40
Adam Ireland Ani Satchcroft Ben Mayson (NZ) Malte Janzarik NEW ZEALAND‘S MARINE CLUSTER May 8, 2009

Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

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Brief presentation on the New Zealand Marine Industry

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Page 1: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Adam Ireland

Ani Satchcroft

Ben Mayson (NZ)

Malte Janzarik

NEW ZEALANDlsquoS MARINE CLUSTER

May 8 2009

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

China

NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people

(Fun) FactshellipLocatedhellip nowhere

Population

bull Human 42m

bull Sheep 401m

Prosperity

bull Think S Korea or Israel

bull GDP per capita $29220

Economic Drivers

bull Dairy Meat Forestry Fishing

National lsquoiconsrsquo

Auckland (pop 13m)

Wellington (capital pop 400k)

Christchurch (pop 400k)

Australia

Distance (by air) from

bull Sydney ndash 3 hrs

bull Singapore ndash 10 hrs

bull Los Angeles ndash 13 hrs

bull London ndash 23 hrs

Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment

Source OECD EIU

Real GDP ( chg)

Participation Rate ()

Population Growth ()

Labour Productivity ( chg)

Real GDP pc ( chg)

Employment Growth ()

Unemployment Rate ()

Employment gains are positive however little progress has been made on the more important driver of economic progress labour productivity

Economic Performance Drivers of Real GDP per capita

-4-20246

1986 1992 1998 2004

-202468

1986 1992 1998 2004

0

1

2

3

1986 1992 1998 2004

-4

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

6264666870

1986 1992 1998 2004

02468

1012

1986 1992 1998 2004

x-

-

Average pa growthbull lsquo86-96 10bull lsquo97-07 21

UKAustralia

Canada

GermanyFranceJapan

GreeceNZKorea

MexicoPolandTurkey

USIreland

Norway

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 30 50 70 90

Labour productivity low by international standards

Source OECD

hellipWith No Sign NZ Is Closing The Gap

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Period 83-87 88-92 93-97 98-02 03-07

Average 12 18 11 18 10

Cha

nge

in la

bour

pro

duct

ivity

( p

a)

Average (83-07)

NZ

G7Australia

NZ is lagging its OECD peers in terms of prosperity due its low labour productivity

GDP per hour worked (US$hour)

GD

P pe

r cap

ita

(US$

rsquo000

PPP

)

OECD average ($32664)

$4030hour

Low Labour Productivityhellip

Labour Productivity vs GDP per capita (PPP) 2007

Labour Productivity Growth 1983-2007

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 2: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

China

NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people

(Fun) FactshellipLocatedhellip nowhere

Population

bull Human 42m

bull Sheep 401m

Prosperity

bull Think S Korea or Israel

bull GDP per capita $29220

Economic Drivers

bull Dairy Meat Forestry Fishing

National lsquoiconsrsquo

Auckland (pop 13m)

Wellington (capital pop 400k)

Christchurch (pop 400k)

Australia

Distance (by air) from

bull Sydney ndash 3 hrs

bull Singapore ndash 10 hrs

bull Los Angeles ndash 13 hrs

bull London ndash 23 hrs

Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment

Source OECD EIU

Real GDP ( chg)

Participation Rate ()

Population Growth ()

Labour Productivity ( chg)

Real GDP pc ( chg)

Employment Growth ()

Unemployment Rate ()

Employment gains are positive however little progress has been made on the more important driver of economic progress labour productivity

Economic Performance Drivers of Real GDP per capita

-4-20246

1986 1992 1998 2004

-202468

1986 1992 1998 2004

0

1

2

3

1986 1992 1998 2004

-4

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

6264666870

1986 1992 1998 2004

02468

1012

1986 1992 1998 2004

x-

-

Average pa growthbull lsquo86-96 10bull lsquo97-07 21

UKAustralia

Canada

GermanyFranceJapan

GreeceNZKorea

MexicoPolandTurkey

USIreland

Norway

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 30 50 70 90

Labour productivity low by international standards

Source OECD

hellipWith No Sign NZ Is Closing The Gap

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Period 83-87 88-92 93-97 98-02 03-07

Average 12 18 11 18 10

Cha

nge

in la

bour

pro

duct

ivity

( p

a)

Average (83-07)

NZ

G7Australia

NZ is lagging its OECD peers in terms of prosperity due its low labour productivity

GDP per hour worked (US$hour)

GD

P pe

r cap

ita

(US$

rsquo000

PPP

)

OECD average ($32664)

$4030hour

Low Labour Productivityhellip

Labour Productivity vs GDP per capita (PPP) 2007

Labour Productivity Growth 1983-2007

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 3: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

China

NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people

(Fun) FactshellipLocatedhellip nowhere

Population

bull Human 42m

bull Sheep 401m

Prosperity

bull Think S Korea or Israel

bull GDP per capita $29220

Economic Drivers

bull Dairy Meat Forestry Fishing

National lsquoiconsrsquo

Auckland (pop 13m)

Wellington (capital pop 400k)

Christchurch (pop 400k)

