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Your Future is Here
http://www-bsac.eecs.berkeley.edu/archive/users/warneke-brett/SmartDust/
Berkeley’s Golem Dust11.7 mm3 total circumscribed volume
~4.8 mm3 total displaced volume
Berkeley’s Deputy Dust6.6 mm3 total circumscribed
volume
4th Gen
11.7 mm3
6.6 mm3
www.kurzweilai.net/.../ SIN_headshot_highres.html
“We're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.”
Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001
Lessons from a futurist on how to
see the future
1
3Change
High School
Work and College
Change
Mergers
31 2
Mergers
General Academics
Technical – Workforce Ed
Next GenEd
Diffusion
3
1
2A
Diffusion
VideoGames
ED
Health
Eng.
Your Future is Here
USC ISI and Tactical Language Training
(ITSEC 2005)
Simulation-Based Triage Training, Games for Health: Mass Casualty Care Panel , RTI International
Source: Brazell, IC2 Institute, 2004
Yang Cai, Ingo Snel, Betty Chenga, Suman Bharathi, Clementine Klein d, Judith Klein-Seetharaman; Carnegie Mellon University, University of Frankfurt, Research Institute, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine.
www.andrew.cmu.edu/~ycai/biogame.pdf
BIOSIM 1.0
Diffusion
VideoGames
ED
Health
Eng.
Games represent the emergence of
new realities…
NOSE
Mergers
31 2
Vienna University of Technology Players operate track switches and adjusting the speed of virtual trains to prevent virtual trains from colliding. Researchers Daniel Wagner, Thomas Pintaric and Dieter Schmalstieg
My forecast...
Christmas 2009
http://geeklit.blogspot.com/2007_03_01_archive.html
Nokia Research Center, Helsinki Finland in MIT Technology Review
NOKIA
Computer Information
Systems
$42,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
VisualCommunication
Design
$41,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
Radio, Television,and Film
$48,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
CommercialMusic
$40,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
http://bleex.me.berkeley.edu/CV/Berkeley-Exo-HR.jpg
100-pound exoskeleton and a 70-pound backpack while feeling as if he were lugging a mere 5 pounds
http://www.terremoto.ca/images/exoskeleton.jpg
Hal 3 may some day replace the wheel chair for many people..
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7643818/
Adidas 1 Running Shoe
http://www.adidas.com/campaigns/adidas_1/content/downloads/adidas_1-wp_02_1280_1024.jpghttp://www.adidasprlookbook.com/adidas1/index.asp
• 1,000th of a second sensor measures gap between heel and a magnet
• 20-MHz microcontroller measures changes in compression
• Motor spins at 4000 rpm turns a screw loosens cable
• Environmentally and operator adaptive shoe sole
Wearable Robot
If you have an automobile made in the past 10 years, your car has more computing power than rockets used to put man on the moon.
TSTC West TX, Sweetwater, 10.31.2006
http://www.xpcarteam.com/
XP Vehicle Systems
Features: Over 2500 mile range using our patented XPack Multi-Core(TM) power plant, energy is delivered to you when you need it, inflatable frame technology, extensive ability to customize and mitigate obsolescence (EVERYTHING is upgradeable), you assemble or dealer assemble, direct ships to you, some models can change bodies, some models fold after assemble for storage or parking.
Unfortunate for some.
Mergers
31 2
MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.
Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Engineering Departments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI
Butler Community CollegeApril 7 to 11, 2008
AutomotiveTechnology
$34,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
“It used to be the sledgehammer mechanic. These days, the technology has advanced so much that our most important tool is our brain. It is more of a thinking man’s game now.”
Jeff NelsonService ManagerCAT
Skill Mergers
“Aviation Technicians qualify for two pay raises per year of $1.00 per hour topping out at
$54K per year.” –Harvey Hall, American Eagle, Abilene
“We need people who have integrated skills related to mechanical, electronic, hydraulics and pneumatics.” Bill Biffinger, HR, Superior Essex
TSTC West TX
ElectronicsTechnology
$52,000
Source: DOL, O*Net, Median Wages 2007
“Turbine Techs earn $28-$40K a year… Many techs earning $40K - $80K a year with OT.” – Bryan Gregory, Jr.
