29
3 Metrics that Matter New Model, New Metrics Tyler Sloat, CFO

The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

3 Metrics that Matter New Model, New Metrics

Tyler Sloat, CFO

Page 2: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

At the core of Subscription Model is the customer

Page 3: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Business must shift from a…

Product Focus Customer Focus to a

Page 4: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

A new approach to revenue growth

A completely new way to measure success

Shifting from selling products to managing relationships means…

Page 5: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

The unique business model

Page 6: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Let me sketch it out…

ARR n

Page 7: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

ARR n ACV +

Let me sketch it out…

Page 8: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

ARR n ACV + Churn -

Let me sketch it out…

Page 9: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

ARR n ACV + Churn - ARR = n+1

Let me sketch it out…

Page 10: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Annual Recurring Reven

forward looking ARR is the amount of revenue you expect to repeat. This is different than revenue. Revenue is backwards looking while ARR is forward looking.

Annual Recurring Revenue

Page 11: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

New Revenue ACV is your new revenue brought in by new customers or customers upgrading or renewing their existing contract. Ultimately, this drives your ARR. And we like this.

Annual Contract Value

Page 12: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Churn

When Customers Leave You Even if you have the hottest service offering out there, you’ll still have customers leave you. This is important to subtract from your ARR.

Customer downsells… Competitive loss… Business failure…

Churn

Page 13: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

The 3 Metrics… that will keep you up at night.

Growth Efficiency Churn Rate Recurring Profit Margin

Page 14: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Annual Recurring Revenue Churn Net ARR COGS G&A R&D Recurring Profit Growth Net New ARR Net Income Ending ARR

$100 ($10)

$90

($20) ($10) ($20)

$40

($40) $40

$0

$130

Retention Rate Recurring Profit Margin

Growth Efficiency Index

The 3 Metrics…

Page 15: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

“How much new recurring revenue can we get out of a given investment?”

What’s my strategy?

Spend at least enough money to replace your customers churned. With what’s left, you have to decide to book as profits or invest in growth.

“How much of our recurring revenue should we invest in growth?”

Growth Efficiency Index

Page 16: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Churn Rate

“What’s the minimum new business I need to stay viable?”

Connecting GEI & Churn

If your GEI is 2:1 (spend $2 to generate $1 of ACV) and your churn rate is 30%, you’ll be losing that 30% of your business well before you recover the 2 years of ACV it cost to acquire them.

Page 17: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Recurring Profit Margins

“What’s left to invest in growth after COGs are taken care of?”

Your strategy…

The lower the recurring costs, the more money you have to play with – book as profit or invest back in growth.

Page 18: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Let’s apply this to the real world with some good old fashion benchmarking.

Page 19: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Growth Efficiency Index

Retention Rate

Recurring Profit Margin

Growth Expense as of % of ARR

0.80 83% 28% 66%

1.08 83% 37% 70%

1.68 94% 56% 61%

1.66 82% 18% 115%

Page 20: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

4/30/2012 7/30/2012 10/31/2012 1/31/2013 4/30/2013 7/30/2013 10/31/2013 1/31/2014 4/30/2014 Entering ARR 50,632 59,341 73,161 89,812 105,623 126,450 147,945 171,942 189,548 Growth Exp Annualized 15,083 16,660 21,128 24,645 29,916 36,967 43,916 48,077 48,152 Non-Growth Expense Annualized 32,623 36,438 43,532 53,347 62,940 72,303 81,112 98,263 102,168 Growth % ARR 30% 28% 29% 27% 28% 29% 30% 28% 25% Non-Growth % ARR 64% 61% 60% 59% 60% 57% 55% 57% 54% % ARR Growth 17% 23% 23% 18% 20% 17% 16% 10% 11% GEI on ARR 0.43 0.30 0.32 0.39 0.36 0.43 0.46 0.68 0.59 Gross Profit Margin % 54% 56% 56% 58% 59% 61% 61% 61% 61% Recurring Profit Margin % 45% 50% 52% 49% 50% 51% 53% 48% 51%

