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Keynote given at the bdigital IoT Forum, Barcelona, Dec 12 2013
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We ain’t seen nothing yet.Making sense of a massively connected world.
Everybody knows Moore’s Lawin this room
1.5 GFLOPS
1.5 GFLOPS
Some know of Koomey’s Lawin this r
oom
Many know Metcalfe’s Law“Network Effects,” really
Known as the three laws that drive the Internet of Things.
Moore gives us viability Koomey gives us feasibility
Metcalfe gives us an incentive
But here’s another three “laws”
Steward Brand’s “Shearing Layers”
You might know them as OSI model
“technological progress that increases the efficiency with which a resource is used tends to increase (rather than decrease)
the rate of consumption of that resource.”
Jevons’ Paradox
“The cheaper it is to consume » just one more «
the more we will use it.”
Jevons’ Paradox
Shirky’s Law of “Mundane Technology”
“Communications tools don't get socially
interesting until they get technologically boring.”
— Clay Shirky
“Communications tools don't get socially
interesting until they get technologically boring.”
— Clay Shirky
Anything, really…
“The WWW project was started to allow high energy physicists to share data, news, and documentation.”
In short, to create a better document access system.
The ‘Heretics Three Laws’ of the Internet of Things
Differential rate of Change Increased resource consumption
Backgrounding of Technology
“We'd like to think of your entire home as an accessory, or better yet as a network of accessories, and think of Android as the operating system for your home.”
”Users could manage their deployment.”
“Boil your kettle with your smart phone, anywhere in your
home.”
courtesy of fuckyeahinternetfridge.tumblr.com
X10 Powerhouse for C64, 1986 Thanks to @clurr for finding this nugget.
My first job at Uni
“Sure. Let me tell you all about electricity.”
“I have no idea how much I use…”
About at the same time…
Web2.0
Prosumer
User
Generated
Content
“Prosumer?”
Not exactly what the consultants meant…
“The Read-Write Web”— Tim O’Reilly
“The Read-Write Grid”— Tom Raftery
What happens if we think electricity with web principles?
“But how do I find out how much I use?”
We thought this is the Golden Age…
“1 in 5 people don’t know what kWh (kilowatt hour) stands for—some thought it was a make of Japanese car, a type of heavy goods vehicle or even a boy band.”
— E.On UK survey
“Most consumers interact with their [energy] provider an average of just nine minutes per year. These interactions are generally neutral or negative—typically pertaining to billing, credit or supply issues.”
— Daniel Yates, OPower
It mustn’t be this way…
“I sort of regard the network as being like the next generation of electricity: it will end up hitting all products sooner or later. But we won’t really think about them as being “networked products,” in the way we don’t think about things as ‘electrical products.‘”
— Matt Webb, BERG
“Sculpting with Data”— Boris Anthony
We need to rethink our products from the ground up.
In short, to create a better document access system.
Other assorted issues
Questions?
Martin Spindler !
Strategy Consultant Internet of Things | Smart Energy
!
http://martinspindler.net [email protected]
twitter.com/mjays !
Co-Founder & Managing Director Internet of People Limited
!
http://internetofpeople.eu twitter.com/internetofpeople
Martin Spindler !
Strategy Consultant Internet of Things | Smart Energy
!
http://martinspindler.net [email protected]
twitter.com/mjays !
!
Co-Founder & Director Internet of People Limited http://internetofpeople.eu