Australia

Distance (by air) from

bull Sydney ndash 3 hrs

bull Singapore ndash 10 hrs

bull Los Angeles ndash 13 hrs

bull London ndash 23 hrs

Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment

Source OECD EIU

Real GDP ( chg)

Participation Rate ()

Population Growth ()

Labour Productivity ( chg)

Real GDP pc ( chg)

Employment Growth ()

Unemployment Rate ()

Employment gains are positive however little progress has been made on the more important driver of economic progress labour productivity

Economic Performance Drivers of Real GDP per capita

-4-20246

1986 1992 1998 2004

-202468

1986 1992 1998 2004

0

1

2

3

1986 1992 1998 2004

-4

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

6264666870

1986 1992 1998 2004

02468

1012

1986 1992 1998 2004

x-

-

Average pa growthbull lsquo86-96 10bull lsquo97-07 21

UKAustralia

Canada

GermanyFranceJapan

GreeceNZKorea

MexicoPolandTurkey

USIreland

Norway

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 30 50 70 90

Labour productivity low by international standards

Source OECD

hellipWith No Sign NZ Is Closing The Gap

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Period 83-87 88-92 93-97 98-02 03-07

Average 12 18 11 18 10

Cha

nge

in la

bour

pro

duct

ivity

( p

a)

Average (83-07)

NZ

G7Australia

NZ is lagging its OECD peers in terms of prosperity due its low labour productivity

GDP per hour worked (US$hour)

GD

P pe

r cap

ita

(US$

rsquo000

PPP

)

OECD average ($32664)

$4030hour

Low Labour Productivityhellip

Labour Productivity vs GDP per capita (PPP) 2007

Labour Productivity Growth 1983-2007

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 4: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment

Source OECD EIU

Real GDP ( chg)

Participation Rate ()

Population Growth ()

Labour Productivity ( chg)

Real GDP pc ( chg)

Employment Growth ()

Unemployment Rate ()

Employment gains are positive however little progress has been made on the more important driver of economic progress labour productivity

Economic Performance Drivers of Real GDP per capita

-4-20246

1986 1992 1998 2004

-202468

1986 1992 1998 2004

0

1

2

3

1986 1992 1998 2004

-4

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

-2

0

2

4

1986 1992 1998 2004

6264666870

1986 1992 1998 2004

02468

1012

1986 1992 1998 2004

x-

-

Average pa growthbull lsquo86-96 10bull lsquo97-07 21

UKAustralia

Canada

GermanyFranceJapan

GreeceNZKorea

MexicoPolandTurkey

USIreland

Norway

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 30 50 70 90

Labour productivity low by international standards

Source OECD

hellipWith No Sign NZ Is Closing The Gap

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Period 83-87 88-92 93-97 98-02 03-07

Average 12 18 11 18 10

Cha

nge

in la

bour

pro

duct

ivity

( p

a)

Average (83-07)

NZ

G7Australia

NZ is lagging its OECD peers in terms of prosperity due its low labour productivity

GDP per hour worked (US$hour)

GD

P pe

r cap

ita

(US$

rsquo000

PPP

)

OECD average ($32664)

$4030hour

Low Labour Productivityhellip

Labour Productivity vs GDP per capita (PPP) 2007

Labour Productivity Growth 1983-2007

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 5: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

UKAustralia

Canada

GermanyFranceJapan

GreeceNZKorea

MexicoPolandTurkey

USIreland

Norway

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 30 50 70 90

Labour productivity low by international standards

Source OECD

hellipWith No Sign NZ Is Closing The Gap

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Period 83-87 88-92 93-97 98-02 03-07

Average 12 18 11 18 10

Cha

nge

in la

bour

pro

duct

ivity

( p

a)

Average (83-07)

NZ

G7Australia

NZ is lagging its OECD peers in terms of prosperity due its low labour productivity

GDP per hour worked (US$hour)

GD

P pe

r cap

ita

(US$

rsquo000

PPP

)

OECD average ($32664)

$4030hour

Low Labour Productivityhellip

Labour Productivity vs GDP per capita (PPP) 2007

Labour Productivity Growth 1983-2007

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 6: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives

New Zealand National Endowments

x

bull lsquoClean and greenrsquo image (perception and reality)

bull Good climate for agriculture

bull Southern Hemisphere location provides off-season growing opportunities in serving Northern Hemisphere markets

bull High rainfall and Southern Alps snowmelt provide good conditions for inexpensive Hydro-power (70 of electricity supply)

bull Large ocean territory 7th largest exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the world

bull Huge distance to markets particularly the most attractive (Europe US)

bull Tiny population low density

bull Unlike Australia for example NZ has few significant natural resource deposits (minerals oil etc)

Favorablehellip Not so Favorablehellip

Note Marine specific endowments addressed elsewhere

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 7: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

A mixed macroeconomic report card

Source OECD EIU

Macroeconomic Performance Overview

0

5

10

15

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Low inflation since mid 1980s

CPI ( change pa)

05

10152025

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Long-Term Bond Yield () x

-15

-10

-5

01983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Current Account ( of GDP) x

10

15

20

25

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Exchange rate (NZDUSD mthly avg) x

