
• Standardization• SystemsIntegration• Establishing&Refining
NewMetrics
Overcoming
These
Measurement
Challenges
• Triangulation• DataExcavation• Uncovering HiddenValue• Investment&Training
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
KEY MEASUREMENT CHALLENGES & HOW TO OVERCOME
• Itcanbechallengingtoattributespecificimpact• Itcanbedifficulttodemonstratedirectcausality
Attributing
Impact&
Causality
• Manylargerchallenges(eg,persistentpoverty)arecomplexandareinfluencedbyawidesetoffactors(eg,education,transportation,jobavailability,etc.)andactors(government,foundations,nonprofits,etc.)
Complexityof
Challenges
• Toooften,thoseaskedtomeasurearenotinvolvedindesigningthemeasurementandevaluationplanLackofBuyIn
• Makelargerinvestments• Utilizeproxymeasures• Acknowledgeuncertainty
Overcoming
These
Measurement
Challenges
• Finddiscreteindicators• Engageallstakeholders• Fundmeasurement
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
BUILDING EXCELLENCE: KEY SCOPING QUESTIONS
• Whydoyouwanttomeasureandevaluateyourefforts?Confirmation?Improvement?Credibility?Publicity?Whatdoyouwanttoseeinreturn?
Why
• Whatdoyouwanttomeasureandevaluate?Outputsandinputs?Externalimpact?InternalROI?Overallimpactand/orimpactofspecificinitiatives?
What
• Whatdepthofmeasurementdoyouwanttoengageinforeachofthese?Depth
• Howmuchmoney/timedoyouwanttoinvestinmeasurement/evaluation?Investment
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
BUILDING EXCELLENCE: KEY SCOPING QUESTIONS
• Whatareothersimilarcompaniesdoingvis-à-vismeasurement?Doyouwanttoleadorfollow?
Competitive
Benchmarking
• Whatisthecapacityofyourpartnerstohelpyoumeasureyouractivityandimpact?
Partner
Capacity
• Whatareyoualreadymeasuring?Wherecanyou findexistingmeasures(founddata)?Whatisyourcurrentbaseline?
Existing
Measures
• Forallyourexistingdata(andanynewmeasuresyoudecidetocreate),howgoodaretheABCDEs?Availability;Believability;Coverage(broadenough?);Depth (canyoudrilldownfarenough?);Execution
ABCDEs
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
BUILDING EXCELLENCE: KEY STEPS FOR SUCCESS
• Basedontheanswerstothepreviousscopingquestions,buildintothenextstrategicplancomprehensivemeasuresandevaluationalignedwiththeplan’sspecificgoalsandtargets
Building
aPlan
• Startbymeasuringinputsandoutputs• Ifdesired,measureexternalimpactandinternal
ROI• Evaluatethesuccessofyoureffortsagainstgoals
Measuring&
Evaluating
• Usemeasurementandevaluationtoinformstrategyadjustmentsandcontinuousimprovements
• Reportandcommunicateyour resultstransparently
Continuous
Improvement
&Reporting
• RobustmeasurementandevaluationthatdrivesROI(internal&external),supportscontinuousimprovementandhelpscapturecompellingstories
EndGame
© CSR Lab 2010-2016
RESOURCES & LINKS, PAGE 1Resources andLinks:§ TheComprehensive BusinessCaseforSustainability(HBR10.21.16)
1. CreatingSharedValue(HBRJan2011)2. TheGood,theBad,andtheSuccessful–HowCorporateSocialResponsibilityLeadstoCompetitiveAdvantageandOrganizationalTransformation(JournalofChangeManagement2013)3. CSRAnImplementationGuideforBusiness(IISD2007)4. Spinninggold:Thefinancialreturnstostakeholderengagement(StrategicManagementJournal,9.20.2013)5. Profitswithpurpose:Howorganizingforsustainabilitycanbenefitthebottomline(McKinsey,July2014)6. MobilizingSuppliersforClimateResilience:CDP2015-2016SupplyChainReport(BSR,1.25.2016)7. Howcanresiliencepreparecompaniesforenvironmentalandsocialchange?(PWCResilience,AJournalofStrategyandRisk,2014)8. PhysicalRisksFromClimateChange- Aguideforcompaniesandinvestorsondisclosureandmanagementofclimateimpacts(CERES,May2012)9. FromtheStockholdertotheStakeholder:HowSustainabilityCanDriveFinancialOutperformance(Arabesque,March2015)10. RainforestAllianceCertificationOnCocoaFarmsInCôteD’Ivoire(RainforestAlliance,8.6.2012)11. Water shortageshutsCoca-ColaplantinIndia(FinancialTimes,6.19.2014)12. Aworldwithoutwater(FinancialTimes,7.14.2014)13. IsEnvironmentalPerformanceaDeterminantofBondPricing?EvidencefromtheU.S.PulpandPaperandChemicalIndustries(ThomasSchneider,6.27.2011)14. 3M’sSustainabilityInnovationMachine(HBR,AndrewWinston,5.15.2012)15. 3M™Novec™productsaddresstheneedforsafe,sustainableandsmartchemistry- withoutcompromisingworldclassperformance(3m.com)16. GreenGiants:HowSmartCompaniesTurnSustainabilityinto Billion-DollarBusinesses(FreyaWilliams,2015)17. FourYearsofNikeFlyknit(nike.com,2.21.2016)18. Tide+ColdwaterCleanProductPage(tide.com)19. GreenandCompetitive:EndingtheStalemate(HBR,Sept1995)20. McKinseyonSustainability&ResourceProductivity,Number4(McKinsey.com,November2016)21. TheClimateHasChanged:Whybold,lowcarbonactionmakesgoodbusinesssense(WeMeanBusiness,2014)22. Thebusinessofsustainability:McKinseyGlobalSurveyresults(McKinsey,2011)23. GEReducesFreshwaterUse45%(EnvironmentalLeader,4.9.2015)24. Walmart2015GlobalResponsibilityReport
