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I know what you will buy next summer

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KU Leuven:

Commercial Engineer

U Gent:

Master Marketing Analysis

Dexia/Belfius:

Data Miner

La Redoute: Marketing Analyst

IESEG: PhD Candidate

Who am I?

2005 2010 2011 2014

11/24/2015 BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2

KU Leuven:

Commercial Engineer

U Gent:

Master Marketing Analysis

Dexia/Belfius:

Data Miner

La Redoute: Marketing Analyst

IESEG: PhD Candidate

Who am I?

2005 2010 2011 2014

11/24/2015 BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2

La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

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La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Product

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La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Product

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 311/24/2015

La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Channel

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La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Channel

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 411/24/2015

La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Channel

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 411/24/2015

La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Channel

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 411/24/2015

La Redoute: Home Shopping Retailer

• Multi Channel

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La Redoute: Facts and Figures

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La Redoute: Facts and Figures

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La Redoute: Facts and Figures

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La Redoute: Strong Competition

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La Redoute: Strong Competition

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Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization Personalized offering with the advantages of mass consumption.

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society (Wind, 2001, JIM)

• Mass Consumption

• Personalized offering

• Mass personalization Personalized offering with the advantages of mass consumption.

People expect mass personalization. Globalization and e-commerce are factors making this shift possible.

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 811/24/2015

Mass personalization society

• Paradox of choice (Tamaki 2005, LATimes; Girish 2007 JIM)

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 911/24/2015

Mass personalization society

• Paradox of choice (Tamaki 2005, LATimes; Girish 2007 JIM)

+ Client are better informed• Globalization and internet

• Enormous choice possibilities

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 911/24/2015

Mass personalization society

• Paradox of choice (Tamaki 2005, LATimes; Girish 2007 JIM)

+ Client are better informed• Globalization and internet

• Enormous choice possibilities

+ A customer could find a product/service satisfying his/her needs

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 911/24/2015

Mass personalization society

• Paradox of choice (Tamaki 2005, LATimes; Girish 2007 JIM)

+ Client are better informed• Globalization and internet

• Enormous choice possibilities

+ A customer could find a product/service satisfying his/her needs

– Client is overwhelmed by the enormous choice• Hard to make an (optimal) purchase decision

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 911/24/2015

Mass personalization society

• Paradox of choice (Tamaki 2005, LATimes; Girish 2007 JIM)

+ Client are better informed• Globalization and internet

• Enormous choice possibilities

+ A customer could find a product/service satisfying his/her needs

– Client is overwhelmed by the enormous choice• Hard to make an (optimal) purchase decision

→Recommendation SystemsBAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 911/24/2015

Recommendation Systems: Examples

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In …. Travel sector

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Recommendation Systems: Examples

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In …. Media services

11/24/2015

Recommendation Systems: Examples

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 12

In …. Social media

11/24/2015

Recommendation Systems: Examples

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In …. FMCG

11/24/2015

Recommendation Systems: Examples

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In …. E-commerce

11/24/2015

Recommendation Systems: La Redoute

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1511/24/2015

Recommendation Systems?

• A definition [Ricci et al. 2011]

Recommender Systems are software tools and techniques providing personalized suggestions for items to be of use to a user. The suggestions, based a customer’s profile or his behavior, relate to various decision-making processes.

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1611/24/2015

Recommendation Systems?

• A data science description

A recommendation system is a customer centric view to recommend personalized sets of productsto clients using data science. This contrasts to the classical PTB models which are applied in product centric approaches.

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1711/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1811/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1811/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1911/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 1911/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2011/24/2015

What is it not?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2011/24/2015

What data to use?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2111/24/2015

What data to use?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2111/24/2015

What data to use?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2111/24/2015

What data to use?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2111/24/2015

What data to use?

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2111/24/2015

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

Identification MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2211/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Identification

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2311/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

Context (location weather, etc.)

Context-based RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

Context (location weather, etc.)

Context-based RecSys

Real-time path analysis Knowledge-based RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Combining different algorithms and/or data sources

Hybrid RecSys

Identification

Identification

Socio Demographics

Raincoat

MenSportBlue

Men SuitsAccessory Red

Men SuitsVest Dark Blue

Men SuitsShoes Brown

Men JacketRaincoat Red

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Men JacketRaincoat Blue

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Social media Social RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

Context (location weather, etc.)

Context-based RecSys

Real-time path analysis Knowledge-based RecSys

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 24

Recommendation Zone

11/24/2015

Applied to La Redoute

• E-mail personalization system: returning visit

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2511/24/2015

Applied to La Redoute

• E-mail personalization system: returning visit

• Let’s do the math: 7 million unique visitors a month 233 k visitors a day

150 k identified (e-mail)

250 k products, of which 50 k in recommendation scope

7.5 billion recommendation scores on average a day

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2511/24/2015

Applied to La Redoute

• E-mail personalization system: returning visit

• Let’s do the math: 7 million unique visitors a month 233 k visitors a day

150 k identified (e-mail)

250 k products, of which 50 k in recommendation scope

7.5 billion recommendation scores on average a day

• Possible extension to the site Real-time recommendations

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2511/24/2015

• Input Data

• Modeling techniques

Applied to La Redoute

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2611/24/2015

• Input Data

• Modeling techniques

Applied to La Redoute

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 26

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

11/24/2015

• Input Data

• Modeling techniques

Applied to La Redoute

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 26

Socio-demographics and segmentation

Demographic RecSys

Behavioral history and Look-a-likes

Collabotative RecSys

Product Information Content-based RecSys

Hierarchical Hybrid Model

Combination of scoresSVM, LR, DT, PM

Factorization Machine

Use all different data sources as input for Factorization Machine

11/24/2015

Applications

….

Pre-installed

….

Applied to La Redoute

27

(R)JDBC

Virtual Machine

CDH

To install

SQOOP

Application Examples

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Application Examples

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2811/24/2015

Application Examples

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 28

Car Loan

11/24/2015

Application Examples

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2811/24/2015

Added Value

• Customer

• Company

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2911/24/2015

Added Value

• Customer

• Company

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 2911/24/2015

Added Value

• Customer

• Company

BAQMaR Conference: Futures Festival 29

> 75% of items watched on Netflix 50% of LinkedIn connections

11/24/2015

Thank you for your Attention

Contact:Stijn Geuens (0)3.20.545.892

IESEG School of Management [email protected]

3 Rue de la Digue fr.linkedin.com/pub/stijn-geuens/

F-59000 Lille stijn.geuens