3
GO Get Quotes GO Enter Keywords Paul Singer: This threat is 'head-and-shoulders' above all others Lawrence Delevingne | @ldelevingne Tuesday, 29 Jul 2014 | 1:44 PM ET Pixelparticle | iStock / 360 | Getty Images Concept image of an electromagnetic field Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer has issued an unusual warning for investors, calling the threat of a widespread blackout from an electromagnetic surge the "most significant danger" in the world. Called an "electromagnetic pulse" or EMP, the events can occur naturally from solar storms or artificially from a high-altitude explosion of nuclear weapons. "While these pages are typically chock full of scary or depressing scenarios, there is one risk that is head-and-shoulders above all the rest in terms of the scope of potential damage adjusted for the likelihood of occurrence," Singer wrote to clients of his $24.8 billion Elliott Management on Monday in a standard investment update letter. "Even horrendous nuclear war, except in its most extreme form, can [be] a relatively localized issue, and the threat from asteroids can (possibly) be mitigated." FEATURED Argentine default 101: A Q-and-A Argentina is almost certainly headed for a technical default of its bond-payment obligations at 12:01 Thursday morning. 'Outversions': New corporate tax trick Corporate America may have another tax- avoidance trick up its sleeve. Paul Singer: US stocks 'frothy' Billionaire investor Paul Singer also warns of a scenario of "real class warfare." Fed up? Yellen facing some dissent While Fed chair Janet Yellen may win monetary policy battles within the Fed, she still risks losing the economic war. MORE FROM NETNET Bain snaps up $1.3 billion JPMorgan loan book Bullish BofA changes gears, calls for correction Wall Street elite call for trading fee changes Paulson: Buying a house still best investment Big banks crush earnings expectations. But how? HOME NEWS MARKETS INVESTING TECH SMALL BUSINESS VIDEO SHOWS WATCH LIVE PRO REGISTER | SIGN IN

Paul Singer This threat is Head-and-Shoulders above all others

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer has issued an unusual warning for investors, calling the threat of a widespread blackout from an electromagnetic surge the "most significant danger" in the world. Called an "electromagnetic pulse" or EMP, the events can occur naturally from solar storms or artificially from a high-altitude explosion of nuclear weapons. "While these pages are typically chock full of scary or depressing scenarios, there is one risk that is head-and-shoulders above all the rest in terms of the scope of potential damage adjusted for the likelihood of occurrence," Singer wrote to clients of his $24.8 billion Elliott Management on Monday in a standard investment update letter. "Even horrendous nuclear war, except in its most extreme form, can [be] a relatively localized issue, and the threat from asteroids can (possibly) be mitigated."

Citation preview

Page 1: Paul Singer This threat is Head-and-Shoulders above all others

GOGet Quotes GOEnter Keywords

Paul Singer This threat ishead-and-shoulders aboveall othersLawrence Delevingne | ldelevingneTuesday 29 Jul 2014 | 144 PM ET

Pixelparticle | iStock 360 | Getty Images

Concept image of an electromagnetic field

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer has issued an unusual warningfor investors calling the threat of a widespread blackout from anelectromagnetic surge the most significant danger in the world

Called an electromagnetic pulse or EMP the events can occur naturallyfrom solar storms or artificially from a high-altitude explosion of nuclearweapons

While these pages are typically chock full of scary or depressing scenariosthere is one risk that is head-and-shoulders above all the rest in terms of thescope of potential damage adjusted for the likelihood of occurrence Singerwrote to clients of his $248 billion Elliott Management on Monday in astandard investment update letter Even horrendous nuclear war except inits most extreme form can [be] a relatively localized issue and the threatfrom asteroids can (possibly) be mitigated

FEATURED

Argentine default 101 A Q-and-AArgentina is almost certainly headed for atechnical default of its bond-paymentobligations at 1201 Thursday morning

Outversions New corporate taxtrickCorporate America may have another tax-avoidance trick up its sleeve

Paul Singer US stocks frothyBillionaire investor Paul Singer also warns of ascenario of real class warfare

Fed up Yellen facing somedissentWhile Fed chair Janet Yellen may win monetarypolicy battles within the Fed she still riskslosing the economic war

MORE FROM NETNET

Bain snaps up $13 billion JPMorgan loanbookBullish BofA changes gears calls forcorrectionWall Street elite call for trading fee changesPaulson Buying a house still best investmentBig banks crush earnings expectations Buthow