RESOURCES & LINKS, PAGE 2Resources andLinks:§ TheComprehensive BusinessCaseforSustainability(HBR10.21.16)
25. SustainabilityPracticesandCorporateFinancialPerformance:AStudyBasedontheTopGlobalCorporations(JournalBusinessEthics,June2012)26. "Green"Winners:Theperformanceofsustainability-focusedcompaniesduringthefinancialcrisis(atkearney.com,2009)27. ProjectROIReport:DefiningtheCompetitiveandFinancialAdvantagesofCorporateResponsibilityandSustainability(IssueLab - FoundationCenter,7.9.2015)28. Tomorrow’sInvestmentRules2.0:Emergingriskandstrandedassetshaveinvestorslookingformorefromnonfinancialreporting(EY,2015)29. Theconsumerstudy:Frommarketingtomattering:howcompaniescancreategreaterawarenessandtrustinconsumersaroundsustainabilitybyusingthreeimperatives(Accenture,2016)30. UnderWhatConditionsDotheNewsMediaInfluenceCorporateReputation?TheRolesofMediaDependencyandNeedforOrientation(CorporateReputationReview,Jan2010)31. Re:ThinkingConsumption-- ConsumersandtheFutureofSustainability(Globescan,Nov2012)32. Capitalizingontheshiftingconsumerfoodvalueequation(Deloitte,2016)33. DoingWellbyDoingGood:TheBenevolentHaloofCorporateSocialResponsibility(JournalofConsumerResearch,1.21.2015)34. EnvironmentalandEconomicDimensionsofSustainabilityandPriceEffectsonConsumerResponses(JournalofBusinessEthics,Dec 2011)35. SpendShift:HowthePost-CrisisValuesRevolutionisChangingtheWayWeBuy,Sell,andLive(JGerzema,MD'Antonio,2011)36. Unileversays'brandswithpurpose'aregrowingattwicethespeedofothersinportfolio(Campaign,5.5.2015)37. Corporatesocialresponsibilityandconsumers'perceptionofprice(SocialResponsibilityJournal,2010)38. BuyingGreen?FieldExperimentalTestsofConsumerSupportforEnvironmentalism(MITPoliticalScience,May2012)39. 9WaysGEExecutedItsRadicalGreenReinvention(Fastcoexist,12.10.2015)40. Environmentalstandardsandlaborproductivity:Understandingthemechanismsthatsustainsustainability(JournalofOrganizationalBehavior,9.11.2012)41. BuildingaCultureforSustainability:People,Planet,andProfitsinaNewGreenEconomy(JeanaWirtenberg,Jan2014)42. AdvancingSustainability:HR’sRole.AResearchReportbytheSocietyforHumanResourceManagement,BSRandAurosoorya (2011)43. CSRasaDriverofEmployeeEngagement(CBSRBlog,3BL,5.18.2012)44. Corporatesocialresponsibilityandlaborturnover(CorporateGovernance:Theinternationaljournalofbusinessinsociety,2010)45. RetainingTalent:AGuidetoAnalyzingandManagingEmployeeTurnover(SHRMFoundation,2008)
RESOURCES & LINKS, PAGE 3Resources andLinks:§ https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015/transformingourworld§ AcceleratingAction:CDPGlobalWaterReport2015§ https://www.accenture.com/us-en/insight-ungc-sustainable-development-goals§ https://www.accenture.com/us-en/insight-un-global-compact-ceo-study§ https://www.accenture.com/us-en/insight-ungc-valuing-sustainability§ https://www.accenture.com/t20160920T213357__w__/us-en/_acnmedia/Accenture/next-gen-2/insight-ungc-ceo-study-page/Accenture-UN-Global-Compact-Accenture-Strategy-CEO-Study-
2016.pdf#zoom=50§ https://www.basf.com/en/company/sustainability/management-and-instruments/sustainable-solution-steering.html§ https://www.cdp.net/en/articles/climate/walmarts-science-based-target-a-game-changer§ http://www.cbsnews.com/news/walmarts-big-green-bet-local-produce-locavore-sustainable-goods-human-dignity-workers/§ http://news.walmart.com/2016/11/04/walmart-offers-new-vision-for-the-companys-role-in-society§ McKinsey-- Profitswithpurpose:Howorganizingforsustainabilitycanbenefitthebottomline§ http://www.sustainablebrands.com/news_and_views/waste_not/sustainable_brands/dupont_pg_now_powering_tide_cold_water_laundry_detergent§ http://us.pg.com/sustainability/environmental-sustainability/brand-efforts§ https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/prahalad-base-bottom-pyramid-profit-poor§ http://csr.cisco.com/casestudy/networking-academy§ http://www.cisco.com/assets/csr/pdf/NetAcad_Exec_Brief.pdf§ http://www.unesco.org/education/hed/quality/h_muraj.pdf§ http://www.3m.com/3M/en_US/sustainability-us/goals-progress/§ http://www.3m.com/3M/en_US/sustainability-report/goals-and-results/§ https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Meet-the-Optimistic-Entrepreneurs-Serving-the-Energy-Poor-in-Africa§ http://beta.fortune.com/change-the-world/?iid=sr-link1§ http://fortune.com/2016/08/18/change-world-companies-profit/?iid=recirc_ctwlanding-zone2§ http://fortune.com/2016/08/18/change-the-world-essay/?iid=recirc_ctwlanding-zone2
Sustainability Risk and Enterprise Risk Management: Impact on Valuation Estimates
Decision Analysis
