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FUTURES VIEW FROM AROUND THE WORLD
5 6 N O D E S
AMERICA
M e x i c o
U r u g u a y
U S A
ASIA
A z e r b a i j a n
C h i n a
EUROPE
G e r m a n y
R u s s i a
S p a i n
MIDDLE EAST I s r a e l
T O C 2 . 4 % G D P U S $ 1 , 6 3 7 b i l l i o n s 1
$ c o u n t r y & m a i n v a r i a b l e s
P r e v e n t i o n
S c e n a r i o 2 0 3 0
E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s W o r k
S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y
T R A N S N AT I O N A L
O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E
Art trafficking
Corruption Credit cards forgery
Environmental crimes Cyber crimes Drug trafficking
Hazardous chemicals products trafficking
Drugs forgery
Extortion F r a u d
Homicides per request Humans smuggling
Nuclear material trafficking
Organs trafficking
Human trafficking
Patents registration theft
Kidnapping
Money laundering
Piracy
S m u g g l i n g
Weapons trafficking
Precious metals trafficking
Counterfeiting 71
Drug Trafficking 40
Human Smuggling 7.5
Gas & Oil Smuggling 3
Counterfeit Drugs 1.5
Software piracy 1.2
Cigarette Smuggling 0.6
Movie Piracy 0.48
Music Piracy 0.44
Book Piracy 0.04
M E X I C O P o p u l a t i o n : 1 2 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 2 6 b i l l i o n
M E X I C O
1 . G O V E R N M E N T
N A T I O N A L P R O G R A M F O R
P R E V E N T I N G C R I M E
• L O N G - T E R M V I S I O N 2 0 3 0
• F E D E R A L , S TAT E & L O C A L S P E C I A L P R O G R A M S F O R C O M M U N I T I E S
E D U C A T I O N
S P O R T S
H E A L T H
T R A I N I N G F O R E N T R E P R E N E U R S H I P W I T H C R E D I T S
N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m f o r
S o c i a l P r e v e n t i o n o f V i o l e n c e a n d C r i m e
1 4 P r i n c i p l e s
C o m p r e h e n s i v e n e s s , i n t e r s e c t o r a l i t y , m a i n s t r e a m i n g , t e r r i t o r i a l i t y o r
t a r g e t i n g , p a r t i c i p a t i o n , j o i n t w o r k , c o n t i n u i t y o f p u b l i c p o l i c i e s ,
i n t e r d i s c i p l i n a r i t y , d i v e r s i t y , p r o x i m i t y , t r a n s p a r e n c y a n d a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a n d
i n c o r p o r a t e t h e c r o s s c u t t i n g p e r s p e c t i v e s o f g e n d e r e q u a l i t y ; h u m a n r i g h t s
a n d s o c i a l c o h e s i o n .
• S u c c e s s f u l p r e v e n t i o n p r o j e c t s ( E d u c a t i o n , s p o r t s ,
h e a l t h , e t c . )
• Te a c h i n g s m a l l e n t r e p r e n e u r s & o p e n i n g c r e d i t s
• S e r i o u s e f f o r t s f o r m o n e y l a u n d e r i n g c o n t r o l
• F r o z e n i n g TOC ’s m o n e y a n d p r o p e r t i e s
• I m p r o v i n g n e w b a n k r e s t r i c t i o n s
2 . N G O ’ s
S O C I A L D I A L O G U E F O R T R U T H , J U S T I C E A N D P E A C E
• N e t w o r k w i t h r e g i o n a l N o d e s t o c h a n n e l a n g e r a n d c h a n g e s i n t o a p a t h o f d i a l o g u e & p a r t i c i p a t i o n
• A g e n d a s & t h e m a t i c m e e t i n g s :
1 . L a w e n f o r c e m e n t
2 . T e r r i t o r i e s ( c o m m u n i t i e s , n e i g h b o r h o o d s , e t c . )
3 . P o v e r t y a n d i n e q u a l i t y
4 . I n c l u s i v e a n d p l u r a l i s t i c e c o n o m i e s
5 . S o c i a l c o h e s i o n & c o e x i s t e n c e
6 . C o m b a t t o c o r r u p t i o n & i m p u n i t y
7 . G l o b a l p r o b l e m a t i c & i n t e r n a t i o n a l p a r n e r s h i p s
S O C I A L D I A L O G U E f o r T R U T H , J U S T I C E & P E A C E
S T E P S F O R S O C I A L D I A L O G U E
1 . I d e n t i f y i n g c o n f l i c t s : 3 m o s t p r e s s i n g
2 . M a p p i n g a c t o r s f o r s o l v i n g p r o b l e m s
3 . D i r e c t o r i e s a n d p r o f i l e s
4 . W o r k s h o p s & f o l l o w u p m e e t i n g s
5 . D o c u m e n t s p r e p a r a t i o n , s i s t e m a t i z a t i o n &
d i s t r i b u t i o n .
