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© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com FRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN Uh Oh. The Million Dollar Optimization Strategy

The Million Dollar Optimization Strategy - Andre Morys - ConversionXL Live 2015

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© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN

Uh Oh.The Million Dollar

Optimization Strategy

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com3

André Morys

@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

5.8 bn ! Retail / Lead-Volume

4

0

1,5

3

4,5

6

2008 2010 2012

CRO Volumen (Mrd. !)

@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

115 Conversion Experts in 15 Offices worldwide

5

Web Arts is founder of theworldwide alliance of leading

conversion optimizationcompanies

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Agenda today

6

1. Don‘t call it „Conversion Rate Optimization“

2. Optimization is not Testing.

3. Don‘t let the numbers lie to you. (Case Study)

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Growth of Top 10 e-Commerce Ventures in 5 Years (DE)

15

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com16

Part I: It‘s about Growth, stupid.

Who has a business plan for CRO?

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com18

Do You Have a Business Plan for Your CRO Strategy?

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Profit Margin

20

Opportunity Cost: ! 500‘ Profit

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Challenge needed?

21@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Compare the effect of two optimization strategies:

22@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Profit Margin

24

Opportunity Cost:

! 2.2m Profit

@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Now you can re-invest ! 2.2m in optimization...

25@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #1

‣It‘s not about conversion rates. It‘s about GROWTH.

‣ Set your goals properly.

‣ Measure your optimization efficiency.

‣ Average Uplift per Test

‣ Amount of Tests per Year

‣ Cumulated Uplift per Year

‣ Test Success Rate

‣ ROI per Test (%)

26@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com27

„If you

double the number

of experiments

you do per year you're going to

double your

inventiveness“

Jeff Bezos, CEO amazon, 2004

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

0

300

600

900

1200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

The Zalando Effect?

28@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

So, what‘s the problem?

29

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

For a 25% Compounded Global CR Increase, You Need...

30

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 10 Tests à 2.5%?

5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 Tests à 5%?

5 5 5 5 5

20 Tests à 5%and 50%

success rate?5 5 5 5 5

Problem #1:Organizations are too lame to execute 20 tests per year.

Problem #2:This is really expensive and

complex. Organizations hate both.

Problem #3:Most CMOs still prefer to

buy 25% more traffic.

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Why only 5% average uplift per test?

32

‣In the last case study, they talked about 45% Uplift!-> E-Commerce conversion rate is not email subscription or download CR.

‣My last test had 33% Uplift!-> Was it real? Don‘t confuse statistical significance with validity. Tests should run around 4 weeks for a sufficient sample size.

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com33

A/B Test Result

Reality

„I can‘t feel the uplift!“

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com34

Testresults - Significance versus Validity

1 week500 vs. 550 conversions

+10% Upliftsignificant - wohoo!

2 weeks1000 vs. 1030 conversions

+3% Upliftnot significant - :-(

Run your experiments longer to get valid insights!

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com43

A/BTesting

70% don‘t know that there is a Phase 220% have no answer

10% have an idea how to reach Phase 3

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

KPI: Average E-Commerce CR Uplift per Template Type

44

0 %

2,5 %

5 %

7,5 %

10 %

Homepage Category Product Page Cart Checkout Site Wide

9,81 %

7,3 %6,59 %

9,28 %

6,35 %

3,32 %

Average Uplift by Template Type (n= 134)

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #2

‣Growth is about effectiveness. ‣ To increase real CR, you need many really good test results.

‣ Average Uplift per Test influences your growth directly.

‣ So: Do the right things!

‣ Don‘t do it too fast.

‣ Don‘t test everything. It is expensive.

45@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com46

Part II: Where do good optimization ideas

come from?

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com47

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com50

where would you buy?

why?

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com51

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com52

quantitative qualitative

How much? Why?

♥︎

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com53

Traffic

Website

Web Analytics

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com54

Traffic

Website

Web Analytics

Click

Hand

Motor Control

prefrontal Cortex

Limbic System

Perception

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Test: facebook Acount Deaktivierung

58@morys

ROI

„I have to buy it.“

Brand, Habits

„I want to buy it.“

Motivation, Emotion

„I can buy it.“

Usability, Accessability, Visibility

Focus on Consumer Behavior

@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com60

Factors, that influence the chance of conversion, can be

identified with a conversion framework

7E Framework

@morys

You are too dumb to buy here.

@morys

@morys

@morys

© Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com81

Conversion Optimization means:„Get a relevant unique value

proposition in the users mind.“good feeling

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #3

82

‣It is not hard to implement a testing tool. It‘s hard to find the right things to optimize.

‣ Find out, what really motivates users.

‣ Use different qualitative methods, like user research, personas, etc.

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Conversion DMAIC® Lean Innovation Process by Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

83

quantitative

qualtitative

LEARN

BACKLOG

CONTROL

IMPROVE ANALYSE

DEFINE

MEASURE

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com84

#1Is the change bold enough that it will be perceived by

users?

#2Does the variation have

enough contrast to change the behavior of users?

#3Does it use psychological /

social principles?

#4Is it situated on the primary

path of conversion?

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #4

85

‣Always prioritize your testing hypothesis!‣ Optimization is not trial and error.

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com86

Part III: Measure The Right Stuff.

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN

Control Template Discount Value Prop.

143 %

114 %113 %100 %

Visitor - Order Conversion (relative)

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN

Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop.

291 %

204 %

243 %

100 %

Return rate (relative)

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.comFRANKFURT - HAMBURG - MÜNCHEN

Control Basis Preis QualitätControl Basis Preis QualitätControl Template Discount Value Prop.

122,2 %

87,1 %

102,3 %100 %

Profit Contribution (relative)

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

More-Growth-Through-Testing-Rule #5

96

‣Measure economical KPIs.‣ Don‘t try to get them statistical significant.

‣ Conversion goal = organisations goal

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com

Five Pillars of Growth Strategy:

1. CRO -> Growth.

2. Efficiency -> Effectiveness.

3. Prioritize Hypotheses.

4. Motivate users.

5. Measure the right stuff.

It makes a difference.

97@morys

„If it doesn‘t sell,

it isn‘t creative.“

David Ogilvy

@morys

© Andre Morys, Web Arts AG www.web-arts.com99

André Morys

CEO

Web Arts AG

[email protected]

Tel. +49.6172.68097-15

www.web-arts.com

Thank You!