0

2

4

6

8

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

FDI ( of GDP) x

20

30

40

1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

ExportsImports

Internationalisation of economy

Imports and Exports ( GDP)

Decreasing over time

High versus OECD peers Volatile Currency

Persistent current account deficits

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 8: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Strong business-friendly national institutionsInternationally Ranked(1)

(1) Heritage Foundation 2009 Index of Economic Freedom this is another source in addition to the GCR which tells a similar story (highlights can be found in the backup section of the presentation)

Stable Politics

bull Multi-party moderate

Robust Anti-Trust

bull Com Commission

Independent Central Bank

bull Pure Inflation mandate

Universities

bull 5 universities in top 500 (global)

Labour Policy

bull Weak unions good flexibility

Non-distortive Export Support

bull NZTE

Sensible Trade

bull Low Tariffs (27)

bull FTA China Singapore Thailand Chile Australia ASEAN (coming)

Health Care

bull Cost-effective

bull Ban on litigation for personal injury

Efficient Legal System

Free Capital Flows

Institutional Highlights

bull High Taxes Big Govt

bull 30 corporate 39 top income bracket

bull Govt 40 of GDP

bull Underdevelopedshallow capital markets

bull Prevalence of SOEs

bull Restrictions on Foreign Capital (land telco airline)

Weak Spots()

Low Corruption

bull Ranked 1

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 9: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

High quality human capital but not enough of it

Strong HDIhellipPartial Offset

From Immigration

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 NZ

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

bull NZ is 19th in the world in human development

bull Citizens enjoy long healthy lives excellent education access and high standards of living

But People Leavehellip

bull 87000 permanent migrants in 2007

bull 10100 in net migrationbull 24 on work

permits

bull Government Policybull Focus on certain

categories - skilled Migrant Policy and Active Investor Migrant category

bull Source countriesbull UK (26)bull China (12)bull India (9) bull South Africa (8)

Source Human Development Index (UNDP) OECD

Human capital is a strength although retention seems to be an issue

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 10: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics

Overall GCI vs GDP pc

GDP pc log scale

High GCI

GCI Ranking

Low GCI

Macro (MP) vs hellip

Institutions (SIPI) vs hellip Micro (MICRO) vs hellip

NZrsquos prosperity lags peers with comparable GCIs Is NZrsquos microeconomic environment the reason for this disparity

GDP pc log scale

High SIPILow SIPI High MICROLow MICRO

High MPLow MP

GDP pc log scale

GDP pc log scale

NZ

NZ

NZ

NZ

Note GCI = (Overall) Global Competitiveness Index SIPI = Social and Political Infrastructure MP = Competitiveness of Macroeconomic Policy MICRO = Microeconomic competitiveness Source Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness

Estonia

Ireland

US

S Korea

US

US

US

Estonia

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 11: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

New Zealand National Diamond

+ Low trade barriers+ Flexible labour policies+ Strong antitrust + Good investor protection

- Lack of rivalryintensity- ldquoKiwirdquo lifestyle = leisure-focused- Job securitysafety net valued- Low foreign ownership and international tech transfer

+ Brand NZ clean and green+ Low levels of bureaucracy+ Strong primsec education + Easy to start a business

- Brain drain - Low foreign language skills- Lack of scientistsengineers- Weak RampDinnovation- Infra gaps (roads rail telco)- Weak capital markets

+ Awareness of the need for cluster development+ Efforts to push cluster policy to a regional level

- Weak clusters- Few specialized input suppliers high reliance on imported inputs

+ National passions have driven key international successes eg sport

- Historic trade relationship with UK led to a focus on primary products- Demand seldom drives innovation or anticipates trends- Govt procurement not advanced

x

x

x

x

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 12: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture

-05 -03 -01 01 03

NZ Exports Portfolio By Cluster 1997-2007

Share Of World Exports 2007 ()

Change in Nationrsquos Share Of Exports ( 1997-2007)

Processed Food (Dairy)

Agri Product (Meat)

Tourism

Fishing

FurnitureForestry

Two of NZrsquos key clusters dairy and tourism are doing well however majority of other clusters are losing ground

Marine(1)

(1) Relative position of the marine cluster estimated based on data we have collected and interviews conducted the International Cluster Analysis definition includes commercial shipbuilding which distorts the true position of NZrsquos marine cluster which focuses on boats for private use

Communications

25

20

15

05

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 13: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challengesIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Alleviate Factor

Bottlenecks

Mitigate Distance

Encourage Investment

Institute a New Cluster Programme

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Lack of successful clustersbull Lack of strategy at a cluster levelbull Lack of collaborationbull Lack of effective cluster policy

bull Low labour productivitybull Lack of capital intensitybull Lack of investment (domesticFDI)bull Low savings rates

bull Barriers to lsquoeasyrsquo tradebull Inefficiencies at NZrsquos portsbull Inability of NZ firms to

internationalize

bull Weak infrastructure electricity roads rail telco

bull Human capital gaps

bull Infrastructure spendbull Skilled immigration bull Graduate retentionbull Tertiary education reform

bull New cluster policybull More $$ more focusedbull Private sector drivenbull Collaborative Decentralized

bull Kiwisaver compulsorybull Tax reform propertybull FDI policy reform

bull Privatize all portsbull Streamline customsbull Open skiesbull Focused help from NZTE