11.1.2006, TSTC West TX, Sweetwater
“In most industries you have electricians, mechanics and IT, in wind, you are expected to do everything.” -- Bryan Gregory, Jr.
11.1.2006, TSTC West TX, Sweetwater
http://www.skidmore.edu/~dvella/fantvoy.jpg
http://www.rsc.org/ej/LC/2006/b507312j/b507312j-f2.gif
http://www.rsc.org/ejga/LC/2006/b507312j-ga.gif
Lab-in-a-Pill
Wesley Medical Center, Butler Community CollegeApril 7 to 11, 2008
http://www.rsc.org/ej/LC/2006/b507312j/b507312j-f2.gif
http://www.rsc.org/ejga/LC/2006/b507312j-ga.gif
Lab-in-a-Pill
Source: California Board of Registered Nurses in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California: The Health Education Imperative
Average Age of Nurses in California
47.7
Butler Community CollegeApril 7 to 11, 2008
Allied Health:
200 heath occupations
60% of the health workforce
Source: Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California: The Health Education Imperative
Registered Nurse
$70,000 (Median)
Source: California Labor Market Division in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California:
The Health Education Imperative
Sonography
$72,000
Source: California Labor Market Division in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California:
The Health Education Imperative
Radiology
$56,000
Source: California Labor Market Division in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California:
The Health Education Imperative
SurgicalTechnology
$40,000
Source: California Labor Market Division in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California:
The Health Education Imperative
Source: California Labor Market Division in Closing the Health Workforce Gap in California: The Health Education Imperative
2004-2014 California Allied Health Professions Requiring an Associate Degree or Certificate
Job Median Wage Growth
Dental hygienist $36.83 42%
Physical therapist assistant $25.22 38%
Physical therapist $35.55 29%
Diagnostic medical sonographer $31.99 28%
Registered nurse $35.23 26%
Paramedic/EMT $12.19 26%
Pharmacy tech $16.34 26%
Surgical tech $20.96 24%
Respiratory therapist $28.03 22%
Radiologic tech $28.94 20%
http://www.startrekdesktopwallpaper.com/new_wallpaper/Star_Trek_Voyager_SevenOfNine_JerryRyan_desktopwallpaper_800.jpg
https://www.carle.com/Hospital/about/images/Ear%20Diagram3.jpgCochlear Ear Implant
Physicians are using VNS from last 10
years to treat epilepsy to slash seizures till
upto 40 percent. October 2005 study revealed that after
using this VNS technique by severely
depressed patients ninety-one percent
retained their recovery in nine
months.
http://www.medgear.org/page/4/
Mergers
31 2
Adapted from NSFNEURO NANO
BIOINFO
21st Century Architecture
NEURO NANO
BIOINFO
Adapted from NSF
21st Century Architecture
The Future is Here: Emerging Technologies, Jobs and Strategies
Convergence
KnowledgeJobs
SkillJobs
NextGenJobs
“A serious lack of skilled workers will grow to 5.3 million in 2010 and to 14
million by 2015.”
–US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Convergence
General Academics
Technical – Workforce Ed
Next GenEd
“Those who complete both a strong academic curriculum and a vocational program of study (dual
concentrators) may have better outcomes than those who pursue
one or the other.
(Silverberg, Warner, Fong, & Goodwin, 2004; Plank, 2001; Stone & Aliaga, 2003)”
(National Alliance for Secondary Education and Transition, 2005, Career Preparatory Experiences, ¶ 3)
High School
Work and College
Change
Your Future is Here
An artificial red cell – the respirocyte [41]. Designer Robert A. Freitas Jr. ©1999 Forrest Bishop.
http://www.imminst.org/freitas.html
Nano-Mechatronics