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA ! All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Agenda(risk and value)
✔ Scenario Analysis
✔ Catastrophic Risk
✔ Prevention Activities
✔ Response Activities
What is the color of the energy storage batteries on the international space station?
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Scenario Analysis(cash flows)
The sum of the discounted future cash flows of an investment
opportunity is $100.
If Irving Fisher were alive today, what valuation would he assign to
this opportunity?
Fisher (1867 – 1947) first formalized the NPV formula in his 1907 classic text “The Rate Of Interest.” He also gained infamy for his 1929 pre-crash assertion that the stock market had
reached “a permanently high plateau.”
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Scenario Analysis(single value scenario)
The U.S. Coast Guard conducted “controlled burns” during the Deepwater Horizon crisis.
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
100% $100 $100
How would the assessment of a 10% risk of a catastrophic event with a scenario value of negative
$800 affect your decision?
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Catastrophic Risk(single risk scenario)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
90% $100 $90
10% ($800) ($80)
$10
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Vladimir Lenin (1870 – 1924) was the first national leader in history to nationalize energy assets during a time of extreme social instability.
How would the assessment of an independent 1% risk of a
catastrophic event with a scenario value of negative $5,000 affect your
decision?
Catastrophic Risk(double risk scenario)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
89% $100 $89
10% ($800) ($80)
1% ($5,000) ($50)
($41)
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
The Exxon Valdez oil spill hastened the advent of double hull design technologies.
What if existing preventive control technology can reduce the 10%
scenario to 9%? What if that control costs $10?
Prevention Activities(existing technology)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
90% $90 $81
9% ($810) ($73)
1% ($5,010) ($50)
($42)
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
Advanced sensors can automate the nuclear plant shutdown process.
What if new preventive control technology can reduce the 10%
scenario to 4%? What if that control costs $15?
Prevention Activities(new technology)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
95% $85 $81
4% ($815) ($33)
1% ($5,015) ($50)
($2)
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
World Trade Center reconstruction lagged for years while insurers debated whether the insurable event constituted one event or two.
What if a “political event” insurance policy can improve the value loss of the 1% scenario to $5? What if the
policy premium costs $40?
Response Activities(insurance)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
95% $45 $43
4% ($855) ($34)
1% ($35) ($0)
$9
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
“Chairman Mao is the great savior of the revolutionary peoples of the world.”
What if a series of social investments are made in place of the insurance policy?
What if these investments only cost $10, but only improve the scenario value to negative
$1,000?
Response Activities(social investments)
ScenarioProbability
ScenarioValue
ExpectedValue
95% $75 $71
4% ($825) ($33)
1% ($1,010) ($10)
$28
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law
How badly would we have misjudged the expected value of the investment opportunity without this decision analysis involving risk?
Content Credits(thank you, wikipedia!)
With the exception of the images that are included in this slide set, all rights to the intellectual content are reserved by Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA.
All images that have been included in this slide set are available for public use, in accordance with the terms and conditions that are described on the following web pages:
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ISS_impact_risk.jpg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Irvingfisher.jpg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Defense.gov_photo_essay_100506-N-6070S-346.jpg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Lenin_CL.jpg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Exval.jpeg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Reactor_shutdown_xe_chart_en.png.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Twin_Towers-NYC.jpg.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World_revolution1.jpg.
Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA All Rights Reserved Under Copyright Law