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 14: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Contents

New Zealand

Marine Cluster

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 15: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip

Major Segments In The Cluster Recent Cluster Performance

2003 2005 2006 2008

Superyachts

Total Sales (NZ$m)

Imports ()

Exports ()

Size total sales (NZ$m)

ImpExp ( of Sales)

Superyachts Racing Yachts

Trailer BoatsLaunches

InflatablesRHIBs

RefitMaintenance Other Services

Equipment

(1) Segmentation and data as per the New Zealand Marine Industry Association NZ$19B equivalent to US$11B at current exchange rate of 0567US$ per NZ$

bull Sails masts winches electronics interiorshellip

bull Sail

bull For competition

bull gt25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 8-25m

bull Sail or Motor

bull 3-8m

bull Motor

bull Inflatable

bull Motor

bull Repair facilities

bull Fuel marinas insurance charters retailinghellip

Equipment

SuperyachtsLaunches

Inflatables

Other

Trailer Boats

Racing

Refit

CAGR (03-08)

6

417

2

15

(3)

5

101366

1548 16411905

Racing Yachts

LaunchesRefit

Inflatables

Trailer BoatsOther

50

50

Equipment

Most internationally competitive segments

100

7Total

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 16: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions

NZ Marine Industry Activity

West Park Marina (3 in Auckland)

Gulf Harbour Marina (2 in Auckland)

Hobsonville

Westhaven Marina (1 in Auckland)Alloy

Yachts

Wynyard Point

Evidence of other Marine ActivitySuperYacht Mfg Marinas

Auckland Cluster (examples)

(1) Remaining 8 of activity not marked occurs across a variety of smaller regions

Source New Zealand Marine Industry Survey 2005 Googlemaps

Christchurch

Wellington

Bay of Plenty

Northland

Auckland

9

6

4

5Waikato

4

58

x of NZ Marine Industry Activity (2005)(1) Evidence of agglomeration even within parts of Auckland

3Taranaki

3 Otago

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 17: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Long-term outlook looks goodhellip although current economic conditions obviously taking a toll (lsquo09 forecast to be down 50)

bull US and Europe are largest end-markets (an estimated 90 of end-market demand) US market more penetrated and lower growth

bull Market is fragmented largest player (Brunswick US) has 14 global share in boat building

bull Bifurcated market cost price increasingly important for lowermid segment (increased standardization) but less so for higher end (custom yachts)

Global Market Size and Growth Global Market Key Features

bull The global pleasure craft market = US$18B

bull Growth of around 5 per annum on a value basis between 1997 and 2007

ndash Superyachts fastest growing

bull Volume growth has been steady since 1970 with some cyclicality Real value growth driven by increasing average boat size

The cluster competes in a global market that has recorded solid growthhellip strongest gains at the top-end

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 18: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

ItalyFerretti 7Azimt Benetti 6Cantiere 1Aicon 1FIPA lt1Perini Navi lt1

FranceBeneteau 6Rodriguez 3Couach lt1Dufour lt1

UKSunseeker 3Princess 2Fairline 2

GermanyBavaria 2Hanse 1Luerssen lt1

DenmarkDanish Yacht lt1

SwedenHallberg Rassy lt1

SloveniaElan Marine lt1

CroatiaElan lt1Lagoon lt1

New ZealandAlloy Yachts lt1Cookson lt1Fitzroy Yachts lt1Yachting Dev lt1

AustraliaAzzura Yachts lt1Seawind lt1Jarkan lt1

ChinaHolland Custom Yachts lt1

TaiwanHorizon Yacht lt1

TurkeyAegean lt1

NetherlandsRoyal Huisman lt1Feadship lt1

USBrunswick 14Genmar 5Catalina 1Hunter 1

NZ is very much a niche player on the global stage

Global Recreational Boat Building Firms ndashmarket shares

Largest firms located in Italy France and US

Source ODDO Equity Research June 2008 MoC team estimates

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 19: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Superyacht Market Data

(1) Of orders made in top 10 manufacturing countries Note of the 916 superyachts ordered in 2008 60 were sailing yachts

Source Showboats International

bull Superyacht orders have grown each year for last 10 years ndash although for 2009 global order intake down about 50

bull Largest categories (61m+) have seen the rapid growth (gtUS$1m per meter to build)

bull Italy dominates the sectorbull Growing share for Taiwan Turkey China

bull NZ is 10th largest superyacht builder bull 3 in sailing superyachts (estimate 15 global

market share)ndash Particularly strong in racing yachts

bull NZ focuses almost exclusively on custom-built yachts very little activity in lsquoproduction yachtsrsquo

bull World-renowned for qualityndash NZrsquos largest superyacht manufacturer Alloy

Yachts has won 19 international awards since 1991

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

24-27m

27-30m30-37m

61-76m

37-46m

76m+

46-61m

CAGR (03-08)

14

18

2612

16

16

14

9

480

of Orders By Size

507652 688

777916

of Orders By Location(1)