HOME NEWS MARKETS INVESTING TECH SMALL BUSINESS VIDEO SHOWS WATCH LIVE PRO

REGISTER | SIGN IN

Read More rsaquo Paul Singer US stocks frothy by all measures

(A natural EMP event) today would cause a massive disruption to theelectric grid possibly shutting it down entirely for months or longer withunimaginable consequences Singer wrote Only two years ago the sun letloose with a Carrington-magnitude burst but the position of the earth at thetime prevented the burst from hitting it The chances of additional events ofsuch magnitude may be far greater than most people think

Carrington refers to a solar storm in 1859 that caused telegraph systemsto fail around the world

Singer warned that a man-made EMP attack would be even worse

It would not cause any blast or radiation damage but such an attack wouldhave consequences even more catastrophic than a severe solar storm Itcould not only bring down the grid but also lay down a very intense very fastpulse across the continent damaging or destroying electronic switchesdevices computers and transformers across America the letter said

A spokesman for Elliott declined further comment

The letter called on leaders to protect the power grid and essential electronicdevices He also said that spare parts should be stockpiled and thatgovernment and other groups should prepare an emergency response plan

Why are we writing about this topic Because in any analysis of societalrisk EMP stands all by itself Congressional committees are studying thisproblem and federal legislation is laboriously working its way through theprocess the letter said We think that raising peoples consciousness aboutwhat should be a bipartisan push to make the country (and the world) saferfrom this kind of event is a good thing to do

Read More rsaquo Notorious Doomsday Prophets

Lawmakers are aware of the threat

The consequences of such an attack could be catastrophic all electronicspower systems and information systems could be shut down Rep ScottPerry said in prepared remarks during an EMP hearing in May held by theUS House Committee on Homeland Security This could then cascade intointerdependent infrastructures such as water gas and telecommunications

NetNet Trader Talk

howViking preps $2 billion illiquid investmentsfundAlpha addict The amazing career of LeonCoopermanKKR buys into money-minting energy hedgefundThough just 3 outperform ETFs keepgrowingA year of winners (and losers) post-Alpha

Jeff CoxJeff Cox is finance editor for CNBCcom

Lawrence DelevingneLawrence Delevingne is the lsquoBig Moneyrsquo enterprisereporter for CNBCcom and NetNet

Stephanie LandsmanStephanie Landsman is one of the producers ofFast Money

NETNET TV rsaquo

Deep dig into labor participationnumbers CNBCs Patti Domm and Jeff Cox discuss thejobs report and the current dilemma of long-term unemployment

GDP disappointment CNBCs Patti Domm and Jeff Cox discuss therecent GDP numbers and what factors havebeen affecting it

Volatile rotation puts investorson edgeInvestors give and investors take away andnowhere has that been more true lately than invalue stocks

WALL STREET rsaquo

Disgraced hedge fund sees profitsoarPoint72 Asset Management the revamped firmof the billionaire investor Steven A Cohengenerated a profit of nearly $1 billion for the firsthalf

Wall Street to get reads fromFed GDPWall Street on Wednesday gets two reads onthe economy one from the CommerceDepartment and the other from the FederalReserve

GDP views From recovery to

NetNet Private Equity and Hedge Funds Wall StreetUS Economy Technology Investing Hedge Funds

While we understand this is an extreme case we must always be prepared incase a rogue state decides to utilize this technology

mdashBy CNBCs Lawrence Delevingne

Lawrence DelevingneEnterprise Reporter

RELATED TOPICS

GDP views From recovery torecessionIt may take a while before investors get a clearpicture on just how wellmdashor poorlymdashthe USeconomy is performing

TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS rsaquo

Argentina defaults for second time in 13yearsWhy are market bulls sticking by SamsungA family lost The risk of trucks on US roadsMarkets could begin to ignore FedEnergy firms rethink Russia after newsanctions

Data also provided by

NEWSEconomyFinanceHealth CareReal EstateRetailWealthAutosEarningsEnergyMediaPoliticsCommentarySpecial ReportsAsiaEurope

MARKETSPre-MarketsUSAsiaEuropeStocksCommoditiesCurrenciesBondsFundsETFs

INVESTINGFinancial AdvisorsPersonal FinanceCNBC ExplainsPortfolioWatchlistStock ScreenerFund Screener

TECHRecodeMobileSocial MediaEnterpriseGamingCybersecurity

SMALL BUSINESSFranchisingFinancingManagement

VIDEOLatest VideoDigital WorkshopUS VideoAsia VideoEurope VideoCEO InterviewsAnalyst InterviewsFull EpisodesClosed Captioning

