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http://www.globalchange.com The $40 trillion green tech revolution could transform the future of our planet, with innovations that will provide answers to global warming if rolled out on a large enough scale. Impact of technologies already available in energy industry, water conservation, carbon reduction, recycling, power transmission over long distances, alternative power generation, buildings management. Conference keynote speaker and Futurist Patrick Dixon - lecture for Air Liquide global team.
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltdhttp://www.globalchange.com
SustainAgility
Related Issues
Agile Ideas 2
Strategies of many corporations are
being overtaken by events
Wild Cards: Risk Management
Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million
� Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
• Click to edit Master text styles
11
Huge bets on future price
13
You need more than
one strategy
16
$40bn a month
•
£1 trillion debt 33% bought back
23
Text
Touch, Voice, Gesture,
Thought Control
The future is about
EMOTION
30
80% lost in 10 seconds
1 billion children à cities
1 billion children alive today
300 million à cities in China by 2020$4 trillion infrastructure in next 5 years
Commodity pressures
Emissions
� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
37
>40% WDP Asia by 2015
1 billion over 60s in 10 years
1 week every 4
Europe Dying
4 couples needed to produce just one
great-grandchild
Computersknow more than
physicians
•Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada - 3,000 iPads.
•Mayo Clinic - 10,000 iPhones and 2,000 iPads
Read Human Genome in an Hour for $1000($100 million in 2000)
46
• Harvard Bioscience
• Bioreactor
• Bone m stem cells
• Polymer scaffold
•lexmark print new skin
• Diabetes, congestive heart failure, obstructive pulmonary
• 2.2 million at home
• > $22bn by 2015
•Mobile telephony
Home Oxygen$2bn pa by 2018
Can we stop ageing ?
Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.
Grow New Teeth
• Pigs teeth grown inside rats
• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue
Successful Heart repair
• Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass
• Improves heart function
Monkeys on diet live longer• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
55
Slow or no ageing is a reality
• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
• No signs of getting old
1 trillionpages a month
Why had to change
Would they recommend to a friend ?
"Perfection!," TripAdvisor Member, Sept 13, 2012 This was the most beautiful hotel. Delightful, all perfect. We will stay again v soon. "Terrible! TripAdvisor Member, Nov 10, 2011 Terrible place, rats, dirty, noisy - sick with food poisoning for 2 weeks. Nearly died.
Rebalancing Portfolio
5-10% increase in efficiency from nanotech
33% in UK don’t watch live TV
70% UK bandwidth = YouTube + BBC Neflix video streams = 25% US bandwidth (27m users)
•Allow or Block ?
Some users in France > 30 gig in days
Google Mobile Wallet Monetise (mobile payments for banks) Square startup $3bn valuation
Mobile Payments
•PayPal -‐ $141m to $4bn from 2009-‐11
• Kenya -‐ 15m people• $9bn pa -‐ 33% GDP•
79
Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay
2010 2013 2015
TelcoBanks
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”
Shale gas 33% US supplies
200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years
5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind
57 will close in US in 2012
� 30 million acres lost
� EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food
25% of 2010 US grain fuel
30% US grain burnt in cars
86
30% US grain
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use
Power whole Europe from 20km x 80km desert
•Only 5% EU power crosses borders
Solar cell generation parity
Fuel cell shipments up 300% in 2012
Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr
Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week
94
95
Burning in oxygen
LIFE IS SHORT - only sell what you believe in
BeyondCompliance
Future revenue from legislation Rapid changes in regulations
and public mood
�For individuals�For family�For community �For whole earth
Building a Better WorldConnecting with passion for life
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
http://www.globalchange.com4 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS
�How did you feel ?�Immediate thoughts�Big questions
Groups
�Key issues impacting strategy�Major opportunities
�Which ones can you fix yourselves ?�Imagine opportunity for 3 minute conversation with your Chairman about an issue / opportunity and a solution....
Groups