The Global Superyacht Market

New Zealandrsquos Position

46

121096

11

Italy

US

NetherlandsGermanyTaiwanUKOtherNew Zealand (16)

NZ highly ranked within lucrative superyacht segment

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 20: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Institutions for collaboration

The NZ cluster centres on boat building

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

Super Yachts

Racing Yachts

Trailer Boats

Launches amp Yachts

Inflatables

Refit amp Maintenance

Marine Events

Boating Consumables amp Other Services

Marinas

Boat Building

Downstream

Upstream

Significant ExportsLimited Exports

Related Clusters

Tourism

Fishing Commercial

Boats

Government Institutions

bull Trade Promotion (NZTE)bull Local Government (ARC)bull Universities (Auckland)bull Industrial Research Ltd

bull Industry Assoc (MIA)bull Export Group (NZ Marine)bull Training Org (BITO)

Yacht Management

Sails amp Rigging

Electronics

Interiors

Masts amp Winches

Other Services (eg Finance)

Composites

Other Equipment

Design

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 21: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Support provided by public and private institutions for collaboration

(1) BITO is a division of the Marine Industry Association NZ Marine is a separate organization but shares facilities with the MIA

(2) AucklandPlus the economic development arm of the ARC is overseeing the Hobsonville marine precinct and the marine sector feasibility study

Key Institutions NZ Marine Cluster

Marine Industry

Association

NZ Marine

Boating Industry

Training Org

NZ Trade amp Enterprise

Auckland Regional Council

Institutions For Collaboration Government Institutions

bull 500+ members 50 of industrybull Fees $400-$1200 per firmbull Data collection on industrybull Newsletter on industrybull Fosters collaboration at sub-

cluster (eg CPC standards scheme for trailer boats)

bull Provides lsquobusinessrsquo workshops

bull Represents Exportersbull 100 members 85 of exportsbull Runs ldquoYacht visionrdquo 1st int

conference for yacht designersbull Assists at global boat shows

other exporter opportunities (eg Millennium Cup)

bull Administers Marine Apprenticeship scheme (600 currently ~100 graduates pa)

bull 75 government funded

bull Local government authoritybull Regional development strategybull Infrastructurezoning issuesbull Two cluster specific initiatives(2)

bull Support for NZ Exportersbull Global network of officesbull Formerly responsible for

overseeing NZ cluster policy

Auckland University

Industrial Research

Ltd

Closely linked(1)

bull Yacht Research Unitbull Centre for Advanced Composite

Materials (CACM)

bull Government funded RampD entitybull collaboration with Marine firms

(eg in composites)

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 22: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

1995bull Team New

Zealand win Americarsquos Cup

2000bull Americarsquos Cup held in

Auckland Team New Zealand successfully defend title

2003bull Auckland again hosts

Americarsquos Cup Team New Zealand loses to Alinghi skippered by a New Zealander

1984bull NZ wins 2 gold and

1 bronze medal at Los Angeles Olympics ndash first medals for 20 years

1987 bull NZ launches 1st

Americas Cup bid when event is hosted in Australia after Australiarsquos win in lsquo83

1990 1993bull NZ wins

Whitbread Round the World race (and wins again in 1993)

Competitive Sailing Milestones

History of cluster closely aligned with competitive sailing achievements and major yachting events

1992bull Alloy Yachts

wins New Zealandrsquos first Show Boats International Award for Super Yachts

1991bull Southern

Spars produce their first carbon fiber spar

2003bull 8 out of 10

Americarsquos Cup syndicates use Southern Spars rigs

1986 bull High Modulus

instrumental in developing composites for New Zealandrsquos first Americarsquos Cup challenge

2000bull Millennium

Cup launched in Auckland to showcase New Zealand Super Yachts

1979bull High

Modulus founded as surfboard mnfcturer

1987bull Alloy

Yachts founded

2006bull Southern

Spars merge with largest NZ competitor ndash Marten Spars

1996bull MIA (est 1965)

takes out office space and employs 1st

professional officers

1994bull Inaugural lsquoYacht

Visionrsquo run by NZ Marine

Industry Milestones

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 23: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

All parts of the diamond contributing to successhellip however key fragilities also evident

Context for Firm Strategy and

Rivalry

Factor (Input) Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

The New Zealand Marine Cluster

+ Many firms (gt1000)+ Significant differentiation+ IFCs present+ Govt support for cluster

- Small of well-known firms- Highly fragmented sub-scale- Lack of ambitionrisk-taking- Reluctance to invest- Lack of business acumen

+ Skilled workforce

- Brain drain- Skills shortages- Infrastructurezoning issues

+ Commercial boatsfishing+ Tourism

- Weak capital markets- Cluster gaps (eg engines advanced raw materials)

+ Skilled sailors+ Competitive sailing success+ Highest boat ownership in world+ Safety quality standards

- Tiny local market overall- Negligible local mkt at high end- Loss of global marine events

x

x

x

x

Endowments - Distance from major European markets+ High quality harbors+ Friendly climate for boating+ S Hemisphere (counter cyclical for refit)

x

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 24: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Four main recommendations to help upgrade the clusterIssues Being Addressed More Detail On Actions