6 . W o r k i n g g r o u p s c o n s o l i d a t i o n
7 . A c t i v e o r g a n i z a t i o n & a r t i c u l a t i o n N e t w o r k
f o r s o l v i n g c o n f l i c t s a n d a s k i n g a c t o r s
q u e s t i o n s t o f i n d s o l u t i o n s
3 . G O V E R N M E N T , P R I V A T E S E C T O R & N G O ’ s
P R O D U C T I V E C O E X I S T E N C E
• L i n k i n g e n t e r p r i s e s n e e d s .
• T r a i n i n g p e o p l e t o w o r k .
• T e a c h i n g & f u n d i n g t h e c r e a t i o n o f s m a l l
c o m p a n i e s .
Counterfeiting 225
Cigarette smuggling 10
Cocaine smuggling 35
Drug Trafficking 215
Gas & Oil smuggling 10
Illegal gambling 150
Illegal logging 1
Illegal piracy 25
Movie piracy 25
Music piracy 12.5
Prostitution 14.6
Software piracy 9.7
U N I T E D S T A T E S O F A M E R I C A
P o p u l a t i o n : 3 2 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 7 3 3 b i l l i o n
C H I N A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 , 3 6 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 2 7 0 b i l l i o n
Counterfeiting 60
Cigarrette smuggling 2
Drug trafficking 17
Human smuggling 2
Illegal gambling 93
Illegal Logging 4
Software piracy 9
Prostitution 73
Wildlife smuggling 10
S P A I N P o p u l a t i o n : 4 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 2 7 b i l l i o n
Drug trafficking 95
Prostitution 26.5
Counterfeiting 2.6
Software piracy 1.2
Video game piracy 0.5
Book piracy 0.5
Counterfeit pesticides 0.1
Movie piracy 0.25
Music piracy 0.01
G E R M A N Y P o p u l a t i o n : 8 1 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 9 9 . 5 b i l l i o n
Counterfeit pesticides 39.4
Counterfeiting 32.2
Prostitution 18
Cigarette smuggling 7.2
Sofware piracy 2.3
Drug trafficking 0.2
Movie piracy 0.16
Money laundering 0.07
R U S S I A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 4 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 5 6 . 4 b i l l i o n
Counterfeiting 29
Drug trafficking 15
Counterfeit alcohol 3.3
Software piracy 3.2
Illegal logging 2
Cigarette smuggling 1
Wildlife smuggling 0.8
Alcohol smuggling 0.7
Prostitution 0.5
Music piracy 0.3
Movie piracy 0.26
Video game piracy 0.28
Book piracy 0.04
I S R A E L P o p u l a t i o n : 8 . 3 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 7 . 3 b i l l i o n
Illegal gambling 4.1
Drug trafficking 1.9
Prostitution 0.5
Counterfeiting 0.5
Software piracy 0.2
Movie piracy 0.06
Music piracy 0.05
Video game piracy 0.01
Book piracy 0.001
A Z E R B A I J A N P o p u l a t i o n : 9 . 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : n / a
T U R K E Y P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 2 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 7 . 2 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting 6
Prostitution 4
Cigarrette smuggling 2.5
Gas and oil smuggling 2.5
Drug trafficking 1.7
Human smuggling 0.4
Alcohol smuggling 0.060
Movie piracy 0.029
Book piracy 0.023
Music piracy 0.022
Drug trafficking8.5
Heroin trafficking3
Gas and oil smuggling1.3
Alcohol smuggling0.9
Movie piracy0.1
Counterfeiting0.1
I R A N P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 7 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 3 . 9 b i l l i o n s
Gas and oil smuggling5
Software piracy0.172
I R A K P o p u l a t i o n : 3 6 . 6 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 5 . 2 b i l l i o n s
U R U G U A Y
P o p u l a t i o n : 3 . 3 m i l l i o n s
T O C : n / a
Counterfeiting
Software piracy0.657
Movie piracy0.318
Music piracy0.063
Counterfeit pesticides0.026
Book piracy0.004
A R G E N T I N A P o p u l a t i o n 4 3 . 1
T O C : U S $ 1 b i l l i o n
B R A Z I L P o p u l a t i o n 2 0 4 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 2 5 . 3 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting 15
Counterfeit clothing 3.64
Software piracy 2.85
Wildlifesmuggling 2
Counterfeit shoes 0.9
Counterfeit cigarettes 0.5
Videogame piracy 0.16
Music piracy 0.15
Movie piracy 0.1
Counterfeit toys 0.03
Book piracy 0.02
PA R A G U AY
P o p u l a t i o n : 7 m i l l i o n s
T O C : U S $ 1 3 b i l l i o n s
Counterfeiting12
Cigarettesmuggling 1
Software piracy0.073
E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s w o r k
S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y