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Big Data and its impact on the insurance industrySophia VanVP, Strategy & Innovation, Asia, Swiss ReinsuranceJuly 2016
2Swissnex risk dialogue | Matthias Weber | 15 April 2015
Where are we and where are we going?
3
In 2009, Uber received the first seed funding of US$200,000. How much is Uber’s estimated valuation today?
a. 250.1 million
b. 1 billion
c. 50.5 billion
d. 62.5 billion
4
"At $831.5 million, investment in insurance tech this year is already up nearly ______ times what it was in 2010"
a. 3
b. 6
c. >10
5
How many Innovation Labs/ Centres have been set up in Singapore last 24 months (for all industries)?
a. Around 4
b. Around 10
c. Around 18 or more
6
Industrial Revolution I & II
7
Digital Revolution
8
The Fourth Industrial Revolution?Internet of Things + Big Data
9
"I never think about the future – it comes soon enough"
- Albert Einstein
10
Technology + Consumers + Governments
Who changes the world?
11
Technology
12
Consumers
13
What we share with one another every second
http://pennystocks.la/internet-in-real-time/
14
Governments
Smart Engergy
Smart WaterSmart Building
Smart Transport
Smart Health
Smart Cities
15
052000
60,000
20201510
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
Data availability is increasing exponentially
25.0 94.0 99.0 99.9
x % of data in digital form
Big Data & Smart Analytics are about:▪ Creating and extracting information from large amounts of available data (internal and external)▪ Applying innovative approaches/methodologies in analysing available data to expand the reach of
knowledge and customer insights
Examples
Source: McKinsey research, Forbes, Internet World Stats, IBM, The Economist
By 2020, 29.5 Billion Connected Things globally and 1/3 is in APAC.
83% of IT Executives see Smart Analytics and Big Data as part of their strategic vision80% of all data is unstruc-tured, only 20% of available data are leveraged from traditional systems
in Exabytes
The new world of Big Data & Smart Analytics
16
APAC will not escape the “Big Data tsunami”
17
Singapore
• Smart Health is an important pillar under Singapore Smart Nation vision• Analytics is defined as a key enabler capability• Variety of fundings for Innovation & Analytics available. 17 Regional Innovation / Analytics
Centers of substantial scale set up in Singapore utilizing government fundings. • Environmental data collected via sensors are published at data.gov.sg• Three main ideas unveiled: smart logistics with interoperability across supply chain,
Smart Nation Tech Challenges, and Smart Health Assists in Jurong Lake District.
China • 200+ Smart Cities Initiative• IoT and Connectivity are expected to be the emphasis of the 13th 5 year plan (starting in
2016)• The State Council issued some guidelines promoting commercial health insurance
development in 2014, encouraging information sharing and the creation of health insurance information systems.
South Korea Songdo –the world's first smart city close to final completion in 2016.
India • 100 Smart Cities Initiative announced in Union Budget 2014 with US$1.1 billion provided to be launched soon in 2015.
• Smart Health is the lifeline for Smart Cities
Japan Pilot projects are running in 4 cities (Yokohama, Toyota City, Keihanna Eco City, Kitakyushu)
Malaysia Industry-led IoT data centre and research lab set up with Feb 2015 with focus on wearables in healthcare
APAC will not escape the "Big Data tsunami"APAC will take the lead over in Smart Cities by 2025
22 out of 37 major smart cities across the globe are in APAC by 2022 with the investment of 63.4 billion from 2014 to 2023
18
Singapore Smart Nation
Healthcare Transport
Logistic Environment Analytics
Security
Sensors Smart Cities
5G/ HetNet
Singapore Smart NationSmart Nation is built on data & the ability to move, collect and make sense
of it before we can glean insights that can improve lives.1
Singapore as a global Analytics Hub
Key areas Enabling Capabilities
1. source from IDA
19
APAC is the opportunity land for Big Data“Asia is a hotbed of digital
adoption”1
By 2020, 1/3 of connected things (8.6 billion) will be in
APAC2
Huge protection gap is the opportunity for
innovation
US$58 trillion
mortality gap in 20143
Source: 1. Master Card. 2. IDA 3. Swiss Re Mortality Protection Gap report 2015
20Swissnex risk dialogue | Matthias Weber | 15 April 2015
Technology advance and Big Data is transforming the way insurance is underwritten, sold, and engaged
21
Changing risk landscape will require insurers to adapt their underwriting capabilities
Risks change hands New risk pools will emerge
Some risks will shrinkand some potentially become
more extreme
CyberSupply Chain
22
New data sources will revolutionize underwriting
Sensors
Genomics
Platforms
Real-time. Personalized. Fast. Accurate. Transparent. Disruptive
23
Wearable sensors
Smart lenses
Smart garments
Smart Pill
Enhanced monitoring of our behaviours
Source: www.proteus.com
24
Genomics is a big data problem
6 billion DNA letters
22,000 genes
313 Exabytes if everyone in the US has their genes sequenced
which gene mutation are associated with which diseases
25
Genomic sequencingIncreasing speed of developments
Sanger (capillary) sequencing
2020? ~1day?? $500
2005~3 years
~$ 20million
2010~1month$9,500
(Illumina)
AML
Mel
anom
aSm
all-c
ell
lung
Brea
st
2008~4 months
~$ 1.5million
Lung
(N
SCLC
)
Cancer Genomics
2000~10 years
~$ 3.5 billion
Mye
lom
a
Hepa
toce
llul
ar CLL
Mou
se A
ML
Next generation sequencing
26
PatientsLikeMeNew communities for patient-led data sharing
27
The New World of Connected Health
Pharmacy
Non-living things linked to living things
Smart wheelchair
RFID tags
Companion Robot
Mobile & apps
Wearables
Public Authority
Care Providers
Connected Health
Labs Smart Home
Smart Appliances
Environment
Weather Station
Air pollution sensor
Source: CitiSenseSource: wikimedia
28
Technology makes the mission possible!