Move Beyond Custom Boats

Expand into New Areas

Consolidate amp Collaborate

Expand on Strengths

Recommendations

1

2

3

4

bull Gains to be made by sharing existing expertise

bull Success stories that can be replicated

bull Extreme fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturingbull Lack of business skills bull Lack of investment duplication

bull Capabilities exist that could have applications outside of marine cluster

bull Cluster is relatively narrow in scopebull Long-run potential of custom niche is

capped (small market)bull Custom capabilities (eg brand) can

translate into production market

bull Govt support to upgrade demandbull Broader scopemandate ambition for MIAbull Increase MIA membershipbull Focus expansion on high valuefreight areas

bull Consolidate the industry (fewer larger firms)bull lsquoStep-changersquo in collaboration championed

by MIA and industry leadersbull Address availability of financingbull Actively seek out FDI

For a more comprehensive understanding of all the major issues and recommendations please see the full written report

bull Leading firms encouraged to diversify activities (including offshore investments)

bull Govt matching of investments that broaden scope of cluster into lsquorelatedrsquo industries

bull Actively seek out FDI JVs

bull lsquoOpen mindsrsquo to the possibility of production manufacturing out of NZ

bull Leading firms to leverage custom capabilities into production manufacturing

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 25: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Howeverhellipbull Key macro weaknesses and major

deficiencies within the national diamond are inhibiting the growth of New Zealandrsquos marine cluster and the wider economy ndash many of these problems are too large for individual actorshellip strong leadership and collaboration will be necessary if they are to be overcome

Main Conclusions

bull The New Zealand marine cluster has overcome geographic distance from key markets to become world-class within some niche high value-add sectors

bull These successes need to be leveraged to build competitiveness across the entire cluster and further develop supporting supplier industries

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 26: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

26

Supporting Analysis

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 27: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

27

Extensive consultation with the industry

Interviews Conducted

bull NZ Macro Data (lsquo85-rsquo09)

bull Marine Industry Data (lsquo03-rsquo08)

bull Global Data (various)

bull Other varioushellip

Data Collected

bull Seventeen interviews conducted

bull To promote free and frank dialogue we opted to keep the identity of our interviewees anonymous

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 28: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Issues we observed New Zealand

Geographic isolation

Currency (NZ$) volatility

Lagging labour productivity

Underdeveloped private sector cluster policy

Underdeveloped capital markets

Attracting FDI promoting outward investment

Brain drain

Weak basic infrastructure

Key Challenges Facing New Zealand

1

2

3

4

5

6

Macro

Micro

Endowment

Potential Solutions

7

8

bull More aggressive creative efforts to bridge the gap

bull Focus on diversifying economy

bull More vocational training linked to cluster policies

bull Launch a new cluster policy correcting for previous failures

bull Bolster Kiwisaver schemebull Eliminate tax distortions property

bull Remove tax disincentivesbull Lift managerial talent bull Link with cluster policy

bull Lift skilled immigrationbull Leverage skilled diaspora

bull Upgrade roads rail telco

Backup

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 29: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Strengths we observed Marine cluster

Macro

Micro

Open economy flexible labour policybull Resources focused on genuinely competitive niches

firms can more easily hire and fire as needed

Competitive sailing expertise and successbull Brand champions for NZ

Local demand conditionsbull Boat ownership supports clusterrsquos critical mass even if

product is imported and high-end demand is absent

A few world-class firmsbull Alloy Yachts Southern Spars and a few other

world-class firms (superyachts equipcomponents)

Pockets of real innovation

Skilled (and relatively cheap) labour force

Core Strengths Of The Cluster

1

2

3

4

5

Opportunities

bull Continued support for competitive sailing leverage this for the cluster

bull Actively seek out marine events

bull Lift competitiveness of sectors that serve local demand step-change in consolidation or cooperation

bull Best practice sharingbull Encourage more foreign leaders in

the industry to relocate to NZ and local firms to grow international connections

bull Coordinated effort to leverage these capabilities beyond marine eg wind farms aerospace

bull Bolster apprenticeship training schemes (rsquos quality consistency)

6

Backup

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 30: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

Issues we observed Marine cluster

Geographic isolation

Industry fragmentationbull Sub-scale manufacturing capital access lack of

business skills RampD vulnerability to business cycle

Limited to custom boats low volume production

Skills shortages skills retentionbull Management and commercial skills particularly lacking

Underdevelopedshallow supporting industriesbull Capital markets

Infrastructure uncertaintiesbull Debates about zoning and competing land use have

delayed development in key industry locations

Key Challenges Facing The Cluster

1

2

4

5

6

Micro

Endowment

Coordinated response required led by industry and strongest firms supported by government at all levels

bull Satellite sales offices web techbull Offshore manufacturing bull Links with tourism

bull More aggressive collaboration push among smaller firms expand scope

bull Consolidation

bull Supplement custom with production manufacturing eg utilize superyacht capabilities to enter yachtslaunches market

bull Step-change in apprenticeship rsquosbull lsquoA call homersquo to NZers overseas

bull Dialogue with local banksbull Seek FDI from foreign clusters

bull Develop plan beyond Hobsonville strong leadership and clear vision

Potential Solutions

3

Backup

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 31: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