Page 21: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Entering ARR 23,864 30,070 36,742 43,886 50,421 58,528 68,782 80,543 91,411 Growth Expense Annualized 14,444 20,116 23,292 27,892 31,344 31,916 38,708 43,680 55,188 Non-Growth Expense Annualized 29,624 29,048 32,628 39,924 43,892 48,688 53,492 65,392 77,252 Growth % ARR 61% 67% 63% 64% 62% 55% 56% 54% 60% Non-Growth % ARR 124% 97% 89% 91% 87% 83% 78% 81% 85% % ARR Growth 26% 22% 19% 15% 16% 18% 17% 13% 14% GEI on ARR 0.58 0.75 0.82 1.07 0.97 0.78 0.82 1.00 1.10 Subscription Gross Profit Margin % 62% 64% 64% 59% 61% 62% 64% 62% 61% Recurring Profit Margin % 1% 21% 26% 21% 25% 29% 34% 28% 26%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Page 22: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Q3'10

Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'1

1 Q3'1

1 Q4'1

1 Q1'1

2 Q2'1

2 Q3'1

2 Q4'1

2 Q1'1

3 Q2'1

3 Q3'1

3 Q4'1

3 Q1'1

4 Q2'1

4 Entering ARR $55 $68 $80 $93 $112 $131 $150 $176 $208 $239 $272 $307 $352 $400 $450 $506 Growth Expense Annualized 25 28 33 47 53 72 71 98 101 105 137 190 166 202 241 318 Non-Growth Expense Annualized 20 26 34 39 48 67 85 107 140 150 158 178 199 222 265 286 Growth % ARR 46% 42% 41% 51% 47% 55% 48% 56% 49% 44% 50% 62% 47% 50% 54% 63% Non-Growth % ARR 37% 39% 43% 41% 43% 51% 57% 61% 68% 63% 58% 58% 57% 55% 59% 57% % ARR Growth 24% 18% 16% 20% 17% 14% 17% 18% 15% 14% 13% 14% 14% 12% 13% 13% GEI on ARR 0.48 0.56 0.62 0.62 0.69 0.97 0.70 0.76 0.79 0.79 0.98 1.07 0.85 1.03 1.06 1.21 Gross Profit Margin % 68% 65% 63% 68% 65% 59% 55% 60% 57% 57% 62% 65% 63% 64% 62% 65% Recurring Profit Margin % 70% 67% 63% 66% 63% 56% 52% 49% 41% 45% 49% 49% 50% 51% 48% 50%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

Page 23: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Summary

1 The new economy focuses on relationships, not products

2 Efficient acquisition and retention of those relationships is critical to success

3 Running a disciplined business model based on the three metrics will generate long-term shareholder value

Page 24: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

thank you. check us out at zuora.com

Page 25: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

We build modern, flexible and easy to use enterprise software that enables companies to manage all aspects of their

relationship with their subscribers.

25

Page 26: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

Offices: Silicon Valley, Boston, Atlanta, London, Paris, Munich, Sydney, Beijing

95% Customer Sat

Awards

500 Employees

Founded 2007

$132.5M Funding

70+ Monthly Product

Releases

$100M+ Approaching

Run Rate

500+ Customers

80 Public Companies

ALWAYSON Company of the Year

STEVIE (GOLD) Customer Service Excellence

CODiE Best Subscription Management Solution

$1.7B In Quarterly

Transaction Volume

Page 27: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

TELECOM MEDIA & PUBLISHING TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER SERVICES INTERNET OF THINGS

We power the Subscr ip t ion Economy

Page 28: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

tailored pricing subscription journey

multi-channel

revenue recognition subscription metrics

smart accounting

branded touch points global payments

scale & automation

COMMERCE BILLING FINANCE

Z-BUSINESS Relationship Business Management Solution

Mission Critical System of Record

SCALE RELIABILITY TRANSPARENCY SECURITY CONTROL COEXISTENCE

BUILT ON THE Z-BUSINESS PLATFORM

Page 29: The 3 Subscription Metrics that matter

the end.