Machine LearningCognitive Computing
Text MiningVoice Mining
29
Predictive Underwriting
Innovations in UnderwritingNew data sources (genetic data, behavior, wearables, etc.)
New tools and technology (text analytics, etc.)
Better Risk Assessment
Efficiency
Differentiator
Evidenced-Based
Underwriting
Automated Underwritin
g
Real-time. Personalized. Fast. Accurate. Transparent. Disruptive
30
Evidence-Based Underwriting
Lab DataMedical Journals
Biomedical databases
Prescription Data
Information Exchange
Government Agencies
Wearable Device Data
Genetic Info
?
?
31
Smoker Propensity Model
The model could be used to simplify application process
32
Automated Underwriting
33
New data sources and engagement mechanism create opportunities to insure the uninsurable
Beha
vioral
Econ
omics
Hea
lth
y Beha
vior
Unh
ealt
hy
Beha
vio
r
Unhealthy Healthy
Controlled
Educate & Motivate
Gamific
ation
34
The way insurance is sold and engaged is ripe for disruption
Trends Risks Opportunities• Emergence of online market places and new ecosystems
• Increased adoption of internet & mobile-based channels
• Ubiquity of connected devices
• Behavior Economics
• Gamification
• P2P/ Blockchain
• Commoditize personal & small commercial risks
• Lose ownership of customer relationship
• Fail to secure partnership in the new ecosystems
Increase loyalty, reach, & differentiation by:
• Innovative bundled engagement services
• Better customer insight (granular segmentation) and personalized products
• Context-based / UBI/ On-demand solutions
• Simplification
35Swissnex risk dialogue | Matthias Weber | 15 April 2015
What is happening in the insurance industry?
36
Startups are invading insurance tech
X3 (2014-2015)In 2014, less than $700M in funding is for insurance tech. By Q3 2015, insurance tech startups have attracted more than three times as much funding. funding.
Funding to global insurance tech startups
VC investors
X7(2011-2015)Less than 50 investors in 2011. Through Q3’15, the number has jumped past 380. Key players in insurance tech space
120+ startups, VCs, corporate investors, accelerators
source: CBINSIGHTS
37
Multiple tech giants have moved into insurance
38
Increasing spending on evolutionary innovation
Legal & Compliance
Customer Management
Pricing, Risk Assessment and Selection
Distribution and Service Management
Innovative Products
Claims & Fraud Management
Opportunities
Source: Global Digital Insurance 2015, Bain
24%in life
27%in P&C
Average growth in annualized spending on
analytics
Corporate
Ventures
Innovation Labs/
Centres
Startup Deals
Partnership
Some re/insurers and intermediaries have made bold steps
40
Disrupt or Not to Disrupt?“I think insurance is in the Stone Age while other people are circling Mars.”–Mark Wilson CEO, Aviva plc, October 2015
“(Insurance) is an industry that has been lagging behind every other industry –it has been paralyzed.Either you understand it and you move towards the forefront of change…or this industry will disappear.”–Mario Greco CEO, GeneraliGroup, May 2015
“Asia Ripe for Life Insurance Disruption” –Jay Walker, founder of Priceline.com
“In my previous life as a McKinsey consultant, I advised the top insurance companies on projects that were, at their core, incremental. They were always about increasing the productivity of the agent-based salesforce, or improving the efficiency of paper-based claims operations. In other words, what I was doing was putting the dinosaur on a diet and prodding it with a stick.” –Jennifer Fitzgerald, Founder & CEO, PolicyGenius
41
Big Data is important for the insurance industry…… because insurance is an information based business!
Legal & Compliance
Fina
ncia
l
Operational
Ethical
Risks
Legal and Compliance
Data Business Model
Technology Skills
Foundation
Customer Management
Pricing, Risk Assessment and Selection
Distribution and Service Management
Innovative Products
Claims & Fraud Management
Opportunities
42
Organization Key Capabilities to Capitalize Big Data
43Swissnex risk dialogue | Matthias Weber | 15 April 2015
Thank you
44
45Swissnex risk dialogue | Matthias Weber | 15 April 2015
Legal notice©2015 Swiss Re. All rights reserved. You are not permitted to create any modifications or derivative works of this presentation or to use it for commercial or other public purposes without the prior written permission of Swiss Re.
The information and opinions contained in the presentation are provided as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. Although the information used was taken from reliable sources, Swiss Re does not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or comprehensiveness of the details given. All liability for the accuracy and completeness thereof or for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information contained in this presentation is expressly excluded. Under no circumstances shall Swiss Re or its Group companies be liable for any financial or consequential loss relating to this presentation.