31

Overall Ranking = 19

Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Number of procedures required to start a business Protection of minority shareholdersrsquo interests Doing Business Getting Credit Legal rights index (WB ) Internet users per 100 population Ease of starting a new business (Low) Burden of customs procedures Doing Business Paying Taxes (Low) Payments number (WB) Soundness of banks Tertiary enrollment Regulation of securities exchanges Domestic credit to private sector Quality of math and science education (Low) Time required to start a business Quality of air transport infrastructure Personal computers per 100 population Quality of port infrastructure Internet access in schools Ease of access to loans Quality of the educational system Venture capital availability (Low) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Brain drain Availability of scientists and engineers Quality of electricity supply Quality of domestic transport network businessQuality of telephone infrastructure Quality of railroad infrastructure Quality of roads Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 population Financial market sophistication Financing through local equity market

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

11 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 1313151718181919191922 23 23

6650 4439 39 35 33 31 27 26

Factor conditions not badhellip some notable gaps in human capital infrastructure and finance

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 32: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

32

SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quality Local availability of specialized research and training services

Demand ConditionsStringency of environmental regulationsLaws relating to ICT

Presence of demanding regulatory standards Buyer sophistication

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Supporting and Related Industry ConditionsLocal supplier quantity Extent of cluster policy State of cluster development Local availability of process machinery Extent of collaboration in clusters Availability of latest technologies

Demand ConditionsGovernment procurement of advanced technology productsGovernment success in ICT promotion

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

2122

7202027

65 56 51 44 42 28

45

55

Some big problems when you look at industryhellip shallow or non-existent clustering a particular issue Overall

Ranking = 4026

x

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 33: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

33

Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Strength of investor protection Prevalence of trade barriers Strength of auditing and reporting standards (Low) Distortive effect of taxes and subsidies on competition (Low) Rigidity of employment Regulatory quality Effectiveness of antitrust policy Efficacy of corporate boards Low market disruption from state-owned enterprises Intellectual property protection Restrictions on capital flows Cooperation in labour-employer relations

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Quality of competition in the ISP sector (Low) Impact of taxation on incentives to work and investBusiness impact of rules on FDI Intensity of local competition FDI and technology transfer (Low) Extent of market dominance (by business groups) (Low) Tariff rate Prevalence of foreign ownership Pay and productivity

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 3 56778812131322

6456 53 50 43 34 34 32 26

Overall good context for rivalryhellip things to work on competitive intensity FDI investment incentives Overall

Ranking = 13

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 34: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

34

Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Prevalence of foreign technology licensing Extent of marketing

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Value chain breadth Extent of incentive compensation Nature of competitive advantage Company spending on RampD Control of international distribution Firm-level technology absorption Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Production process sophistication Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

4 11 16 24

6149413332292927272626

Context for rivalry may be finehellip NZ firms coming up short in practice however Overall

Ranking = 25

-

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 35: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

35

Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Government surplusdeficit Inflation Government debt

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Interest rate spread

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

1 1 9

45

Impressive macroeconomic policyhellip spoilt by worsening interest rate spread Overall

Ranking = 8

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 36: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

36

Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009

Competitive AdvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

(Low) Malaria incidence Secondary enrollment Judicial independence (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms Ethical behavior of firms (Low impact of) Organized crime (Low) Business costs of corruption Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) Voice and Accountability (WB)Primary enrollment Freedom of the press (Low) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Public trust of politicians Life expectancy Transparency of government policymaking Efficiency of legal framework Property rights Effectiveness of law-making bodies Quality of primary education Health expenditure (Low) Tuberculosis incidence Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Reliability of police services Accessibility of healthcare services (Low) Business costs of crime and violence Quality of healthcare services (Low) Infant mortality

Competitive DisadvantagesRelative to GDP per Capita

Decentralization of economic policymaking(Low) Wastefulness of government spending

Change updown of more than 510 ranks since 2001

Note Rank versus 74 countries overall New Zealand ranks 25th in 2008 PPP adjusted GDP per capita and 15th in Global CompetitivenessSource Institute For Strategy and Competitiveness Harvard University (2009)

112222445568910111212131314151617182021212222

5630

Majority of SIPI world-classhellip centralization of economic policymaking has to be addressed Overall

Ranking = 11

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 37: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

37

NZ Marine Cluster ndash analysis of major market segments

of firms

of boat building activity (by value)

Description

Employees (FTEs)

Trailer Boats Yachts amp launches

Superyachts Racing yachts

Equipment amp components

Refit services

3m-85m in length Powered by outboard motors sold with trailer

70

616

of domestic production exported

13

5

Major trends

bull Emerged in 50s family rec esp fishing

bull Abolition of tariffs importers gained share

bull Virtually all outboard motors imported

Major players Ramco Huntsman Fyran Sea Craft

8m-25m in length Approx 20000 in NZ half of them in Auckland

65

776

11

41

bull Since 2003 several manufacturers have closed or shifted focus to racing yachts or trailer boats