SHOWSWatch LiveCNBC USCNBC Asia-PacificCNBC EuropeCNBC WorldFull Episodes

About CNBC Site Map Video Reprints Advertise Careers Help Contact Corrections Newsletters

Privacy Policy - UPDATED Terms of Service(New) Independent Programming Report Latest News Releases RSS

Data is a real-time snapshot Data is delayed at least 15 minutesGlobal Business and Financial News Stock Quotes and Market Data and Analysiscopy 2014 CNBC LLC All Rights Reserved

  • NETNET
  • Paul Singer This threat is head-and-shoulders above all others
    • FEATURED
    • MORE FROM NETNET
    • NETNET TV
    • NetNet Trader Talk WALL STREET
    • TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS
    • RELATED TOPICS
      • NEWS
      • MARKETS
      • INVESTING
      • TECH
      • SMALL BUSINESS
      • VIDEO
      • SHOWS
Page 2: Paul Singer This threat is Head-and-Shoulders above all others

Read More rsaquo Paul Singer US stocks frothy by all measures

(A natural EMP event) today would cause a massive disruption to theelectric grid possibly shutting it down entirely for months or longer withunimaginable consequences Singer wrote Only two years ago the sun letloose with a Carrington-magnitude burst but the position of the earth at thetime prevented the burst from hitting it The chances of additional events ofsuch magnitude may be far greater than most people think

Carrington refers to a solar storm in 1859 that caused telegraph systemsto fail around the world

Singer warned that a man-made EMP attack would be even worse

It would not cause any blast or radiation damage but such an attack wouldhave consequences even more catastrophic than a severe solar storm Itcould not only bring down the grid but also lay down a very intense very fastpulse across the continent damaging or destroying electronic switchesdevices computers and transformers across America the letter said

A spokesman for Elliott declined further comment

The letter called on leaders to protect the power grid and essential electronicdevices He also said that spare parts should be stockpiled and thatgovernment and other groups should prepare an emergency response plan

Why are we writing about this topic Because in any analysis of societalrisk EMP stands all by itself Congressional committees are studying thisproblem and federal legislation is laboriously working its way through theprocess the letter said We think that raising peoples consciousness aboutwhat should be a bipartisan push to make the country (and the world) saferfrom this kind of event is a good thing to do

Read More rsaquo Notorious Doomsday Prophets

Lawmakers are aware of the threat

The consequences of such an attack could be catastrophic all electronicspower systems and information systems could be shut down Rep ScottPerry said in prepared remarks during an EMP hearing in May held by theUS House Committee on Homeland Security This could then cascade intointerdependent infrastructures such as water gas and telecommunications

NetNet Trader Talk

howViking preps $2 billion illiquid investmentsfundAlpha addict The amazing career of LeonCoopermanKKR buys into money-minting energy hedgefundThough just 3 outperform ETFs keepgrowingA year of winners (and losers) post-Alpha

Jeff CoxJeff Cox is finance editor for CNBCcom

Lawrence DelevingneLawrence Delevingne is the lsquoBig Moneyrsquo enterprisereporter for CNBCcom and NetNet

Stephanie LandsmanStephanie Landsman is one of the producers ofFast Money

NETNET TV rsaquo

Deep dig into labor participationnumbers CNBCs Patti Domm and Jeff Cox discuss thejobs report and the current dilemma of long-term unemployment

GDP disappointment CNBCs Patti Domm and Jeff Cox discuss therecent GDP numbers and what factors havebeen affecting it

Volatile rotation puts investorson edgeInvestors give and investors take away andnowhere has that been more true lately than invalue stocks

WALL STREET rsaquo

Disgraced hedge fund sees profitsoarPoint72 Asset Management the revamped firmof the billionaire investor Steven A Cohengenerated a profit of nearly $1 billion for the firsthalf

Wall Street to get reads fromFed GDPWall Street on Wednesday gets two reads onthe economy one from the CommerceDepartment and the other from the FederalReserve

GDP views From recovery to

NetNet Private Equity and Hedge Funds Wall StreetUS Economy Technology Investing Hedge Funds

While we understand this is an extreme case we must always be prepared incase a rogue state decides to utilize this technology

mdashBy CNBCs Lawrence Delevingne

Lawrence DelevingneEnterprise Reporter

RELATED TOPICS

GDP views From recovery torecessionIt may take a while before investors get a clearpicture on just how wellmdashor poorlymdashthe USeconomy is performing

TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS rsaquo

Argentina defaults for second time in 13yearsWhy are market bulls sticking by SamsungA family lost The risk of trucks on US roadsMarkets could begin to ignore FedEnergy firms rethink Russia after newsanctions

Data also provided by

NEWSEconomyFinanceHealth CareReal EstateRetailWealthAutosEarningsEnergyMediaPoliticsCommentarySpecial ReportsAsiaEurope

MARKETSPre-MarketsUSAsiaEuropeStocksCommoditiesCurrenciesBondsFundsETFs

INVESTINGFinancial AdvisorsPersonal FinanceCNBC ExplainsPortfolioWatchlistStock ScreenerFund Screener

TECHRecodeMobileSocial MediaEnterpriseGamingCybersecurity

SMALL BUSINESSFranchisingFinancingManagement

VIDEOLatest VideoDigital WorkshopUS VideoAsia VideoEurope VideoCEO InterviewsAnalyst InterviewsFull EpisodesClosed Captioning

SHOWSWatch LiveCNBC USCNBC Asia-PacificCNBC EuropeCNBC WorldFull Episodes

About CNBC Site Map Video Reprints Advertise Careers Help Contact Corrections Newsletters

Privacy Policy - UPDATED Terms of Service(New) Independent Programming Report Latest News Releases RSS

Data is a real-time snapshot Data is delayed at least 15 minutesGlobal Business and Financial News Stock Quotes and Market Data and Analysiscopy 2014 CNBC LLC All Rights Reserved

  • NETNET
  • Paul Singer This threat is head-and-shoulders above all others
    • FEATURED
    • MORE FROM NETNET
    • NETNET TV
    • NetNet Trader Talk WALL STREET
    • TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS
    • RELATED TOPICS
      • NEWS
      • MARKETS
      • INVESTING
      • TECH
      • SMALL BUSINESS
      • VIDEO
      • SHOWS
Page 3: Paul Singer This threat is Head-and-Shoulders above all others

NetNet Private Equity and Hedge Funds Wall StreetUS Economy Technology Investing Hedge Funds

While we understand this is an extreme case we must always be prepared incase a rogue state decides to utilize this technology

mdashBy CNBCs Lawrence Delevingne

Lawrence DelevingneEnterprise Reporter

RELATED TOPICS

GDP views From recovery torecessionIt may take a while before investors get a clearpicture on just how wellmdashor poorlymdashthe USeconomy is performing

TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS rsaquo

Argentina defaults for second time in 13yearsWhy are market bulls sticking by SamsungA family lost The risk of trucks on US roadsMarkets could begin to ignore FedEnergy firms rethink Russia after newsanctions

Data also provided by

NEWSEconomyFinanceHealth CareReal EstateRetailWealthAutosEarningsEnergyMediaPoliticsCommentarySpecial ReportsAsiaEurope

MARKETSPre-MarketsUSAsiaEuropeStocksCommoditiesCurrenciesBondsFundsETFs

INVESTINGFinancial AdvisorsPersonal FinanceCNBC ExplainsPortfolioWatchlistStock ScreenerFund Screener

TECHRecodeMobileSocial MediaEnterpriseGamingCybersecurity

SMALL BUSINESSFranchisingFinancingManagement

VIDEOLatest VideoDigital WorkshopUS VideoAsia VideoEurope VideoCEO InterviewsAnalyst InterviewsFull EpisodesClosed Captioning

SHOWSWatch LiveCNBC USCNBC Asia-PacificCNBC EuropeCNBC WorldFull Episodes

About CNBC Site Map Video Reprints Advertise Careers Help Contact Corrections Newsletters

Privacy Policy - UPDATED Terms of Service(New) Independent Programming Report Latest News Releases RSS

Data is a real-time snapshot Data is delayed at least 15 minutesGlobal Business and Financial News Stock Quotes and Market Data and Analysiscopy 2014 CNBC LLC All Rights Reserved

  • NETNET
  • Paul Singer This threat is head-and-shoulders above all others
    • FEATURED
    • MORE FROM NETNET
    • NETNET TV
    • NetNet Trader Talk WALL STREET
    • TOP NEWS amp ANALYSIS
    • RELATED TOPICS
      • NEWS
      • MARKETS
      • INVESTING
      • TECH
      • SMALL BUSINESS
      • VIDEO
      • SHOWS