Vaudrey Miller

of domestic demand imported 22 66

gt25m in length Racing yachts are used for regattas

9

1288

20

96

bull NZ a top-10 global player

bull 16 global market share

bull 3 in sailing superyachts

Alloy Yachts Cookson

0

Manufacturing of components propulsion units spars sails winches etc

NA

1172

41

48

bull Sector includes specialist design amp project mgmt ops as well as sales of kayaks and dinghies

Southern Spars North Sails High Modulus

19

Major refits for superyachts and boats gt15m

NA

NA

13

39

bull Export sales driven by international cup events (eg Americarsquos Cup)

Various

0

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 38: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

38

Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing

New Zealand Competitive Sailing Expertise History19

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

NZ Olympic Medals Sailing

NZrsquos participation and success in the Americarsquos Cup from the late 80rsquos onward put the spotlight on the countryrsquos strong competitive yachting talent

Key Moments in NZ Sailing

Sparc Funding for High-Performance Sport2008 2009

bull Volvo Ocean Race (formerly Whitbread Round The World)

bull Winners 1990 1993

bull Americas Cup

bull 1st competed in 1987 (following Australiarsquos victory in 1983)

bull Winners 1995 1998

bull Runners up 2003 2007

(1) Sport and Recreation New Zealand (Government funded organization directed at sport)

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 39: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

39

Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortageCo

mpo

site

Yac

hts

Woo

den

Yach

ts

Allo

y Ya

chts

Trai

ler B

oats

Com

mer

cial

Ste

elBo

ats

Spar

sRi

ggin

g

Cabi

net M

akin

g

Elec

trica

ltro

nic

Pai

ntin

gFi

nish

ing

Eng

inee

rs

Oth

er

Skills Shortages By Type (Nov rsquo08)

Boat Building amp Repair

Unskilled

Skilled

If industry grows as predicted shortages will continue to hamper progresshellip current crisis reduces ST urgency but relief appears only temporary

52

2016

5 5

14

53

2521 19

The Problem In Contexthellip

bull Industry-wide employment 10000 FTEsbull Total shortfall

bull July rsquo08 518 FTEs (5 of industry)bull Nov rsquo08 238 FTEs (2 of industry)

bull Hurting the clusterrsquos strong exporters

Causes()bull Only 100 apprentices graduating pabull Polytechnic programs have shrunkbull 25 of graduates leave NZ immediately

8

0

10

20

30Shortages By Firm

~10 firms with gt 10 staff shortfall

Source BITO

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ
Page 40: Nz Marine Cluster May 12 Ppt

40

We have identified three factors that act as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ

Low domestic savings rates and overinvestmentin housing strong contributors to high interest rates

Volatile Currency High Interest Rates Brain Drain

030

040

050

060

070

080

090

95 97 99 01 03 05 07

Currency range over economic cycle

(40c to 80c US)

NZ$US$ Real Long-Term Interest Rates

(Country Comparison)

New Zealand

OECDUS

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

of College Educated Population Living OSeas

(Select Countries Rank)

Source wwwoandacom (currency) OECD (Interest rates Brain Drain)

1 US

2 Japan

9 Spain

16 Australia

27 Italy

42 Singapore

55 UK

hellip

65 New Zealand

78 Ireland

07

10

25

37

57

80

122

hellip

170

267

Q Why invest in people if they will leave

Australia

Q How to invest when cost of capital is so high

Q Why invest in anything this changeable

  • Adam IrelandAni SatchcroftBen Mayson (NZ)Malte Janzarik
  • Contents
  • NZhellip a small isolated island where sheep outnumber people
  • Moderate historical prosperity growth driven by increases in workforce participation and employment
  • Labour productivity low by international standards
  • NZ has a number of unique and valuable endowmentshellip isolation coupled with a tiny population are the major negatives
  • Slide Number 7
  • Strong business-friendly national institutions
  • High quality human capital but not enough of it
  • Poor prosperity given relatively strong competitiveness metrics
  • NZrsquos national diamond characterised by extremeshellip some areas world-class while others are morehellip emerging economy
  • Relatively undiversified economyhellip dominated by agriculture
  • Four main recommendations to address NZrsquos key challenges
  • Contents
  • NZrsquos marine cluster generates NZ$19B(1) in sales annuallyhellip
  • 75 of marine activity is located in Auckland or nearby regions
  • Slide Number 17
  • Largest firms located in Italy France and US
  • Slide Number 19
  • The NZ cluster centres on boat building
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • All parts of the diamond contributing to successhelliphowever key fragilities also evident
  • Four main recommendations to help upgrade the cluster
  • Main Conclusions
  • Supporting Analysis
  • Extensive consultation with the industry
  • Issues we observed New Zealand
  • Strengths we observed Marine cluster
  • Issues we observed Marine cluster
  • Factor (Input) Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • SupportingRelated amp Demand Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Context for Strategy and Rivalry Conditions NZrsquos Position 2009
  • Company Operations and Strategy Conditions NZs Position 2009
  • Macroeconomic Policy (MP) NZs Position 2009
  • Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions NZs Position 2009
  • Slide Number 37
  • Supporting Industries spotlight on NZ competitive sailing
  • Factor conditions spotlight on the skills shortage
  • We have identified three factors thatact as significant deterrents to private sector investment in NZ